Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - December 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(2/5/7)-(5/3/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(5/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7)-(5/3/7/4)-(4/5/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/4)-(5/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/4)-(5/3/7/4)-(5/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/4)-(4/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/4)-(4/5/3/7)-(4/2/8/5/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/7)-(4/2/8/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/7)-(4/2/8/5/6)-(7/9/6/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/2/8/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/5/6)-(4/2/8/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/5/6)-(4/2/8/5/6)-(4/2/8/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/8/5/6)-(7/9/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8/5/6)-(7/9/6/8)-(7/2/5/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-6   WIN (7/9/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/6/8)-(7/9/1/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/6/8)-(7/9/1/6/8)-(7/9/1/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/9/6/8)-(7/2/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/9/6/8)-(7/2/5/6)-(5/8/10/9/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/6)-(5/8/10/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/6)-(5/8/10/9/7)-(8/1/10/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/8/10/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/10/9/7)-(5/8/10/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/10/9/7)-(5/8/10/9/7)-(5/8/10/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/10/9/7)-(8/1/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/8/10/9/7)-(8/1/10/6)-(1/4/12/10/13) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-9   WIN (8/1/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/10/6)-(8/1/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/10/6)-(8/1/10/6)-(8/1/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/10/6)-(1/4/12/10/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-10   WIN (1/4/12/10/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/12/10/13)-(1/4/12/10/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/12/10/13)-(1/4/12/10/13)-(1/4/12/10/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT-11:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARK AVENUE BETTY Oct19 Aug24 Jul17 Jun06   (kimmel joh)RIVERA R 122 5.00    
1A  AUNT NONA Nov16 Jul27 Jun28     (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 5.00 ★    
2  LOOKING FOR GINNY Nov16 Aug16 Jul17 Jun28 Jun05 (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
3  SHE'S WICKED SMART Nov10 Aug02 Jun06 Aug26   (falcone robert )DAVIS KATIE 122 1.40 38% 1.60    
4  SALLY'S GOLD Nov12         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
5  PANTHEA         (duggan p)VIVES SOFIA 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
6  HOLDER CLOSE Nov16 Oct13 Sep14 Jul24 Jun22 (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SANDI'S SATIRE Nov16         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50    
 
AQU-2   12/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREGORIAN SOLO Nov22 Oct20 Sep14 Aug02 Jul07 (lugovich lisa )LUZZI J 120 20.00    
2  SHEHANAH Nov22 Sep27 Jul24 Jul05 Jun20 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  GOURMET Nov21 Oct31 Sep20 Jul28 Jul14 (synnefi)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 1.60    
4  SCARLET'S DREAM Nov22 Jul24 Jul07 May25 Apr20 (giddin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
5  GEORGEES SPIRIT Nov14 Oct12 Sep14 Aug19 Apr27 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 31% 2.20    
6  GRAMMY GIRL Aug07 Jul06 Jun08 May11 Apr20 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
7  SPENCER TIARA Oct19 Sep21 Aug24 Jul27 Jun27 (merryman elizab)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 7% 12.70    
 
AQU-3   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT-12:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRACIOLE Nov20 Nov05 Oct23 Sep23 Sep10 (giglio)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
2  POP COYER Nov05 Oct16 Sep16 Aug20 Jul22 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00    
3  GRAYWING Nov15 Oct04 Sep24 Aug21 May20 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
4  ALLURE OF MONEY Nov22 Oct24 Sep23 Jul08 May27 (baker charlto)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  ACOUSTIC AVE Nov30 Oct18 Sep01 Jun27 May23 (maker j)VIVES SOFIA 120 1.40 25% 3.00    
6  EXCELLENT TIMING Oct18 Sep21 Jun27 Jun09 May02 (fernandez jose)LUZZI J 122 3.00    
7  COURAGEOOUS OH LA Nov20 Nov11 Oct28 Oct16 Oct07 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 120 10.00 16% 5.10    
 
