Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Sunday - February 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/8)-(1/8/2/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/8)-(1/8/2/7/5)-(1/8/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8)-(5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
OP-2   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(8/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7)-(8/2/6)-(1/2/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-3   WIN (8/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/6)-(8/2/6/7/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6)-(8/2/6/7/11)-(8/2/6/7/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/2/6)-(1/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6)-(1/2/5/4)-(2/7/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-4   WIN (1/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/4)-(1/2/5/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/4)-(1/2/5/3/4)-(1/2/5/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/5/4)-(2/7/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/4)-(2/7/1/6)-(9/4/6/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
OP-5   WIN (2/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6/8)-(2/7/1/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/1/6)-(9/4/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/6)-(9/4/6/7)-(4/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-6   WIN (9/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/6/7)-(9/4/6/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/6/7)-(9/4/6/7/5)-(9/4/6/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/4/6/7)-(4/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/6/7)-(4/9/7)-(7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
OP-7   WIN (4/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/7)-(4/9/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/9/7)-(4/9/7/2)-(4/9/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/9/7)-(7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/9/7)-(7/8)-(9/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
OP-8   WIN (7/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/8)-(7/1/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8)-(7/1/8/3)-(7/1/8/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/8)-(9/4/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
OP-9   WIN (9/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/7/1)-(9/4/7/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/7/1)-(9/4/7/1/2)-(9/4/7/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARTREUSE Jan14 Dec30 May01 Apr15   (witt erni)TORRES A 125 2.00 45% 1.20    
2  BERTIE'S CAUSE         (martin wi)DE CRUZ 125 8.00 ★    
3  LITTLEDABWILLDOO         (martin timot)JORDAN R 119 20.00    
4  SINGING EMMA Jan07 Nov25 Nov16     (loy dew)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
5  STAY FABULOUS Jan20 Nov04 Oct08     (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 2.50 ★    
6  SODDY DAISY Jan21 Jan04 Dec11 Nov10 Mar05 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 125 15.00    
7  DESTINY'S DREAM         (prather h)BOWEN ROCCO 125 8.00 ★    
8  FABULOUS FANNY Jan14 Jul01 May06     (hobby steve)HIRALDO JOHN 125 4.00 26% 2.90    
9  TIZ SWEET CANDY         (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 20.00    
 
OP-2   02/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TREATY Jan14 Jul10 Jun08 Apr07 Mar05 (hobby steve)BAZE C 123 30.00    
2  GET THROUGH Jan15 Dec18 Oct19 Sep25 Aug28 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00    
3  JOLLY TOMMY Jan07 Dec16 Nov22 Nov02 Sep22 (contreras)DE CRUZ 125 4.50    
4  BROOKLYN DIAMONDS Jan07 May21 Apr16 Mar26   (brisset rodol)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.00 11% 7.90    
5  PITTSBURGH Dec03 Nov12 Aug25 Jul22 Jun18 (miller p)SANTANA JR 125 3.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  ST ANDREWS Feb04 Jan08 Dec17 Nov02 Oct08 (villafranco mart)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  HAPPY BOY ROCKET Dec17 Oct27 Oct01 Sep08 Jun12 (broberg k)TORRES A 123 20.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  FILM STAR Dec16 Oct22 Sep17 Aug05 Jul03 (cox h)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 2.00 26% 2.80    
9  MR CREED Feb04 Jan15 Nov25 Oct16 Sep18 (villafranco ma)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 15.00    
 
OP-3   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOAST TO COAST Jan13 Oct30 Oct09     (lukas wayne)WALES T 120 10.00    
2  HARDSCRABBLE Jan15 Apr30 Mar31     (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 125 3.00 27% 2.80    
3  LOUD BOY Feb12 Jan22       (martin timot)JORDAN R 125 15.00    
4  MY KINDA TETON Jan15 Apr30 Apr10 Mar31 Mar19 (roberts st)MICHEL MICKAELLE 125 30.00    
5  HE'S RICH Dec31         (cates al)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
6  VYING EDGE         (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  CAMPISI Jan13 Dec11 Nov07     (von hemel)TRIANA JR 120 6.00 ★    
8  IMPOVERISHED Jan21 Jan01       (deville c)TORRES A 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
9  MR WORKS Jan15         (barkley jason)HIRALDO JOHN 120 12.00    
10  RIANTE SKY May07 Apr01 Mar19 Mar04 Jan30 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 30.00    
11  JUST BECAUSE Jan15         (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 120 8.00 ★    
12  FINBARFUREY Jan01 Dec16 Sep15     (cline n)HARR KELSI 125 30.00    
SCR  STRICKLAND Jan22 Dec11 Nov10 Jul31 Mar19 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 125 6.00    
SCR  TOMMY TRI Dec18         (prather john)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 15.00    
 
