Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Saturday - December 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-2   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $13.80 $7.80 130%
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-7 $26.50 $20.50 342%
    DD (2/3/9/5/8)-(4/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00  3-5 $16.30 $1.30 9%
AQU-3   DD (4/7/5)-(3/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-4 $25.75 $13.75 115%
AQU-6   WIN (10/2/12/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $17.00 $7.00 70%
    DD (6/8/9/13/2)-(10/2/12/9/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00  13-9 $26.00 $1.00 4%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   12/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT-12:10
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:104     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTAIN COOK 3 4 2½ 21   1 1 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 32% 2.10 0.50 W
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of POW WOW WOW by INDIAN CHARLIE)
GRIFFIN'S WHARF 6 3 4 3   3 2 (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 14.40  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AUTONOMOUS by QUALITY ROAD)
ATLAL 2 5 1½ 11   2 3 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 1.80 40% 1.50 3.80 S
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ATHEER by MALIBU MOON)
GREY ACE 9 1 33 4   48 410¼ (friedman mi)MARTINEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
  (by MITOLE out of NASHOBA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10  STEEL VENGEANCE 10 2 6 511½   513 516¼ (potts wayn)RIVERA R 119 12.00 30.00  
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of BAREFOOT NATIVE by GRAYDAR)
HOPE'S ALIVE 8 7 5 611½   613 616¾ (kelly blake)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
  (by GIFT BOX out of GALLUS MAG by CAIRO PRINCE)
SNARE 5 6 8 716½   720 723 (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
  (by VEKOMA out of KERI BELLE by EMPIRE MAKER)
GONE BOY 4 10 1014¾ 1021½   822 823½ (sanchez-pinero )OTERO AAROM 112 30.00 ######  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of BRUSHED BY A STAR by EDDINGTON)
NOD TO TRAN 1 8 913¼ 920½   923 928¼ (diprima gregor)LUZZI J 119 15.00 55.00  
  (by MINESHAFT out of SEA HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
HENRY'S HOPE 7 9 78 819   1033 1048¼ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00 62.75  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SKY GESTURE by TIZNOW)
 
AQU-2   12/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT-12:39
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:12 1:251   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK THE WEEKEND 3 2 52 5 3 2nk 14 (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 121 12.00 5% 19.00 5.90 W
NOONZIO 5 5 31 2½ 1nk 1nk 24 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 23% 3.40 2.35 P
TOMACON 1 1 4 41 4 4 311¾ (duggan dav)RIVERA R 120 15.00 3.35  
SAINT GAUDENS 2 6 2nk 3½ 54 5 412¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 53% 0.90 1.40  
HEY TOBY 6 4 1nk 1½ 2nk 3 516 (englehart jerem)VIVES SOFIA 123 10.00 10.80  
CONCORDE SPIRIT 4 3 63 6 6 6 618¼ (delauro edward)COA J 118 30.00 44.50  
SCR  IRON MAN IRA               (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
SCR  LIBERTY CENTRAL               (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50    
 
AQU-3   12/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Gravesend Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:222 :454 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAXIMUS MERIDIUS 4 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 1½ (reid e)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.00 17% 4.70 2.45 W
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of QUIET VIRTUE by TURKOMAN)
FULL MOON MADNESS 2 7 4 2nk   2nk 2½ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 7.70  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BY THE MOON by INDIAN CHARLIE)
RUNNINSONOFAGUN 3 5 6 5   4 3 (toscano t)ROSARIO JOEL 126 1.80 48% 1.10 1.50 S
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GOLDEN ARTEMIS by MALIBU MOON)
TOP GUNNER 6 3 5 6   5 4 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00 11% 8.10 7.20  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DOWNTON MY LADY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
TOXIC GRAY 5 2 1nk 3½   3 5 (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 4.10  
  (by VERRAZANO out of REGGAE SONG by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
TIVY 1 6 7 7   7 6 (antonu)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 5% 19.00 50.50  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JELLICLE SONG by STREET CRY (IRE))
TWENTY FOUR MAMBA 7 4 3½ 4¾   6 7 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 16.30  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of OH MAYBE BABY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
AQU-4   12/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIOLENT SWING 9 9 4 3½   1nk 1½ (ferraro anth)COA J 120 10.00 7.90  
YORK TAVERN 6 5 63 6   31 2½ (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 29% 2.40 2.25 P
RIDE UP 3 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 3 (abreu )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 2.50 39% 1.50 3.80 S
CONNIVING 8 4 31 4   53 45 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 120 5.00 5% 17.60 5.40  
MASTERWORK 5 10 9 7   6 58 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 120 12.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
MAJESTIC ARC 1 3 2nk 1nk   4 6 (shivmang)DAVIS A 122 20.00 26.50  
RALEIGH ST. CLAIR 4 1 7 8   7 7 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 10.00 5% 19.00 4.00  
10  IRIE MAN 10 6 84 9   9 8 (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 36.75  
BROWN DON'T STOP 2 8 52 5   8 910 (bernardini)RIVERA R 118 12.00 21.80  
SKELLIG ISLAND 7 7 1010¼ 1013¾   1012¼ 1014 (reynolds patr)OLVER MADISON 118 15.00 29.25  
 
