Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Friday - December 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD MEDICATION Nov23 Nov02 Oct09 Aug21 Jul16 (compton greg)CABRERA DAVID 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  MESSAGE DISCIPLINE Nov21 Jun02       (martin steve)QUINONEZ S 122 15.00    
3  ACEHIGH ROYAL Oct22 Sep30 Jun19 May22 Apr23 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 10% 9.10    
4  LITTLE FRAPPUCINO Jul26 Jul03 Jun21 May29 May07 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 12.00    
5  SHAKEDOWN STREET Nov13 Oct12 Sep25 Jul15 Jun18 (schultz lind)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.50 10% 8.80    
6  STILL ON THE BOOKS Nov25 Nov12 Oct22 Sep01 Aug06 (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
7  BOURBON ON FIRE Nov10 Oct28 Oct08 Sep18 Aug13 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 2.00 16% 5.20    
 
OP-2   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATECHISM Oct14 Jun20 May27 Apr11 Mar20 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
2  NOSTALGIA Nov20         (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.00 ★    
3  BRIAR THICKET Sep04 Aug14 Jul07 Jun30 May06 (cline n)HARR KELSI 122 15.00    
4  WICKED CHOCOLATE Oct27 Aug26 Aug12 Jul23   (loy dewaine)CABRERA DAVID 122 20.00    
5  COSTANARMANDALEG Nov23 Nov09 Oct28 Oct07 Jul24 (broberg k)TORRES A 122 4.50 ★    
6  DISTORTED SECRETS Nov03 Oct02 Sep22 May31 May08 (deville j)JUAREZ NIK 120 4.00    
7  LOVELY LADY LEXI Oct19 May01 Mar24 Feb25 Jan28 (durham danele)MOJICA O 122 8.00 ★    
8  GIRLS A BULLET Oct14 Sep29 Sep05 Aug08 Jul13 (vance tho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
 
OP-3   12/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKINGLY SPUN Nov04         (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 ★    
2  PERFECTLY GOLDEN Nov10         (calhoun b)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00    
3  BOLT FOR ALLISON Oct14 Sep17 Jul30     (hartman chris)BAZE C 119 5.00 ★    
4  BICARB BETTY Nov10 Nov01 Oct17     (har)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 20.00    
5  PEACE CRUISER Sep18 Aug07       (mott rile)TORRES A 119 0.80 74% 0.30    
6  MADLY DANCING         (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 119 10.00 ★    
SCR  SUMMERTIME ROSE         (sharp joe)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 ★    
8  AISHA R N Nov12         (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 4.50    
 
OP-4   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOME BASE Aug02 Jun30 Jun04 May08 Mar25 (gibson jonas)BEJARANO R 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
2  FLAP JACK Nov07 Oct17 Sep01 Jun25 May06 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50 ★    
3  NATE'S WAY Nov18 Oct13 Sep28 Sep17 Aug16 (deatherage co)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 20.00 ★    
4  COST BASIS Nov16 Oct15 Sep03 Aug14 Apr21 (asmussen steven )JUAREZ NIK 120 5.00 ★    
5  MACRON Oct15 Sep25 Aug06 Jul08 May30 (duncan tr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 1.40 42% 1.40    
6  MAGIC CASTLE Nov20 Nov06 Oct15 Sep10 Aug20 (broberg k)TORRES A 120 6.00    
7  WIPE THE SLATE May08 Apr24 Jan28 Jan07   (har)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 20.00    
 
OP-5   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERBIAN SAILOR Oct12 Sep16 Aug14 Jun18 Jun06 (hewitt michael)JUAREZ NIK 115 20.00    
2  ROMANCER Nov19 Nov02 Sep11 Sep03   (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 6.00 6% 17.10    
3  SEE SPOT RUN Oct26 Oct19 Oct05 Mar21 Mar02 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 118 30.00    
4  WESLEYAN Oct19 Oct09 Sep11 Jun12 May06 (martin timot)JORDAN R 118 20.00    
SCR  ESSENTIAL BELLA Jul11 Jun26 Jun09 Apr22 Mar11 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY NOAH Sep11 Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 Jun19 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  LANSDOWNE (GB) Nov19 Oct28 Sep22 Jul22 Jun30 (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID null      
8  RUNQUIETLY Oct03 Aug24 Aug08     (mason ingrid)WALES T 120 30.00    
9  SUPER GEEK Apr22 Apr02 Mar20 Feb25   (hewitt micha)MEDELLIN ERICK 108 12.00    
10  RISKY SITUATION Jun04 May07 Apr30 Apr08 Mar25 (cline n)HARR KELSI 115 20.00    
11  SKYLINE Nov15 Oct11 Sep23 Aug25 Aug17 (haran joh)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50    
12  COLE SPUR Sep29 Aug24 Jun05 May14 Apr07 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 9% 9.60    
 
