Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - April 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(7/4/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(7/4/9/2)-(5/1/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-2   WIN (7/4/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/9/2)-(7/4/9/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/9/2)-(7/4/9/3/2)-(7/4/9/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    PK3 (7/4/9/2)-(5/1/2/4)-(6/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/4)-(6/5/4)-(2/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(2/8)-(5/7/12/4/8) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8)-(2/8/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8)-(2/8/3/5)-(2/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8)-(5/7/12/4/8)-(6/4/5/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/7/12/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/12/4/8)-(5/7/12/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/12/4/8)-(5/7/12/4/8)-(5/7/12/4/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (5/7/12/4/8)-(6/4/5/3)-(3/5) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/5/3)-(3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/9/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/9/4)-(3/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   04/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYPTO COPY Apr09 Mar14 Feb29 Feb15 Oct23 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 119 4.00    
SCR  SURROUNDER Apr04 Mar18 Mar11 Feb19 Jan24 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 5.00    
3  VISUAL MISSION Apr04 Mar14 Mar06 Feb14 Jan23 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 1.80    
4  VICTORY DIVISION Apr04 Mar18 Mar05 Feb14 Aug07 (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  MUTINY Apr04 Mar25 Mar11 Feb29 Feb21 (bailey rica)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00 11% 7.70    
6  OAKS HONEY Apr04 Jan08 Dec26 Dec04 Nov14 (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  MISTER MOBIL Apr11 Apr04 Mar26 Mar14 Mar06 (bailey ricardo)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   04/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD MARIAH Apr10 Apr01 Mar19 Feb27 Feb14 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
2  KISSING MEDALS Apr08 Mar04 Feb05     (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SPUNKY ONE Apr10 Mar11 Mar04 Feb21 Feb07 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50 ★    
4  BRIEF ENCOUNTER Aug12 Jul22 Jun15     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 6.00 26% 2.80    
5  HALO EFFECT Apr11 Mar27 Mar11 Feb22 Dec06 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 20.00    
6  PRIDE AND ATTITUDE Apr10 Mar25 Mar11 Feb27 Oct10 (poole m)BRACHO A 117 3.00    
7  FEELING EASY Nov30 Oct12 Aug14 Jul24 Jun24 (hamm timoth)PETERSON FERRIN 115 5.00 37% 1.70    
8  ZASHIXIARAYAN Mar25 Mar11 Feb19     (calderon ivan)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
9  DOLCE MARIE Nov21 Nov06 Oct21 Oct04   (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 4.50 16% 5.40    
 
TDN-3   04/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KADESH Mar17 Feb24 Feb01 Jan18 May23 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.00 13% 6.60    
2  MY BROTHER CAM Mar27 Feb26 Jan10 Dec18 Nov29 (ray kevin)DIAZ I 123 4.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  BROADWAY SKY Mar26 Feb22 Feb01 Dec03 Mar28 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 5.00    
4  ITASCA Dec18 Nov20 Oct31 Oct13 Sep26 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  ICE BLAST Mar27 Mar17 Feb19 Jan30 Jan10 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
6  KERANOS Apr08 Mar25 Mar06 Feb19 Feb07 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 12.00    
7  MALIBU CLASSIC Apr08 Mar19 Mar06 Feb01 Jan18 (urieta joha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 10.00    
8  CANDY CRUSHEM Feb19 Jan10 Dec26 Dec13 Nov15 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00    
 
TDN-4   04/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  Z Z BIRD Apr01         (vazquez iv)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 12.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of MISS RACHEL by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
2  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK Apr08 Mar07 Nov28 Nov13 Oct28 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  IT'S E Z Apr08 Feb05 Dec28 Jun15 Jun03 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 10.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
4  CORA CORONA         (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.50 17% 4.90    
  (by CORFU out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  BEAUTIFUL SCORE Mar19         (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by DRILL out of JENSENS SCORE by EVEN THE SCORE)
6  NATIONAL DIAMOND Oct10         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 27% 2.80    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of THREE DIAMONDS by WILBURN)
SCR  SOMETHING LUCKY Apr08 Mar19 Feb27 Dec28 Nov28 (doering mar)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  ANGIE'S DEAR ONE Apr08 Mar20 Sep04     (lopez jaci)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 8.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  LIGHTENING LOTTIE Apr08 Mar19 Feb27 Feb19 Feb05 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80    
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
 
