Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Saturday - December 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (4/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-2   Win (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-3   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (7/6/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (6/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (7/9/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-7   Win (9/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-8   Win (2/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-9   Win (12/7/8/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-10   Win (2/3/1/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT-11:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGGIE T Nov07 Oct20 Sep13 Aug02 Jul07 (giangiulio m)RIVERA R 122 1.80    
AUTUMN GLORY Oct10 Sep13 Jul24 Jun28 May24 (quick j)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00    
MO DAMORNINGGROUCH Dec08 Nov21 Nov03 Sep26 Sep15 (keithan rachael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
LA BANQUERA Jul25 Jun09 May24     (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 118 4.50 34% 1.90    
GONE AND FORGOTTEN Nov21 Nov05 Oct21 Sep26 Sep17 (dixon li)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
LAUGHTER Nov11 Oct23 Oct07 Sep23 Aug28 (atras rob)DAVIS A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
JACKSON'S DIXIE Nov21 Nov07 Oct20 Aug29 Aug02 (samsundar roshan)OTERO AAROM 117 6.00 12% 7.60    
MY FIRST LOVE Nov21 Oct10 Sep15 Aug29 Jul20 (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
 
AQU-2   12/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CARBON Nov22 Nov07 Oct10 Sep29 Jul20 (samsund)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 6.00    
SCR  GRINGOTTS Dec08 Nov21 Nov08 Oct10 Sep29 (samsundar rosh)HARKIE K 121 6.00    
REIGNING CHICK Nov08 Jul20 Apr25 Mar28 Mar02 (fernandez jose )FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50    
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Jun21 May10 Apr21 Mar30 Mar01 (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 123 4.00    
JOLLY MISS JILL Nov08 Oct10 Sep15 Jul25 Jun21 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.50    
CONDIMENT GIRL Nov07 Oct10 Sep15 Aug14 Jul25 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 5.00 13% 7.00    
RAW POWER Nov26 Nov12 Oct30 Oct14 Sep30 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHE CAUGHT MY EYE Nov07 Aug29 Jul17 Oct22 Aug25 (summers chad)RIVERA R 121 3.50 60% 0.70    
 
AQU-3   12/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT-12:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CHARGING AERO Oct12 Aug29 Aug11 Aug01 Jul12 (fernandez n)RUIZ ELISEO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXCELLENT TIMING Oct18 Sep21 Jun27 Jun09 May02 (fernandez n)LUZZI J 122 8.00    
SECRET RULES Nov15 Oct19 Sep27 Aug28 Aug10 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.50 56% 0.80    
2B  CEES GET DEGREES Oct19 Aug28 Jul21 May09 Mar29 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 3.50    
3X  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Nov15 Oct05 Jun29 Jun09 May19 (rodriguez gu)RIVERA R 120 6.00    
SCR  DOT'S DOLLAR Nov01 Sep27 Aug10 Jul25 Jun23 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00    
MASTER OF ARMS Sep27 Aug22 Aug07 Jun28 Jun06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  POPPY'S PRIDE Nov23 Nov01 Oct19 Aug28 Aug10 (catalano l)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
DANGEROUS RIDE Sep27 Aug28 Aug08 Jun09 Apr26 (kantarmaci ilka)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00    
COLD AS HELL Nov23 Nov01 Oct19 Aug28 Aug10 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
 
