Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaklawn Park
Thursday - March 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

OP-1   WIN (4/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/1)-(4/8/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/1)-(4/8/3/1)-(4/8/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/1)-(4/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
OP-2   WIN (4/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/7)-(4/9/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/7)-(4/9/7/1/5)-(4/9/7/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/9/7)-(6/4/9/3/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/9/7)-(6/4/9/3/10)-(6/1/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-3   WIN (6/4/9/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/9/3/10)-(6/4/9/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/9/3/10)-(6/4/9/3/10)-(6/4/9/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/9/3/10)-(6/1/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/9/3/10)-(6/1/5/8)-(1/5/8/2/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-4   WIN (6/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/8)-(6/1/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/8)-(6/1/5/8)-(6/1/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/5/8)-(1/5/8/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5/8)-(1/5/8/2/9)-(2/6/1/9/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-5   WIN (1/5/8/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/2/9)-(1/5/8/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/2/9)-(1/5/8/2/9)-(1/5/8/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/8/2/9)-(2/6/1/9/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/5/8/2/9)-(2/6/1/9/3)-(7/9/4/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-6   WIN (2/6/1/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/9/3)-(2/6/1/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/9/3)-(2/6/1/9/3)-(2/6/1/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/1/9/3)-(7/9/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/9/3)-(7/9/4/5)-(2/9/5/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-7   WIN (7/9/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/4/5)-(7/9/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/4/5)-(7/9/4/5)-(7/9/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/4/5)-(2/9/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/9/4/5)-(2/9/5/7)-(7/3/12/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
OP-8   WIN (2/9/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/5/7)-(2/9/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/5/7)-(2/9/5/7)-(2/9/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/5/7)-(7/3/12/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
OP-9   WIN (7/3/12/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/12/1)-(7/3/12/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/12/1)-(7/3/12/1/6)-(7/3/12/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
OP-1   03/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKET NIGHT Feb11 Dec16 Oct26 Sep28 Aug19 (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of STAINLESS by FLATTER)
SCR  CHARLESTON Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Dec15 Nov15 (fires h)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of STIRRING by SEEKING THE GOLD)
CROSSING Feb25 Jan27 Nov22 Nov08 Oct25 (lauer mic)BEALMEAR C 117 4.50    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DREAMIN BIG by STUTZ BLACKHAWK)
MACKMAN Feb15 Sep29       (compton g)TORRES A 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SILVERPOCKETSFULL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
BRIO Mar02 Jan26       (medina robe)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 10.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of VIGOR by WAR FRONT)
RELAMPAGO VERDE Feb22 Oct13       (mcpeek kenne)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of COLINA VERDE by KNOW HEIGHTS)
FIRST OF HIS NAME Aug26 Aug05       (brisset )SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of SUPER ALLISON by SUPER SAVER)
MOUNT CRAIG Feb25 Nov24 Oct21 Sep28 Aug11 (moquett ronald )VAZQUEZ A 124 1.80 35% 1.90    
  (by ARROGATE out of FLASH FORWARD by SCROLL)
 
OP-2   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEITFUL SAM Mar09 Feb16 Jan06 Sep04 Aug17 (robertson mclean)BEJARANO R 118 4.50    
REUP Feb16 Jun17 Jun07 May06 Apr16 (cline n)HARR KELSI 113 20.00    
EASY BIG BOY Mar14 Mar01 Feb16 Dec17 Dec09 (hewitt mic)ANDERSON MCKENNA 118 20.00    
COMMUNICATION MEMO Feb16 Jan27 Jan04 Nov25 Nov14 (martin timothy )VAZQUEZ A 118 1.80 65% 0.50    
ASPEN CLUB Feb18 Feb10 Jan06 Dec09 Nov10 (hewitt michael)BOWEN ROCCO 113 12.00    
WARHORSE WEST Jan26 Dec29 Dec09 Nov09 Sep21 (rone mike)DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
MISTER SHARPIE Feb16 Jan26 Dec29 Nov17 Nov02 (jordan t)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 8.00 5% 18.20    
ROSIE'S BOY Feb19 Feb02 Sep03 Aug06 Jul22 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 113 30.00    
FORSAKEN Feb16 Jan28 Jan05 Dec29 Dec07 (hartman c)BEALMEAR C 112 2.50 8% 11.70    
SCR  INVARIABLY Mar10 Feb16 Jan26 Dec29 Dec14 (rufino eusebi)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 6.00    
 
