Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont Park
Friday - June 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BEL-1   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(7/2/3)-(2/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BEL-2   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(2/5/1)-(5/7/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-3   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(5/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(5/7/4/6)-(6/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-4   WIN (5/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/6)-(6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/6)-(6/5/2)-(1/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-5   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(1/2/5)-(5/3/1/4/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
BEL-6   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(5/3/1/4/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(5/3/1/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BEL-7   WIN (5/3/1/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/4/2)-(5/3/1/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/4/2)-(5/3/1/4/2)-(5/3/1/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/1/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/4/2)-(6/7/4/2)-(3/10/7/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BEL-8   WIN (6/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/4/2)-(3/10/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/2)-(3/10/7/9)-(1/10/3/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BEL-9   WIN (3/10/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/7/9)-(3/10/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/10/7/9)-(3/10/7/9)-(3/10/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/10/7/9)-(1/10/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BEL-10   WIN (1/10/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/3/4)-(1/10/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/10/3/4)-(1/10/3/4)-(1/10/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BEL-1   06/16/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIMMYTHETOOTH         (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of SILENT FRIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
2  EL GRANDE O May28         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of RAINBOW'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  SUBSCRIBED May12         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
  (by CUPID out of ARCH ARCH ROSE by ARCHARCHARCH)
SCR  SWEPT May28         (chapman jame)TORRES A 114 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of SAICHI SWEEPIN by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
5  TECH DUINN May12         (venham lyn )MARTINEZ R 119 30.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SEAHAG by CASHEL CASTLE)
6  TWISTED FILIGREE May12         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 1.00 46% 1.20    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of SATURN LACE by KODIAC)
SCR  SCORE THE ROCK         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of HEAVENLY SCORE by EVEN THE SCORE)
8  DANCING MISCHIEF         (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SHOOP by UNCLE MO)
 
BEL-2   06/16/2023 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPERMENTAL May29 Apr28 Mar26 Mar05 Feb09 (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 123 5.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN May11 Apr20 Apr13 Feb19 Jan29 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
2  RUVIES IN TIME Mar24 Mar03 Feb11 Jan29 Dec09 (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 28% 2.50    
3  FORTY SMOOTH Apr27 Mar26 Nov15 Nov07 Oct08 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  ALPINE QUEEN May07 Apr06 Mar10 Feb09 Jan13 (toscano joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00    
5  ITSAKEYPER May12 Apr19 Mar26 Jan11 Nov10 (albertrani )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.00    
SCR  LAUGH AND PLAY May19 Apr07 Mar16 Feb18 Jan11 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 123 1.60    
7  WITH THIS VOW Feb07 Oct30 Oct02 Sep01 Aug14 (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  DIVA BANKER May07 Apr13 Mar19 Mar03 Jan27 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
 
BEL-3   06/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOSIENKO May14 Mar25 Feb10 Dec08 Oct30 (lalm)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 18% 4.40    
2  ROSEBUG May12 Jan27 Mar19 Jan23   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 1.80 33% 2.10    
3  MOVIE MOXY May26 Apr16 Mar25 Mar17 Feb10 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
4  OK HONEY May29 May26 May11 Mar31 Feb19 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
5  CHI TOWN LADY Apr14 Nov05 Aug06 May19 Apr10 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 20% 4.00    
6  HOT FUDGE May07 Apr16 Mar18 Jan29   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00    
 
BEL-4   06/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SILIPO May20 Apr14 Mar25 Sep24 Aug24 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 118 2.00    
2  HIGHER QUALITY May07 Apr13 Jan28 Aug28 Jul16 (begg be)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
3  FOREVER WICKED May18 Apr14 Mar26 Mar18 Mar10 (persaud ran)MARTINEZ R 123 12.00    
4  ROYAL REALM May18 Apr28 Mar26 Feb19 Feb10 (sciacca gar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 10% 9.40    
5  TRUCULENT Mar26 Feb26 Jan22 Dec08 Nov06 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
6  ALCOOLS May27 May13 Apr29 Mar25 Mar12 (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MUSICAL HEART Jun03 May18 Apr28 Apr19 Mar19 (jacob)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 8.00 24% 3.20    
8  MUCHO SUNSHINE Mar05 May07 Apr14 Mar31 Feb20 (shivmangal)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 120 30.00    
 
BEL-5   06/16/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATOMIC BLONDE (GER) May05 Apr01       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.60    
2  MISE EN SCENE (GB) Apr22 Dec26 Nov05     (walsh brendan)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 10% 9.50    
3  CANISY May19 Apr21 Oct15 Sep17 Aug25 (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
4  PHAROAH'S HEART Apr16 Mar17 Feb24 Dec09 Jun02 (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 123 12.00    
5  SKIMS (GB) Apr15 Dec26 Oct15 Sep05 Aug25 (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 20% 4.10    
6  STAR DEVINE (IRE) May07 Apr15 Nov27 Oct16 Sep10 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  TAP THE FAITH May27 Dec01 Oct27 Jul03 May07 (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 120 2.00    
 
