Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont Park
Friday - June 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BEL-1   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(1/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(1/6/4/7)-(2/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-2   WIN (1/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/4/7)-(2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/7)-(2/3/5)-(7/1/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BEL-3   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(7/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(7/1/4/5)-(8/7/5/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BEL-4   WIN (7/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/5)-(8/7/5/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/5)-(8/7/5/1/4)-(4/9/6/3/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
BEL-5   WIN (8/7/5/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/1/4)-(8/7/5/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/1/4)-(8/7/5/1/4)-(8/7/5/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/5/1/4)-(4/9/6/3/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/1/4)-(4/9/6/3/8)-(5/1/6/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
BEL-6   WIN (4/9/6/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/6/3/8)-(4/9/6/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/6/3/8)-(4/9/6/3/8)-(4/9/6/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/9/6/3/8)-(5/1/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/9/6/3/8)-(5/1/6/8)-(8/1/7/3/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
BEL-7   WIN (5/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/8)-(5/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/8)-(5/1/6/8)-(5/1/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/8)-(8/1/7/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/8)-(8/1/7/3/4)-(6/5/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BEL-8   WIN (8/1/7/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/3/4)-(8/1/7/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/3/4)-(8/1/7/3/4)-(8/1/7/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/7/3/4)-(6/5/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BEL-9   WIN (6/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BEL-1   06/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC EIGHT BALL         (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 18% 4.60    
  (by UPSTART out of PREDICTRESS by VICAR)
PERMED         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.50 42% 1.40    
  (by STREET BOSS out of CURLED by CURLIN)
STATUS SEEKER         (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 7% 13.50    
  (by UPSTART out of CASUAL COCKTAIL by MAGNA GRADUATE)
TALAVERA         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of RISE ABOVE by VIOLENCE)
JUST THE OAKS May11 May04       (chapman jame)TORRES A 114 20.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SENSIBLE GAL by STREET SENSE)
RAICHU         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 119 3.50    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of PRINCESS SAMURAI by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
BEL-2   06/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANT KEEP ME DOWN Aug25         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
SOLEVO SPRITZ Apr16         (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
GERMANY JAYVO May18 Apr28 Apr02 Mar05 Jan22 (persaud ran)MARTINEZ R 118 30.00    
VOLATILITY May07 Mar11 Feb04 Jan04 Nov19 (terranova joh)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 11% 8.10    
DIAMOND STATUS May13 Apr15 Nov20 Oct15 Sep16 (martin carlos )ORTIZ L 125 3.00    
WONDER GIRL May12 Apr16 Mar10 Feb17 Jan29 (klesaris rob)TORRES A 113 5.00 13% 6.80    
TAP IT UP May14 Apr16 Mar20 Mar01 Feb17 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 9% 10.50    
SCR  KATIE'S CHECKRIDE Mar31         (bond harold )TORRES A 113 6.00    
 
BEL-3   06/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLUTE MASTER Apr28 Mar16 Feb16 Jan25 Nov27 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 126 1.20    
SOUTH STREET May06 May15 Apr16 Feb24 Jan21 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.00 39% 1.60    
SON OF AN EX May06 Mar18 Mar10 Feb18 Feb12 (henry neville)BROWN DALTON 124 10.00 28% 2.50    
BOYS CODE Apr16 Mar18 Feb18 Feb09 Jan07 (dixon li)DAVIS A 120 12.00    
ASAP RESTORATION May24 Nov23 Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 (ronen a)NAVARRO J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BEL-4   06/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE May12 Apr06 Mar18 Feb10 Jan08 (arriaga antoni)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 19% 4.10    
GAME THEORY May18 May07 Apr28 Apr21 Mar31 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 20.00    
MON PETIT CHOU May07 Apr06 Feb24 Jan27 Dec16 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
HAPPY SOPHIA Mar19 Feb05 Jan08 Dec29 Dec11 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50 14% 6.20    
RUN DEVIL May11 Mar26 Mar18 Feb19 Jan13 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 9% 10.30    
J D'S VISTA Apr26 Feb27 Jan04 Dec05 Oct26 (whylie herol)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 15.00    
MELTING SNOW Apr06 Mar25 Jan27 Jan05 Dec09 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
BEL-5   06/02/2023 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACEFUL May26 Apr28 Mar17 Jan13 Jan07 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
LINARITE May13 Apr10 Feb26 Jan23   (donk david)ORTIZ L 124 6.00    
NIGHTSABER (GB) May14 Apr20 Jan22 Dec18 Nov06 (de horacio)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00    
BOUNTY KILLAH May22 May14 Mar19 Mar03 Feb24 (richards m)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 30.00 5% 19.00    
NOW SHOWING Apr19 Mar18 Jan29 Nov20   (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 19% 4.10    
BELLESHAZZA Dec08 Nov20 Oct14 Aug21 Jul28 (sciacca gary)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
LEXI'S SPIRIT Apr15 Feb18 Jan08 Nov20 Oct27 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
RIVER TAY (IRE)         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 30% 2.40    
MY INNER VOICE May12 Apr20 Mar31 Feb17   (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 118 30.00    
SCR  BABY SOX May12 Mar19 Jan13 Nov27   (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50    
SCR  BALENTINA May18 Apr28 Feb17 Jan07   (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 4.50    
 
