Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - January 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(7/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2)-(7/6/1/3)-(2/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (7/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/1/3)-(2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1/3)-(2/3/7)-(3/5/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7/6)-(2/3/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(3/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7)-(3/5/2/7)-(5/1/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/2/7)-(5/1/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/7)-(5/1/3/8)-(4/12/5/11) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-5   WIN (5/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/8)-(5/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/8)-(5/1/3/8)-(5/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/8)-(4/12/5/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/8)-(4/12/5/11)-(7/5/3/2/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/12/5/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/12/5/11)-(4/12/6/5/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/12/5/11)-(4/12/6/5/11)-(4/12/6/5/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/12/5/11)-(7/5/3/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/12/5/11)-(7/5/3/2/9)-(5/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/5/3/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/2/9)-(7/5/3/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/2/9)-(7/5/3/2/9)-(7/5/3/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/3/2/9)-(5/7/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/2/9)-(5/7/6)-(6/2/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(6/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-9   WIN (6/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE MAN CAN Oct11 Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul18 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 20.00    
2  KID RUSSELL Dec19 Oct19 Oct08 Nov28 Oct10 (flores c)MARTINEZ A 126 6.00 23% 3.30    
3  BEAT THE DEALER Nov19 Oct19 Sep19 Aug26 Jul18 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 126 3.50    
4  HONOR THE D Nov19 Sep21 Aug30 Aug01 Jul04 (bates l)BRACHO A 126 3.00    
5  DOUGS MORNING PICK Dec19 Dec05 Nov19 Aug12 Jun26 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 126 4.00 26% 2.90    
6  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Nov19 Oct29 Oct08 Sep26 Sep17 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 126 15.00    
7  PLAY BALL Dec19 Nov19 Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 126 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
MVR-2   01/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEEDY MOBILE Oct08 Aug13 Jul25 Jan23 Nov07 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  HOTROD BOBBY Jan08 Dec18 Dec05 Nov21 Oct29 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
3  GAPPER Jan08 Dec04 Nov14 Oct02 Sep07 (galloway khadee)LEON A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CONDEMNATION Jan13 Dec17 Nov14 Oct29 Oct07 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 3.00    
5  KEEPING SCORE Sep10 Aug20 Jan01 Nov28 Nov06 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
6  EAGLE NEST Dec05 Oct08 Sep18 Aug27 Jul10 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
7  REINVESTEDINTEREST Dec30 Dec05 Nov19 Oct26 Oct11 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
8  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME Jan13 Dec04 May29 May08 Apr23 (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-3   01/23/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETTER HALF Nov19 Nov04 Oct09 Sep11 Aug22 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 3.00    
2  LADY JASPER Jan07 Dec04 Oct26 Sep11 Aug21 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
3  BOOGIE BOOGEE Dec28 Dec04 Nov21 Oct26 Sep19 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
4  KERRI'S MIRACLE Jan13 Dec28 Nov18 Sep30 Sep11 (vazquez iv)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
5  HIGH FIRE Jan13 Nov04 Sep09 Jul17 Jun27 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
6  KETTLE KISS Jan07 Dec19 Nov14 Nov04 Sep20 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 ★    
7  CROSSED UP Jan13 Dec11 Nov04 Oct26 Sep19 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 15% 5.80    
8  SORORITY SISTER Dec16 Apr02 Mar13 Dec30 Nov30 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
 
MVR-4   01/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOYAH Dec27 Oct06 Sep08 Jul07 Jun10 (urieta johanna)PAUCAR E 124 3.50    
2  IMPOSTER SYNDROME Dec19 Nov26 Nov07 Oct14 Sep26 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 124 20.00 11% 8.50    
3  MANSION PARTY Dec27 Dec10 Nov26 Nov07 Oct23 (short thomas)STOKES J 124 1.60 45% 1.20    
SCR  THIRTYEIGHT WISHES Jan02 Nov11 Oct07 Sep16 Mar08 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 8.00    
5  SECRET RENDEZVOUS Jul29 Jul18 May27 May14 Aug30 (lauer micha)NUNEZ Y 124 5.00 20% 4.00    
6  DOMI Jan07 Dec27 Dec10 Nov20 Jun27 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 20.00    
7  FREE FROM GUILT Jul20 Jun29 May29 May02 Jul23 (inman )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  BET THE PALACE Oct15 Sep17 Sep03 Aug12 Jul31 (faulkner r)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
9  BAMBY BOOM Nov06 Oct02 Sep12 Aug15 Aug02 (short trav)WEATHERLY BAILEY 116 4.00    
 
