Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Wednesday - October 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   10/26/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TELLER TO SING Oct09 Aug22 Jul27 Jul05 Jun06 (brownfield claud)BEJARANO R 121 2.50 ★    
2  MY GOOD FORTUNE Aug15 May18 Apr28 Feb16   (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 118 8.00    
3  TAMI ANN Oct06 Sep22 Sep09 Mar03 Feb19 (manning john )CANUTO THIAGO 121 20.00 ★    
4  UNDECODED Oct01 Jul23 Jul08 Jun11 May27 (combs bentley)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 ★    
5  NEVERSAYNOLETSGO Sep22 Aug30 Jun09 Mar31 Mar03 (reed r)MCKEE J 121 4.00 ★    
6  PASSIONFORTREASURE Sep20 Sep07 Aug22 Aug01 Jul07 (barnes bar)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.20 71% 0.40    
 
KEE-2   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 2 F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEAN SUE         (mckeever andrew)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 ★    
2  TAMARA'S WAY         (demeritte lar)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  LILY'S CREED Sep23 Aug30       (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
4  MOON MAGIC CHRISSY Sep16 Aug06 Jul04 May20 Apr29 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
5  RYE MUNNY Sep30         (wilkes i)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
6  MARSANNE Oct13 Sep18 Aug19 Aug07 Jul01 (ennis john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
7  BONANZA GRADE Jul22         (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 4.50 19% 4.30    
8  STAR POSE Sep28 Aug07 Jul09 Jun19   (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 6.00    
9  BEER CAN LADY         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
10  CONNELMAURA Sep22         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
 
KEE-3   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($67K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ITDOWHATITDO Oct01         (sims phili)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
2  ARGUMENTAL Mar27 Feb18 Jan15     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
3  COLONEL GRACE         (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
4  ADALINE JULIA         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 6.00    
5  AWESOME ALLY VEE Aug12 Jul22 Jun24     (lauer mi)SANTANA JR 120 4.00 ★    
6  STORM HAVEN Sep16         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
7  LITTLE SISTER SUE Sep28         (reed r)MCKEE J 120 5.00 35% 1.90    
8  PENITENT'S ROSE         (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 15.00 ★    
 
KEE-4   10/26/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($64K) 3 ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOISE Aug27 Jul22 May29 Apr30 Feb12 (wong jonatha)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Oct20 Sep22 Aug05 Jul29 Jul08 (walden w)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
3  OVERTAXED Sep21 Jul03 Jun11 May08 Apr02 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 32% 2.20    
4  CATHEDRAL BEACH Sep24 Aug24 Aug03 Jun03 May07 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 ★    
5  UPTOWN HUSTLER Oct12 Jun18 Apr23     (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 6% 14.40    
6  TOTALIZER Sep15 Aug27 Jul24 Apr07 Mar11 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
7  GORMLEYS GOT GAME Sep23 Sep01 Aug18 Jul21 Jul12 (forster gra)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
8  DOUBLE THUNDER Sep24 Aug26       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 21% 3.70    
9  GEAUX YOSHKA Sep03 Aug13 Jul04 Jun18   (robertson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00    
 
KEE-5   10/26/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARBIRD Apr03 Feb23       (mccarthy mich)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 12.00 ★    
2  RUNNING BEE Sep05 Aug10 Jul02     (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 ★    
3  POLICY OPTION Oct12 Sep17 Sep03 Jul24 Jun26 (cano mu)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 8.00 ★    
4  WIN WORTHY Sep05 May22 Apr13 Mar10 Jan22 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 19% 4.40    
5  EPIMYTHIUM Oct12 Sep29 Jul21 Jun09 May13 (meah m)HOLMES GAGE 116 4.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  ROGUE ELEMENT Sep29 Sep10 Jul17 Jul02 Jun09 (hiles a)LANERIE J 121 30.00    
7  BAKWENA Oct05 Sep05 Jun18 May22 Apr30 (miller da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
8  SETNA THE WISE Sep05 Jul16 May18 Apr16 Mar03 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
9  BOX OFFICE WARRIOR Oct06 Sep12       (dyer john)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
10  MOUNT RUNDLE Sep05 Aug07 Jun05 Apr23   (nihei michelle)BEJARANO R 118 4.00    
11  CATNIP Sep06 Aug09 Feb19     (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
 
KEE-6   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPELLING SMILE Sep15 Aug07 May06     (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 30.00    
2  BOMBDIGGITY Jun25 May21 Apr10 Feb18   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 17% 4.90    
3  ZAINALARAB Aug31 Jul10 Jun10 Apr15   (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 121 2.00 18% 4.50    
4  RIDE THE PLAN Sep13 Jul27 Jun03 Mar19 Feb18 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.00 20% 3.90    
5  HEADLAND Sep16 Apr30 Apr10 Mar11 Jan02 (hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 ★    
6  AWESOMELY SHY Sep15 Aug08 Jul04     (west m)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
7  MAGIC QUEST Sep25         (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 16% 5.40    
8  COPPELIA Aug07 Jul09 Feb19     (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 121 5.00    
 
KEE-7   10/26/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTEN MISCHIEF Sep24 Mar12 Feb12 Jan09   (thomas jo)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 9% 10.30    
2  NO SLO MO Oct09 Sep03 Aug03 Jul17 Jun18 (puhich mi)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00    
3  FORWARDLY Sep05 Jul27 Jun18 May22   (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
4  BRAZILLIONAIRE Aug14 Jul23 Jun25 Jun18 Apr16 (englehart)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 10% 9.20    
5  WAKE SURF Oct12 Sep08 Aug06 May18 Mar12 (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
6  VERSTAPPEN Sep05 Apr29 Mar25     (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 15% 5.70    
7  AL'S ROCKET Sep24 Aug13 Jun11 May07 Apr09 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
8  CHROME REPUBLIC Sep09 Mar04 Jan05     (biancone)SANTANA JR 121 20.00    
SCR  BRIGHT PROSPECTER Sep05 Jul24 Jul01 Apr22 Mar05 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 30.00 6% 15.30    
10  ROUGHIN THE CITY Sep08 Aug06 Jun30 Jun11 Apr19 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 121 20.00    
SCR  JARREAU Sep05 Jul27 Jun18 May22 Apr24 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  HIPPODROME Oct08 Sep24 Aug22 Aug13 Aug01 (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 4.00    
 
KEE-8   10/26/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORGAY Sep15 Aug13 Jul15     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  STRINGS Jul23 Jul01 Apr16 Feb23   (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 121 15.00    
3  MASTER GAME Sep13 Jun05 May07     (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 ★    
4  LUCKY DUDE Oct14 Sep12 Aug19 Jul25 Jun24 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 121 8.00    
5  ALFIO Sep28 Sep20 May07 Apr20   (thornbury jeff)GRAHAM J 121 20.00    
6  ROUGH SKETCH Sep29         (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 124 15.00    
7  DORMIR         (matthews r)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 12.00    
SCR  J BOONE Oct11 Sep09 Aug31 Aug19 Aug02 (sands shane)RIQUELME J 121 30.00    
9  HURRY ON OUT Apr04 Feb19       (tooley jennifer)COURT K 124 20.00 6% 16.30    
10  POINT OF AN AFFAIR         (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00 24% 3.20    
11  APOLLO RISING Sep24         (pitts helen)GARCIA MARTIN 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.