Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - January 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(6/4/1)-(2/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(2/3/1)-(5/7/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(5/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(5/7/1/4)-(4/3/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/4)-(4/3/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/4)-(4/3/7/2)-(2/5/6/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/2)-(2/5/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/2)-(2/5/6/3)-(1/4/7/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/3)-(1/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/03/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK RAIN Nov21 Oct26 Jul21 Jun08 Sep14 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.60 51% 0.90    
SCR  BOSS LOGIC Dec22 Nov28 Nov03 Oct05 Sep13 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00    
SCR  OLYMPIC DREAMS Dec28 Aug15 May04 Mar30 Mar21 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 121 5.00    
4  PEEK Dec28 Oct10 Jul21 Jun13 May11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  EMIRATES ROAD Nov10 Sep21 Aug30 Aug02 Jun29 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.00    
 
AQU-2   01/03/2025 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHOWSER         (duarte jr)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WHISPER NUMBER by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  FOIL Nov20         (duarte )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 8.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of ELUDE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  DAW SAMAA Dec06 Oct24       (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 120 20.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of TZAWONDERFULSPRING by TIZ WONDERFUL)
3  TRACKING ERROR Sep21         (brown c)VIVES SOFIA 120 3.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of GUIDONIA by SCAT DADDY)
4  A BOURBON FOR TOBY Dec07 Nov09       (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 27% 2.80    
  (by BERNARDINI out of KITTEN'S GIRL by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  TAPIZAR'S TEMPER Dec27 Dec06 Nov07 Oct18 Sep18 (antonu)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of INFINITE GRACE by TAPIZAR)
6  UNCLE HULKA Nov03         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.40 50% 1.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CANTEEN by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
AQU-3   01/03/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAVE BEAR Dec06 Nov07 Oct24     (friedman mitch)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 9% 10.50    
2  SOBIESKI Dec07 Nov18 Oct23 Oct08 Sep09 (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
3  RUN OF THE HOUSE Dec08 Aug31       (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 6.00    
4  ROBERT'S MOON Nov26 Oct19 Sep23 Aug24 Aug11 (antonucci jena)COA J 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
5  TAPWRITS TEMPER Nov14 Oct24 Aug31 Aug21 Aug08 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 5.00    
6  CHIPOTLE (GB) Dec14 Nov08 Sep28 Aug31 Aug10 (gorham michael )MENA E 122 1.20 46% 1.20    
 
AQU-4   01/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOULDIAN Oct25 Oct13 Sep06 Aug11 Jul14 (barrer)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  TEMPTING LADY Nov18 Sep25 Aug19 Apr13 Mar08 (mosco ro)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 3.50 58% 0.70    
3  MILLIE JEAN Dec13 Nov10 Oct24 Nov05 Sep21 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 11% 8.10    
4  THAT'STHEFACTJACK Dec13 Nov10 Oct24 Sep28 Aug11 (schettin)DAVIS A 122 4.00    
5  EXOTIC CAT Dec13 Nov14 Oct19 Sep20 Aug02 (pregman j)LUZZI J 122 20.00    
6  POLITICAL SPIN Dec13 Oct17 Sep13 Aug18 Jul13 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.50    
SCR  LOOKING FOR GINNY Dec15 Nov16 Aug16 Jul17 Jun28 (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50    
 
AQU-5   01/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD VICTORY Nov24 Oct19 Sep13 Jul11 Jun21 (rodriguez gusta)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 8% 11.80    
1A  MAJESTIC FRONTIER Nov27 Oct21 Oct08 Sep13 Jul19 (d'ales)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 ★    
2  TWO FOR CHARGING Nov15 Sep20 Jul18 Jun14 Nov10 (shivmangal lo)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00    
3  LEGAL DEAL Nov14 Oct05 Sep23 Aug16 Jul17 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
4  CUMBERLAND BLUES Dec13 Nov23 Nov16 Nov02 Oct13 (quick patrick )LUZZI J 121 12.00 5% 18.50    
5  BOLD ENDEAVOR Nov08 Jan27 Dec29 Nov26 Oct26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.20 51% 0.90    
6  HE'S GOT THIS Nov08 Oct26 Oct10 Sep13 Aug15 (abreu fernand)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00    
7  EMPTY TOMB Sep19 Jul11 May03 Jun17 May14 (falcone)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 3.00 11% 7.90    
 
AQU-6   01/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROHAN Dec08 Nov16 Oct24 Sep27 Sep13 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00    
2  BERNING BEAUTY Nov29 Oct31 Sep22 Aug18 Jun14 (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MO RHODES Nov23 Nov07 Sep26 Aug24 Jul28 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.50 12% 7.70    
4  BOLD AMBITION Dec14 Oct25 Sep15 Jul31 Jun13 (magee k)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 1.60 46% 1.20    
5  SIX KINGS Oct20 Sep18 Aug24 Aug02 Jun15 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
6  THE MONOPOLY MAN Nov30 Oct31 Oct14 Sep16 Jul20 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50    
7  BLAME IT ON DADDY Nov16 Oct18 Sep21 Feb03 Nov11 (de hor)RIVERA R 123 10.00 11% 8.20    
 
AQU-7   01/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Nov29 Nov03 Oct04 Aug31 Aug04 (friedman mi)MARTINEZ R 123 6.00    
2  FAKE CELEBRITY Nov16 Sep21 Oct27 Sep04   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 57% 0.70    
3  AZ U CHASE ME Nov29 Nov11 Oct21 Sep29 Aug02 (englehart chris)VIVES SOFIA 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  RAGAZZO DIABOLICO Nov15 Nov02 Sep01     (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00    
5  TRICOLOUR Nov25 Nov12 Oct28 Oct16 Sep18 (kirby jo)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 3.00 9% 10.40    
6  INCANTATION Nov11 Oct21 Oct02 Aug16 Apr02 (bond ja)COA J 123 5.00 7% 14.10    
7  BOYS CODE Nov21 Oct25 Sep29 Aug29 Jul31 (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
 
AQU-8   01/03/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKIE THE JOKER Dec08 Oct20 Sep29 Aug11 Jul17 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 121 3.00 38% 1.70    
1A  TRADE SECRET Nov22 Oct20 Aug16 Jul05 Jun21 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.00 ★    
2  R FUNNY BIZNESS Dec08 Nov21 Oct10 Sep15 Aug14 (romero jes)RIVERA R 121 8.00    
3  HALO CITY Nov08 Oct20 Aug16 Aug03 Apr18 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00    
SCR  HAZARDOUS HUMOR Nov22 Oct20 Sep13 Aug29 Aug03 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 14% 6.30    
5  WILLFUL DESIRE Dec08 Aug14 Jul07 Jun22 May16 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.50    
6  WAITWAITDONTTELLME Nov13 Oct21 Oct14 Sep17 Sep09 (ferraro antho)VIVES SOFIA 121 10.00 8% 12.30    
7  MON PETIT CHOU Nov07 Sep29 Sep15 Aug29 Aug14 (giangiulio mic)LUZZI J 121 6.00 11% 7.70    
8  BALENCIAGA BETTY Dec08 Nov17 Nov09 Oct12 Sep28 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.