Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Wednesday - August 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (4/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-2   Win (9/7/3/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-3   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (1/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (5/3/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (13/4/10/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-8   Win (9/13/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-9   Win (4/9/13/14/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   08/21/2024 7260ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FACTOR ANALYSIS Jul20 Jun22 May26 Apr14 Feb17 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
SCR  TAKE YOUR SEATS (IRE) May26 Mar10 Jan21     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50    
2  IL SICILIANO Aug04 Jun23 May18 Apr28 Apr13 (sano antonio)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
SCR  THE JACKAL Jul20 Oct28 Sep03 Aug13 Jul08 (mcgaughey cla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
4  PROTECTIVE Jul14 Jun08 May11 Apr06 Mar10 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.60 56% 0.80    
SCR  VINTAGE VINO Jul20 Jun22 May19     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
SCR  ARTEMPUS Jul20 May10 Apr06 Mar02 Jan20 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SCR  DE LA CRUZ Jul20 Jun22 Jun02 Apr13 Mar02 (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
8  ACCIDENTAL BID Jun15         (englehart jeremi)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 18% 4.60    
9  ELKO COUNTY Jul14 Jun15 Apr27 Apr13 Mar30 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50    
 
SAR-2   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWMISSIO         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JUST LICORICE         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
3  CHASING COLTON Jul19 Jun20       (david a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 17% 4.90    
4  SKYTOWN         (terranova p)DAVIS KATIE 119 10.00    
5  SCHEDULING DUDE         (dutrow rich)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 8.00    
6  BRINK Aug14 Jul25 Jun21     (davis edmu)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 11% 7.90    
7  BOLD FORTUNE         (weaver george)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
8  JOKER ON FIRE Jul19         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00    
9  SACROSANCT         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 29% 2.40    
10  TOGA LIFE         (englehart jeremi)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
 
SAR-3   08/21/2024 8580ft TURF RC11 GOOD John's Call Purse ($135K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIX MINUS Jul14 Jun06 Apr14 Mar02 Jan28 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 14% 6.40    
2  ANDTHEWINNERIS Jul20 May06 Apr07 Mar04 Jan28 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00    
SCR  FOREIGN RELATIONS Apr14 Oct14 Sep09 Jul22 Jun17 (murphy conor)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50    
4  CURBSTONE Jun23 May09 Mar30 Feb25 Jul21 (morley thomas)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
5  WINNING SPIRIT (GER) Jun15         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CATHKIN PEAK (IRE) Jun19 Apr27 Mar24 Feb24 Sep30 (maker j)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 63% 0.60    
SCR  KUCHAR Jul20 Jun08 May09 Mar30 Mar01 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 1.40    
SCR  COSTA TERRA Aug02 Jul20 Jun07 Dec10 Nov12 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
SCR  DAI VERNON Jul05 May01 Apr14 Feb17 Nov17 (mott i)RIDER TBA 120 1.80    
 
SAR-4   08/21/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIX PERCENT Aug01 Jul19 Jul06 May18 May02 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  GOOD JUJU Aug08 Jul28 Jul05 May16 Feb18 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 118 2.00    
2  OPTIC WAY Jul19 Jun28 Mar30 Mar16 Feb03 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 19% 4.30    
3  GOLDINI Jul31 Jun29 May11 Apr27 Mar24 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
4  LORD CAPTAIN Jul31 Jun21 May26 May04 Apr28 (walder peter)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 20.00    
5  ACCIDENTAL HERO Jul11 May18 Apr25 Mar30 Mar14 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 1.60 23% 3.40    
6  GUT FEELING Jul11 Jun22 May02 Apr06 Mar29 (rodriguez gusta)FRANCO MANUEL 123 15.00 6% 15.90    
7  ROMAN EMPIRE Jul23 Jun24 May08 Apr16 Mar26 (guerrero carlos)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
SCR  DADDY KNOWS Jul31 Jun21 May27 Apr26 Apr14 (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00    
SCR  CURLIN'S WISDOM Aug01 May09 Mar21 Dec29 Oct29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
 
SAR-5   08/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MANNY PENNY Jul28 Jun29 May25 Apr21 Mar16 (coffey marialice)USKE S 120 50.00    
2  WHITBY Jun28 May25 Apr05 Feb29 Jan31 (hennig m)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
3  ICE ROAD Jun28 Apr19 Apr05 Mar08 Feb03 (walder r)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 19% 4.20    
4  ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE Jul20 Jun08 May05 Mar22 Feb28 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 125 15.00    
5  MORE VINO Jun23 Mar10       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 44% 1.30    
6  BARRELL CRAFT Jul12 Mar30       (sisterson jack)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  BONNE CHANCE Jul20 Jun22 Jan05 Nov18 Oct29 (levine bru)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
8  MIDNIGHT EXPRESS Jul20 Jun29 May27 May05 Apr12 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00    
9  BEARY FUNNY Aug04 Jul14 Jun14 May18 Apr19 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 5% 17.70    
10  DUNE ROAD May09 Feb25 Jan07 Dec08   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
SCR  PAYNTER'S PRODIGY Jul25 Jan06 Nov11     (diprima gregory)HO WESLEY 118 15.00    
SCR  JUNGFRAU Jul25 Jun14 May27 Apr05 Feb29 (romero jesus)LUZZI J 123 20.00    
SCR  RANGER BLUE Jul30 Jul09 Jun11 May28 Nov07 (tasso mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
 
