Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Thursday - January 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-3   EXA (5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-6 $47.80 $23.80 99%
    TRI (5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-6-1 $58.00 $46.00 383%
MVR-6   EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-2 $16.80 $4.80 40%
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-2-6 $8.85 $5.85 195%
MVR-7   WIN (3/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $21.40 $13.40 168%
    EXA (3/1/8/4)-(3/1/8/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-1 $49.60 $25.60 107%
    TRI (3/1/8/4)-(3/1/8/4)-(3/1/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-1-3 $62.40 $50.40 420%
    DD (1/2/6)-(3/1/8/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-8 $29.60 $5.60 23%
MVR-10   WIN (3/8/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $11.80 $3.80 48%
    EXA (3/8/1/9)-(3/8/1/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-9 $41.40 $17.40 73%
    TRI (3/8/1/9)-(3/8/1/9)-(3/8/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-9-1 $28.50 $16.50 138%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   01/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
See original race card.
:232 :474       1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOR CRAFTY 6 3 3.2 2nk   2nk 1 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 0.80 37% 1.70 1.00 W
MY BABY BULLET 3 1 1nk 3.2   31 2 (langley j)POTTINGER MICHAEL 118 8.00 8% 12.10 9.20 P
DR. JOBO'S DAY 4 7 2nk 1nk   1nk 3 (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 126 6.00 1.60  
MOONSHINE JOE 7 2 5 4   45 44 ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 15.00 16.30  
FORMYBOYS 2 4 6 6   68 5 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 126 2.50 28% 2.60 8.10  
WHO CAN'T WAIT 1 5 4 5   57 6 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 126 20.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
DUDE THE LEGEND 5 6 7 7   7 710 (urieta johanna)STOKES J 126 20.00 73.70  
 
MVR-2   01/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
See original race card.
:254 :50 1:151 1:282   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SACRED CONNECTION 4 3 63 31 2½ 12 1 (smith larry)HOUGHTON D 124 1.80 29% 2.50 2.80 W
MARY KATHERINE 1 5 5 4 4 3 2 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 5.00 9% 10.60 1.70 P
MANGORITA 6 6 32 53 5 5 39 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 46.70  
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 7 4 2 21 3 4 4 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 2.50 42% 1.40 4.00  
TORREY STREET 5 1 1 11 1½ 22 510½ (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 126 3.00 2.30  
NELL'S BELLS 3 7 7 77 711 710 614 (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 36.10  
LADY GIULIANA 2 2 4 6 6 69 716½ (skerre)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 18.20  
 
MVR-3   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:004     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWAYBACK MOBIL 5 3 4 21   1 1½ (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 41% 1.40 1.10 W
DRILL CITY 6 1 68 7   2 2½ (meyers shane)BRACHO A 116 4.50 31% 2.20 5.20 P
STRIKE PLATE 1 7 3 11   33 3 (langley j)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.00 S
GUESS AGAIN 4 5 5 5   4 4 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 2.00 2.70  
EARL'S STORMY WIND 7 2 7 6   65 5 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 37.80  
WAR ON THE RIVER 3 4 2 3   55 612 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 13.80  
JAC'S EMPIRE 2 6 1 4   79 720 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 116 6.00 6.00  
 
MVR-4   01/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:23 :462       1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED HURRICANE 8 1 1nk 13   1 110 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 75% 0.30 0.70 W
THE DRAKE 4 3 86 8   8 210 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 124 20.00 48.60  
THE COACHMAN 3 4 2nk 23   2 310¾ (urieta)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.00 6.40 S
BREEZY MONEY 1 6 3.2 5   5 411¾ (shanyfelt v)NUNEZ Y 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
BOURBON AND ICE 6 5 4¼ 4   3 512 (higham nicole)DIAZ I 126 2.50 2.50  
FISHING FOR FUN 5 8 63 6   7 612½ (ibarra marco)HALDAR J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 45.60  
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ 7 2 5½ 33   4 712¾ (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 36.90  
ONE MORE RING 2 7 75 7   66 813½ (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 27.80  
SCR  LARZ               (o'callahan carl)PEREZ E 124 20.00    
 
MVR-5   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:003     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOTHAM GRAY 4 4 11 1½   1 11 (ccamaque)FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00 4.40  
QUICK RECOVERY 9 3 21 2½   2 21 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 126 3.00 76% 0.30 1.30 P
10  QUEEN LEXI 10 2 8 76   6 3 (short thomas)STOKES J 124 20.00 9.30  
SHES HOT TO TROT 1 5 9 65   4 42 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 46.40  
BYTHENUMBERS 5 7 7 54   3 5 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 4.50 8.60  
ALTER THE STARS 3 9 6 4   5 6 (tumblin andre)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 6.00  
DIXIE RAG 2 10 10 10   10 710¼ (meeks karl)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 20.00 ######  
MS GLORIA JEAN 7 1 4 9   8 811½ (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 124 12.00 47.40  
ANNA AFTER MIDNITE 8 8 3 32   7 913 (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
LIVING IN STYLE 6 6 5 86   9 1014½ (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 6.10  
 
