Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - March 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (1/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/5)-(1/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/5)-(1/3/2/5)-(1/3/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/5)-(2/3/1/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/5)-(2/3/1/5/9)-(10/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-2   WIN (2/3/1/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/5/9)-(2/3/1/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/5/9)-(2/3/1/5/9)-(2/3/1/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/1/5/9)-(10/2/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/5/9)-(10/2/1)-(1/6/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TP-3   WIN (10/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/2/1)-(10/2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/2/1)-(10/2/5/1)-(10/2/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/2/1)-(1/6/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (10/2/1)-(1/6/9)-(8/2/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-4   WIN (1/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/9)-(1/6/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/9)-(1/6/9)-(1/6/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/9)-(8/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/9)-(8/2/7/6)-(7/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-5   WIN (8/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/6)-(8/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/6)-(8/2/7/6)-(8/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/7/6)-(7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7/6)-(7/6/2)-(3/6/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-6   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(3/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(3/6/5/4)-(4/12/1/11/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-7   WIN (3/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/4)-(4/12/1/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-8   WIN (4/12/1/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/12/1/11/7)-(4/12/1/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/12/1/11/7)-(4/12/1/11/7)-(4/12/1/11/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAL Feb09 Jan13 Jun05 Nov26 Nov05 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 124 4.00 64% 0.60    
2  BOLSHIE Jan04 Dec20 Nov26 Nov17 Nov02 (blair jord)CORRALES GERARDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  NEOKING Feb23 Jan18 Jan03 Nov07 Jul19 (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 124 8.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  CATIPARI Feb22 Feb09 Dec13 Nov22 Oct19 (navarrete anna)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.50    
5  READY PURSUIT Mar01 Feb09 Dec21 Nov26 Nov10 (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  AINT NO BANDLEADER Feb06 Jan15 Dec14 Mar29 Feb27 (estvanko )CORREA L 124 15.00    
7  STRIKE PRICE Feb28 Aug09 Jul19 Jun25 Jun07 (townley steve)ORM CORY 124 15.00    
8  ENJOYMENT Feb17 Dec28 Nov15 Oct20 Dec16 (gorosti)DE CRUZ 124 3.00    
SCR  BOLD BIZNESS Feb14 Jan31 Jan11 Dec22 Nov09 (cook brian)ROMAN A 124 15.00    
10  KING OF KENTUCKY Feb22 Jan25 Jan06 Dec08 Sep18 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 12.00    
 
TP-2   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMAZING JUSTICE Mar02 Jan31 Dec23 Nov29 Nov02 (melton c)RODRIGUEZ A 124 3.50 9% 10.10    
2  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Feb23 Feb14 Jan24 Dec01 Nov04 (brooks )DE CRUZ 124 4.00 34% 2.00    
3  MOON MISCHIEF Feb17 Jun17 May31 Mar03 Feb10 (cara)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 4.50 20% 4.10    
4  GROOM LAKE Feb23 Dec16 Dec01 Nov03 Oct20 (vosler s)ORM CORY 124 15.00    
5  BROKEN JUSTICE Feb14 Jan24 Dec30 Dec09 Nov17 (short ric)BERMUDEZ E 124 12.00 9% 10.20    
6  MR. CUNNINGHAM Feb23 Jan31 Jan18 Dec28 Dec06 (meredith charl)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 6.00    
7  HINDOSTAIN FALLS Feb23 Jan11 Dec15 Nov14 Nov02 (woodbury judy)LEAHEY HANNAH 124 30.00    
8  SAILOR'S CHANCE Mar02 Feb08 Jan24 Dec30 Dec09 (donjuan serg)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 3.00    
9  CALON LAN Feb14 Jan04 Dec14 Oct28   (ennis john)CALLEJA ANDRES 110 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  FROOME (IRE) Feb17 Jan25 Jan11 Sep27 Sep02 (adams nan)CORREA L 124 30.00    
11  SILVESTRE Jan31 Dec09 Nov17 Nov03 Oct13 (butcher jame)MORALES JOSHUA 124 20.00    
 
TP-3   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTH DECATUR Nov09 Oct18 Sep20 Jul09   (galindo-torr)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAPTAIN PARTY Feb03 Jan06 Jun23 Jun01 May06 (hughes g)CEDILLO ABEL 125 5.00 22% 3.50    
3  FREAKY Z Feb21 Feb02 Jan06 Dec09   (hancock dana)ASHTON GAVIN 125 12.00    
SCR  ILLINI Feb01         (walden william)BRACHO GENIS 118 4.50    
5  CACTUS KEVIN Feb17 Feb08 Jan12 Dec16 Oct12 (walsh d)LEON SONNY 125 5.00 ★    
SCR  LUVLESSTWO Feb08         (ward a)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 6.00    
7  MONBA QUAKE Feb21 Jan25 Jan05 Dec09 Mar25 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 125 20.00    
8  OFF THE CUFF Mar01 Dec20 Sep24 May26 Apr22 (humphries thomas)ORM CORY 125 12.00    
9  MONTY'SWORTHYCAJUN Feb21 Feb02 Jan10 Dec20   (raines lind)JIMENEZ J 125 20.00    
10  WE WILL CONQUER Mar02 Jan26 Dec29 Nov22 Nov01 (medina robert)ACHARD ALEX 125 2.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  PAPA D L Feb29 Feb08 Jan25 Nov09 Oct30 (meredith )CORREA L 125 20.00    
 