MVR-5   01/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONE IN A FLASH Dec05 Sep26 Sep10 Aug12 Jul30 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 6.00 8% 12.00    
2  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Jan13 Dec11 Nov25 Nov13 Nov05 (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00    
3  VISUAL MISSION Dec16 Nov11 Nov02 Oct03 Sep10 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  DR. ZARNETT Oct26 Oct11 Oct03 Sep18 Aug30 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 124 3.50    
5  UPTOWN Dec05 Nov04 Jul09 Jun07 May14 (rone penny)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 67% 0.50    
6  RUMBLE STRIP RON Dec11 Nov04 Jul04 Jun12 Apr11 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
7  ROMANTIC COWBOY Dec05 Oct03 Sep12 Aug20 Jul09 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00    
8  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Dec16 Nov11 Oct30 Oct02 Sep10 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   01/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOORHEES Jan07 Nov21 Nov02 Oct09 Sep18 (galloway k)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 30.00    
2  DESTINO Jan07 Nov26 Nov07 Oct20 Sep18 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 30.00    
SCR  STAVROS Dec10 Nov25 Nov11 Oct28 Jul17 (clouston ed)NUNEZ Y 124 4.50    
4  PANTHERA'S FATE Jan07 Dec11 Nov25 Oct23 Oct07 (rone penny)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 41% 1.50    
5  THENAME OF THEGAME Dec01 Nov20 Nov11 Oct22 Oct13 (lopez-)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  POKER PARTNER Dec28 Nov25 Nov07 Oct15 Sep05 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 3.50 ★    
7  SALTA Nov21 Oct28 Oct07 Sep16 Mar25 (radosevich justin)STOKES J 124 5.00    
8  LUCKY NINETEEN Dec04 Oct27 Oct06 Sep05 Aug19 (loudin-smith)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
9  CAVENDISH Jan09 Dec19 Nov29 Nov22 Nov10 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 124 8.00    
10  BAILAMOS Jan07 Nov27 Oct02 Sep13 Apr27 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00    
11  SMALL SAILOR Jan07 Dec09 Nov21 Oct23 Oct10 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  SIR Nov02 Oct07 Sep24 Sep05 Aug26 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 33% 2.00    
 
MVR-7   01/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD MARIAH Jan06 Dec09 Nov20 Oct23 Sep18 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
2  IAMGOINGTOMAKEIT Jan08 Dec09 Nov21 Sep27 Sep13 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MOST ADORABLE Jan13 Dec09 Nov20 Oct19 Sep30 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  WELLOILEDCAT Jan08 Dec23 Jun10 May29 May20 (casalinova tina)VEGA L 124 20.00    
5  COUNTRY STYLE Jan08 Dec17 Jun18 Jun03 Apr08 (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 126 2.00 18% 4.50    
6  PENNY'S TREASURE Jan08 Dec09 Nov20 Oct19 Sep12 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
7  SHE'S A SOLDIER Jan08 Oct08 Sep02 Aug10 Jul22 (galloway khadeem)STOKES J 124 1.60 53% 0.90    
8  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Dec09 Nov05 Oct19 May29 May18 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
9  WINDY VALLEY Jan08 Dec27 Dec09 Nov05 Oct03 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   01/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRINCE ABU DHABI Dec20 Oct13 Aug11 Jul07 Jun01 (morey will)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 3.50    
SCR  SPENCER'S BOY LUNA Nov18 Oct20 Jul05 Apr12 Mar02 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00    
SCR  MOWINS Dec27 Nov24 Oct02 Sep06 Aug27 (lauer michael)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
4  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Jan13 Dec18 Nov25 Nov05 Oct26 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 20.00    
5  JOHN'S ROCK Nov18 Oct28 Sep30 Aug24 Aug01 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
6  HITSVILLE Dec03 Nov19 Oct30 Oct03 Sep09 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 12% 7.40    
7  MOREAU Nov19 Nov05 Sep26 Sep09 Aug19 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
8  SILENCE Dec03 Oct26 Sep10 Aug10 Jul17 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 124 12.00    
 
MVR-9   01/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOAK AND DAGGER Dec12 Nov07 Sep16 Aug01 Jul16 (skerrett jeffrey)STOKES J 124 4.50    
2  ANDY CANT Jan06 Dec09 Nov04 Oct20 Aug16 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 124 1.60 31% 2.20    
3  SECRET TROUBLE Jan06 Nov22 Oct23 Sep30 Sep20 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 116 15.00    
4  DARK BARON Jan06 Jun13 Apr29 Mar20 Mar05 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00    
5  VERBIER (IRE) Jan06 Dec12 Nov07 Oct19 Sep26 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 6.00 11% 8.40    
6  GUT INSTINCT Jan06 Dec03 Nov07 Sep30 Sep09 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 124 2.00 32% 2.20    
7  BEYOND TALENTED Dec09 Nov25 Oct29 Sep30 Aug12 (inman robert )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.