Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - May 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (4/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/6)-(4/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/6)-(4/7/2/6)-(4/7/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/2/6)-(5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/6)-(5/6/4)-(3/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(3/2/5)-(6/8/9/2/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(6/8/9/2/3)-(5/2/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/8/9/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/9/2/3)-(6/8/9/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/9/2/3)-(6/8/9/2/3)-(6/8/9/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (6/8/9/2/3)-(5/2/1)-(5/10/8/6/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(5/10/8/6/2)-(3/8/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/10/8/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/8/6/2)-(5/10/8/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/8/6/2)-(5/10/8/6/2)-(5/10/8/6/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (5/10/8/6/2)-(3/8/4/6)-(2/4/7/6/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
TDN-7   WIN (3/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/6)-(3/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/6)-(3/8/4/6)-(3/8/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/8/4/6)-(2/4/7/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/4/7/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/6/8)-(2/4/7/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/6/8)-(2/4/7/6/8)-(2/4/7/6/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   05/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAY MAGIC Apr10 Mar16 Feb16 Jan05 Dec27 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00    
GAIL'S DANCER Apr26 Mar06 Feb16 Jan28 Jan05 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 10% 8.60    
BEST OF YOU May22 Apr11 Mar16 Feb28 Feb08 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
STAR MABEE May10 Dec21 Dec05 Nov17 Oct26 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 44% 1.30    
HIGH CUPPER Oct06 Sep21 Sep06 Aug22 Aug04 (brown glenro)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 6.00    
BISCAYNE BAY May10 Apr26 Apr12 Mar27 Mar08 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50 5% 19.00    
CARMEN OHIO May10 Jan16 Jan05 Nov23 Oct29 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
 
TDN-2   05/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLATINUM MAC May15 May01 Mar20 Feb02 Dec17 (schuster rob)ROSARIO L 119 5.00    
SCR  SHADOW TRACER May08 Apr25 Sep01 Aug16 Jul28 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 1.80    
YO BERBS May01 Apr03 Mar15 Feb09 Jan24 (brown t)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
DIAMONDS ENJOY May01 Mar02 Feb07 Jan18 Dec12 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 14% 6.30    
LEOMBRUNO May03 Sep12 Aug08 Jul19 Jun30 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 35% 1.80    
WIZARD WILLIE Aug22 Jul19 Jun27 May26 Apr25 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
TDN-3   05/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAVITE May06 Apr24 Feb27 Jan27 Jan06 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
V K PRINCESS Apr24 Apr10 Jan24 Jan02 Dec14 (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
DANZING CHICK May10 Apr25 Apr06 Mar21 Feb27 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 117 1.60 65% 0.50    
MAY BEAU May20 May03 Apr07 Mar15 Feb25 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 3.50    
W H LITTLE MISS GO Apr26 Oct06 Sep21 Jul10 Jun19 (cady khali)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SKIRTS KID Jul21 Jul04 Jun16 May21   (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 2.00    
 
TDN-4   05/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANDYLITHIC Mar18 Mar08 Feb02 Jan12 Dec22 (cady khali)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 12.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of TEQUILA LIGHT by COLONY LIGHT)
MORE LOVE         (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 118 12.00 6% 16.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of TRASHI DIVA by MORE THAN READY)
LITTLE VAQUERO May09 Apr10       (castillo jabdiel)VIGIL NOEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAYDAR out of URSOKY by OXBOW)
ALWAYS SPRING May11 Nov09 Oct18 Oct03   (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 118 15.00    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of UNUSUAL SPRING by UNUSUAL HEAT)
DOMI May06 Apr03 Feb22 Jan29 Nov25 (mahan jo)FERNANDEZ R 118 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of LUQYAA by SMART STRIKE)
AURA OF GOLD May11 Apr25 Mar22 Feb22 Feb08 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWEET HALORY by HOLD ME BACK)
O ROMEO May11 Apr23 Apr08 Mar09   (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 6.00    
  (by GARY D out of ROMANTIC JULIET by PUT IT BACK)
QUARANTINO May11 Jul14       (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of UNBRIDLED TRUTH by UNBRIDLED)
LEOLA May11 Apr30 Apr07 Feb26 Feb12 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 4.50 19% 4.40    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GLADIOLA by SHACKLEFORD)
 
