Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - March 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/3/6)-(5/4/2/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(1/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(1/5/6/4)-(4/6/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-2   WIN (1/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4/3)-(1/5/6/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/6/4)-(4/6/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/4)-(4/6/1/2)-(6/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TUP-3   WIN (4/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/2)-(6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/2)-(6/3)-(4/3/2/5/6) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/7/8/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/7/8/2)-(6/3/7/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3)-(4/3/2/5/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(4/3/2/5/6)-(2/1) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
TUP-5   WIN (4/3/2/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/5/6)-(4/3/2/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/5/6)-(4/3/2/5/6)-(4/3/2/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/2/5/6)-(2/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/5/6)-(2/1)-(8/7/2) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/1)-(8/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(8/7/2)-(8/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-7   WIN (8/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/2)-(8/7/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/2)-(8/7/2/4/3)-(8/7/2/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/7/2)-(8/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TUP-8   WIN (8/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/3)-(8/1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/3)-(8/1/3/6)-(8/1/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   03/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MYBESTISYETTOCOME Jan17 Jan02 Dec08 Nov14 Jun25 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00    
2  FULL OF LIFE Jan17 Jan05 Aug06 Jul24 Jul08 (silva rodri)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 12.00 9% 9.70    
3  PHILIPIE FAST Feb21 Feb01 Jan17 Jan02 Sep18 (garcia val)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 ★    
4  SILVER KING BAIN Feb11 Jan19 Jan10 Dec20 Dec08 (mccartney)VALENZUELA A 124 1.60 20% 3.90    
5  KING OF STING Nov06 Oct11 Sep22 Sep06 Jul02 (person kenne)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
6  RIGHT TO SUE Feb26 Feb06 Aug29 Jul23   (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-2   03/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IZE SHARPIE Feb15 Nov07 Oct13 Sep23   (hone bart)CORBETT W 118 1.40 43% 1.30    
2  UNSINKABLE MOLLY B Feb20 Jan25 Sep18 Aug27 Aug14 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
3  CHOCOLATE FRECKLES Jan10 Nov30 Oct18 Sep10 Aug24 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 ★    
4  MACLEAN'S BELLA Aug08 Jul11 May02 Apr07 Mar21 (gutierrez j)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00 9% 10.20    
5  IDA NEEDA DRINK Feb15 Feb05 Sep05 Aug05 Jul10 (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 3.00 12% 7.10    
6  AMY D Feb15 Nov14 Oct04 Aug07   (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 118 2.50 11% 7.90    
 
TUP-3   03/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORATORY GLORY Feb19 Jan23 Apr24 Apr03 Mar26 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00 13% 6.40    
2  CANTERBURY GOLD Feb14 Jan14 Dec19 Nov30 Sep14 (vanwinkle d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  LUCKY STEPPER Feb21 Nov14 Sep19 Sep12 Aug15 (weaver gordon)CORBETT W 124 10.00    
4  CLUBHOUSE SAINT Feb12 Jan24 Jan11 Dec26 Nov19 (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 1.20 34% 2.00    
SCR  SUPERSTAR BEA Feb21 Feb09 Jan24 Jan14 Dec19 (silva pabl)LEON A 124 8.00 8% 11.50    
6  STREAMER Feb26 Jan31 Dec27 Jun18 Jun04 (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
 
