Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - April 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-5   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6/8)-(1/7/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(7/4)-(2/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-6   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/4)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(2/4/6)-(1/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-7   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(1/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(1/4/7/5)-(1/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-8   WIN (1/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/5)-(1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/5)-(1/3/4)-(7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-9   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TUP-10   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-5   04/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALEX'S DREAM Mar28 Mar13 Feb19 Jan24 Dec16 (toye joe)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
2  WINTER SOLDIER Feb18 Feb06       (essex charles)VERGARA P 124 4.50    
3  DEPUTY KNIGHT Mar13 Feb19 Dec17 Nov30 Sep03 (o'brien dan)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 15.00    
4  SCRATCH ME Mar19 Feb26 Apr24 Mar19 Mar05 (ybarra )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 15.00    
5  GABE'S MONSTER Mar28 Mar13 Jan24 Jan07 Nov30 (ybarra rudy)BEVERLY JR 124 15.00    
6  IMPASSIONED CLAIM Mar28 Mar19 Feb18 Jan03   (barraza s)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 17% 4.80    
7  CLASS COMPOUNDS Mar28         (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 21% 3.70    
8  SUPER CREATIVE Mar13 Feb19 Jan24 Jan07 Oct22 (gleason m)ANAYA V 124 2.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   04/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M MR. SHENANIGAN Mar12         (o'brien dann)BEVERLY JR 121 15.00 ★    
2  LEFT THE BAR Feb28 Feb07       (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 121 5.00    
3  ENDALE ARCH Mar20 Feb28 Feb14     (lavanwa)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 15.00    
4  BURNIN VERNON Mar06 Jan05       (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 3.00 18% 4.50    
5  LOOKSGOODONYOUTHO Mar17 Feb10 Jan20 Nov26 Nov04 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50 ★    
6  NORTHERN COCKTAIL Mar07 Feb16 Feb02     (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00    
7  SIX SHOTS OF T Mar20 Feb28 Feb16 Jan05 Dec08 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 3.50 61% 0.60    
 
TUP-7   04/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOKER MATT Mar20 Mar07 Feb16 Jan30 Jan07 (silva jose )MARTI ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
2  WILLY THE COBBLER Mar13 Feb19 Feb06 Jan12 Dec22 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.60 43% 1.30    
3  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY Feb13 Jan30 Jan17 Jan02 Dec07 (babcock r)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
4  CASHANOVA Mar29 Feb08 Jan09 Dec14 Nov12 (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
5  LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR Mar21 Mar04 Feb13 Sep28 Sep26 (matt l)CORBETT W 122 8.00    
6  OF GOOD REPORT Mar18 Mar04 Feb16 Feb08 Jan25 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 6% 15.80    
7  BLUE SKYE JADE Mar21 Feb04 Jan19 Jan02 Dec22 (willia)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 10.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   04/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARGOT'S GIRL Mar26 Mar13 Feb28 Jan30 Jan08 (bullene micha)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
2  LIP'S OF WINE Feb27 Jan30 Dec15 Nov12 Sep19 (morales guil)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00    
3  MISCHIEVOUS EMMA Jan17 Jan09 Apr25     (williams dew)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00    
4  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Mar20 Feb27 Jan28 Sep10 Jun06 (moreno ca)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 16% 5.10    
5  MACLEAN'S BELLA Mar18 Mar06 Aug08 Jul11 May02 (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 13% 6.50    
6  RATTLEME Mar20 Mar01 Feb15 Jan30 Dec14 (kenney ryan)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00    
7  CRAZY ABOUT YOU Aug25 Aug07 Jun26     (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 14% 6.10    
 
TUP-9   04/05/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPTED MISSION Mar13 Feb15 Jan24 Dec26 Dec01 (ei)DA FAUSTO 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
2  BODEMONSTER Mar20 Feb28 Jan23 Jan07 Dec20 (hedge rick)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
3  TOIL AND TROUBLE Mar21 Feb27 Feb07 Jan24 Dec28 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
4  YANKEE HUMOR Mar14 Feb26       (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 116 4.50 10% 8.80    
5  GUEST CHECK Mar13 Feb19 Jan24 Dec27 Dec13 (perkinson c)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 3.50 ★    
6  WRONG SPOT Feb16         (perren a)CORBETT W 116 5.00    
7  RENEW Mar27 Feb22 Jan10 Dec20 Apr21 (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 122 10.00    
 
TUP-10   04/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYIN BY Feb25 Feb06 Jan24 Dec19 Nov25 (johnston ki)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  MOUNTAIN PASS Feb19 Jan23 Nov28 Nov14 Sep10 (tate mary)ENRIQUEZ D 124 10.00 ★    
3  THATSALOTOFBLING Mar13 Feb21 Jan30 Sep20 Aug30 (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00    
4  TWITTERATI Mar13 Feb16 Jan31 Jan17 Dec15 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00    
5  PALACE STAR Mar21 Mar06 Feb18 Jan30 Jan11 (perkins fran)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00    
6  SQUARE FOOTAGE Mar14 Feb25 Feb06 Jan09 Nov21 (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 ★    
7  BENGAL TIGER Mar01 Jan30 Jan11 Dec27 Nov23 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
8  IMA TROUBLE MAKER Mar04 Feb09 Jan02 Dec17 Nov14 (eikleberry k)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.