Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Sunday - December 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $11.00 $5.00 83%
AQU-8   WIN (5/8/10/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $16.80 $6.80 68%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   12/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT-11:40
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:112     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANTHEA 5 4 6 31   2nk 1¼ (duggan p)VIVES SOFIA 122 3.50 34% 1.90 4.50 W
SANDI'S SATIRE 8 2 2½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 3.55  
PARK AVENUE BETTY 4 3 31 5   39 311¾ (kimmel joh)RIVERA R 122 5.00 5.30  
LOOKING FOR GINNY 1 6 8 7   615½ 412¾ (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 10.00  
SHE'S WICKED SMART 2 7 5 6   514 513¼ (falcone robert )DAVIS KATIE 122 1.40 38% 1.60 1.40  
HOLDER CLOSE 6 5 7 8   716 614¾ (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 40.00  
SALLY'S GOLD 3 8 41 4   411 714¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 8.40  
1A  AUNT NONA 7 1 1½ 2nk   816½ 821½ (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 5.00 5.30  
 
AQU-2   12/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT-12:10
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:103     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAMMY GIRL 5 6 31 31   2nk 1nk (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 3.70  
SPENCER TIARA 6 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 2nk (merryman elizab)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 7% 12.70 8.00 P
SCARLET'S DREAM 3 2 2nk 2nk   3 3 (giddin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 8.00  
SHEHANAH 2 3 4 43   4 412¼ (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 38% 1.60 1.25  
GEORGEES SPIRIT 4 5 55 65   5 512½ (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 31% 2.20 2.45  
GREGORIAN SOLO 1 4 6 5   6 614¾ (lugovich lisa )LUZZI J 120 20.00 38.50  
SCR  GOURMET               (synnefi)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 1.60    
 
AQU-3   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT-12:39
See original race card.
:221 :453 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACOUSTIC AVE 5 6 5 42   1nk 1 (maker j)VIVES SOFIA 120 1.40 25% 3.00 1.60 W
GRAYWING 3 3 32 2½   2nk 2 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 20% 4.10 2.00 P
BRACIOLE 1 7 711 715   6 36 (giglio)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 31.50  
ALLURE OF MONEY 4 5 6 613   7 46 (baker charlto)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 22.00  
COURAGEOOUS OH LA 7 1 2nk 1½   3 5 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 120 10.00 16% 5.10 16.80  
POP COYER 2 4 44 55   46 67 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00 4.20  
EXCELLENT TIMING 6 2 1nk 3½   5 717 (fernandez jose)LUZZI J 122 3.00 5.30  
 
AQU-4   12/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:10     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S GOT IT 5 5 6 5   35 1¼ (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.60 23% 3.40 1.90 W
MASTER FREUD 1 1 11 1   15 2¼ (klesaris rober)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 2.90  
DOLLY'S BANK 6 3 4 611   4 3 (henry)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 15.00 34.25  
REFUAH 4 7 3 35   25 4 (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80 45% 1.20 2.10  
COLLECTED SPECIAL 3 2 21 2   5 514½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 6% 15.40 4.60  
ALPHA SONNY 7 4 5 48   612½ 615 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00 5% 19.00 20.50  
A LISTER 2 6 714¾ 716   716 715½ (pringle edmun)OLVER MADISON 120 30.00 56.25  
 
AQU-5   12/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLIPTIC (IRE) 2 6 56 3 1nk 12 1 (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.80 12% 7.60 1.95 W
CHASING DAYLIGHT 3 2 1 1 2nk 22 2 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00 13.60  
BROOKLYN DANTZ 1 7 814 913 910¼ 6 3 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 15.00 40.25  
BARONESS BOURBON 9 9 916 812½ 7 59 4 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 20.00 13.60  
AMY'S LIGHT 7 4 78 7 66 7 5 (pringle edmund)OTERO AAROM 111 12.00 37.75  
SHEZANARCTICQUEEN 8 3 2 2 3 46 6 (ferraro anth)LUZZI J 123 8.00 10% 9.20 11.90  
CAROL T 6 5 67 6 43 36 7 (jimenez l)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
EMPIRE MAGIC 4 8 45 4 54 816¼ 826 (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 44% 1.30 2.10  
RED BURGUNDY 5 1 33 5 8 920¼ 927 (de hor)RIVERA R 118 5.00 8% 11.80 5.80  
 
AQU-6   12/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIREBALLIN 1 8 5 4   2½ 1¾ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 7.20  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of BARBIE ON A BUDGET by MINESHAFT)
1A  ROOFER 6 4 33 3½   1½ 2¾ (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 4.00 P
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of MEMORIES OF MOM by INCLUDE)
VOLATILE SITUATION 5 2 23 2½   31 3 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.00 53% 0.90 0.60 S
  (by VOLATILE out of SUPPLEMENT by SKY MESA)
ASSET MANAGEMENT 4 6 7 7   5 45 (baker charlto)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of INDEMAND by SAARLAND)
DEAR CHAIRMAN 8 5 44 5   66 5 (guerrero ca)RIVERA D 119 8.00 18% 4.40 7.90  
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of AUNT CHIPPY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
BANK EMPIRE 2 1 13 1½   4 611½ (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00 28.00  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ASHLEE'S EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
REVIVALISM 7 7 6 6   7 712 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 22.40  
  (by AUDIBLE out of SOUTHERN STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
KLIMT MASTER 3 3 8 814¼   822½ 831¾ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 50.00 86.75  
  (by KLIMT out of NIGHTENGALE MISS by HIGH COTTON)
SCR  FRAME UP               (martin jane)LUZZI J 119 50.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of LADYBERG by TEUFLESBERG)
SCR  MAGNI               (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 119 3.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of CARAMEAWAY by LAWYER RON)
 