TDN-5   05/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAVID'S GEM May02 Jan28 Dec22 Dec01 Nov09 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 8% 12.10    
THRU THE VINE May10 May02 Apr15 Mar27 Mar13 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 2.00 12% 7.10    
LATIN SPICE May17 May02 Mar13 Feb23 Jul14 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.50    
MIGHTY ANGEL May02 Sep06 Jul28 Jun25 May11 (flick j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
ATOMIC TONE May02 Apr11 Feb23 Jan24 Dec27 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 1.80 57% 0.80    
SCR  EMPEROROFTHEDARK Apr30 Mar27 Feb23 Dec07 Nov24 (treharne dave)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00    
 
TDN-6   05/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED COMET May16 Apr26 Oct29 Sep26 Aug03 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 30.00    
CONSIDER ME May09 Apr04 Mar15 Feb23 Jan13 (lopez jacint)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
WARHORSE WEST May09 Apr25 Apr10 Mar22 Mar01 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 8.00    
GIACOMETTI May09 Apr26 Apr10 Mar31 Mar17 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 112 20.00    
SCRATCHOFF May09 Apr04 Mar15 Feb23 Feb02 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 38% 1.60    
MIDNIGHT MAJESTY Apr15 Mar23 Feb17 Jan14 Dec04 (pu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
A PRAYER FOR KIDS May16 Dec01 Nov01 Oct06 Sep20 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 20.00    
PERMAFROST May11 Apr30 Apr08 Feb25 Jan15 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 12% 7.60    
STAR ENTERTAINER Jan23 Dec22 Dec13 Nov14 Nov02 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 6.00    
10  FLAWLESS CAT May09 Mar12 Feb17 Dec21 Oct20 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 4.50 26% 2.90    
11  BLUNDER May06 Mar06 Feb16 Jan23 Dec21 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 15.00    
 
TDN-7   05/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASCABRIA Apr26 Apr15 Feb21 Jan10 Dec20 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 4.50    
LA MUNECA Mar29 Feb22 Feb06 Jan19 Dec20 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 119 3.50    
SNACKSTER May09 Mar05 Feb12 Dec16 Dec02 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 62% 0.60    
WAR CAT Jul11 Jun27 Jun11 May26 May17 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
FLYING BUSINESS May02 Mar13 Feb27 Feb07 Jan19 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 6.00    
TALK DIRTY May16 Apr26 Apr10 Mar28 Mar14 (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
IMMACULATE HEART May02 Dec20 Nov29 Nov14 Oct03 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00    
OPULENT WAYS Oct11 Oct03 Sep22 Sep06 Aug09 (severin rob)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00 8% 11.60    
 
TDN-8   05/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYNERGISTIC May11 Apr25       (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 10.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of LIMPOPO by LION HEART)
RAY'S EMPIRE May11 Apr25 Apr13 Mar01 Jan19 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of CARGO JET by DISCREET CAT)
FAST CLIP May11 Sep06 Aug18 Aug03 Jul14 (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 119 6.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of YOU NEVER LEARN by KEYED ENTRY)
KNOCK WOOD May11         (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of CHUBBS LAST CALL by DIXIELAND HEAT)
GOOD MUSIC May11 Apr25 Mar09 Nov01 Oct12 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.50    
  (by ALTERNATION out of MY MANCITA by MR. GREELEY)
SHOWTIME BOY May11 Apr25 Apr13     (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
GRAND ZHOUL         (tumblin andr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00 17% 4.80    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CHICKIE by SLEW CITY SLEW)
HARSH TRUTH May11 Mar09 Feb21 Jan19 Jan04 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
FIERCELY BRAVE Aug01         (sweeting craig)AVILES YAN 123 12.00    
  (by AIKENITE out of HOOSIER HONEY by KEY TO THE KINGDOM)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.