MVR-6   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:01     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOZY K 1 5 3 31   1 1 (smith larry)DIAZ I 116 1.60 42% 1.40 0.40 W
DRILL'S BOY 2 4 5 5   3 2 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 116 3.00 18% 4.60 4.30 P
FORT GRANDE 4 3 4 42   4 3 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 15% 5.90 3.70 S
CARSON N SPENCE 5 1 1 11   2 410¾ (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 11.70  
SEEKING FREEDOM 3 2 2 21   53 513 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 20.00 28.10  
SCR  JOHN FITZGERALD               (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.00    
SCR  MOMENT IN THE DARK               (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 20.00    
 
MVR-7   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:233 :471 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLECTORATE 8 2 1½ 1   1 1 (urieta johanna)PAUCAR E 126 6.00 5% 19.00 9.70 W
DOCTOR WU 1 3 4 7   62 2 (zielinski richard)STOKES J 126 2.00 32% 2.10 1.00 P
GEAUX YOSHKA 3 8 6 4   3 3 (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.60 40% 1.50 4.90 S
BLESS THE KITTEN 6 1 5 6   4 4 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 126 20.00 29.20  
CUGINE 7 4 3½ 2   5 5 (casalinova tin)DIAZ I 126 5.00 12.90  
CREDIT RIVER 2 6 2½ 3   2 6 (castro raq)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 15.00 3.70  
NAPA DUDE 5 7 8 5   73 7 (casalinova tina)VEGA L 126 20.00 73.90  
C J ALL THE WAY 4 5 7 8   8 8 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
 
MVR-8   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENIE ROSE 6 4 7 4   4 1¼ (cline c)PEREZ E 124 20.00 13.40  
CAUSE OF LOVE 2 5 6 5   5 2¼ (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 6.00 5.80  
ASHLEE'S RING 4 2 4 3   2nk 3½ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 32% 2.10 2.60 S
LITTLE JOSIE WALES 1 7 2nk 2½   3.2 4¾ (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.00 24% 3.20 2.20  
REMEMBER ME 7 1 1nk 1½   1nk 5 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 8.00 14% 6.00 5.70  
MISS SHADY 3 6 5 7   7 6 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 124 10.00 3.90  
GRACE AND GLORY 5 3 31 6   6 7 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 124 12.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
SCR  LADY SERENITY               (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
 
MVR-9   01/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:13 1:261   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OMAR COMIN 1 7 32 4 4¾ 1nk 1 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 124 1.60 1.90  
SAMMY AND SHORTY 7 3 4 3 1nk 2nk 2 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 15.00 8% 11.10 19.80 P
COUNTEVERYBLESSING 5 2 8 8 6 5 3 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00 24.80 DQ↓8
CASUAL ATTIRE 6 4 7 6 7 6 4 (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 124 2.50 33% 2.10 2.10 S
TIER ONE 2 6 6 77 8 73 5 (fletcher jeff)TAPARA LUIS 124 4.00 13% 6.50 4.60  
CAVENDISH 4 5 1nk 11 3.2 4 66 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 10.00  
MAGICAL MONARCH 8 8 5 5 2nk 31 7 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 15.00 10.20  
CONTROLLER 3 1 2nk 21 5 84 810¾ (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 6.00 24% 3.20 7.80  
 
MVR-10   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:23 :463 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAPE NOTE 7 5 53 3.2   2½ 11 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.50 16% 5.10 4.90 W
PLATINUM GHOST 8 1 2½ 1nk   1½ 21 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00 1.20 P
RECKLESS L J 1 4 3 2nk   33 35 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 14% 5.90 3.70 S
CLASS ACTOR 4 2 1½ 4¼   47 48 (castillo )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00 12.40  
EXCITEMENT 3 6 6 62   5 5 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 4.00 47% 1.10 5.10  
ELLIOT THE DRAGON 6 7 77 5   6 610 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 18.00  
LAST COOKIE 2 8 812½ 8   812½ 713½ (urieta johan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 9.90  
RED HEAD KID 5 3 4 7   711 816¾ (galloway khadeem)PEREZ E 124 20.00 41.20  
SCR  SWING STATE               ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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