AQU-5   12/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:22 :453 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  NAIVE MELODY 11 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 1¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 15% 5.80 1.30 W
  (by COMPLEXITY out of GOODS AND SERVICES by PAYNTER)
FOREVER TO GO 7 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 2¾ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 19% 4.20 4.70 P
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
MISS AMERICAN PIE 8 8 65 6   710¼ 39 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 15% 5.50 5.90 S
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of DOWNDRAFT by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
HATTIE CARROLL 4 9 8 7   5 410¾ (kimmel c)LUZZI J 119 20.00 86.50  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of STEPHANIES JEWEL by ORB)
BLUE EYED SCOUT 3 2 33 3   38 511 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 4.20  
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of BLUE CLARET by TOM ROLFE)
WILD MISCHIEF 2 10 1111½ 1112¾   912¾ 613 (maker j)VIVES SOFIA 119 12.00 5% 19.00 29.00  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of WILD BILL'S GIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
TWIRLING LULU 5 4 4 4   4 713¼ (levine)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00 21% 3.80 14.20  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MISS HOT STONES by BUSTIN STONES)
12  MOMMY'S TURN 10 6 54 5   6 813¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 13.80  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of HARD TO STAY NOTGO by MORE THAN READY)
LEONORA'S SECRET 6 7 9 8   810¾ 914¼ (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 28.50  
  (by BERNARDINI out of FRESCO by FREUD)
THREE NINES FINE 1 11 109 1010¼   1014¼ 1015½ (duggan dav)RIVERA R 119 10.00 32.00  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SILVER STREET by STREET BOSS)
10  PARTY AT THE POST 9 5 7 9   1122¼ 1129½ (sells rachel)HARKIE K 119 30.00 88.50  
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of IDEATIONAL by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
SCR  DEFLECTION POINT               (serpe ph)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 30.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of WESTERLY by GONE WEST)
SCR  TRULLI MAGIC               (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of MAKENNAS MAGIC by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
AQU-6   12/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:103 1:234   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERTE DE BAYEUX 9 9 8 5 2nk 1 1 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 5% 19.00 7.50 W
MINISTERIAL 3 8 106 106 8 5 2 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 123 3.50 2.35  
10  CONFABULATION 10 5 5 3.2 3.2 2 36 (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50 41% 1.50 7.80 S
J D FACTOR 1 4 64 84 5 4 4 (barker )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 12.00 9.50  
BIG WALT 2 12 11 12 10 10 5 (ward a)CIVACI SAHIN 120 12.00 28% 2.50 8.60  
STRAPPED 8 10 129 11 11 7 6 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 123 8.00 15.30  
REGISTER 4 7 4 6 7 66 77 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00 17.40  
VINSANITY 5 1 22 2nk 1nk 3 8 (arriaga antonio)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 26.25  
12  MELT WITH YOU 12 11 9 95 12 11 9 (potts wayne)VIVES SOFIA 120 8.00 5% 17.30 12.80  
HOULTON 6 6 7 74 95 9 1013¾ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 13.00  
SORORITY PRANK 7 2 33 4¼ 6 8 1124¾ (englehart chri)LUZZI J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 26.00  
11  BEST BET 11 3 12 1nk 4 12 1230½ (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 6.40  
 