OP-4   02/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($106K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAVERSE Jan07 Nov16 Jun19 Apr02 Jan09 (mott rile)TORRES A 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
2  RICHEBOURG Jan12 Oct19 Sep19 Jul14 Jun11 (walsh p)BEJARANO R 124 1.60 18% 4.50    
3  IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME Dec16 Nov26 Nov04 May30 Apr24 (gomez c)CABRERA DAVID 117 4.50 ★    
4  FAMILY TIME Jan07 Dec17 Nov15 Nov05 Oct14 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  QUEENS UP Dec30 Aug14 Jul30 Jul09   (divito ja)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 3.00 10% 9.00    
6  FOREVER DREAMING Jan07 Sep04 Aug14 May19 Apr24 (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 20.00    
 
OP-5   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERBY DAY LASSIE Jan22 Dec17 May06 Apr09 Feb21 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 12.00 17% 4.70    
2  JERI DAWN Jan22 Jan06 Aug14 Jun26 Jun13 (martin ti)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
3  MISS RITA Jan22 Dec11 Nov07 Oct19 Sep28 (donaldson jerr)QUINONEZ S 123 12.00    
4  LITTLE ROCKER Jan29 Dec30 Dec09 Mar25   (morse l)ZIMMERMAN R 125 12.00    
5  NAVAGATIONALBEACON Jan22 Dec11 Sep06 Aug28 Aug16 (wilson m)SANTANA JR 123 4.50    
6  K J'S PISTOL ANNIE Jan22 Dec30 Apr24 Apr07   (hornsby tammy)BAILEY CHEL-C 125 8.00 7% 13.50    
7  BETTY JO Jan14         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 26% 2.90    
8  SHE'S HAMAZING Feb05 Jan22 Dec11 Apr24 Mar31 (hewitt micha)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 10.00 ★    
9  BIG ON BROADWAY Jan22 Jan06 Mar27 Mar13 Jan30 (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 20.00    
10  SWEETNESS TO Jan27 Dec11 Jul03 Jun09 May28 (westermann l)WALES T 123 3.50    
11  GUEST IN MY HEART Feb05 Jan22 Jan06 Dec11 Nov08 (altamiran)TORRES A 123 15.00    
12  MISS DUTTON Jan22 Dec11 Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 (cline n)HARR KELSI 123 30.00    
SCR  HALF SCOUT Jan22 Dec11 Sep14 Sep03 Aug17 (cline robe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 123 30.00    
 
OP-6   02/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANTANGELO Jan15 Nov02 Sep28 Sep01 Aug11 (compton g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 116 12.00    
2  LADY ENVOY Jan21 Dec30 Nov24 Nov10 Oct21 (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 10.00    
3  KANCANCUTIE Jan21 Nov18 Oct06 Sep05 Jul18 (cates al)HARR KELSI 120 20.00    
4  SHIP IT Jan01 Nov25 Nov11 Jan14   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 5.00 16% 5.10    
5  EXPENSIVE LIAISON Jan21 Nov11 Oct21 Sep23 Aug26 (petalino joe)QUINONEZ S 116 8.00 ★    
6  BIG JAVA Jan15 Nov09 Oct29 Oct08 Aug14 (lauer michael)JUAREZ NIK 123 4.50 8% 12.00    
7  LANDSLID Dec30 Dec18 Nov11 Oct22 Sep28 (keithan racha)CABRERA DAVID 120 10.00 6% 16.80    
8  GRAYDAWN DAY Jan21 Jan01 Nov18 Nov07 Oct26 (jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 12.00    
9  WHISKEY BLUE Dec09 Sep30 Sep11 Aug27 Jun04 (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 1.60 44% 1.30    
10  MARTIQUE MISS Jan21 Dec28 Dec08 Nov10 Oct18 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 10.00    
 
