Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Saturday - December 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (4/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $6.20  
AQU-2   Win (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
AQU-3   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
AQU-4   Win (7/6/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 2.80
AQU-5   Win (6/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.10 $6.10  
AQU-6   Win (7/9/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $60.00  
AQU-7   Win (9/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $19.40  
AQU-8   Win (2/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.10 $3.10  
AQU-9   Win (12/7/8/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $7.80 $7.80  
AQU-10   Win (2/3/1/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $38.60 $38.60 28.60
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT-11:40
See original race card.
:23 :472 :594     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGGIE T 1 3 43 31½   1½ 11¾ (giangiulio m)RIVERA R 122 1.80 2.10  
7  JACKSON'S DIXIE 7 8 88 62¼   2½ 21¾ (samsundar roshan)OTERO AAROM 117 6.00 12% 7.60 4.90 P
8  MY FIRST LOVE 8 6 33 1nk   3½ 33¼ (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 3.60  
2  AUTUMN GLORY 2 7 77½ 74¼   53¾ 44¼ (quick j)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 11.70  
4  LA BANQUERA 4 2 21 42   65¼ 56¼ (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 118 4.50 34% 1.90 9.70  
5  GONE AND FORGOTTEN 5 4 66½ 86¼   87¼ 68¼ (dixon li)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00 22% 3.50 3.50  
3  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH 3 1 11 2nk   43½ 710 (keithan rachael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00 58.50  
6  LAUGHTER 6 5 53½ 52¼   77¼ 810½ (atras rob)DAVIS A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
 
AQU-2   12/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:10
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:133 1:262   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE 7 5 52 53 42¾ 41 12¾ (summers chad)RIVERA R 121 3.50 60% 0.70 1.30 W
1A  CARBON 3 4 1nk 1½ 1nk 3½ 22¾ (samsund)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 6.00 10.00  
5  CONDIMENT GIRL 5 2 3½ 32 2nk 1½ 33¼ (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 5.00 13% 7.00 7.90 S
4  JOLLY MISS JILL 4 1 2nk 2½ 3.2 2½ 44¾ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.50 2.15  
6  RAW POWER 6 6 63½ 65 54¾ 53 55½ (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 121 12.00 5% 19.00 19.30  
3  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 2 7 79 710½ 67¾ 66 610¼ (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 123 4.00 ★ 6.70  
2  REIGNING CHICK 1 3 41½ 42½ 711¾ 712 721¼ (fernandez jose )FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 14.60  
SCR  GRINGOTTS               (samsundar rosh)HARKIE K 121 6.00    
 
AQU-3   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT-12:39
See original race card.
:223 :453 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SECRET RULES 2 5 41¾ 42   42½ 11 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.50 56% 0.80 1.50 W
7  COLD AS HELL 7 2 3.2 1nk   1½ 21 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 4.20  
6  DANGEROUS RIDE 6 1 2nk 3½   31 32½ (kantarmaci ilka)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 7.10  
4  MASTER OF ARMS 1 4 1nk 2nk   2½ 42½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50 19% 4.20 1.40  
1A  CHARGING AERO 3 7 74 74¼   55½ 54 (fernandez n)RUIZ ELISEO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 30.75  
2B  CEES GET DEGREES 4 6 51¾ 54   66½ 64½ (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 3.50 1.50  
3X  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF 5 3 62 64¼   77½ 710 (rodriguez gu)RIVERA R 120 6.00 24.25  
SCR  DOT'S DOLLAR               (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00    
SCR  EXCELLENT TIMING               (fernandez n)LUZZI J 122 8.00    
SCR  POPPY'S PRIDE               (catalano l)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
 