AQU-7   12/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:101     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SKYLANDER 10 2 67 53   2 1 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 4.50  
11  VETTRIANO (IRE) 11 3 1 1   1 2 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 26% 2.80 1.55 P
LOCKE AND KEY 6 7 811 77   56 3 (ryerson james )LUZZI J 122 6.00 18% 4.60 8.50 S
MAGNIFICENT MILE 1 12 911½ 8   77 46 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00 5% 19.00 25.25  
CERTIFIED LOVERBOY 9 5 55 6   6 5 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 49.00  
ANTONIO OF VENICE 4 6 3 42   3 6 (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 12% 7.50 3.85  
TRUST ISSUES 3 8 4 32   44 7 (lovell michell)CIVACI SAHIN 120 8.00 17% 4.90 9.40  
PAXSATIONAL 7 4 2 2   8 815¼ (barker r)VIVES SOFIA 120 15.00 20.90  
PEEK 8 11 1115½ 914¼   914½ 915½ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 23.50  
STJAMES 5 10 1216 1014¼   1015 1016½ (sells rachel)HARKIE K 120 50.00 95.00  
FORREST CITY 2 9 1014 1114¾   1117 1116¾ (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00 24.00  
12  ARI'S MAGIC 12 1 78 1226¾   12100 12100 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 120 30.00 39.75  
 
AQU-8   12/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Alex Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:101 1:231   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANK FRENZY 6 4 32 22 2 22 1hd (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.80 28% 2.50 1.35 W
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of STORM NOW by STORM CENTER)
DOC SULLIVAN 4 1 12 12 1 12 2hd (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 5.10  
  (by SOLOMINI out of QUEEN FROSTINE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SHERIFF BIANCO 7 5 54 4 43 3 3 (rice linda)RIVERA R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 16.20 S
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SUMMER RULES by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
WHITTINGTON PARK 2 7 6 6 5 67 48 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 123 15.00 21.70  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SEE THE FOREST by FORESTRY)
COLLOQUY 1 6 710 710½ 68 57 510¼ (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00 12.40  
  (by FLATTER out of MISS VALENTINE by AFLEET ALEX)
EL GRANDE O 3 2 22 32 3 4 610¾ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.60 45% 1.20 1.60  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of RAINBOW'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
OLYMPIC DREAMS 5 3 43 58 711½ 720 734½ (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 123 8.00 5% 19.00 17.30  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of KIROV by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  NEURAL NETWORK               (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 20.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of LAPINSKI by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
AQU-9   12/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:124     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOKITWITHHADDAD 9 11 9 7   32 12 (de horacio)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 5.90  
13  VAMONOS VAMONOS 12 2 42 1nk   12 22 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 119 2.50 21% 3.70 2.95 P
10  CADA DIA MEJOR 10 8 6 3½   22 3 (kantarmaci ilk)LUZZI J 119 15.00 11% 8.40 25.25 S
12  CLASSIC RUBY 11 1 2½ 2nk   4 4 (rodrigue)VILLA FAVINHO 119 30.00 97.50  
ROMEO VOID 6 6 8 9   610 5 (green j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 6.10  
ROCKED OUT 8 7 7 8   5 6 (de paz)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 72.00  
MARVELOUS RICHARD 1 5 1½ 4¾   711½ 720¼ (sciacca gary)COA J 119 15.00 11% 8.40 6.30  
KING'S SPIRIT 7 9 1114½ 1116¼   1114¼ 820½ (sacco gregory )CIVACI SAHIN 119 10.00 14.20  
MONOMOY BEACH 4 4 3 6   812 921¼ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 17% 4.90 7.50  
DANZIGER 2 12 1216 1221¼   1217¼ 1021½ (schettin)DAVIS A 119 30.00 32.75  
RESISTANCE FUTILE 3 10 10 1011¾   1014 1126½ (brown b)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 30.00 62.50  
ONE VISION 5 3 5 5   913½ 1227½ (terranova )RIVERA R 119 1.80 20% 4.10 3.35  
SCR  M G DASH               (sacco d)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
SCR  TINO IN TOGA               (sciacca gary)OTERO AAROM 112 15.00    
SCR  WHITE BLUE               (salazar )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.