OP-3   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY RAVEN Mar08 Jan27 Jan01 Sep13 Aug26 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 113 30.00    
GRACEFUL MOON Mar03 Jan05 Dec17 Sep16 Aug30 (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 15.00    
SUGAR COATED         (martin t)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 113 15.00 12% 7.20    
READY FOR WINE         (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 118 15.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  PETIT JEAN Feb24         (jackson r)BEALMEAR C 112 10.00    
ART QUEEN Mar10 Feb25 Feb02 Dec08 Oct11 (broberg k)TORRES A 118 1.40 25% 3.10    
DANCE MY WAY Mar01 Feb04 Oct31 Oct05 Sep13 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 124 3.00    
FIRST CLASS GIRL Mar01 Feb02       (prather h)QUINONEZ S 113 20.00    
PLEASINGLY Mar01 Feb02 Dec31 Nov30 Oct21 (moquett rona)BARBOSA CARLOS 111 2.50 19% 4.30    
10  TEXAS SEQUOIA Mar03 Feb02 Dec31 Dec09   (soto fermin)COURT K 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-4   03/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAQEEL Jan06 Dec02 Sep24 Sep03 Jul16 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.00 21% 3.70    
CATDADDY Feb25 Feb03 Dec29 Nov14 Oct28 (petalino joe)FUENTES A 117 20.00    
CAMP DAVID Feb09 Jan06 Nov11 Mar16 Feb10 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 121 6.00    
SCR  EXPENSIVE CUT Feb09 Jan13 Nov10 Oct19 Sep09 (morse l)BEJARANO R 121 3.50    
UNINVITED GUEST Jan26 Jan13 Dec29 Nov11 Oct27 (hartman chr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
RUNWAY MAGIC Feb15 Jan13 Dec02 Oct28 Jan22 (sharp joe)TORRES A 117 4.50 27% 2.70    
HUGE BIGLY Feb02 Nov09 Oct13 Jul27 Jun14 (shorter aaron)CHUAN MARTIN 121 4.00    
ROMAN CENTURIAN Mar01 Feb09 Jan06 Dec10 Nov11 (shorter aaro)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-5   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($24K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAURA BRANIGAN Feb17 Jan14 Dec26 Nov10 Oct22 (contreras ci)BARBOSA CARLOS 116 3.50 35% 1.90    
SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL Mar01 Feb09 Jan25 Dec22 Nov04 (sharp joe)VAZQUEZ A 125 8.00 11% 7.90    
SUGAR MAMAS CAKERY Jan26 Oct05 Jul02 May12 Apr08 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 123 5.00    
LIL TOWN SIS Mar09 Feb17 Feb04 Nov22 Nov04 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 4.00    
QUIERO DINERO Feb23 Oct18 Sep19 Aug23   (martin william )BOWEN ROCCO 125 15.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  HARMONICA Jan27 Jan13 Sep30 Aug10 May29 (mason ingrid)BEJARANO R 123 20.00    
TOFFEE Jan27 Dec03 Nov03 Oct01 Sep02 (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 3.00    
GREEK HEIRESS Feb17 Jan27 Dec30 Aug07 Jul02 (schultz lind)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 10.00 13% 6.50    
SUBWAY SUSIE Mar09 Jan12 Dec31 Oct25 Aug25 (murphy)FLETCHER D 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  ACCELERATING BABE Feb09 Jan07 Dec17 Aug13 Jun08 (cravens ron)HERNANDEZ HARRY 125 12.00    
 
OP-6   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3 ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CISCO KID         (rone mike)DE CRUZ 118 20.00 20% 3.90    
SIR OTTO Feb24         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 1.60 29% 2.40    
THANKS FRANK Mar02 Aug05 Jun29     (von do)FUENTES A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKETEIGHTYEIGHT Mar07 Jan28 Dec31 Nov25 Oct28 (mott riley)BEJARANO R 122 3.50    
QUEBRANCHO Feb11 Jan01 Nov19 Nov01 Oct01 (puhich mike)BOWEN ROCCO 122 15.00    
PATRIOT HILLS Feb18 Jan01 Oct14 Sep01   (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
SUPERHERO Feb09 Jan06 Dec30 Dec15 Nov11 (dixon tim)BEALMEAR C 115 30.00    
MIRAGE (IRE) Mar02 Feb18 Jan27 Jan05 Dec15 (martin william )VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00    
THIS TIME BLUE Feb22 Feb04 Dec22 Nov30 Nov01 (hartman chri)BARBOSA CARLOS 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  KONTEEKEE Jan20 Dec30       (cline n)HARR KELSI 122 20.00    
 
