Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - March 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/4/3)-(6/2/4/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2/1)-(3/5/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(3/1)-(2/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(2/3/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(2/3/4/6)-(6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6/1)-(2/3/4/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/4/6)-(6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/6)-(6/2/7)-(4/6/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7/1/5)-(6/2/7/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(4/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(4/6/7/3)-(12/11/13) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3/2)-(4/6/7/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/7/3)-(12/11/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/3)-(12/11/13)-(8/4/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (12/11/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/11/13)-(12/11/13/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/11/13)-(12/11/13/5/2)-(12/11/13/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (12/11/13)-(8/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (8/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6/9)-(8/4/5/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LITTLE BIRD FLASH Mar14 Feb20 Jan24 Jan10 Dec07 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 3.00 12% 7.20    
2  ANDIAMA Mar07 Feb14 Jan10 Dec07 Nov22 (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
3  CROSSTOWN GIRL Feb27 Nov30 Oct23 Sep29 Aug31 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 ★    
4  SWIFT RITHMS Mar07 Jan30 Jan05 Nov30 Oct12 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 ★    
5  FLAXEN Mar07 Feb06 Jan03 Dec15 Nov30 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 2.00    
6  MON PARADIS Mar07 Feb27 Feb09 Jan30 Jan18 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00 39% 1.60    
 
MVR-2   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPEALING SENORITA Mar06 Feb23 Feb07 Jan18 Jan04 (gonzalez do)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 ★    
2  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Mar02 Feb15 Jan31 Dec20 Nov16 (huffman canda)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 5.00 12% 7.50    
3  KICHI KITSU Feb23 Jan31 Jan18 Nov07 Aug13 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.20 35% 1.80    
SCR  SPEAK LIGHTLY Mar16 Feb01 Jan03 Dec05 Oct11 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 ★    
5  CITY SIGNS Oct13 Sep07 Jul18 Jul01 May24 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
6  NICEASAKITTENSEYES Feb28 Feb06 Jan19 Dec30 Sep07 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50    
 
MVR-3   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME BREAK Mar15 Feb16 Jan23 Jan12 Dec28 (bird)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 10.00 9% 9.60    
2  RESERVATION Mar07 Jan12 Dec28 Dec14 Dec06 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 8.00    
3  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Mar07 Feb16 Jan30 Jan12 Dec19 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 126 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  ALPHA BETA GAMA Jan02 Dec04 Nov06     (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 1.60 38% 1.60    
SCR  SHEA D CAPTURE Feb16 Jan23 Jan04 Dec21 Nov29 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 6.00 11% 8.40    
6  ALDUIN Mar13 Feb16 Feb08     (vazquez iv)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00    
7  BUDDHA BOY Feb22 Jan12 Dec24 Nov26 Oct29 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.50 ★    
 
MVR-4   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RONNI'S STORM Feb15 Feb02 Jan16 Dec31 Dec11 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 126 8.00 ★    
2  CLASSIC MO Feb21 Jan26 Jan10 Dec03 Oct04 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.00 32% 2.10    
3  MIDNIGHT MIKEY Feb22 Feb02 Jan16 Dec12 Jun30 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 15% 5.50    
4  OAKEN Mar09 Feb21 Jan26 Dec27 Nov09 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 126 5.00 15% 5.90    
5  HENRY THE CAT Feb22 Jan16 Dec27 Sep06 Aug30 (meyers shane)PEREZ E 126 6.00    
6  GOLDEN MONEY Feb22 Feb02 Dec12 May03 Apr15 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 126 3.00 13% 6.90    
7  YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE Mar09 Feb22 Sep19 Sep05 Aug17 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00    
 
MVR-5   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK BE FAST Mar01 Feb09 Feb02 Jan04 Dec21 (hernandez ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 ★    
1A  JOES A ROCKIN Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 Dec30 Dec12 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.50    
2  DR. ZARNETT Feb20 Jan26 Dec21 Dec12 Nov28 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
3  ONE CRAZY RIDE Mar08 Feb21 Feb09 Jan17 Dec30 (brow)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 20.00    
4  ROLLIN ON TEQUILA Mar01 Feb02 Jan04 Dec06 Aug24 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00    
5  HONOR THE D Dec30 Dec12 Oct10 Sep20   (bates l)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 ★    
6  OFTEN ENOUGH Mar14 Feb21 Nov03 Sep29 Sep15 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00 51% 1.00    
7  BIG OHIO Mar09 Feb02 Jan11 Dec21 Dec06 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 6% 17.10    
8  PLATE IT UP Mar08 Feb21 Feb09 Feb02 Jan28 (gonzalez donaci)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
9  NAMBITI Mar01 Feb09 Jan17 Dec30 Dec06 (lopez jacinto)YARANGA Y 126 8.00    
 
