Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - June 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(1/6/4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(1/6/4/7)-(5/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/7)-(5/1/3)-(3/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(3/5/1)-(2/1/10/9/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(2/1/10/9/5)-(6/5/1/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/1/10/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/10/9/5)-(2/1/10/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/10/9/5)-(2/1/10/9/5)-(2/1/10/9/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (2/1/10/9/5)-(6/5/1/8)-(5/4) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/8)-(6/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/8)-(6/5/1/8)-(6/5/1/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/8)-(5/4)-(4/3/7/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (5/4)-(4/3/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   06/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LAST PROMISE Jun03 May06 Apr29 Apr14 Mar31 (rivera xavi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 123 2.00    
2  RAMIRIN May22 Dec14 Dec07 Nov29 Nov19 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 3.00    
3  AULD LANGE SYNE May24 May16 Apr13 Mar27 Mar07 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 12.00    
SCR  OPEN OUT Jun01 May17 May06 Mar16 Dec29 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00    
5  ALGORIX May16 Apr13 Mar14 Feb22 Feb02 (vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 118 2.50 49% 1.00    
6  SHELL FIRE May06 Nov28 Nov10 Oct24 Oct14 (bailey ricard)GUERERE ANGEL 123 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
TDN-2   06/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORTHINESS Apr30 Jan08 Dec30 Dec09 Nov11 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 45% 1.20    
  (by CAPITAL ACCOUNT out of TRULY AWESOME by YOUNG DEVIL)
2  DANCING FOR MONEY May03 Mar01 Feb22 Feb06 Jan12 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 123 15.00    
  (by IN SUMMATION out of DANCEFOURSEVEN by VICTORY GALLOP)
3  INSIDE GIRL May11 Mar18 Feb23 Jan05 Nov12 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of CIOMARA by BROKEN VOW)
4  SICILIAN STYLE TWO Jun07 May25       (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 8.00 8% 11.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of ADDIBEL LIGHTNING by COLONEL JOHN)
5  SISTER CODE May25 May11 Apr25 Mar16 Feb27 (vazquez ivan)TORREALBA JG 114 4.00    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
6  DOT MARIE May03 Apr15 Mar08 Feb12 Nov02 (caramori eduardo)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 16% 5.30    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MISS ANN PERRY by AFLEET ALEX)
7  ICY RAIN May29 May03 Mar29 Mar21 Mar01 (ratliff gobel)YARANGA Y 123 6.00 6% 14.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of THMORUPLATHLESUPAY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
TDN-3   06/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCAPTURED FAITH May23 May10 Apr05 Mar23 Mar09 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 22% 3.60    
2  I MATTER May23 May03 Apr06 Mar22 Mar08 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 121 4.50    
3  RIPLEY EFFECT May20 May05 Apr15 Mar19 Mar04 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 123 2.50 11% 8.00    
4  BANNED FROM MIDWAY Jun07 May31 May03 Apr19 Apr05 (caramori eduardo)AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
5  ADMONISH May23 May10 Apr06 Mar15 Feb24 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
6  DREAM TO WIN May23 May10 Apr26 Mar28 Jan18 (brown glen)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00    
 
TDN-4   06/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPULENT WAYS May29 Oct11 Oct03 Sep22 Sep06 (severin rob)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 11% 8.10    
2  PROUD MAID MARIAN Feb09 Jan11 Dec28 Dec08 Nov17 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
3  SNACKSTER May29 May09 Mar05 Feb12 Dec16 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 51% 1.00    
4  LA MUNECA May29 Mar29 Feb22 Feb06 Jan19 (zielinski rich)TORREALBA JG 114 5.00    
5  BISCOTTINI May22 Apr26 Nov29 Oct03 Sep06 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 11% 7.90    
6  FLYING BUSINESS May29 May02 Mar13 Feb27 Feb07 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 3.50    
 