AQU-4   12/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER FREUD Nov03 Oct04 Sep13 Jul06 Jun14 (klesaris rober)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
2  A LISTER Nov23 Nov03 Oct18 Sep21 Aug04 (pringle edmun)OLVER MADISON 120 30.00    
3  COLLECTED SPECIAL Nov08 Jun22 May12 Apr26 Mar21 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 6% 15.40    
4  REFUAH Dec01 Nov15 Nov03 Oct13 Jul18 (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80 45% 1.20    
5  HE'S GOT IT Dec01 Nov08 Oct13 Sep15 Aug15 (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.60 23% 3.40    
6  DOLLY'S BANK Dec01 Oct18 Sep21 Aug29 Jul28 (henry)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 15.00    
7  ALPHA SONNY Nov29 Nov11 Oct28 Oct15 Sep23 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-5   12/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROOKLYN DANTZ Nov14 Oct17 Oct06 Aug07 Jul18 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 15.00    
2  ELLIPTIC (IRE) Nov14 Oct06 Sep19 Aug23 Aug03 (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.80 12% 7.60    
3  CHASING DAYLIGHT Oct24 Sep27 Aug25 Aug13 Jul24 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00    
4  EMPIRE MAGIC Oct25 Aug24 Jul07 May24   (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 44% 1.30    
5  RED BURGUNDY Nov17 Oct20 Sep22 Aug14 Oct27 (de hor)RIVERA R 118 5.00 8% 11.80    
6  CAROL T Nov22 Nov01 Sep19 Aug02 Jul07 (jimenez l)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  AMY'S LIGHT Nov17 Nov01 Oct17 Sep20 Jul17 (pringle edmund)OTERO AAROM 111 12.00    
8  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Oct21 Sep09 Aug05 Jul17 Jul02 (ferraro anth)LUZZI J 123 8.00 10% 9.20    
9  BARONESS BOURBON Nov29 Oct18 Sep17 Sep02 Aug03 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 20.00    
 
AQU-6   12/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ROOFER Nov23         (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 ★    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of MEMORIES OF MOM by INCLUDE)
SCR  MAGNI Nov17 Oct18 Sep22     (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 119 3.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of CARAMEAWAY by LAWYER RON)
2  FIREBALLIN         (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of BARBIE ON A BUDGET by MINESHAFT)
3  BANK EMPIRE         (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ASHLEE'S EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  FRAME UP Nov23 Oct31       (martin jane)LUZZI J 119 50.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of LADYBERG by TEUFLESBERG)
5  KLIMT MASTER Nov23         (jones eduard)HARKIE K 119 50.00    
  (by KLIMT out of NIGHTENGALE MISS by HIGH COTTON)
6  ASSET MANAGEMENT Nov17 Nov02       (baker charlto)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of INDEMAND by SAARLAND)
7  VOLATILE SITUATION Nov23 Oct26       (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.00 53% 0.90    
  (by VOLATILE out of SUPPLEMENT by SKY MESA)
8  REVIVALISM Nov15 Sep21 Aug01     (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SOUTHERN STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
9  DEAR CHAIRMAN Nov25         (guerrero ca)RIVERA D 119 8.00 18% 4.40    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of AUNT CHIPPY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
AQU-7   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIMME GIMME Nov02 Oct05 Sep14     (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
2  WESTERN WOLF Nov22 Oct24 Sep28     (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 12% 7.70    
3  IN THE CHASE Nov16 Oct21 Oct04 Aug25 Jul25 (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 120 3.50    
4  SCHEDULING DUDE Oct27 Sep14 Aug21     (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
5  FRIEND OFTHE DEVIL Oct31 Sep02 Aug03     (martin )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 5.00 10% 8.80    
6  SARATOGA WARRIOR Oct05 Jul19       (gargan dan)RIVERA R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SIR KARTRITE Nov23 Oct26       (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.00 55% 0.80    
 