TDN-5   04/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACHO GIRL Mar13 Feb23 Jan24 Jan07 Dec23 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 6.00    
2  BETTY'S SONG Dec03 Sep24 Aug05     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 2.50 71% 0.40    
3  SOCIALBUTTERFLYTAM Dec29 Oct21       (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 115 8.00 ★    
4  MISS EASY Mar02 Feb17 Jan24 Dec29 Dec16 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
5  FOUR BLESSINGS Mar20 Mar05 Feb21     (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 8.00 ★    
6  VIMISOFA Jan31 Jan01 Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
SCR  DELOVELY Apr08 Mar20 Mar05 Feb21 Jan17 (trevino ste)PETERSON FERRIN 121 3.50    
8  MY SUZIE Q Mar20 Mar07       (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   04/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUMPKIN Mar25         (langley jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 4.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BUMP BUMP by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
2  OLLIE'S FOLLY Mar25 Feb15 Feb01 Jan02 Dec18 (rone mik)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00    
  (by DRILL out of SWEET JODY by VALUE PLUS)
3  WHY KENNY WHY Feb07 Jan23 Jan08 Dec21 Dec12 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 20.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
4  SOULLESS         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 6.00 5% 17.70    
  (by ANIMO DE VALEROSO out of MISS KIM by NOTIONAL)
5  BRIGHTER DAY         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 33% 2.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of LILLARD HALL by TIZNOW)
6  LUCKY VICTOR Dec18 Nov30 Nov15 Oct28   (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of JADE by GILDED TIME)
7  GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN         (waltz brian)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of NEVERGONNAHAPPEN by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
8  COLORFUL LAD Jun06         (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 123 12.00 5% 17.70    
  (by SENOR AMIGO out of REAL DISTINCTIVE by WITH DISTINCTION)
9  DRILIN' FOR GEMS Mar25 Feb29       (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
  (by DRILL out of JILL'S GEM by MINESHAFT)
10  MY HOMBRE Apr08 Mar25 Mar17 Mar07 Feb07 (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 20.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of ORIENTAL BELLA by CAPE TOWN)
11  ROLL ON MAX Mar25         (rone penny)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of NO TRUER by ALCINDOR)
12  D J'S FIRST STEP         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 11% 8.20    
  (by CORFU out of LITTLE GREEN LIGHT by SMARTY JONES)
 
TDN-7   04/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DAVID'S GEM Apr08 Mar19 Feb06 Jan15 Nov29 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 123 4.50    
2  BLESS THE KITTEN Mar28 Mar07 Jan31 Dec30 Dec02 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00    
3  GOING IN STYLE Mar28 Mar19 Mar06 Feb15 Feb01 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ASKIN FOR A BASKIN Feb06 Jan08 Dec09 Nov13 Oct24 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
5  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Feb24 Jan31 Jan15 Dec20 Nov29 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 12.00 12% 7.60    
6  INSIDE STUNT Mar28 Mar17 Feb20 Feb07 Jan18 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 1.60 37% 1.70    
7  CENTSOFWANDER Apr02 Mar12 Feb15 Jan03 Dec20 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 119 10.00    
8  DISCLOSURE Apr09 Apr02 Mar12 Feb20 Feb06 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
 
TDN-8   04/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITRINA Mar26 Mar12 Feb24 Feb12 Jan03 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 2.50    
SCR  BEING CREATIVE Apr04 Feb28 Feb21 Feb14 Jan25 (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 8.00    
3  THEODOROPOULOS Mar20 Mar07 Feb12 Jan09 Dec19 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 119 3.50 68% 0.50    
4  PEARLINTHEROUGH Mar20 Feb28 Feb14 Jan31 Dec03 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 ★    
5  ROWDY DAISY Mar02 Feb04 Dec29 Dec16 Dec06 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 7% 12.90    
6  CONTESSINA Apr04 Mar07 Nov07 Sep21 Aug29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00    
7  JUMP INTO SANITY Feb21 Jan25 Jan11 Dec13 Nov07 (skerrett j)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 20.00    
SCR  FALL CAMPAIGN Mar07 Jan25 Jan11 Dec28 Dec13 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
9  BELLAVALENCIA Apr04 Mar20 Feb20 Jan25 Dec27 (flores chris)HALDAR J 119 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.