OP-7   02/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3 ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISCOVERY PEAK Jan15 Jul24       (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 20.00    
2  SOUTHERN SUNSET         (mcpeek kennet)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00 ★    
3  HARD TO COME BY Jan22 Dec31 Nov26 Sep15 Aug12 (von donnie)BAZE C 121 5.00    
4  ETERNALLY GRATEFUL Feb04 Jan20 Oct23 Sep24   (broberg karl)ZIMMERMAN R 117 3.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  BUBBA CAN DANCE Jan22 Dec31       (stewart d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 16% 5.20    
6  PROFOUND IMPACT Dec31         (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 3.00    
7  RACHEL'S CAPER Dec14 Dec02       (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 121 30.00 5% 17.50    
8  LEOLA Jan08 Oct23 Sep22     (ortiz alexa)BEJARANO R 121 12.00    
9  THE BOOKKEEPER Jan28 Dec10 Sep25 Sep11 Aug19 (divito p)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00 7% 14.30    
10  PINE COVE Dec31         (sharp joe)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 20.00    
11  PROCHARGER Jan15 Sep21       (mason ingrid)WALES T 121 30.00    
 
OP-8   02/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($104K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIOLENT POINT Jan20 Nov30 Nov15 Sep21 Aug11 (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 125 4.00 ★    
SCR  SO IT WOULD SEEM Jan27 Jan15 Dec16 Nov19 Oct10 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 125 20.00    
3  PISTOL Jan29 Nov16 Oct12 Sep25 Sep08 (van thom)CABRERA DAVID 122 8.00 ★    
4  PARODY Jan08 Nov19 Oct30     (brisset )SANTANA JR 117 8.00    
5  COST A FORTUNE Jan15 Nov21 Nov02 Oct12 Sep17 (dixon tim)HARR KELSI 122 20.00    
SCR  KANT BELIEVE IT Jan21 Jan01 Dec09 Nov20 Oct19 (divito p)BAZE C 122 6.00 28% 2.60    
7  LI'L GRAZEN Jan20 Nov15 Oct14 Sep05 Aug04 (diodoro r)TORRES A 125 1.80 41% 1.40    
8  HARTLEY Jan15 Jul09 Jun11 May13 May01 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 125 3.50 5% 19.00    
9  SHESABIDFORMIDABLE Sep18 Sep09 Aug19 Jul31 Jul08 (jordan j)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 30.00    
10  ADRIA Jul22 Jun11 May29 May14 May01 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 30.00    
 
OP-9   02/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHT TRAPPE Jan15 Dec16 Oct04 Sep06 Aug17 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 118 12.00 10% 9.20    
2  GIANNA'S GIFT Jan13 Dec16 Nov16 Oct23 Aug27 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 ★    
3  BOBBIN TAIL Jan13 Sep29 Jun10 May06 Apr24 (smith p)CABRERA DAVID 118 30.00    
4  MISTY VEIL Jan07 Nov24 Nov12 Sep29 Aug19 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.00 19% 4.10    
5  BLESSED AGAIN Jan13 Aug06 Jul08 Jun10 Apr24 (chleborad lynn)JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00    
SCR  MOHAYLADY Jan15 Jan01 Dec16 Nov20 Nov03 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 115 20.00    
7  JUBELLA Dec09 Nov02 Jun01 May17 Apr21 (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 118 8.00 10% 9.00    
8  EMITYAAZ Nov01 Oct09 Sep08 Aug15 Jul27 (puhl kim)JORDAN R 121 30.00    
9  TIPSY GAL Jan06 Dec18 Oct19 Sep16 Jun29 (broberg k)TORRES A 115 3.00 35% 1.90    
10  LOFTHOUSE Jan29 Dec09 Nov06 Oct04 Aug03 (martin wil)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.