OP-6   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNOLIA MAE Nov25 Sep23 Sep09     (vance d)BAZE C 119 12.00 11% 7.90    
2  INDIAN IRISH Nov16         (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 ★    
3  TIMBAVATI Nov25         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 36% 1.80    
4  PAT'S GAL         (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 30.00    
5  FORTIBUG         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 12.00    
6  FEATURETTE         (garcia genaro)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00    
7  SHE'S STORMING         (hewitt micha)JORDAN R 119 20.00    
8  HONEYCAMP         (cates al)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
9  REAUX BINA Nov17         (dixon tim)BAILEY CHEL-C 119 30.00    
10  COROMANDEL         (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 119 2.50 29% 2.50    
11  WILD ROSEY Nov20 Jul17       (calhoun b)DIAZ RENE 114 12.00    
12  AUNT CARI         (petalino )DE CRUZ 119 30.00    
SCR  ELMO'S SECRET Nov11         (pish danny)BAZE C 119 30.00    
SCR  FINISHWHATUSTARTED         (deville c)TORRES A 119 6.00 ★    
 
OP-7   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($104K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAZY COMMAND Nov20 Oct04 Jul20 Jun26 May21 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 13% 6.40    
2  AQUILA MOON Nov21 Oct26 Sep24 Jul27   (young e)HIRALDO JOHN 122 20.00    
3  EMPIRE PASS Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 Aug04 May27 (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 4.50    
4  DIVA TREVA Nov21 Nov13 Oct13 Sep11 Aug05 (garcia genar)JORDAN R 120 6.00 8% 10.80    
SCR  KANCANCUTIE Nov18 Oct06 Sep05 Jul18   (cates al)COURT K 122 30.00    
SCR  LACEY BOSS Nov22 Nov03 Oct19 Oct07 Sep22 (cline n)HARR KELSI 124 30.00    
7  HEATED ARGUMENT Jun14 May20 May06 Apr29 Mar27 (gonzalez jai)GONZALEZ ELVIN 117 20.00 6% 16.00    
8  BACKYARD MONEY Nov20 Sep23 Sep05 Aug11 Jul27 (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 15.00    
9  KANT BELIEVE IT Nov20 Oct19 Sep23     (divito james )CABRERA DAVID 120 4.00 38% 1.60    
10  LOFTHOUSE Nov06 Oct04 Aug03 Jun23 Jun01 (martin william )BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00    
SCR  PICANA (CHI)         (correas i)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
12  HYPERSPORT Oct29 May01 Mar26 Feb19 Jan29 (mason ingrid)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 3.50    
13  SHOW ME GRACE Nov15 Sep25 Jul04 Jun10 Apr30 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
14  RING ME DARLING Nov27 Nov03 Oct07 Sep23 Aug14 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 117 30.00    
 
OP-8   12/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNT DE MONET Sep29 Aug30       (swearingen tom)SANJUR SANTO 117 15.00 ★    
2  C. J'S STORM Nov08 Oct17 Oct06 Sep13   (haran john)JUAREZ NIK 117 30.00    
3  TOO MUCH INFO Aug26         (diodoro r)TORRES A 117 12.00 17% 5.00    
4  HOW DID HE DO THAT Nov22 Oct28 Sep30 Aug28 Jun23 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00 12% 7.20    
5  TYLER'S TRIBE Nov04 Oct01 Aug27 Jul30 Jul09 (martin timot)JORDAN R 124 0.60    
6  HAPPY IS A CHOICE Oct23 Sep21 Aug06     (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 117 4.50 43% 1.30    
7  FROSTED DEPARTURE Nov26 Oct30 Oct08 Sep16 Aug14 (mcpeek ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 15.00    
8  ALTO ROAD Oct28 Jul17 Jul03     (cravens ronnie)QUINONEZ S 117 20.00    
9  WILD MULE Nov05 Aug27 Jul02     (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 ★    
 
OP-9   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIZ GISELA Sep15 Jul09 Jun08     (westermann ron)HIRALDO JOHN 122 30.00    
2  PATTERN BET Apr29 Apr09 Mar06 Feb11 Jan07 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 1.00 73% 0.40    
3  GOLD STRATEGY Apr29 Apr09 Mar25 Mar06 Feb18 (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 122 5.00 ★    
4  FIRST RATE ROMANCE         (stuart sh)RODRIGUEZ A 122 20.00 ★    
5  MO WANNA GO Jan28         (roberts stan)HEBERT LINDSEY 117 15.00    
6  DELTA MOON Sep05         (prather j)TORRES A 122 15.00    
7  COURAGEOUS CAPPEN Aug24 Jan23 Jan09     (cline n)HARR KELSI 124 15.00    
8  LITTLE ROCKER Mar25         (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00    
9  SWEET BABY KATE Sep05         (soto fermin)WALES T 122 30.00    
10  MIRACLE SHOES Oct17 Apr29       (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 122 12.00 ★    
11  TENZING         (mcbride b)DE CRUZ 122 20.00 ★    
12  BOOTLEGGING GIRL Aug20 Aug07 Jul18 May30 May01 (jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 8.00    
SCR  HAMAZING DEBATE Apr29 Mar25 Mar06 Feb25 Feb11 (gonzalez jai)JORDAN R 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.