AQU-8   12/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMANDPERFORMANCE Nov26 Nov16 Nov02 Oct13 Sep13 (barrera oscar)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00    
2  BLAKE B. Nov16 Oct19 Sep23 Jun21 May26 (gia)VAZQUEZ GIAN 113 6.00    
3  PRINCE OF JOY Dec06 Nov14 Oct11 Sep29 Sep14 (legall r)DAVIS A 121 30.00    
4  RETAIL MAN Nov19 Oct30 Oct01 Sep18 Aug28 (johnston rob)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
5  BEACHWALKER Dec08 Nov24 Oct17 Sep14 Jul25 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 3.50 29% 2.50    
6  WILD BANKER Dec08 Oct19 Sep28 Aug30 Aug15 (metivier richa)BROWN DALTON 121 10.00    
7  BAR FOURTEEN Oct19 Oct10 Sep15 Aug01 Jul21 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  MYSTIC NIGHT Nov23 Nov08 Oct18 Sep13 Aug01 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 123 5.00 22% 3.50    
9  FIERY HEART Nov23 Nov01 Sep21 Jul08 Jun11 (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 10% 9.30    
10  MR. SWAGGER Nov23 Nov02 Oct03 Sep20 Aug09 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00 14% 6.30    
11  OPTIC WAY Dec06 Nov16 Oct13 Sep29 Aug21 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50    
 
AQU-9   12/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAIL WITH THE WIND Mar28 Feb11 Nov19 Oct19 Oct01 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  ARIANA RYE Nov21 Oct20 Aug01 Jul19 Apr06 (falcone robert )VIVES SOFIA 118 6.00    
3  MOONLIT WEEKEND Nov22 Oct26 Sep19 Aug07 Jun27 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
4  TOSCONOVA BEAUTY Nov08 Oct20 Sep29 Aug29 Aug18 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 121 20.00    
SCR  TROUBLED LUCK Nov25 Nov04 Jul04 May25 May16 (delauro edward)LEZCANO JOSE 120 30.00    
6  INTENTIOUS Nov18 Oct09 Sep03 Aug12 Jul23 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  LAST GLORY Nov10 Oct24 Sep27 Jul14 Jun20 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 15.00    
8  SWEET ANNIVERSARY Nov17 Oct24 Oct02 Sep16 Aug29 (ferraro m )RIVERA R 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
9  FAST AND FRISKY May25 Apr14 Mar14 Feb09 Nov02 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
10  STRESS RELIEVER Apr07 Mar07 Feb10     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 13% 6.80    
 
AQU-10   12/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEPTUNE BEACH Nov30 Oct31 Sep01 Aug18 Jun22 (rodriguez rudy )OTERO AAROM 114 10.00 49% 1.00    
1A  BIG EGO Nov22 Nov02 Sep22 Aug28 Jun09 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 ★    
SCR  STATE TREASURE E J         (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00    
SCR  LAO WAY Nov02         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
4  LU'S REDEMPTION Nov09 Oct20 Sep02 Aug18 Jul24 (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 12% 7.70    
5  SWEET TONE Nov22 Nov07 Sep27 Aug11 Jul26 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 121 20.00    
6  SENEGAL Oct31 Oct01 Sep01 Aug18 Jul18 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50    
7  MAXIMUS MONSTER Nov15 Nov02       (reynolds pa)MARTINEZ R 121 30.00    
8  LANDAUER Nov30 Oct24 Sep27 Sep01 Mar21 (sciacca)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 10.00    
9  TRIPLE WORD SCORE Nov22 Oct25 Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 (bernardini ju)SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00    
10  TIZ THE PRINCE Nov30 Nov02 Oct04 Aug18 Jul25 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 121 4.00 6% 14.50    
11  ALBEDO Oct24 Sep22 Aug18 Jul18 Nov03 (serpe ph)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 20.00    
12  BURN RUBBER Oct31 Oct04       (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 10% 8.90    
13  CATTANI Oct24 Sep27 Aug11 Oct05 Jul30 (nevin michelle)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.