BEL-6   06/16/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP GUN GIRL Apr15 Nov20 Sep14 Aug08   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.50 32% 2.10    
2  DERRYNANE Apr28 Nov10 Aug11 Jul15 Jun19 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 30% 2.30    
3  VIOLENT VIXEN Dec31 Dec02 Nov13 Oct15 Feb06 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00    
SCR  WHISPURRING KITTEN May28 Sep24 Aug22 Aug01 Jul03 (merryman mi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50    
5  BREEZE EASY (GB) May18 Nov27 Oct15 Sep18 Aug11 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.50 13% 6.90    
SCR  ICY STARE DOWN May04 Mar12 Feb20 Jan01 Dec09 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 8.00    
7  LADY MILAGRO May12 Apr16 Mar25 Feb25 Jan29 (martin carlo)TORRES A 118 6.00    
SCR  HYDRA May12 Apr07 Feb10 Jan27 Jan08 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 121 5.00    
 
BEL-7   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA AGUILILLA May20 Apr28 Feb03 Jan13 Dec17 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 7% 13.50    
2  ALICE KRAMDEN May12 Jul27       (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  CARBON May20 May04 Apr02 Feb09 Jan06 (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 5.00 32% 2.10    
4  TRY IT AGAIN May21 Apr23 Mar26 Mar11 Mar05 (aren)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  JOLLY MISS JILL Apr29 Apr14 Feb23 Jan25 Dec01 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 34% 1.90    
6  LADY MINE Apr29 Apr16 Mar24 Sep23 Aug26 (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
7  ICY REPLY May20 May04 Apr20 Mar25 Mar17 (ferraro jame)CASTELLANO J 125 6.00    
8  MY GIRL JAL May26 May14 Apr15 Mar17 Feb17 (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 20.00    
9  MERAVIGLIOSO May20 Apr23 Apr07 Mar25 Mar05 (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 125 3.50    
 
BEL-8   06/16/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWILLAWAY May20 Apr22 Mar25 Feb25 Jun10 (frie)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 50.00    
2  PLENTITUDE Apr28         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  FROSTED OATS May07 Mar26 Feb08 Jan06 Jun24 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 3.50    
4  PALACE GOSSIP Apr16 Nov10 Oct20 Aug14 Jul22 (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00 18% 4.60    
5  Z FIRST May13 Feb25 Jun26 Jun11 May01 (klesaris steve)ORTIZ L 125 8.00    
6  CANDLE Apr08 Feb12 Nov04 Aug28 Jul31 (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
7  SHOOTOUTTHELIGHTS May03 Apr02       (ward a)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
8  GAME THEORY Jun02 May18 May07 Apr28 Apr21 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 50.00    
SCR  CUPID'S HEART Nov25 Oct23 Sep05     (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 125 1.60    
SCR  CUPIDS GIRL Apr22 Mar31 Mar11 Feb09 Jan28 (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 123 4.00    
SCR  TO A T Apr30 Apr22 Mar22 Feb17 Jan19 (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 125 3.50    
SCR  CHASING CARA May20 Apr22 Mar25 Feb25 Jan29 (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 125 6.00    
 
BEL-9   06/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  I'M BUZZY May07 Apr16 Mar11 Feb25 Jan29 (englehart ch)TORRES A 119 20.00    
2  WISHING ON A STAR May04 Apr13 Mar31 Mar05 Jan18 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00    
3  GUNS N' GRACES May05 Apr07 Mar04 Dec23 Nov04 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 34% 2.00    
4  SWOOP TO FINISH Oct29 Sep11 Jul24 Jun16 Apr30 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 10.00    
5  JUST KATHERINE Apr01 Mar04 Jan15 Nov18   (jimenez jose )FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
6  AMITY ISLAND May18 May04 Apr21 Apr02 Mar25 (goberdhan )GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 50.00    
7  SUNSET LOUISE May04 Oct30 Sep24 Aug17 Jun24 (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 126 3.50 13% 6.40    
SCR  BUSTIN BAY Jun01 May04 Apr02 Mar03 Feb19 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00    
9  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Apr30 Apr21 Mar26 Feb24 Jan12 (rodriguez ru)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  SACRED WISH May19 Apr01 Mar05 Feb11   (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 31% 2.30    
 
BEL-10   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAMAN PRINCESS Apr29 Apr06 Mar11 Jan28   (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 5.00 54% 0.90    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of STORIED LADY by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
2  BON ADIEU Apr29 Feb10 Dec16     (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 124 12.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of VIVA SHEILA by TIZNOW)
3  NOLITA         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 6% 15.20    
  (by LAOBAN out of NICOLE'S MISS EL by ELTISH)
4  MAXING THE BANK         (parke)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of TWO TERM MAX by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
SCR  SHE SLAYS         (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of ESPIRITU by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  TIMELY CONQUEST         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of CONQUEST SOPRANO by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  MUCHO MAMA MIA May18 Apr27 Feb26 Oct08 Sep04 (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 124 20.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of STRIKE PLEASURE by TENPINS)
8  MIM Oct08 Sep02       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MICHELE THE GREAT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  ISLAND ROSE         (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 6% 15.20    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of REAL CLEVER TRICK by YES IT'S TRUE)
10  ECHO IN ETERNITY Apr29         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50 13% 6.90    
  (by CONNECT out of HAPPY CLAPPER by AWESOME AGAIN)
11  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE         (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of ILLGIVEYOUWATTEVER by WISEMAN'S FERRY)
12  BIG HAZEL May27 May05 Feb11     (donk david)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of BLUEGRASS ARCH by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.