Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - January 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-2   WIN (4/8/2/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $18.60 $8.60 86%
MVR-3   WIN (5/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $11.40 $3.40 43%
    EXA (5/7/6/1)-(5/7/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-5 $38.20 $14.20 59%
    TRI (5/7/6/1)-(5/7/6/1)-(5/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-5-7 $31.40 $19.40 162%
    DD (4/8/2/1/7)-(5/7/6/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00  7-6 $145.20 $105.20 263%
MVR-4   WIN (7/3/8/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $10.80 $0.80 8%
    EXA (7/3/8/6/4)-(7/3/8/6/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00  8-3 $41.80 $1.80 5%
    TRI (7/3/8/6/4)-(7/3/8/6/4)-(7/3/8/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8-3-7 $45.75 $15.75 53%
    DD (5/7/6/1)-(7/3/8/6/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00  6-8 $87.60 $47.60 119%
    PK3 (4/8/2/1/7)-(5/7/6/1)-(7/3/8/6/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00  7-6-8 $336.00 $286.00 572%
MVR-7   WIN (3/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00  10 $11.00 $5.00 83%
    EXA (3/8/10)-(3/5/8/10) 9 $2.00 $18.00  10-5 $49.80 $31.80 177%
    TRI (3/8/10)-(3/5/8/10)-(3/5/8/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00  10-5-8 $64.40 $55.40 616%
MVR-8   WIN (2/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $14.60 $6.60 83%
    EXA (2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-7 $288.80 $264.80 1103%
    TRI (2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-7-2 $239.70 $227.70 1898%
    DD (3/8/10)-(2/1/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  10-3 $103.20 $79.20 330%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  THINK BLUE 6 1 12 12   11½ 1½ (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 124 4.00 3.00  
1  MAGGIE 1 4 43 32   21½ 2½ (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 12% 7.30 0.70 P
3  BIG GINGER 3 5 54 22   33½ 34 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 8.40  
4  GENERAL GINNY 4 6 65½ 43½   45 44¾ (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 10.00 5% 19.00 42.20  
5  FULL TIME STRUTIN 5 2 32½ 54   57 58¾ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 9.20  
2  IN TO THE NIGHT 2 7 713½ 712½   717 617¼ (meeks karl)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 15.00 8% 11.10 29.30  
7  TEAM HOT LINE 7 3 22 65½   613 717¼ (meeks karl)STOKES J 124 4.50 53% 0.90 6.10  
SCR  THIS ONE CAN RUN               (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50    
 
MVR-2   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CLIFTONS BALLERINA 7 4 3½ 12   15 1½ (crumley jev)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 8.30 W
6  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW 6 8 44 43½   35 2½ (urieta johan)AYALA J 126 4.00 4.30  
8  DANCE DRAMA 8 2 2½ 32   25 35¾ (flores christi)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 23% 3.40 4.30 S
9  I GOT HOPE 9 6 89½ 610   59 46 (romero a)RODRIGUEZ V 126 20.00 87.50  
4  TALE OF THE LYON 4 1 1½ 22   47 59¼ (poole m)GONZALEZ A 126 1.20 51% 1.00 1.00  
2  WOLFIE'S PRINCESS 2 9 912 813¼   814 610 (cline robert)BERRIOS HECTOR 126 8.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
5  STATE OF GRACE 5 3 66½ 59½   712½ 711¾ (norris ste)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 5.00 17.00  
3  MOST ADORABLE 3 7 78 713   612 811¾ (yoder susan)NUNEZ Y 126 20.00 34.00  
1  DOUBLE EDGED 1 5 54½ 915¼   929 943¾ (castil)RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
 