TP-4   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERRY OF SOUL Feb29 Feb16 Sep30 Sep14 Aug29 (shetron)DE CRUZ 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  QUIET DAWN Feb16 Feb01 Jan03 Dec08 Oct23 (grubbs jamie)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 3.00    
SCR  WARIS Feb16 Feb01 Jan03 Dec21 Oct05 (beck rowena)LEON SONNY 120 20.00    
4  GIN N SIN Mar02 Jan11 Nov07 Oct15 Sep23 (acevedo is)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50    
SCR  LOONA LUV Feb28 Feb07 Dec05 Nov13 Oct31 (cook brian)PAULY SUMMER 110 10.00    
6  FUTURE FLAY Feb29 Feb01 Dec21 Nov26 Sep30 (salas fel)CORREA L 120 15.00 27% 2.70    
7  RECOGNIZE ME Feb24 Feb08 Jan27 Dec27 Dec01 (salas felip)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.00    
8  BANNED FROM MIDWAY Feb29 Feb17 Feb03 Jul26 Jun29 (caramori )HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
9  CANT BE TOUCHED Nov10 Oct23 Jan01 Nov25 Nov03 (garcia genar)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-5   03/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REACTIVE Feb15 Jan04 Dec07 Oct25 Oct04 (harty eoin)CONNER TYLER 125 3.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHARGED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2  PRINCESS IS OLIVIA Jan12 Dec09 Nov19 Oct26 Sep16 (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.00 27% 2.70    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of MISS GUIDED by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  MUCHO MACHO CHICK Feb22 Jan04 Dec07 Oct26 Sep22 (toye lin)CEDILLO ABEL 125 10.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of IVANKA by FARMA WAY)
4  SACOS STOGIE         (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 12.00    
  (by CIGAR STREET out of BLAME IT ON ED by BLAME)
SCR  SWEET HONEY BUN         (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SWEET DIANE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
6  SORORITY GIRL         (lyster )DE CRUZ 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of DAWN LANE by ECTON PARK)
7  STAGFLATION Feb15 Nov24 Oct22 Oct08 Sep15 (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 4.00 22% 3.60    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of REAL POINT by POINT OF ENTRY)
8  MARMALADE SKYE Feb15 Dec21 Nov10 Oct12   (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 125 2.50 28% 2.50    
  (by DANZA out of DAWN BEFORE DAWN by HIGH YIELD)
9  DAME STRAIGHT         (correas ignac)CANNON DECLAN 125 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of ISSUED by U S RANGER)
 
TP-6   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPPING OUT A TUNE Mar02 Feb03 Dec09 Sep29   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 3.00    
2  TEXAS TOAST Feb21 Dec28 Nov14 Oct25 Jul14 (bicknell )CORREA L 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WEGOTJACKSBACK         (ruis sr)GARCIA MARTIN 125 10.00    
4  RAMSEY Feb09 Jan26 Jan10 Oct31 Aug28 (klopp randy)ROMAN A 125 2.50    
SCR  OTIS ON THE CAPE Oct05 Sep18 Jun24 May23 May08 (paye )ULLOA PATRICIO 125 15.00    
6  SMOKE WAGON Feb21 Feb02 Dec24 Dec16 Nov09 (engler j)RODRIGUEZ A 125 3.50 16% 5.10    
7  GIVEN TO FLY (IRE) Sep30         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 125 6.00 48% 1.10    
 
TP-7   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALLOWEEN Feb09 Jan13 Dec30 Nov21 Sep13 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 15.00    
2  INSOLITO Feb10 Dec15 Oct23 Sep26 Sep07 (estvanko )CORREA L 123 4.00    
3  PAGE ONE Dec29 Jul09 May21 Apr13 Feb24 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 123 2.00 56% 0.80    
4  SUTHERLAND Feb22 May29 May05 Mar16 Feb12 (miller darrin)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNRAPTURED Feb24 Dec08 Nov18 Sep03 Jul01 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 123 10.00 7% 12.50    
6  MOLTO VIVACE Feb28 Jan31 Jan04 Oct15 Sep23 (davis christop)CEDILLO ABEL 123 3.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  RED HOT ROD Jul15 Apr21 Mar25 May01   (hernandez rey)ROCCO S 123 6.00    
8  MIDNIGHT WEST Oct23 Sep30 Sep14 Aug28 Aug02 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 123 10.00    
 
TP-8   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DO YOU REALIZE         (tooley jen)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00 15% 5.80    
2  GLOSSY LIFE Feb22 Dec03 Sep11 Aug13 Jul09 (miller darrin)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 6.00    
3  CASSOULET Feb10 Jun17       (caramori caio)LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
4  LIL TEMPTATION Feb07         (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 110 4.50 27% 2.80    
SCR  A LITTLE CANELA         (salas f)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
SCR  DAWN'S CREED Feb08 Jan03 Sep27     (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 6.00    
7  SLAINTE MHATH Sep25 Jun17 May04     (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  NO BODY LOVES ME Feb29 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 Dec06 (medina tomas)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 5.00    
9  SHIRLEY KNOT Feb22         (medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00    
10  FROLICKING LADY Dec16 Nov17 Aug19     (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00    
11  ITALIAN IVY         (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 15% 5.80    
12  QUIVER OF FEAR Apr21         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
13  THUNDERS SONG Feb28         (gonzalez reina)ELLIOTT JANE 120 15.00    
SCR  FROLIC IN THE PARK Mar09         (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.