MVR-6   03/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTRO JAK Feb28 Feb15 Jan26 Jan02 Dec15 (vickers richa)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 10.00    
2  FAHRENHEIT Feb28 Feb07 Jan10 Dec12 Nov09 (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 ★    
3  ALACRITOUS Feb20 Jan28 Dec22 Dec01 Nov09 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 9% 9.70    
4  SPARKY HALE Apr07 Mar04 Jan30 Jan16   (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
5  HAPPILEA Feb28 Feb08 Jan10 Dec05 Oct22 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00    
6  LAUDA SPEED Feb28 Feb07 Jan26 Jan10 Dec11 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 13% 6.90    
7  JAMMING CAMERON Dec06 Nov15 Oct30 Aug30 Jul20 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 10% 8.60    
 
MVR-7   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Southern Park Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMERSON JONES Mar02 Feb23 Dec30 Dec15 Dec01 (skerrett jeffre)REYES FRANK 120 15.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of RELIABLE EMA by SMARTY JONES)
2  NEAR PERFECT Feb16 Dec30 Dec03 Nov15 Oct06 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 120 10.00 ★    
  (by MOBIL out of ECHT by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  HELLO SWEETS Mar21 Feb23 Dec31 Dec15 Nov15 (gorham robert)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 12.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of HELLUVA NOTION by NOTIONAL)
SCR  OUTPOST GIRL         (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 30.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of GOOSE SKYWALKER by STRATEGIC MISSION)
5  CHANEL SPIRIT Mar02 Feb20 Dec15 Dec01 Nov15 (cline c)PEREZ E 122 6.00 ★    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LATIN TUDOR by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  FACTISIMFLASHY Mar02 Feb01 Jan18 Jan02 Dec03 (poole m)AVILES YAN 120 15.00    
  (by CORFU out of LIGHTNING LUCY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  BROWNIE Mar02 Sep15 Sep01 Aug01 Jul07 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 15.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of WINNERCOASTTOCOAST by SUPER SAVER)
8  NEECHI Dec01 Oct31       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LA NINA BRONCA by CACTUS RIDGE)
9  SAVESOMEFORME Feb23 Jan16 Dec30 Dec15 Dec01 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 20.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of CADES COVE by KAYRAWAN)
10  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Jan31 Jan03 Nov15 Oct29 Oct05 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 10.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of HONOR RIDE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
11  SOFT TALK Nov15 Oct29 Sep21     (sharp joe)MCKEE J 118 5.00 30% 2.30    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SMALL SECRET by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
12  LARRY'S ANGEL Mar08 Jan16       (cowans willia)BRACHO A 118 4.50 32% 2.10    
  (by CONVEYANCE out of THE WAR DEPARTMENT by LOST SOLDIER)
13  SPARKLING JEWEL Oct29 Sep15 Aug13 Jul08 May13 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 4.00 12% 7.70    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BLAZING BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
 
MVR-8   03/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRON BERTIE Mar01 Feb14 Jan30 Jan12 Dec11 (fiesman l)RIVERA R 124 20.00    
2  WILDCAT DREAM Mar07 Feb07 Jan19 Nov16 Nov07 (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 124 5.00    
3  UNESCORTED Feb07 Jan23 Jan02 Dec07 Nov21 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 116 6.00    
4  AYY LADIES Feb28 Jan19 Aug24 Jun23   (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 116 4.00 22% 3.60    
5  LELAWALA Mar13 Feb20 Jan19 Jan22 Jan01 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  UNCAPTURED FAITH Mar09 Feb20 Jan24 Dec14 Nov25 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  LADY GIULIANA Mar07 Feb22 Jan23 Jan02 Nov01 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 116 12.00    
8  QIA Nov21 Nov07 Oct05     (waltz brian)BRACHO A 116 3.00 48% 1.10    
9  ALSANAH Mar07 Feb01 Jan19 Dec29 Dec08 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 124 2.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.