Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont Park
Sunday - May 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BEL-1   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(1/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(1/8/3/4)-(5/4/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BEL-2   WIN (1/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/3/4)-(5/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3/4)-(5/4/3/7)-(2/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BEL-3   WIN (5/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/3/7)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/7)-(2/4/5)-(1/3/7/5/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BEL-4   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(1/3/7/5/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(1/3/7/5/2)-(3/1/4/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BEL-5   WIN (1/3/7/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/5/2)-(1/3/7/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/5/2)-(1/3/7/5/2)-(1/3/7/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/7/5/2)-(3/1/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/5/2)-(3/1/4/2)-(1/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BEL-6   WIN (3/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/4/2)-(1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4/2)-(1/3/5)-(4/7/9/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BEL-7   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(4/7/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(4/7/9/5)-(10/2/4/8/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BEL-8   WIN (4/7/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/9/5)-(4/7/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/9/5)-(4/7/9/5)-(4/7/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/9/5)-(10/2/4/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BEL-9   WIN (10/2/4/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/4/8/9)-(10/2/4/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/4/8/9)-(10/2/4/8/9)-(10/2/4/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BEL-1   05/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAM         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 116 1.20    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of VINDICTIVE WAYS by BROKEN VOW)
1A  EL GRANDE O         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 1.20 23% 3.40    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of RAINBOW'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  THE WINE STEWARD         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 1.00 43% 1.30    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CALL TO SERVICE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
3  KHADULLAH         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of MIDWAY MUSIC by BLUEGRASS CAT)
4  LONCHURA May11         (chichakly a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 116 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of MADOFFWITHTHECASH by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  TECH DUINN May12         (venham lyn )MARTINEZ R 119 30.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SEAHAG by CASHEL CASTLE)
6  SWEPT         (chapman jame)TORRES A 114 12.00 8% 11.90    
  (by LAOBAN out of SAICHI SWEEPIN by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
 
BEL-2   05/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARATOGA GAZE Apr22 Mar26 Oct23 Sep23 Jun26 (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 54% 0.90    
2  PEGS A. K. GIRL Dec31 Oct20 Sep06 Jul28   (summers chad)ORTIZ JR 124 1.60    
3  KANNON FIRE May30 May06 Apr10     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 6% 16.60    
4  SNOW LOVES A FIGHT Apr28 Mar23 Jul14 May28 Apr30 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  DUCKPHAT Apr13 Mar18 Feb20 Jan22 Dec30 (henry nevill)LAPRIDA JEREMY 126 15.00    
SCR  JOLLY MISS JILL Apr29 Apr14 Feb23 Jan25 Dec01 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
7  FROSTY INVASION Apr14 Mar12 Feb26 Feb02 Jan13 (schettin)DAVIS A 126 15.00    
8  WESTERN LANE Feb10 Jan29 Dec18 Nov20 Oct15 (lynch natali)TORRES A 119 5.00 12% 7.20    
 
BEL-3   05/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BASTET Apr06 Mar17 Sep23 Aug28 Jul27 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
2  MERCHANTS OF COOL Oct23 Oct13 Mar19 Jan09   (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 10.00    
3  BOURBON'S HOPE Apr02 Mar05 Feb19 Feb12 Jan01 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 4.00 15% 5.70    
4  BRUNATE Apr01 Mar11 Jan12 Dec10 Nov20 (bond harold )TORRES A 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  STORM SHOOTER Apr01 Feb10 Jan12 Dec10 Nov13 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
6  ENSIGN PARKER May14 Mar02 Feb03 Jan22 Dec14 (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
7  STAR ATTITUDE May20 Apr29 Apr02 Mar19 Mar10 (martin carl)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 5% 18.50    
 
BEL-4   05/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDOUBTEDLY Apr08 Feb19 Jan05 Nov12   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50    
  (by BLAME out of AND WHY NOT by STREET CRY (IRE))
2  VIRTUAL REALITY         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 37% 1.70    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of MISS MALIBU STYLE by MALIBU MOON)
3  TOWER BRIDGE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of LONDON MIST by AFLEET ALEX)
4  MS. SOLVEIG Apr30 Mar12 Aug25 Jul27   (antonacci phi)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of THEORY OF CHANGE by ARCHARCHARCH)
5  RISK FREE Apr30 Apr15 Mar17 Feb17 Jan29 (delauro edwa)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 10% 8.80    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of KEEP CROSSING by ISTAN)
6  BUTTER CAKE         (mott willia)MARTINEZ R 118 10.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of APIARY by BERNARDINI)
 
