Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - April 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(4/1/2)-(3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(3/1)-(1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/1)-(1/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(1/7)-(1/5/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/7)-(1/5/6/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(1/5/6/8)-(5/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/8)-(1/5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/8)-(1/5/6/8)-(1/5/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/6/8)-(5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/8)-(5/1/2)-(2/1/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(2/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(2/1/7/3)-(3/10/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/3)-(3/10/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (3/10/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/6/8)-(3/10/6/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/10/6/8)-(3/10/6/8/4)-(3/10/6/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGGIE'S SONG Feb04         (hennig mark)LUZZI J 118 15.00    
SCR  YINGLE BELLS Mar23         (contessa c)RUIZ ELISEO 113 3.50    
3  ISN'T SHE KHOZY Jul07         (martin car)RIVERA R 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  LUMENIQUE Mar10 Feb11       (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  THAT'STHEFACTJACK Nov04 Sep16       (schettino d)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 10.00    
6  LOOKS FIRST Mar09 Jul23 Jun18     (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.40 41% 1.40    
 
AQU-2   04/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Mar15 Feb17 Jan19 Dec31 Nov14 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 31% 2.30    
1A  BANK ON ANNA Mar17 Jan11 Oct29 Aug11 Jun25 (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00    
2  JACKIE THE JOKER Mar30 Mar15 Feb09 Jan11 Jan04 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 118 12.00 6% 16.80    
SCR  MURSAL Feb16 Jan14 Dec14 Oct26 Sep22 (giangiulio)RIVERA R 120 3.50    
4  SHESALITTLE EDGY Mar15 Feb16 Dec14 Nov24 Feb24 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.20 40% 1.50    
5  REMAIN ANONYMOUS Mar15 Feb16 Dec14 Oct28 Oct01 (nevin michelle)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00    
6  DOLCE SERA Apr07 Mar15 Feb17 Jan18 Jan01 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
 
AQU-3   04/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMQUIST Jan28 Nov05 Oct07 Sep20 May18 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00    
1A  REMEMBER THE NAME Jan05 Dec14 Nov10 Oct05 Aug19 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 6% 14.40    
2  MAD BANKER Mar17 Mar10 Feb19 Jan05 Dec08 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 ★    
3  DYLAN'S RUBY Mar25 Feb07       (servis c)PENNINGTON F 120 1.80 67% 0.50    
4  IN A MINUTE Mar21 Mar08 Dec02 Nov18 Oct13 (ryerson james)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 ★    
5  RETAIL MAN Mar24 Mar07 Jan06 Dec08 Oct22 (ryerson t)RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00    
6  HEARD ON THESTREET Mar30 Mar03 Feb10 Jan12   (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00    
 
AQU-4   04/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACHWALKER Apr05 Mar16 Mar01 Feb19 Feb04 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.80 48% 1.10    
SCR  KANT BEAT THE ROCK Mar15 Mar09 Mar01 Feb02 Jan13 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 120 1.80    
SCR  HOT ROD RUMBLE Mar22 Mar14 Feb25 Jan05 Nov14 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50    
3  TETSU Mar30 Feb19 Feb09 Dec29 Dec02 (diprima gregor)LUZZI J 118 8.00    
SCR  CAPONE Apr11 Mar15 Feb09 Jan01 Dec28 (shivmangal )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00    
5  RYAN'S CAT Mar30 Mar10 Feb03 Jan07 Dec30 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
SCR  SEVEN NATION ARMY Mar21 Feb09 Nov30 Nov11 Oct14 (baker char)RIVERA R 118 5.00    
7  JAKE ROCKS Apr05 Feb19 Feb02 Oct14 Sep16 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 20% 4.00    
 
AQU-5   04/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY Mar09 Jan07 Dec09     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.40 39% 1.60    
2  MR. PAPAGIORGIO         (martin carlos )LUZZI J 118 12.00    
3  GOLD 'N' SCARLET Mar01 Dec09       (baker char)RIVERA R 125 15.00    
SCR  BRINDANO         (martin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
5  DON VINO VICI Mar14 Feb16 Dec14 Oct13 Sep14 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 21% 3.80    
6  BETTA GO GO GO Mar08 Jan17 Dec21 Nov19 Oct14 (barker r)RUIZ ELISEO 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
7  POLISH UP Aug05         (duarte jorg)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00    
8  MR. GEORGIE Mar30 Mar10       (miceli m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  CASTLECOVE SPIRIT Mar30 Mar10 Feb02 Nov02 Sep22 (davis robb)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 30.00    
 
AQU-6   04/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICE ROAD Apr05 Mar08 Feb03 Dec28 Nov25 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
2  PETROLO Mar08 Nov10 Oct16 Aug19 Feb25 (bond kevin)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  BEARY FUNNY Feb11 Jan04 Dec14 Nov16 Oct28 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 ★    
4  I LOVE CARA Mar16 Feb29 Jan19 Jan01 Dec01 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 15.00    
5  PRINCIPE D'ORO Mar09 Jan13 Jun24 May11 Apr15 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 43% 1.30    
6  PHANTOM JEWEL Mar23 Mar03 Jan28 Jan01 Nov26 (contessa g)RIVERA R 122 15.00    
7  GOLDEN PURCHASE Mar17 Feb29 Feb11 Jan18 Dec15 (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 122 20.00    
 
AQU-7   04/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. KRAFT Mar24 Feb11 Dec16 Dec01 Aug15 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  WARALO Feb24 Jan13 Dec16 Nov01 Sep19 (englehart ch)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
3  BOURBON'S HOPE Mar30 Mar09 Mar03 Feb19 Jan27 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  STARQUIST May13 Apr13 Feb25 Jan15 Nov25 (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00    
5  MESSI THE MAGICIAN Mar24 Mar09 Jan27 Jan06 Dec07 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00    
6  PRINCE OF TRUTH Feb29 Dec30 Dec01 Oct28 Sep04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
7  FORTUNE'S NEPHEW Apr06 Mar09 Feb11 Dec30 Nov16 (levine bruce)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00 15% 5.50    
 
AQU-8   04/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARCO AUGUSTA Mar16 Feb18 Feb04 Jan14 Dec29 (begg ben)LUZZI J 118 8.00    
2  TRIPLE WORD SCORE Apr11 Mar16 Mar08 Feb18 Jan13 (berna)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
3  WATCH HILL Mar09 Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 Nov17 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.00 31% 2.20    
4  I'M JUST Aug30 Jul04 May29 Apr21 Mar18 (clement chris)OLVER MADISON 126 4.00 ★    
5  FRANKIE R. Mar09 Feb23 Dec02 Nov12   (coffey mari)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 30.00    
6  SPOKEN BLUNTLY Feb15         (levine bruc)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 17% 5.00    
7  MORTGAGE RATE Mar28 Feb25 Jan13     (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
8  JANSSEN Apr11 Mar08 Jan18 Nov18   (lakeman an)RIVERA R 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
9  IRIE MAN Mar16 Feb18 Feb02 Dec29   (baker charlt)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00    
10  SOLO TONIGHT Mar08 Feb02 Dec29 Dec08   (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 27% 2.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.