MVR-3   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:232 :47 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GO GIRL 5 1 1½ 31   2nk 11¼ (yoder susan)NUNEZ Y 124 8.00 5% 17.50 4.70 W
5  CROSSED UP 4 4 32 2½   31½ 21¼ (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 124 1.80 40% 1.50 2.60 P
7  SUSHI Q 6 2 2½ 1½   1nk 31¼ (morales s)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.00 28% 2.60 2.20 S
8  KERRI'S MIRACLE 7 3 53 43½   47½ 410 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00 11.10  
4  HIGH FIRE 3 5 78 714½   511½ 512¾ (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 28.00  
3  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 2 6 66 612½   613½ 620 (huffman cand)AYALA J 124 10.00 36.90  
2  PRETTY PATTY 1 7 43 59½   714 723 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 2.00  
SCR  DELIGHTFUL CAT               (jarvis kathy)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:222 :46 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BUCKET LIST 7 3 22½ 21½   14 17¾ (gorham m)PEREZ E 124 4.50 5% 19.00 4.40 W
3  RUN FOR REAGAN 2 6 45½ 46   37½ 27¾ (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 21% 3.80 2.00 P
7  MARKHAMIAN 6 2 12½ 11½   24 38 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.00 49% 1.00 2.90 S
10  AURA OF GOLD 9 5 34½ 35½   49½ 49¼ (madrigal)FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00 5.10  
5  MSHINDI 4 7 57 59   510 59¾ (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 126 6.00 10.50  
6  WILD TIME 5 1 710 712   611 611¼ (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
9  MOON OVER DUBAI 8 4 68½ 610   711½ 712 (poole jami)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 15.00 28.40  
4  EUPHORIA STAR 3 9 913 918   913½ 813¾ (schuster robin)DIAZ I 124 20.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
2  ROYALLY FLUSHED 1 8 810 815   813½ 915 (short travis)AYALA J 124 12.00 22.00  
SCR  CHAMPAGNE MIKE               (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
 
MVR-5   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:001     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  HARTSTEIN 9 1 11½ 11   13½ 11 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 124 4.00 4.80  
5  ROLLIN MY WAY 5 2 54¾ 54½   44 21 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.50 ★ 4.10 P
8  WHISKEY HELPS 8 7 78¼ 67½   55½ 32 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 60.60  
1  ONE STEP ASIDE 1 9 912¼ 79½   66 45 (dacosta )FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00 20.00  
4  SHOWTIME BOY 4 8 41¾ 21   23½ 56¾ (galloway khadeem)STOKES J 124 8.00 7% 12.60 9.30  
3  CAVALETTO 3 4 21½ 32½   33½ 67¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 65% 0.50 0.50  
6  LOTSA MATCHA 6 3 31½ 42½   77 78 (gonzalez ricard)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00 24.70  
7  LONE BOY 7 6 810¼ 915   810 89¾ (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 76.60  
2  AFLEET O ME 2 5 67¼ 811   912 916 (flores christi)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 5% 19.00 63.60  
 
MVR-6   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:224 :453 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HENRY MAC 4 1 41½ 23½   1nk 12½ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 6.00 1.50  
2  DOUGIE D ORO 2 5 31 13½   2nk 22½ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 54% 0.80 1.60 P
6  NEED TO KNOW BASIS 5 3 55½ 59½   45 37¼ (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 123 10.00 12.70  
3  IT'S OFFICIAL 3 2 2nk 34½   31 47¼ (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 123 3.00 9% 9.90 4.20  
1  LIBERATE 1 4 1nk 49½   513 526¾ (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 8.00 9% 9.90 4.70  
SCR  BACK TO OHIO               (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.60    
 
MVR-7   01/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:252 :49 1:144 1:274   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FIRST CITIZEN 8 2 21 4¾ 1nk 1nk 12¼ (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 126 8.00 5% 19.00 4.50 W
5  SIGHT UNSEEN 4 5 52½ 51¼ 2nk 2nk 22¼ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 ★ 2.60 P
8  KHOZANDO 6 3 64½ 64¾ 44½ 34 35¼ (fletcher jeff)TAPARA LUIS 126 10.00 5% 19.00 4.30 S
9  POLITICAL 7 8 76½ 74¾ 65½ 56½ 47¾ (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 126 15.00 15.90  
1  MONSTER HUNTER 1 7 87 85 77 68½ 57¾ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 126 3.00 4.50  
7  LAUDA SPEED 5 1 11 1nk 32½ 44½ 68½ (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 20.00 11.40  
2  GOLD BUCKLE 2 6 42 2nk 89 811 714¾ (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 12.00 13.10  
3  UBIQUITOUS 3 4 31 3.2 55 710 817 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 126 4.00 76% 0.30 4.20  
SCR  DEEP FAITH               (morale)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00    
SCR  JARLIAN               (vlaun manuel)BERRIOS HECTOR 126 20.00    
 