BEL-6   06/02/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3 ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REGAL KINGDOM Apr22 Mar26 Feb23 Jan28 Dec04 (motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00    
BILLIEVE IN JOSH Oct19         (ficarella brooke)GOMEZ O 120 50.00    
LOVE ME NOT Mar24 Feb04 Jan08 Dec03 Nov04 (sacco gregory)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
MONDEGO (GB) May07 Apr08 Feb18     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
JUNGFRAU Apr01 Feb11 Dec31 Nov20 Sep03 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
C'EST MAGNIFIQUE May07 Nov18 Oct16 Jul30   (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.00 5% 18.20    
GAME CHANGE May13 Mar02 Feb01 Dec31 Nov06 (mcgaughey cla)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
MERCANTE Apr13 Jan21 Dec17 Nov06   (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
CLEVER THOUGHT Apr15 Mar18 Feb16     (pletcher todd)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
10  MAYFIELD STRONG Apr28 Mar30 Sep14 Jul24 Jul02 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00    
 
BEL-7   06/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THISLADYIS THE LAW Oct17 Sep26 Sep05 Aug10 Jul27 (reynolds patric)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
VALLARAND May18 Apr13 Feb17 Feb10 Jan06 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50    
TRIPLE P May07 Apr13 Mar25 Mar10 Feb18 (jones e)GOMEZ O 120 15.00    
SHE'S GOT GAME May09 Jan15 Dec30 Dec10 Nov07 (ronen a)NAVARRO J 120 30.00    
ITS COLD IN DEHERE Mar31 Mar24 Feb17 Feb10 Dec30 (walder r)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 40% 1.50    
HALO CITY May26 Apr03 Nov11 Oct27 Oct01 (lynch natali)TORRES A 115 3.00 15% 5.50    
GRINGOTTS May18 May11 Apr20 Mar31 Feb17 (young)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 10.00    
CAPTIVATING CARA May04 Apr13 Mar31 Mar12 Feb11 (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BEL-8   06/02/2023 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUEBELIEVE Oct13 Aug18 Jul17 Jun30 May28 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 123 3.50 32% 2.20    
1A  UPPER LEVEL Apr30 Mar10 Feb11 Jan14 Dec16 (barrera osca)TORRES A 120 3.50    
SCIENCE (IRE) Oct13 Sep25 Sep11 Aug17 May29 (gorham michael)ORTIZ L 123 3.50    
HE'S GOT IT Jan04 Nov28 Nov11 Oct20 Sep02 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
STEELERSFANFORLIFE Aug18 Jul23 Jul01 Jun05 May14 (gyarmati leah)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
EDDIE THE GREAT Dec11 Oct30 Oct20 Sep25 Sep04 (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50    
VOLIERO May21 May05 Apr13 Mar05 Feb10 (persaud ran)MARTINEZ R 123 12.00    
MARATHONER May05 Apr20 Feb16 Jan17 Jan02 (montoya marya)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
DEEP COVER Nov18 Oct22 Aug21 Jun26 May21 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  CHARGER Apr14 Mar19 Feb20 Jan28 Jan07 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 118 5.00    
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Apr15 Mar09 Feb12 Jun03 Apr08 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 0.80    
 
BEL-9   06/02/2023 7260ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST SO Apr20 Feb04       (brown c)SILVERA RUBEN 118 5.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of TURBULENT DESCENT by CONGRATS)
EQUAL PROTECTION Apr13 Mar03 Jan14 Nov19   (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 20% 3.90    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of APPEARANCE by HARLINGTON)
LOCKE AND KEY May06 Apr16 Mar12     (catanese jos)TORRES A 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. Z out of U R KEY by ALBERT THE GREAT)
JUAN VALDEZ May06 Oct13 Sep03     (mcgaughey claud)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BAFFLED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
CYBER NINJA Apr20 Mar11       (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by ARROGATE out of FAMOUS ALICE by KITTEN'S JOY)
TYPHOON LAGOON Mar22 Feb08 Jan22 Jun11   (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 36% 1.80    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
BEL AMI May07 Mar25 Feb18 Jan07   (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ALMINA by MACHO UNO)
AMERICAN HUSTLE Apr08 Nov20 Oct23 Sep25 Jul30 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SWAK by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  SMART UNCLE May25         (thomas jonath)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SMART TOGETHER by SMART STRIKE)
10  ROCKSTAR RED May07 Mar18 Jan21     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00    
  (by FROSTED out of DARING DUCHESS by ARCH)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.