OP-7   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($75K) Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIN THE BREEZE Feb23 Jan20 Dec17 Aug02   (robertson mclea)VAZQUEZ A 118 10.00    
SCR  IDALOU Feb25 Dec31 Oct25 Sep27   (schultz lind)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 20.00    
HUSH IT HONEY Feb03 Dec31 Nov18 Nov02 Sep21 (morse l)BEJARANO R 115 2.00    
JUST AN OPINION Mar07 Feb16 Nov15 Apr26   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.00 8% 12.30    
JANUARY JUBILEE Jan12 Dec31 Nov24     (hartman c)BEALMEAR C 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FULLY ENTITLED Feb10 Oct12       (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 20.00    
HITTIN MY STRIDE Feb02 Dec31 Nov03 Sep24 Sep02 (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  TRUE PRINCESS Jan26 Dec14 Nov10 Oct21 Sep03 (briley lonnie)ZIMMERMAN R 118 15.00    
READY FOR TROUBLE Feb02 Dec31 Dec17 Nov08 Oct21 (hartman chri)BARBOSA CARLOS 111 4.50 20% 3.90    
 
OP-8   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SULWE Feb23 Feb04 Jan06 May28 May04 (moquett rona)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 3.50    
MUSIC MISTRESS Feb17 Dec30 Dec16 Aug07 May29 (mckellar joe)FUENTES A 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  SUMMORYA Mar01 Jan06 May04 Apr08 Mar19 (ward dan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 30.00    
SCR  SISTERSOUTTACHROME Mar09 Feb23 Feb02 Jan05 Oct05 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
PATTERN BET Feb17 Jan12 Jun23 May04 Apr01 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 4.50 8% 11.60    
PUNCHY GIRL Feb11 Jan12 Nov08 Sep29 Aug01 (morse rand)ASMUSSEN J 124 6.00    
UNBRIDLED TWISTER Feb17 Feb04 Jan13 Jul19 Jun28 (cates al)SANTANA JR 120 20.00 5% 18.40    
CHAI TEA Feb17 Jan06 Sep22 Sep04 Aug10 (anderson dou)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 20.00    
ONE WAY OR ANOTHER Jan06 Dec16 Sep15 Jun11 Apr30 (morse ran)TORRES A 120 5.00 28% 2.60    
10  RUN FEARLESS Feb17 Jan13 May04 Mar31 Mar04 (fires h)JUAREZ NIK 120 20.00    
11  HEATED ARGUMENT Feb17 Jan05 Sep10 Jun09 May13 (gonzalez )BEALMEAR C 113 12.00    
 
OP-9   03/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATTY CRUISE Mar03 Feb18 Feb02 Jan01 Dec09 (vance tho)BEALMEAR C 111 4.00 5% 19.00    
FIRST DIAMOND Mar01 Feb02       (cline robert )BAILEY CHEL-C 113 30.00    
TIZ A STRATEGY Mar03 Feb02 Apr30 Apr22 Mar30 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 119 6.00 17% 4.70    
JONESBOROHURRICANE Mar10         (hewitt mic)ANDERSON MCKENNA 113 15.00    
BEE BRANCH Mar03 Nov05       (martin willia)PUSAC ALBERTO 113 15.00    
RED VOLTA Feb25 Feb10 Dec31 Dec09   (cline n)HARR KELSI 118 10.00    
MISS TERRE Mar07         (milligan allen)QUINONEZ S 118 2.50 50% 1.00    
WILD CHEROKEE Mar03 Feb17 Jan27     (martin timothy )BOWEN ROCCO 113 30.00    
RAETASTIC Mar03 Feb10 Jan01     (rosin coty )HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 10.00    
10  LIL' BIT OF CHROME Mar03 Feb17 May16 May03 Feb12 (cravens )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 30.00    
11  BODI ODI Mar01 Feb18 Jan07 Dec17 Nov18 (northrop deb)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 20.00    
12  SAFECRACKER SUE Feb24 Jan26 Dec16     (broberg k)TORRES A 118 3.50 6% 14.60    
SCR  ERUMPENT Mar03 Feb24 Jan01 Dec16   (creighton brett)VAZQUEZ A 113 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.