Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Monday - March 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(3/1)-(5/8/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(5/8/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(5/8/6/4)-(4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/4)-(5/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/4)-(5/8/6/4)-(5/8/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/6/4)-(4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6/4)-(4/5/1)-(3/7/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(3/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(3/7/4/6)-(3/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/6)-(3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/6)-(3/4/2)-(5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(5)-(4/5/2) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
MVR-7   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/6) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5)-(4/5/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   03/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE EARL Jan30 Jan11 Jan01 Dec07 Nov30 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50    
LAUDA SPEED Feb21 Feb05 Jan03 Dec26 Nov01 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50    
SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE Feb14 Jan11 Dec18 Dec06 Nov26 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00 5% 17.80    
HE'S A SHOOTER Feb21 Feb01 Dec27 Dec12 Nov29 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
COMPASS POINT Feb14 Jan22 Oct03 Aug10 Jul13 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 124 3.50    
LUCKY JUNIOR Feb08 Jan08 Dec26 Dec12 Nov29 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 5.00 41% 1.40    
 
MVR-2   03/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY STREAK Jan31 Jan08 Dec07 Nov06 Oct03 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 9% 10.60    
RUMBLE STRIP RON Jan31 Jan08 Nov07 Oct24 Oct09 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00    
DARK VADER Jan31 Jan08 Dec26 Dec07 Nov20 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 1.40 61% 0.70    
THE PINK Z Jan31 Dec28 Nov28 Nov06 Oct23 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50    
SCR  PRIVATE DRIVE Feb14 Jan23 Dec26 Dec14 Nov27 (londono od)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 3.50    
 
MVR-3   03/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO MORE GUNS Feb12 Jan18 Dec27 Nov29 Sep01 (cline robert )BRACHO A 126 8.00    
ELEGGUA Feb22 Feb12 Jan02 Dec15 Nov30 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 126 20.00    
FATHER OF LIES Feb12 Jan11 Dec18 Dec05 Nov06 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50    
CAMILAS WARRIOR Dec06 Nov26 Nov02 Oct20   (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
EL BANDIDO Feb20 Feb06 Dec03 Nov27 Nov09 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 126 1.20 26% 2.90    
TWICE SHY         (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 15.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  MO SNOW Feb22 Feb12 Jan11 Jun13 May25 (londono od)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 5.00    
ENJOY THE CRACKEN         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 15.00 26% 2.90    
 
MVR-4   03/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON OVER DUBAI Feb12 Feb05 Jan18 Jan02 Dec18 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
ORLEANS STORM Feb24 Jan24 Dec26 Dec07 Nov22 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 20.00    
SCR  PLAIN OR PEANUT Feb20 Feb01 Jan24 Nov18 Oct31 (zawitz joel)DIAZ I 124 1.80    
FLAWLESS CAT Sep20 Sep06 Aug21 Jul26 Jun24 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
LEFTLANEOUTLAW Jan03 Nov29 Nov09 Sep11   (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
SIR MASON Feb15 Jan24 Dec27 Dec14 Nov29 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 116 6.00    
 
MVR-5   03/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGEL'S DESTINY Feb22 Feb05 Jan11 Dec07 Nov07 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 126 3.00    
C MORE PRIDE Jan31 Jan09 Dec20 Nov13 Oct23 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 124 6.00    
ONE RICH KITTEN Feb08 Jan10 Dec20 Nov28 Nov06 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
BONNIE'S BEST Feb20 Feb05 Jan11 Dec06 Apr27 (gilmartin b)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 4.00 14% 6.00    
WAR MOON Feb20 Jan03 Dec20 Nov30 Nov08 (langley jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 20.00    
MY PINK BABY BIRD Feb20 Jan31 Dec20 Nov15 Oct24 (vickers richa)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
YOU NAME IT Feb20 Feb08 Jan09 Dec20 Nov28 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
ARTIES CRYPTONITE Feb20 Jan09 Dec20 Nov13 Oct23 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
 
MVR-6   03/04/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAD RIGHT Feb19 Feb05 Jul31 Jun27 Jun15 (huffman candace )VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00    
RESVALON Feb19 Jan18 Jan04 Dec27 Dec11 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
GRAND GIZMO Feb15 Feb05 Jan04 Dec04 Oct09 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 126 2.00 22% 3.50    
SILVER MATT Feb22 Feb08 Jan15 Jan01 Dec21 (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  KHOPILOT Feb19 Dec27 Dec14 Sep20 Aug28 (lopez carlos)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00    
BARRELHOUSE Feb22 Feb05 Jan15 Dec27 Dec09 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 124 3.00    
CAMBIASO Feb19 Feb01 Dec13 Nov16 Oct17 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 124 2.50    
 
MVR-7   03/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEWEARSMYRING Feb28 Jan08 Jan02 Dec13 Nov13 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
SCR  LADY GIULIANA Nov16 Oct31 Sep19 Aug24 Aug08 (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
SCR  ISLANDINTHESTREAM Feb15 Feb09 Jan25 Dec13 Nov04 (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 126 1.80    
SCR  TRAMA QUEEN Jan09 Dec13 Nov29 Oct05 Sep13 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
CATCHAFALLNSTAR Jan31 Dec19 Dec05 Oct31 Sep19 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
CHERU Feb06 Jan18 Dec29 Nov24 Oct01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.00    
 
MVR-8   03/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST OTBO Sales Graduate Race Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINDERHOOK Nov15 Oct28 Sep06     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 6.00    
  (by KLIMT out of RADIANT BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
MAY MAYHEM Sep22 Jul27 Jul13 Jun20   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of MENDASSITY by TOUCH GOLD)
KISSING MEDALS Feb05         (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 113 12.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of DISCREETLY KISSED by DISCREETLY MINE)
GUNNER GABRIEL Jan18 Dec19 Nov16     (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 1.80 49% 1.10    
  (by DIALED IN out of SIMONETTA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
COMPUTE THIS Jan30 Jan15 Dec14 Nov29 Oct30 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 116 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of I LIKE IT by HENNY HUGHES)
GOLD HONEY Nov14 Oct28 Aug15 Jul22 Jun24 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 4.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SPUNKY ONE Feb21 Feb07 Feb01 Dec28   (dacost)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 10.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of LIL COUNTRY GRAD by MAGNA GRADUATE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.