AQU-4   12/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:11     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KHAFRE 2 1 11 11   11½ 12¾ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00 13% 6.80 4.40 W
8  HONORARY DEGREE 7 4 21 21   21½ 22¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 7.30  
5  VENGE 4 6 54½ 44½   45½ 34¼ (d'alessand)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 8.00 ★ 6.40 S
9  PERFECT FLIGHT 8 2 43 32½   33½ 46¼ (shivmangal lolita)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
6  SKI COUNTRY 5 8 86¼ 77   57 56¼ (fernandez jose )FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 27% 2.60 2.50  
7  CHALKY CAT 6 7 75¼ 66½   67 66½ (chichakly amira)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.00 33% 2.00 2.50  
2  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY 1 3 33 55   77¼ 79¾ (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 122 8.00 11.40  
4  CO CONSPIRATOR 3 5 64¾ 87   810¼ 811½ (jones e)RUIZ ELISEO 120 30.00 68.50  
SCR  HIGH HEAT               (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50    
 
AQU-5   12/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:112 1:233   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BOURBON CHASE 3 1 3½ 31½ 2nk 12½ 12 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 17% 4.70 2.05 W
4  RUSSIAN REALM 4 3 63¾ 42½ 42 22½ 22 (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 122 5.00 22% 3.50 8.00 P
5  SHADOW DRAGON 5 5 42½ 53 52¼ 32½ 32¾ (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00 6.80  
7  B D SAINTS 7 8 85¾ 85½ 74¼ 54½ 43¾ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 4.40  
2  SUNDAESWITHSANDY 2 6 2½ 2½ 1nk 44 56½ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00 17.10  
8  DR. KRAFT 8 7 74¼ 75 84½ 68½ 69¾ (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
1  TWO'S A CROWD 1 2 1½ 1½ 3½ 812½ 718 (ryan s)OLVER MADISON 120 12.00 35.50  
6  MIGHTY ATLAS 6 4 53½ 63½ 64¼ 710½ 819¾ (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 125 2.50 30% 2.30 2.70  
 
AQU-6   12/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:123     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HOWLING WIND 1 1 1½ 11   11 11 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 119 15.00 29.00  
6  PRETTY MAGICAL 3 2 2½ 21   32 21 (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30 P
7  MISS TIRAMISU 5 3 31 41½   21 31 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.00 58% 0.70 0.65 S
8  GABBY'S LEGACY 6 6 75 76   63¼ 43¼ (morley thomas)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00 26.50  
9  TRULLI MAGIC 7 5 42 52   52¼ 54½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 2.50 18% 4.60 2.15  
5  OUR PREFERRED PAL 2 4 52 31   42 64¾ (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00 39.75  
1A  PHONECALLTOHEAVEN 4 7 64 63½   73¼ 75¾ (miceli michael)DAVIS KATIE 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
SCR  BANK ON BEBE               (davis robb)DAVIS A 119 30.00    
SCR  JULITA               (duggan david)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
SCR  WILDCAT ANNIE               (miceli m)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00    
 
AQU-7   12/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:112 1:241   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SCAT TU TAP 6 7 65¼ 64¼ 43½ 42½ 11¼ (arriaga antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 ★ 8.70  
5  WILLINTORISKITALL 3 2 2nk 1nk 1nk 1nk 21¼ (ferraro w)OLVER MADISON 121 5.00 26% 2.80 5.70 P
11  D DAY SKY 9 3 3.2 3½ 3½ 31 32¼ (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 8.00 8.60  
9  BOLD AMBITION 7 1 1nk 2nk 2nk 2nk 42½ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 47% 1.10 0.50  
7  WINE RESPONSIBLY 5 6 42¼ 52¾ 57 58½ 510 (bhigroog chetram)LUZZI J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.80  
2  UNION EXPRESS 1 8 75¾ 78¼ 710¼ 89¾ 610¼ (toscano jo)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 39.50  
4  JANSSEN 2 9 98¼ 812¼ 810¾ 69½ 710¾ (lakeman andrew)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 17.90  
10  COMANCHE PEAK (GB) 8 4 87¼ 912¾ 911¼ 910¾ 811½ (bernardini juan)SILVERA RUBEN 123 30.00 57.75  
6  BROWN DON'T STOP 4 5 52¾ 42½ 67¼ 79¾ 915½ (fernandez n)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 22.90  
SCR  SIX KINGS               (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00    
SCR  TIMAEUS               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00    
SCR  WAR CHROME               (giangiulio m)RIVERA R 123 15.00    
 
