Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - April 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1)-(1/3)-(1/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(1/3/4)-(1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(1/7)-(1/3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/3/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/7)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(1/3/2)-(2/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(2/1/5)-(1/2/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/3/5)-(2/1/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(1/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(1/2/7/4)-(1/5/7/4/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/4)-(1/5/7/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/5/7/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/4/9)-(1/5/7/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/4/9)-(1/5/7/4/9)-(1/5/7/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TERESA Mar21 Feb11 Jan13 Dec08 Oct12 (barrera osc)PAREDES JHOVANY 119 8.00 6% 17.10    
2  KHALI'S STORM Mar03 Feb16 Jan11 Dec16 Aug27 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
3  JINGLE JANGLE Nov02 Aug27       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 11% 8.40    
4  KRYSTALHEIR Mar29 Feb24 Jan05 Dec07 Nov19 (coffey)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 5.00    
SCR  EAST HARBOR Mar15 Mar03 Feb19     (sells rac)CAMACHO JR 118 10.00    
6  OUR REWARD Mar29 Feb17 Jan07 Jan01   (brown bruce )CASTILLO ISAAC 126 4.00    
7  TEN TEN         (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 60% 0.70    
 
AQU-2   04/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL POPPY Feb19 Jan11 Nov24 Oct07 Sep02 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  FUNNY HOW Apr07 Oct29 May14 Apr07 Feb12 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00    
3  MOSIENKO Jan27 Dec17 Dec01 Oct12 Aug19 (lalman den)RIVERA R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEAVE NO TRACE Mar17 Jan27 Dec03 Oct14 Aug30 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50    
5  QUICK MUNNY Mar09 Dec17 Dec01 Oct28 Sep17 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00    
SCR  PHAROAH'S HEART Jan14 Jun16 Apr16 Mar17 Feb24 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00    
 
AQU-3   04/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLE OF THE BALL Apr07 Mar24 Feb17 Jan26 Jan19 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.80 43% 1.30    
2  PERPETUAL PRAISE Mar28 Feb23 Jan19 Aug02 Jun01 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 8.00    
3  DUCKPHAT Mar24 Mar02 Dec30 Dec08 Nov03 (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 5.00 29% 2.40    
4  BLOME Apr01 Mar04 Dec10 Nov18 Sep05 (montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  LA GROTTE Mar24 Feb19 Dec30 Nov09 Oct06 (belsoe)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00    
SCR  COOLCALM COLLECTED Oct08 Jul02 Jun03 May13 Mar17 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.40    
 
AQU-4   04/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTH STREET Mar29 Mar16 Feb29 Feb17 Jan28 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.00 72% 0.40    
1A  G MUNNING Mar29 Feb16 Jan26 Dec09 Nov10 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 ★    
SCR  DADS GOOD RUNNER Apr07 Mar02 Feb11 Jan28 Dec28 (persaud rand)HARKIE K 120 5.00    
3  VAUNTED Mar28 Jan14 Dec07 Nov10 Oct28 (ryerson t)RUIZ ELISEO 117 3.50 ★    
SCR  BARGAINING POWER Apr04 Mar21 Feb17 Feb03 Dec30 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 117 12.00    
5  GRAND AGAIN Mar21 Feb29 Feb11 Jan14 Dec16 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00    
SCR  GUN MAESTRO Apr05 Feb29 Jan18 Dec30 Dec17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
7  QUICK HAMMER Mar29 Feb16 Feb10 Dec28 Nov24 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-5   04/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONED UP Mar28 Feb11 Dec28 Nov25 Oct27 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
2  WHISTLER'S STYLE Mar28 Feb24 Feb09 Jan14 Jan04 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.50 11% 8.20    
3  PRETTI XTREME Mar15 Feb10 Jan14 Nov25 Oct27 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
4  HALO CITY Mar01 Feb09 Feb02 Jan04 Nov25 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50    
5  MY FIRST LOVE Apr04 Mar15 Feb19 Jul02 Jun01 (potts wayne)RUIZ ELISEO 113 8.00    
6  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Apr04 Feb24 Jan28 Dec31 Dec07 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50    
 
AQU-6   04/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAZ' ROSE Jan10 Oct29 Aug23     (englehart jef)OLVER MADISON 120 12.00 10% 9.40    
2  KHOZY COLBY Mar17 Mar08 Feb16 Jan25 Dec26 (david carlos )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 56% 0.80    
3  TAVIN Mar29 Mar03 Jan18 Jan01 Nov26 (nevin michelle)RUIZ ELISEO 115 3.00 ★    
4  SPEIGHTS DANCE Mar03 Jan05 Dec01 Nov09 Nov02 (duggan p)LUZZI J 120 5.00    
5  ALLEY'S SONG Apr07 Mar14 Feb09 Jan18 Dec14 (ferraro )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 110 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISS BOURBON Mar17 Feb19 Jan28 Nov16 Oct21 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
7  YOU'RE FOREVER Apr11 Mar08 Jan27 Nov12   (falcone ro)RIVERA R 120 3.50    
 
AQU-7   04/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATHENA BEACH Sep02 Jul26 Jun21 May18 Mar30 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 58% 0.70    
1A  NEWSDLEY Feb17 Dec29 Dec01 Nov03 Sep22 (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.50    
2  GHOSTBUSTIN Mar16 Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 Dec07 (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
3  CHASING DAYLIGHT Mar28 Mar02 Feb11 Dec30 Dec08 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
4  MERAVIGLIOSO Mar24 Mar10 Feb23 Feb02 Jan11 (ferraro )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 110 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  FOXY CARA Mar16 Feb24 Jan05 Dec07 Nov19 (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00    
6  EASY PLAY Mar16 Feb17 Jan26 Dec29 Dec03 (d'alessandro ra)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
7  MOULY Mar16 Feb17 Jan26 Dec30 Nov25 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-8   04/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIRASANA Apr23 Mar18       (eurton peter)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
2  FANCY AZTECA Feb24 Feb02 Dec17 Nov25 Oct05 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
3  MY GIRL JAL Mar24 Feb23 Jan26 Dec30 Dec14 (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 15.00    
4  KITTEN'S APPEAL Feb24 Jan05 Nov26 Apr16 Feb25 (levine bruce)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MAJESTIC RETURN Feb17 Jan04 Nov16 Sep24 Sep02 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
6  OBRIGADA Feb24 Oct07 Jul30 Jul13 Jun10 (rice lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
7  ASSET PURCHASE Apr22 Mar04 Jan29     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 19% 4.40    
8  COLLECT DATTT Mar07 Feb16 Dec16 Nov25 Nov11 (belsoe)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00    
9  ZIAERATI Sep02 Jul14 Jun03 Apr07 Mar04 (falcone robe)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.