BEL-5   05/28/2023 4620ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONIC SPEED Dec16 Oct29 Oct09 Sep24 Aug20 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00    
1A  DRAKON Apr02 Feb26 Jan15 Nov13 Oct21 (diodoro roberti)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00 40% 1.50    
2  DISARMED May05 Apr07 Mar04 Feb09 Jan07 (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHARGER Apr14 Mar19 Feb20 Jan28 Jan07 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 118 10.00    
3  HIGHLY FLAMMABLE Apr23 Jun11 Apr09 Mar17   (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 125 3.50 21% 3.70    
4  TURNSANDCONDITIONS Apr14 Mar19 Mar11 Feb11 Feb05 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00    
5  BRICCO May14 Apr16 Nov05 Jul22 Jun23 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD Apr29 Nov20 Oct06 Sep03 Aug03 (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 123 3.00    
7  BIG VENEZUELA May14 Apr16 Mar26 Feb18 Feb02 (tessore bruno)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00 10% 8.70    
8  KING MOONRACER May13 Nov05 Oct06 Sep03 Aug10 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00    
9  STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT May21 Sep03 Aug10 Jul14 Jun18 (hemingway mich)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 12.00    
 
BEL-6   05/28/2023 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANTAIL (GB) May04 Mar12 Jan29 Nov18 Oct27 (begg bent)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  LIBERTY FLAME May11 Apr23 Apr02 Dec15 Nov18 (begg bent)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00    
2  ANGELAS PARTY GIRL May13 Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 Sep26 (duarte jorge )ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 9% 10.60    
3  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Dec02 Oct14 Jun19 May07 Mar27 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 39% 1.60    
4  BRISKY FROLIC May04 Apr21 Mar12 Feb24 Jan13 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.00 12% 7.60    
5  JUST A NYQUIST May04 Mar26 Mar12 Feb24 Feb02 (barrera osca)TORRES A 120 10.00    
6  DUFRESNE May04 Dec04 Nov19 Oct23 Aug12 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 1.80    
7  MORE MANGO May12 Apr27 Mar17 Feb12 Jan12 (ferr)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 30.00    
 
BEL-7   05/28/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONAL IMPACT Apr29 Apr06 Mar25 Feb19 Jan29 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  CURBSTONE Mar31 Feb26 Jan28 Dec09 Nov19 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50    
3  SYSTEMIC CHANGE Apr23 Mar10 Feb02 Dec15   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 4.00 15% 5.90    
4  GALT Apr29 Mar12 Jun03 Mar26 Mar05 (mott william)CASTELLANO J 121 2.00    
5  BACK RING LUCK May21 Apr01 Mar11 Feb17 Feb05 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00 12% 7.10    
 
BEL-8   05/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K P ALL SYSTEMS GO Nov11 Oct09 Sep11 Aug20 Jun19 (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00    
SCR  MICROSECOND May22 Apr14 Jan19 Apr16   (englehart je)TORRES A 117 12.00    
2  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Dec08 Oct16 Sep24 Aug26 Jul28 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00    
3  HUSH OF A STORM May11 Mar18 Feb19 Apr16 Mar06 (morey william )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50    
4  CATCH THAT PARTY Nov11 Oct13 Sep04 Jul23 Jul01 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
5  AGENT CREED Nov05 Oct06 Aug20 Jul23 Jun24 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUNDAESWITHSANDY Apr14 Mar18 Feb11 Jan06 Dec08 (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00    
7  FRANK'S ART Apr27 Nov18 Oct30 Sep04 Aug10 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
8  BATTLE SCARS May14 Apr08 Feb26 Feb04 Dec30 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
9  BARRAGE Jan28 Dec16 Nov11 Sep15 Aug11 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NOT PHAR NOW May04 Mar08 Jan28 Jan13 Dec22 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  GHOST GIANT Apr27 Mar15 Feb25 Feb12 Jan13 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00    
 
BEL-9   05/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DENIECE OF DEGRACE Apr14 Feb18 Jan22 Jan06 Nov26 (noda orland)MARTINEZ R 118 8.00    
SCR  OAK LOVES A FIGHT May06 Apr20 Nov26 Oct08 Sep24 (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 8.00    
2  SHOPPINGATBLOOMIES Apr14 Nov04       (falcone robe)TORRES A 113 3.50 13% 7.00    
3  DERWIN'S PAYNTER May12 Apr14 Feb18 Jan28 Dec18 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00    
4  KARA PARA May06 Apr20 Feb12 Jan28 Dec16 (ryerson jam)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 13% 7.00    
5  LEM ME DRINK Apr14 Feb10 Jan19 Nov26 Oct29 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 125 4.00    
6  BERNT AGAIN May06 Feb12 Jan14 Nov26 Oct08 (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
7  MY JUNE BUG Apr30         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
8  WAR MUSEUM Apr22 Mar24 Feb17     (levi)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 20.00 12% 7.30    
9  MIDNIGHT EMPRESS Apr23         (rodriguez ru)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00 7% 14.10    
10  ORANGE FREEZE Apr15 Sep15 Aug18     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  FOLLOW THE FED May13 Mar03 Feb17 Jan14 Dec16 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
SCR  MY CARA MIA MINE May18 Apr08 Sep30 Sep03 Aug20 (friedman mi)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.