TDN-5   06/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRETS UNTOLD Jun01 May06 Oct06 Aug31 Aug15 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  GO GIRL May31 May06 Apr06 Nov12 Oct29 (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 110 4.00    
2  KAT TRAX May23 Mar21 Mar09 Nov12 Oct29 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 3.50 28% 2.50    
3  VILLAGE CAT May11 Apr25       (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 117 4.50    
4  KISS VALENTINA May23 May06 Mar27 Mar09 Feb20 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00    
5  FRIENDLY MERGER         (syed riaz)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  CRIMSON LEGION Nov08 Sep26 Aug30 Aug13 Jul26 (londono o)BRICENO M 114 20.00    
7  BEAUTIFUL LASS Jun01 May06 Apr05 Mar20 Mar02 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 8.00    
8  TITEBLUEJEANS May31 May11 Apr24 Apr06 Mar27 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
9  I'M JAC'D May31 Jan24 Jan10 Dec21 Dec06 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  SALUTE THE KID May11 Nov30 Nov12     (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 117 6.00 24% 3.20    
 
TDN-6   06/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IPPOLITO'S WONDER May25 May10 Feb14 Jan12 Dec30 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of WHY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
1A  WHY KENNY WHY May25 May10 Apr24 Mar06 Feb14 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 5.00 11% 7.80    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
SCR  SOL OF VAQUERO May25 May10 Apr24 Apr12 Feb08 (campbell antho)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
  (by VAQUERO out of SHE'S SO HAPPY by YOUR ABC'S)
3  DANES HEART May10 Apr12 Mar29 Mar13 Feb16 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 123 4.00    
  (by KENTUCKY DANE out of HOPEFUL HEART by LOST SOLDIER)
4  VEGAS PLAYER May25 May10 Apr12     (poole m)BRACHO A 119 12.00    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
5  BRONZE KETTLE May10 Apr12 Mar02 Feb14   (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of PRINCESS CLAIRE by FREE THINKING)
6  COLOR BEARER May25         (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of BELLA TRELLA by CHEROKEE RUN)
7  NOSEY POWER Apr24 Apr12 Mar29 Feb23 Feb08 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
8  STRIKING AGAIN May25 May10 Apr24 Aug10 Jul28 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 7% 14.30    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of STRIKING JEWEL by SAVIN EYES)
 
TDN-7   06/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATIO PARTY May22 May02 Apr11 Mar20 Mar01 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 ★    
2  SUSIE'S KID Jun01 May23 Nov12 Oct25 Oct10 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00    
3  MY BROTHER CAM May22 May02 Apr12 Mar14 Mar01 (ray kevin)TORREALBA JG 114 3.50    
4  BEAT THE DEALER May24 Apr29 Apr04 Mar08 Feb20 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GOLD N SILVER May16 May02 Apr13 Mar06 Jan16 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 64% 0.60    
6  GOLDEN TONE May27 May05 Apr16 Mar19 Mar04 (rivera xavi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 119 4.50    
 
TDN-8   06/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASUAL ATTIRE May31 Dec30 Oct29 Sep22 Aug02 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MUSIC GEM May31 Apr24 Apr12 Mar29 Mar06 (zielinski ric)GUERERE ANGEL 117 10.00    
3  FLAG RAISER Apr27 Mar29 Mar06 Feb14 Nov14 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.50 29% 2.50    
4  PROSECUTOR Feb14         (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 115 4.50 35% 1.90    
5  PRECIOUS JULES May20 May08 Dec03 Nov12 Oct31 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
6  CHOCOLATE RABBIT May26 Dec06 Nov22 Oct14 Sep14 (cline c)YARANGA Y 119 5.00    
7  EXCITEMENT Nov30 Oct29 Sep23 Aug13 Jun28 (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 110 4.00 13% 6.60    
8  MARCH MAGIC May31 Apr27 Apr12 Sep01 Aug13 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
9  ORLEANS STORM Jun07 May24 Jan26 Jan09 Dec22 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.