AQU-8   12/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Stallion Series Purse ($500K) 2 ALL PT- 3:06
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:102     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SACROSANCT 1 5 2½ 2nk   1nk 1nk (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 42% 1.40 0.55 W
9  NATIONAL IDENTITY 7 3 44 33½   2nk 2nk (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 5% 19.00 17.10 P
4  SMILENSAYCHEESE 3 6 32½ 44   32 32¾ (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00 28.25 S
10  SOONTOBEKING 8 7 815 817½   52¾ 47¾ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 6.30  
3  TWOHONESTMISCHIEF 2 8 78½ 712½   67¼ 58¼ (ferraro w)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00 96.75  
8  BUTTAH 6 2 54½ 610½   78¼ 610½ (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 120 20.00 47.50  
5  BOLD FORTUNE 4 1 1½ 1nk   42¼ 716¾ (weaver george)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 36% 1.80 2.60  
6  MISSING ROCKS 5 4 66½ 59   810¾ 823¼ (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00 59.50  
SCR  FRIEND OFTHE DEVIL               (martin ca)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 20.00    
SCR  MAN IN FINANCE               (gargan danny)RIVERA R 120 5.00    
 
AQU-9   12/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Stallion Series Purse ($500K) 2 F PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:12     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  STONE SMUGGLER 11 1 62¼ 41¼   1½ 11¾ (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 30% 2.30 2.90 W
11  MATERIAL GIRL 10 4 106 114½   43½ 21¾ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 13.40  
10  PRINCESS MISCHIEF 9 11 118½ 93   2½ 32 (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 12.20  
7  BOSTON'S PHINEST 6 8 94 72¼   33½ 43¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 23% 3.40 1.65  
9  D'S A ROCK 8 2 5¾ 61¾   54½ 54¾ (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 12.90  
3  MISCHIEF LADY 3 6 3.2 2nk   64¾ 69 (barker r)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00 7% 12.90 9.90  
8  STORM CHANGER 7 10 83½ 51¼   86¾ 79½ (synnefias dimitri)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 19% 4.20 6.00  
1  BAM'S BLISS KISS 1 5 1nk 1nk   76¾ 813½ (duggan david)RIVERA R 120 8.00 12.00  
5  BLOSSOMING ERUDITE 4 3 4¼ 31   912¾ 922¼ (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 120 20.00 5% 19.00 60.50  
6  QUEEN ATLAS 5 9 73¼ 104½   1024¾ 1035¼ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00 ######  
2  STUNNING SUGAR 2 7 2nk 82½   1126¾ 1136¼ (barrow paul)LUZZI J 120 30.00 82.75  
SCR  IDYLL GOSSIP               (barrow p)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00    
 
AQU-10   12/14/2024 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:141 1:393   1:521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JUST BE HONEST 6 5 11 1nk 1½ 1nk 11 (ryerson j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 15.00 5% 19.00 18.30 W
4  FIRST TRUMPET 4 1 21 2nk 2½ 2nk 21 (delauro edwa)RIVERA R 121 4.00 5.00  
3  VERY SATISFACTORY 3 2 42 41½ 55 64¾ 33¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 25% 2.90 2.95 S
1  SALACIOUS 1 10 73½ 63½ 87¼ 54¾ 44 (barrera s)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.50 13% 6.40 3.00  
2  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 2 6 95½ 85½ 97¾ 75 54 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 35% 1.90 3.75  
7  MANO E MANO 7 3 31 31 34 43¾ 64¾ (potts wayn)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 30.00 20.80  
9  DANGEROUS DRIVER 9 4 63 74 45 33½ 75 (jimenez l)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 12.10  
10  TAPARINO 10 8 84½ 95¾ 77 85 85¾ (antonucci m)LUZZI J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
5  LCGOLUCKY 5 7 52½ 52½ 65½ 96 96¾ (ferraro w)SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00 51.75  
8  NOBLE ONE 8 9 106 107¼ 1014¾ 1019 1021½ (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00 94.75  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.