Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Friday - February 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1)-(3/4)-(2/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/4)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(2/4/3)-(3/1/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(3/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(3/1/2/6)-(3/4/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (3/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/6)-(3/4/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/6)-(3/4/2/6)-(3/6/1/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/6)-(3/6/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/6)-(3/6/1/2)-(6/3/10/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (3/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/2)-(6/3/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/2)-(6/3/10/4)-(1/6/2/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/3/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/10/4)-(6/3/10/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/10/4)-(6/3/10/9/4)-(6/3/10/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/10/4)-(1/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   02/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST AND FRISKY Nov02 Oct12 Sep28 Aug27   (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 14% 6.40    
  (by SOLOMINI out of IMPISHNESS by INTO MISCHIEF)
DETONATE         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 16% 5.30    
  (by CONNECT out of DAISY CUTTER by J P HAMER)
SCR  PURPOSE         (bond j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of BRANDINI by E DUBAI)
BROOKLYN DANTZ Jan06 Dec17 Nov19     (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ELECTRIC BOOTS by BELLAMY ROAD)
POSEIDON'S MIST Jan28 Dec09 Nov16 Oct20 Oct01 (david ca)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of MY COUNTRY by BELONG TO ME)
CALL HER BLUFF Jan18 Dec17 Dec09 Nov09 Oct01 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MINE AS WELL by MINESHAFT)
CALLING AN AUDIBLE Jan12 Dec17 Nov02 Oct12   (barker edw)RIVERA R 115 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of RACHEL'S TEMPER by FLATTER)
 
AQU-2   02/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPUN AND WON Jan12 Dec29 Dec15 Nov01 Sep24 (jacobson d)RIVERA R 115 2.50    
1A  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER Dec23 Dec02 Oct12 Sep15 Aug13 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50    
JOEY FRESHWATER Jan06 Aug22 Jul29 Jul16 Jul01 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
AMERICAN MONARCH Dec31 Nov11 Apr30 Mar27 Feb12 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 45% 1.20    
NOVA RAGS Jan12 Dec15 Nov17 Jun22 Apr28 (mott william )FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  VEESON Dec20 Nov25 Oct24 Sep18 Aug21 (padilla-prec)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 12.00    
 
AQU-3   02/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Jan18 Jan05 Dec09 Nov20 Nov08 (sells rache)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
BLAKE B. Jan28 Dec15 Nov25 Oct22 Jun24 (potts wayne)OLVER MADISON 113 1.40 32% 2.10    
MY FRIENDS BEER Jan28 Dec15 Nov25 Oct28 Sep21 (walder pe)CAMACHO JR 118 12.00 12% 7.60    
SWIFT TAP Jan18 May18 Apr14 Mar18 Feb11 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 27% 2.60    
LORD GATLING Jan27 Jan01 Dec01 Nov04 Oct21 (pringle edmund)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00    
SCR  FORTY TWO ACE Jan27 Jan01 Oct21 Sep21 Jul19 (baker charlto)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50    
FOREVER WICKED Dec15 Nov25 Jun16 May18 Apr14 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
 
AQU-4   02/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEM LABINE Nov30 Sep09 Aug11 May13 Apr08 (jacobson david)RUIZ ELISEO 113 3.00 32% 2.10    
1A  PRESIDENT Z Jan13 Jan04 Nov26 Nov15 Aug13 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.00    
CEES GET DEGREES Aug18 Jul14 Jun22 May19 Apr28 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.50 11% 8.00    
DOT'S DOLLAR Jan07 Nov18 Oct14 Aug11 Jul08 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
TETSU Dec29 Dec02 Nov12 Oct28 Oct18 (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 118 2.50    
JEFF FA FA Jan06 Nov30 Oct27 Sep16 Aug07 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SEVEN NATION ARMY Nov30 Nov11 Oct14 Sep16 Aug18 (baker char)RIVERA R 113 6.00    
SCR  MISTER J T Dec30 Dec09 Nov12 Oct22 Sep28 ( )TBA null      
 