MVR-8   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CORNER OFFICE 3 8 86¼ 51½   43¼ 1½ (ibarra marco)HALDAR J 124 4.50 17% 4.80 6.30 W
7  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN 6 5 73¼ 3½   33 2½ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 10.00 5% 19.00 30.60 P
2  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH 2 7 62¾ 2nk   23 32¾ (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 36% 1.80 5.00 S
6  CONDEMNATION 5 3 1½ 1nk   13 43 (morales m)REYES FRANK 126 6.00 15.70  
8  PALACE TEMPTATION 7 4 51¾ 74½   64¾ 54¾ (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 12.00 42.60  
5  QUIET AMIGO 4 2 31½ 62½   54¾ 66¼ (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 13.40  
1  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 1 6 41½ 87½   79¾ 710¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 1.60 18% 4.50 0.50  
9  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME 8 1 2½ 41   812¾ 817½ (tumblin andrew)STOKES J 124 20.00 10.90  
SCR  RUMBLE STRIP RON               (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
 
MVR-9   01/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
See original race card.
:242 :472 1:124 1:261   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OILER 2 2 39½ 310 34½ 31½ 11 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 12.00 8.70  
8  SOUPER FORTUNE 3 3 21½ 24 12 1nk 21 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 66% 0.50 1.50 P
9  SMASH 4 1 11½ 14 22 2nk 32¼ (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 4.00 11% 7.90 1.20 S
2  MILLARD'S SMILE 1 4 414½ 416 412½ 47½ 45¼ (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 124 5.00 2.50  
SCR  REINVEST               (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
SCR  PEPPER PIKE               (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 4.50    
SCR  ONLY GET'N BETTER               (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
SCR  ROGUE ELEMENT               (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
SCR  KADESH               (sweeting craig)PEREZ E 124 8.00    
 
MVR-10   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:224 :47 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BRIGHT CHARGER 5 3 32 11   16 116½ (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.50 11% 8.50 1.40 W
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of A PLUS by SMARTY JONES)
1  MR. FREDERICKSON 1 6 67¼ 68½   57¾ 216½ (acevedo israe)CEDILLO MAURO 122 6.00 2.30  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SENTIENT by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
8  NERO RAY 6 7 46 45   46¼ 316½ (acevedo israe)BRACHO A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 7.70 S
  (by COLLECTED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  FAST LUCK 3 5 57 711½   711¼ 419¼ (short thomas)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00 5% 19.00 32.30  
  (by CONNECT out of FAIRWAY LUCK by UNION RAGS)
5  SAVE FERRIS 4 1 78¾ 57   69¼ 519¾ (zielinski ri)AYALA J 122 20.00 41.40  
  (by MO TOWN out of SANDRA'S DAY by MR. GREELEY)
2  HEAVYLIKEACHEVY 2 4 1nk 32½   26 621¾ (robillard julie)STOKES J 122 3.00 66% 0.50 4.80  
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of BEAR'S PEARL by SEEKING THE DIA)
9  RUFUS 7 2 2nk 21   36 722¼ (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 4.50  
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of KEY VISTA by REDATTORE (BRZ))
SCR  FAST TALKIN MAN               (sullivan e)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of FANCY DIAMOND by EASTERN ECHO)
SCR  HIGHTEMP               (urieta johanna)STOKES J 122 15.00    
  (by UNUSUAL HEATWAVE out of I KNOT by OFFLEE WILD)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.