SAR-6   08/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRYANT AND COOPER         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00    
SCR  CARAE         (brion keri)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
SCR  SILENT SANDY         (sacco d)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
4  PLAYFUL LASS Jul31         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  GRACE AND GRIT         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00    
SCR  NATIONAL ARCHIVE         (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
7  SPEED AND BEAUTY Jul26         (giddings melanie)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
SCR  MARVELOUS MADISON         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
9  LOOKIN TO ROCK Jul25 Jul05       (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
10  HEAVENLY LIGHT Jul25         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 18% 4.50    
11  MANGETSU         (danner kelse)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  CHA CHA WREN         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50    
13  OPEN FLAME Jul26         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 2.50 25% 2.90    
 
SAR-7   08/21/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST IN ROME Aug08 Jul13 Jun23 May19 Mar29 (levine bruce)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 24% 3.20    
2  RUNNIN' RAY Jun28 May31 Jan14 Nov13 Sep01 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 47% 1.10    
3  IT'S VIPER Aug02 Jul05 Jun08 May18 Apr21 (russell brittan)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 ★    
4  O P FIRECRACKER Jun29 Jun19 May31 May01 Mar29 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
5  SUERTE Jul13 Jun08 Mar09 Jan27 Dec30 (maker micha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00    
6  ST ANDREWS Aug01 Jun28 May05 Mar17 Jan28 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 ★    
7  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Jul25 Jun30 May04 Mar30 Feb02 (kantarmaci mertka)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00    
8  COMPLETE AGENDA Aug01 Jul06 May26 May04 Mar30 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 ★    
9  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE Jul20 May26 Apr04 Mar01 Feb04 (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
 
SAR-8   08/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIMIT UP Jul08 Jun11 May27 May07 Mar17 (englehart s)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00 ★    
1A  GRAYWING May20 Apr29 Apr06 Mar22 Feb24 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  NANO MAN Jul20 Jun29 May26 Nov18 Oct04 (kimmel c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
SCR  STREET ROD Jan19 Jul14       (englehart c)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 12.00    
4  TWISTED FILIGREE Jul14 Jun16 May12     (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00    
5  LI'L LANG Jun23 May25 Apr21 Mar21 Feb23 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00    
SCR  YOUR MAN ALEX Jul14 Jun22 May26     (giddings melanie)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
SCR  HEYMACKIT'SJACK Jul13 Jun22 May26 May13 Mar17 (begg bent)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00    
SCR  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF Jul10 Jun25 Nov22 Nov06 Sep04 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 50.00    
9  BIG PRANKSTER Jun28 May25 Apr21 Dec02 Nov18 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 27% 2.80    
10  EMPIRE SKY Jul07 May19 Oct20 Aug26 Jul14 (crook-demasi kath)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
SCR  VOLKERT May09 Apr19 Mar15 Feb15 Jan18 (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 122 10.00    
SCR  SCARAMANGA (IRE) Jul28 Jun12 May29 Apr14 Feb28 (ferraro w)RIDER TBA 122 6.00    
13  ON THE HILL Jul20 Jun28 May12 Jul15 Dec11 (bond james)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00 22% 3.60    
 
SAR-9   08/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 5:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  EXTRAORDINARY ONE (GB) Aug14         (davis d)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00    
SCR  BRIGHT ANGEL (IRE) Aug18         (davis d)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  SHOOT THE WAVES Jul07         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
3  I'M SOLO N IN LOVE Jul07         (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00    
4  SWEET FANTASY Jul14 Jun22 May09     (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 30% 2.40    
5  STRENGTHNGUIDANCE Aug08 Jul12 Jun30 May31   (sano antonio)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
6  RETEKO Jul12         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
SCR  VAMONOS VAMONOS Aug01 Jun20 May10     (rodriguez r)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 8.00    
8  SALVATION         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  MYTHICAL MAN         (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
10  PACIFIC HIGHWAY Jul12         (reynolds pat)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
SCR  DIGNIFIED RESPONSE         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
SCR  AMERICA'S HONOR Jun21         (sacco grego)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 8.00    
13  KING'S LEAP Aug03 Jul12       (ferraro an)RIVERA R 119 5.00 19% 4.20    
14  TAPWRITS TEMPER Aug08 Jul12 May24     (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 5% 17.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.