AQU-5   02/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSARIA Jan11 Dec03 Nov10 Oct21   (hills a)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
SWEET BROWN SUGAR Jan14 Nov06 Oct18     (barrow paul)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 15% 5.80    
SOHANA Dec31         (cox h)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 44% 1.30    
SOLOSHOT Dec16 Nov18 Sep25 Aug27   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
MY PERFECT MISTAKE Dec16 Nov10       (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
BUSTIN TIME Oct28         (davis robb)RIVERA R 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
ALLEY'S SONG Jan18 Dec14 Nov18 Oct01   (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00    
THIRTEEN RED FLAGS Jan28 Jan06 Dec28     (chichakly am)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.50    
 
AQU-6   02/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XCELLENT MEN Jan07 Dec16 Nov12 Oct28 Aug03 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.00 9% 9.80    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BEAUTIFUL GIRL by MALIBU MOON)
PRICING POWER Oct29         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of PIONEER PRINCESS by PIONEERING)
HERO'S MEDAL Jan06 Nov01 Sep21 Aug11 Jul14 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MAGICAL MOON by MALIBU MOON)
CLARE QUILTY         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of GRANDTESSA by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  GOLD 'N' SCARLET Dec09         (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MS HALLIE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
ANDY CANT Jun02 Apr22 Mar02 Jan07 Dec16 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
  (by BERNARDINI out of WHISKED AWAY by VICTORY GALLOP)
VENGE Jan06 Dec08 Nov24 Oct13 Jul01 (ribaudo ro)RIVERA R 117 12.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
BOLT D'PLATA Jan06 Oct22 Sep28 Aug23 Aug10 (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HEKAAYAAT by MR. GREELEY)
 
AQU-7   02/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AARAJ Jul08 Apr02 Feb04 Dec17   (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
KUNSHAN BRIDGE Jan14 Dec29 Dec16 Dec01 Nov02 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 8.00 29% 2.40    
GOT THUNDER Nov12 Oct26 Aug05 Jun18 Apr30 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
CAPONE Jan01 Dec28 Nov24 Oct22 Sep16 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
FACTUALLY CORRECT Dec07 Oct29 Oct20 Aug27 Aug18 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00 41% 1.50    
AUTHORIZE Jan07 Dec08 Nov11     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
GIANT'S FIRE Jun09 Apr07 Feb11 Nov11 Feb12 (terranova john)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Jan14 Nov24 Oct22 Sep02 Aug19 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50    
10  THRILL OF IT Jan01 Dec07 Nov04 Oct04 Aug23 (terranova )RIVERA R 118 6.00 6% 15.10    
SCR  RADIO RED Jan18 Dec07 Oct29 Sep21 Aug23 ( )TBA null      
 
AQU-8   02/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A NEW PEACE Jan19 Jan12 Nov26 Oct14 Sep15 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00    
1A  WHISTLER'S STYLE Jan14 Jan04 Dec23 Dec08 Oct21 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
ICY REPLY Jan05 Dec14 Nov18 Oct26 Sep28 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 113 8.00    
2B  JACKIE THE JOKER Jan11 Jan04 Dec07 Nov10 Oct20 (ferraro ja)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 8.00 15% 5.90    
RUN DEVIL Jan14 Jan04 Nov30 Nov09 Sep28 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 5% 17.70    
SCR  TIMED OUT Jan04 Dec14 Dec07 Sep28 Aug24 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
FREDDYMO FACTOR Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Dec08 Nov25 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 120 50.00    
I'M BUZZY Jan19 Jan11 Dec14 Nov25 Oct27 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 113 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  HASHTAG LUCKY Jan28 Dec02 Nov11 Nov02 Oct15 (sanchez-salomo)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
SCR  CARROLL GIRL Jan12 Nov03 Sep28 Aug24 Jul15 (gorham mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
HALO CITY Feb02 Jan04 Nov25 Nov02 Aug30 (walder r)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.