AQU-4   12/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH HEAT Nov14 Sep29 Sep15 Sep02 Jul19 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50    
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Nov24 Nov14 Oct19 Oct03 Sep14 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 122 8.00    
KHAFRE Nov24 Oct10 Sep19 Jul26 Jun27 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00 13% 6.80    
CO CONSPIRATOR Dec06 Nov23 Nov02 Oct13 Sep29 (jones e)RUIZ ELISEO 120 30.00    
VENGE Nov25 Oct30 Sep30 Sep17 May25 (d'alessand)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
SKI COUNTRY Nov23 Nov02 Oct03 Sep01 Aug11 (fernandez jose )FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 27% 2.60    
CHALKY CAT Nov08 Oct10 Sep21 Aug16 Mar29 (chichakly amira)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
HONORARY DEGREE Nov14 Nov01 Oct05 Sep14 Sep01 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
PERFECT FLIGHT Nov14 Oct05 Sep19 Jul27 Jun19 (shivmangal lolita)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-5   12/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO'S A CROWD Nov22 Oct24 Sep28 Aug29 Jul28 (ryan s)OLVER MADISON 120 12.00    
SUNDAESWITHSANDY Feb17 Dec17 Nov26 Nov05 Sep28 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00    
BOURBON CHASE Nov22 Oct24 Sep28 Aug25 Feb17 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 17% 4.70    
RUSSIAN REALM Sep29 Aug15 Jun29 May11 Mar24 (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 122 5.00 22% 3.50    
SHADOW DRAGON Nov22 Sep28 Aug01 Jun27 May26 (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00    
MIGHTY ATLAS Nov22 Sep28 Aug30 Jun27 May27 (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 125 2.50 30% 2.30    
B D SAINTS Nov23 Nov08 Oct18 Sep21 Aug25 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
DR. KRAFT Nov23 Aug25 Aug01 Jun27 May26 (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   12/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PHONECALLTOHEAVEN Nov22 Oct25       (miceli michael)DAVIS KATIE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WILDCAT ANNIE Oct26         (miceli m)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00    
SCR  BANK ON BEBE Nov16         (davis robb)DAVIS A 119 30.00    
HOWLING WIND Nov22         (ferraro w)LUZZI J 119 15.00    
SCR  JULITA         (duggan david)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
OUR PREFERRED PAL Nov16 Oct26       (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00    
PRETTY MAGICAL Nov16 Aug22       (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
MISS TIRAMISU Nov16         (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.00 58% 0.70    
GABBY'S LEGACY Oct20         (morley thomas)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00    
TRULLI MAGIC Nov16         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
AQU-7   12/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SIX KINGS Oct20 Sep18 Aug24 Aug02 Jun15 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00    
SCR  TIMAEUS Jun22 May27 Apr26 May06   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00    
UNION EXPRESS Oct26 Sep29 Aug23 Jul24 Jun14 (toscano jo)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WAR CHROME Oct21 Sep22 Mar14 Feb03   (giangiulio m)RIVERA R 123 15.00    
JANSSEN Nov30 Oct31 Sep22 Aug28 Jul24 (lakeman andrew)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
WILLINTORISKITALL Sep29 Aug24 Jul27 Jun29 May27 (ferraro w)OLVER MADISON 121 5.00 26% 2.80    
BROWN DON'T STOP Nov21 May27 May02 Apr12 Mar24 (fernandez n)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
WINE RESPONSIBLY Nov10 Oct13 Aug16 Nov18 Oct29 (bhigroog chetram)LUZZI J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCAT TU TAP Nov29 Nov09 Oct26 Sep19 Aug23 (arriaga antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00    
BOLD AMBITION Oct25 Sep15 Jul31 Jun13 Apr14 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
10  COMANCHE PEAK (GB) Nov21 Oct25 Oct05 Sep01 Jul12 (bernardini juan)SILVERA RUBEN 123 30.00    
11  D DAY SKY Nov21 Oct14 Sep21 Aug17 Jul21 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 8.00    
 
AQU-8   12/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Stallion Series Purse ($500K) 2 ALL PT- 3:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FRIEND OFTHE DEVIL Oct31 Sep02 Aug03     (martin ca)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 20.00    
SACROSANCT Oct27 Sep22 Aug21     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
TWOHONESTMISCHIEF Nov23 Nov03 Oct19 Sep22 Sep02 (ferraro w)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00    
SMILENSAYCHEESE Oct27 Sep22 Aug25 Aug03   (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
BOLD FORTUNE Oct21 Sep22 Aug21     (weaver george)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
MISSING ROCKS Oct17 Oct03 Sep05 Aug17   (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
SCR  MAN IN FINANCE Nov16 Sep21       (gargan danny)RIVERA R 120 5.00    
BUTTAH Oct21 Sep22 Sep02 Jul25   (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
NATIONAL IDENTITY Nov02 Oct06       (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  SOONTOBEKING Nov16 Oct27 Sep23 Aug25 Jul13 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
 
AQU-9   12/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Stallion Series Purse ($500K) 2 F PT- 3:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAM'S BLISS KISS Nov17 Oct05 Aug25     (duggan david)RIVERA R 120 8.00    
STUNNING SUGAR Nov18 Oct28       (barrow paul)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
MISCHIEF LADY Oct25 Sep23 Aug14     (barker r)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00 7% 12.90    
SCR  IDYLL GOSSIP Nov11 Oct21 Sep23 Aug26 Jul30 (barrow p)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00    
BLOSSOMING ERUDITE Nov02 Oct10 Sep20     (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
QUEEN ATLAS Nov11 Oct22       (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00    
BOSTON'S PHINEST Oct27 Sep20 Aug04     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
STORM CHANGER Nov16         (synnefias dimitri)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 19% 4.20    
D'S A ROCK Nov17 Oct06       (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00    
10  PRINCESS MISCHIEF Nov22 Oct25 Sep23 Aug22   (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
11  MATERIAL GIRL Nov03 Oct05       (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
12  STONE SMUGGLER Nov17 Sep23 Aug22     (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
AQU-10   12/14/2024 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALACIOUS Oct25 Oct18 Sep14 Aug17 Jul31 (barrera s)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.50 13% 6.40    
ACTIVE DUTY (FR) Oct16 Sep12 Jun28 May18 Apr24 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 35% 1.90    
VERY SATISFACTORY Nov21 Oct05 Jul15 Jun16 Mar24 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 25% 2.90    
FIRST TRUMPET Nov29 Oct03 Sep19 Sep02 Aug05 (delauro edwa)RIVERA R 121 4.00    
LCGOLUCKY Nov07 Sep28 Sep19 Sep01 Jun21 (ferraro w)SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00    
JUST BE HONEST Nov24 Nov07 Sep25 Sep02 Aug24 (ryerson j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
MANO E MANO Nov07 Sep14 May19 Apr20   (potts wayn)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 30.00    
NOBLE ONE Nov21 May12 Mar28 Feb25 Feb02 (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00    
DANGEROUS DRIVER Nov21 Nov01 Oct05 Aug24 Jul12 (jimenez l)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00    
10  TAPARINO Oct25 Sep28 Aug30 Aug02 Jun30 (antonucci m)LUZZI J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.