AQU-7   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:221 :453 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCHEDULING DUDE 4 2 12 12   14 1 (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 11.10  
SIR KARTRITE 7 5 4 4   24 2 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.00 55% 0.80 1.65 P
IN THE CHASE 3 3 22 3   36 3 (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 120 3.50 2.35  
GIMME GIMME 1 7 55 6   69 410½ (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 13.40  
SARATOGA WARRIOR 6 6 6 5   59 510½ (gargan dan)RIVERA R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
FRIEND OFTHE DEVIL 5 4 32 22   4 610¾ (martin )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 5.00 10% 8.80 10.70  
WESTERN WOLF 2 1 7100 7100   7100 7100 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 12% 7.70 5.30  
 
AQU-8   12/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:111 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MR. SWAGGER 10 6 21 2½ 2½ 1 1 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00 14% 6.30 7.40 W
11  OPTIC WAY 11 4 11 1½ 1½ 2 2 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 2.10  
BEACHWALKER 5 9 11 1012 1010¼ 8 37 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 3.50 29% 2.50 3.30 S
BLAKE B. 2 1 42 4 3 36 4 (gia)VAZQUEZ GIAN 113 6.00 6.50  
WILD BANKER 6 8 9 9 9 79 5 (metivier richa)BROWN DALTON 121 10.00 33.25  
MYSTIC NIGHT 8 5 5 3 54 48 6 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 123 5.00 22% 3.50 4.70  
PRINCE OF JOY 3 2 32 5 44 69 710½ (legall r)DAVIS A 121 30.00 52.50  
BAR FOURTEEN 7 11 8 7 7 5 810½ (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
COMMANDPERFORMANCE 1 10 10 1112 1112¼ 1112½ 912½ (barrera oscar)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00 21.00  
FIERY HEART 9 7 6 6 6 911 1015¼ (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 10% 9.30 24.25  
RETAIL MAN 4 3 7 8 8 1012 1118 (johns)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 20.00 45.25  
 
AQU-9   12/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:12 1:251   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST AND FRISKY 7 2 6½ 5¾ 2nk 11 11 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 3.00  
SWEET ANNIVERSARY 6 6 4¼ 4¾ 42 3 21 (ferraro m )RIVERA R 120 2.50 41% 1.40 1.65 P
INTENTIOUS 4 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 21 3 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00 11.80 S
LAST GLORY 5 1 5½ 6 6 57 46 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 15.00 28.00  
10  STRESS RELIEVER 8 7 7 74 7 6 56 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 13% 6.80 4.10  
MOONLIT WEEKEND 2 4 2nk 2nk 31 4 6 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00 22.90  
SAIL WITH THE WIND 1 5 3.2 3.2 54 711½ 716¾ (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 23% 3.40 4.80  
TOSCONOVA BEAUTY 3 8 823½ 828 829¼ 831½ 826¾ (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 121 20.00 19.70  
SCR  ARIANA RYE               (falcone robert )VIVES SOFIA 118 6.00    
SCR  TROUBLED LUCK               (delauro edward)LEZCANO JOSE 120 30.00    
 
AQU-10   12/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:114 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENEGAL 5 1 2nk 1nk 11 13 1 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 3.35  
LU'S REDEMPTION 1 9 64 5 21 23 2 (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 12% 7.70 8.80 P
11  ALBEDO 10 5 9 811¾ 810½ 510½ 3 (serpe ph)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 20.00 28.75  
12  BURN RUBBER 11 6 32 3 33 38 410¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 10% 8.90 2.75  
13  CATTANI 12 7 4 43 43 4 510½ (nevin michelle)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
10  TIZ THE PRINCE 9 4 8 913¾ 710 610½ 611¼ (duggan dav)RIVERA R 121 4.00 6% 14.50 3.20  
LANDAUER 7 2 7 711¼ 6 712 715 (sciacca)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 10.00 13.30  
NEPTUNE BEACH 2 11 1110¼ 1117¾ 1018½ 920 819¾ (rodriguez rudy )OTERO AAROM 114 10.00 49% 1.00 13.00  
1A  BIG EGO 4 10 10 1016¾ 1118¾ 1024 931¾ (rodriguez gusta)DAVIS KATIE 121 10.00 13.00  
MAXIMUS MONSTER 6 3 1nk 2nk 56 819 1035 (reynolds pa)MARTINEZ R 121 30.00 74.00  
TRIPLE WORD SCORE 8 8 5 6 916½ 1124¼ 1135¾ (bernardini ju)SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00 51.50  
SWEET TONE 3 12 1225¼ 1234¾ 1233¾ 1232¼ 1238¼ (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 121 20.00 31.25  
SCR  LAO WAY               (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
SCR  STATE TREASURE E J               (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.