Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - May 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/5/6)-(6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/6)-(6/5/4)-(2/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(2/6/3)-(2/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(2/5/1)-(2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(2)-(4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/8) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (2)-(4/3/7)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(3/6/1)-(6/7/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(6/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHORIST May10 Apr06 Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 26% 2.90    
2  I MATTER May03 Apr06 Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 123 4.50    
3  ADMONISH May10 Apr06 Mar15 Feb24 Feb09 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50    
4  HERO'S DAUGHTER May16 Apr26 Apr06 Mar22 Mar13 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
5  UNCAPTURED FAITH May10 Apr05 Mar23 Mar09 Feb20 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 8.00 19% 4.40    
6  TIME FOR CUPID May10 Apr10 Mar27 Mar08 Feb20 (rivera nesto)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 6.00 8% 12.00    
7  DREAM TO WIN May10 Apr26 Mar28 Jan18 Jul12 (brown glen)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   05/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWERFUL PHIL May08 Dec21 Dec03 Nov15 Oct24 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 4.00    
2  VICTORY DIVISION May03 Apr06 Mar14 Mar02 Jan17 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
3  TIDE RISING May08 Apr26 Apr04 Mar08 Feb13 (mahan p)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
4  THAT'S THE WAY Mar21 Mar06 Sep28 Aug12 Jul28 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 10% 8.90    
5  MANGA MAN May08 Jan11 Dec03 Nov12 Oct10 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
6  YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE Apr04 Mar23 Mar09 Feb22 Sep19 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 34% 2.00    
 
TDN-3   05/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PISTOL PACKIN BOS May09 Mar27 Jan26 Dec21 Nov29 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 10.00    
2  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE May10 Mar08 Jan28 Jan05 Dec21 (patter)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 33% 2.10    
3  NORTHERN JOURNEY May09 Apr12 Mar27 Mar16 Feb08 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 4.50 17% 4.90    
4  CRISTALINDA May09 Apr04 Oct11 Sep26 Sep08 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 6.00    
SCR  KIST May03 Dec13 Nov23 Nov10 Oct11 (mill)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 8.00    
6  MY BELLE MICHELLE May09 Mar16 Feb28 Mar09 Feb19 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  LARSA May11 Apr26 Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 (rivera nesto)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 4.00    
 
TDN-4   05/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSACIABLE PRINCE May06 Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 Nov29 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 7% 12.40    
2  TOYI May03 Apr21 Mar23 Feb19 Jan15 (schuste)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
3  STREET TRAFFIC May06 Apr25 Jul14 Jun29   (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 119 10.00    
SCR  SHEA D CAPTURE May15 May08 Apr15 Apr03 Feb16 (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 123 12.00    
5  ONE FOR THE MONEY May06 Apr15 Apr05 Mar21 Mar06 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 13% 6.40    
6  EAST BY WEST Feb04 Jan12 Dec09     (londono j)TORREALBA JG 114 10.00    
7  BON DEUX May06 Apr15 Mar21 Mar06 Feb16 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.00    
 
TDN-5   05/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GO GIRL May06 Apr06 Nov12 Oct29 Sep29 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 2.50 ★    
SCR  SECRETS UNTOLD May06 Oct06 Aug31 Aug15 Jul28 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 2.50    
2  KAT TRAX Mar21 Mar09 Nov12 Oct29 Oct06 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 3.50 60% 0.70    
2B  ROARING GINGER Mar09 Feb06 Dec27     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.50 ★    
SCR  SALUTE THE KID May11 Nov30 Nov12     (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 15% 5.50    
4  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE Apr24 Mar09 Nov07     (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 123 4.50    
5  SURE FIRE READY May06 Sep26 Sep07 Aug22 Aug03 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00    
SCR  GLIMMERGLASS Feb07 Jan04 Dec19 Dec06 Nov07 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 10.00    
7  KISS VALENTINA May06 Mar27 Mar09 Feb20 Dec27 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 5.00    
8  TV TIZ GORGEOUS May06 Mar20 Feb16 Jan18 Dec12 (tumblin andrew)CULP BRIANNE 119 15.00 ★    
 
TDN-6   05/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUSIE'S KID Nov12 Oct25 Oct10 Sep21 Sep06 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00    
2  TEAM HUCKY Nov06 Oct27 Oct13 Sep21 Aug13 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 15.00    
3  UOTTALIKEIT Apr04 Feb20 Jan28 Apr25 Apr02 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50 16% 5.30    
4  ODIE Apr27 Mar13 Feb08 Jan10 Dec07 (patter)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 55% 0.80    
5  THEDAYOFTHEGREY May06 Apr04 Aug01 Jun21 Jun02 (cline c)FELICIANO R 119 12.00    
6  FIRST HOMESTEAD May03 May04 Apr25 Mar24 Feb21 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 10.00 ★    
7  LAKE RADIO Apr23 Mar10 Feb18 Feb05 Jan14 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 5% 18.90    
 
TDN-7   05/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIVISTA May14 Apr30 Apr15 Mar10 Feb16 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 123 3.00 10% 9.40    
2  UNIDENTIFIED MAN May06 Apr03 Mar17 Jan26 Jan06 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 12.00    
3  SMASH Apr13 Mar09 Feb21 Feb08 Dec29 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 39% 1.60    
4  OTIS OTIS OTIS May08 Apr14 Mar26 Mar11 Feb03 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50    
5  ROYAL DRAGOON Apr15 Apr03 Mar09 Feb21 Jan30 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 6.00    
6  FLIPPING FISH May08 Apr15 Mar15 Mar05 Feb19 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 25% 2.90    
SCR  BLOOD MOON May12 Apr03 Mar21 Mar14 Feb21 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
 
TDN-8   05/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN THE MIDST Apr15 Mar15 Feb27 Feb18 Feb04 (buckner)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00 7% 13.30    
2  LIL RICKYS JEWEL Apr13 Mar21 Feb15 Dec14 Nov15 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
3  VENTURE ON Mar21 Dec14 Nov15 Sep28 Sep20 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50    
SCR  JEBIP Apr13 Apr03 Feb28 Feb01 Jan05 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 5.00    
5  ANIMO ROBERTO Mar29 Mar14 Jan24 Jan09 Dec29 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 15.00    
6  INTO GOLD May08 Mar20 Feb15 Jan31 Jan16 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 2.00 35% 1.80    
7  GIV'EM THE BIZ May09 Apr24 Apr03 Jan05 Dec06 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 4.00 35% 1.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.