TUP-4   03/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMAAZA Mar04 Feb09 Feb01 Jan23 Jan04 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.50    
2  STRADARI Feb18 Feb01 Jan04 Dec14 Nov26 (soto antonio)CORBETT W 124 6.00 ★    
3  SHOE GAME Jan30 Jan11 Jan03 Dec21 Nov28 (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 15% 5.70    
4  PALACE STAR Feb18 Jan30 Jan11 Dec17 Nov23 (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
5  MO CONNELLY Feb18 Jan31 Jan17 Dec27 Dec15 (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 124 12.00    
6  JANERO ROSE Feb18 Jan11 Dec15 Nov05 Sep10 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
7  DOZO Feb07 Jan11 Dec14 Apr20 Apr06 (martinez esteba)CRUZ M 124 3.50 ★    
8  BIG AL'S PRINCESS Feb21 Feb06 Jan24 Jan09 Nov29 (hernandez mig)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   03/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INESPERADO (FR) Feb20 Jan30 Dec16 Dec03 Jan08 (ei)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00    
2  SOCAL RED Feb15 Feb02 Jan21 Dec30 Nov20 (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 2.50 12% 7.30    
3  BESAME MUCHO Feb11 Jan12 Dec20 Nov09 Aug18 (troiani nic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 14% 6.40    
4  TERRACOTTA SOLDIER Feb19 Apr20 Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
5  GIVE EM HECK BECK Feb15 Feb04 Jan24 Sep14 Aug25 (silva jr)VERGARA P 124 3.50 12% 7.50    
6  MARICOPA COUNTY Feb25 Dec13 May06 Apr21 Feb18 (grissom roberta)CORBETT W 122 12.00 10% 9.00    
7  STAR SAILOR Feb25 Feb15 Jan15 Dec30 Nov24 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50    
 
TUP-6   03/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS BIG Feb13 Jan25 Dec10 Nov21 Oct24 (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00 13% 6.90    
2  UNLEASH THE BEAST Feb04 Jan25 Dec13 Nov26 Nov07 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 3.00 13% 6.70    
3  TALKIN MALICE Feb13 Jan25 Jan05 Dec20 Apr26 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 ★    
4  FLY BUDDY FLY Feb26 Feb14 Feb06 Jan14 Dec30 (torres-casas alex )GARCIA F 124 15.00    
5  MANCUSO AT THE MIC Jan25 Jan04 Dec01 Sep17 Sep04 (garcia val)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 10.00    
SCR  MY BOY LOLLIPOP Feb14 Feb06 Jan09 Nov29 Nov07 (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
7  GO ADMIRAL GO Feb26 Feb18 Feb09 Jan30 Dec13 (silva pabl)LEON A 124 8.00 ★    
8  FINAL ROSE Feb19 Feb02 Jan17 Dec10 Nov26 (mccartney jack)CRUZ M 124 12.00    
9  SIDE STREET DAVE Feb26 Jan30 Jan10 Nov30 Nov05 (sanderson bru)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.50    
 
TUP-7   03/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARBOR THUNDER Feb14 Jan14 Dec27 Dec08   (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 113 6.00    
2  CREME DE LA CHROME Mar11 Feb18 Jan30 Jan13   (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 6.00 9% 10.70    
3  POPS AWESOME Feb02 Jan24 Dec28 Dec13 Nov25 (williams dewey)ZUNINO L 124 15.00 ★    
4  BOSS NINE Dec17 Nov09 Aug27 Aug19 Jul30 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.50 ★    
5  BIG JACK Feb14 Feb02 Jan14 Dec08 Nov07 (martinez o )MORALES ALLYSSA 118 5.00    
6  BRAYBRAY Feb14 Jan09 Nov15 Oct04 Aug15 (martinez a)MAWING A 118 8.00    
7  GO LAKER GO Feb18 Jan28 Sep17 Aug27 Aug07 (evans jus)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
8  GOLD RUSH CANDY Feb22 Feb07 Jan20 Sep03 Aug12 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
TUP-8   03/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIR JOCK Feb14 Jan05       (mcfarlane l)LEON A 121 20.00 12% 7.50    
2  BARON'S SONG Feb20 Feb02 Jan14 Dec27   (zimmerman)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 12.00    
3  BURNIN VERNON Jan05         (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  CARRIZO SPRINGS Feb20 Feb02 Jan13 Jan02 Oct23 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00    
SCR  YANKEE TEA PARTY Feb26         (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00    
6  CHARLIE'S MAN Feb14 Jan28 Dec10 Nov12 Sep18 (alvarez s)VALENZUELA A 121 3.00 ★    
7  CAPIAT Jan05         (ortiz manuel)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 15.00    
8  MY SWEET LORD Feb14 Jan31 Dec20 Nov25 Sep24 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
9  KNOCKOUT GUY Feb16 Jan31 Dec20 Nov25 Nov08 (fearon johnathon)MAWING A 121 6.00    
SCR  WESTERBERG Feb14 Jan31 Dec20 Dec08 Nov25 (alvarez sergi)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 2.50 14% 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.