Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - February 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/6)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6)-(6/5/2)-(8/4/13/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(8/4/13/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(8/4/13/5)-(6/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-3   WIN (8/4/13/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/13/5)-(8/4/13/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/13/5)-(8/4/13/5)-(8/4/13/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/13/5)-(6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/13/5)-(6/5/4)-(11/6/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(11/6/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(11/6/9/1)-(4/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-5   WIN (11/6/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/6/9/1)-(11/6/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/6/9/1)-(11/6/9/1)-(11/6/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/6/9/1)-(4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/6/9/1)-(4/6/1)-(8/1/12) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-6   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(8/1/12) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(8/1/12)-(9/5/6/2/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-7   WIN (8/1/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/12)-(8/1/6/12) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/12)-(8/1/6/12)-(8/1/6/12) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/12)-(9/5/6/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FG-8   WIN (9/5/6/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/6/2/3)-(9/5/6/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/6/2/3)-(9/5/6/2/3)-(9/5/6/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TAP BABY Jan06 Dec15 Nov11 Oct18 Sep13 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 2.50 21% 3.80    
2  QUEENIE'S LEROY Jan12 Dec29 Dec01 Dec01 Nov02 (marecha)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 4.00    
3  LORD HELP ME Jul14 Jun29 May25 May10 Mar26 (ladner john)CARMONA SERAFIN 120 15.00    
SCR  HARD KINGS Jan18 Nov23 Aug12 Jul13 May10 (ladner herman)NAVAS YOEL 120 20.00    
5  RENATI Jan12 Dec17 Nov23 Feb24 Nov24 (duke steve)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 4.50    
6  MINE YOUR BIZ Jan12 Dec29 Dec01 Aug11 Jul28 (peterson j)ALBERT S 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  OUR HEATSEEKER Jan18 Jun03 Apr27 Mar26 Feb24 (david b)MURRAY M 125 3.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  LAST OF THE PAST Jan18         (peterson jessie )RIQUELME J 125 6.00    
 
FG-2   02/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASBY Jan20 Jan01 Nov02     (carter ange)CARMONA SERAFIN 112 10.00    
2  MYSTIC CREED Dec14 Oct06 Jul08 Jun22 May10 (bourgeois keith)RIQUELME J 125 4.00 19% 4.40    
3  LIL TOWN SIS Nov22 Nov04 Aug27 Jun16 May26 (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 125 3.50    
4  TRIBEST (ARG) Jan25 Jan06 Nov08 Oct01 Sep09 (claire alexi)TORRES A 125 12.00    
5  CHROME RACER Jul26 Jun17 Mar05 Feb11 Jan16 (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  MISSILE Dec31 Nov26 Apr07     (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 125 3.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  LET'S GO BRANDI         (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 8.00    
SCR  BELLA ROSSO         (heitzman eric)NAVAS YOEL 109 10.00    
 
FG-3   02/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($26K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIE'S MISSION Jan12 Dec15 Jul31     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
2  THIS TIME BLUE Dec22 Nov30 Nov01 Sep22   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00    
SCR  SHARP SPARK Jan13         (gelner j)MCMAHON J 120 15.00    
4  STORM FORCE         (rubley kelly)CURTIS BEN 120 15.00 18% 4.40    
5  EXEMPTION Jan18         (casse w)TORRES A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE Jan12 Dec15 Nov04 Sep24 Jul15 (casse mark)GRAHAM J 120 2.50    
SCR  HOLIDAY CHARM         (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
8  BRENNAN'S HONOR Jan18 Nov10 Oct20     (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 120 4.50 38% 1.60    
9  THEPLAINS MARSHALL Jan12         (rubley ke)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 20.00    
SCR  DREAM CRUISE         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00    
11  ROUSSETTE Dec15         (stall m)PARKER L 120 12.00    
SCR  CARRY THE FLAG Jan20 Nov24       (courville )MARQUEZ L 120 20.00    
13  HOWARD'S GRIT Nov18         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  DROBNY Jan12 Dec09 Nov04 Oct12 Sep17 (hartman chris)LANERIE J 120 3.50    
 
FG-4   02/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($58K) 3 F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SACRED SAINT Jan13 Jan01 Nov18     (scherer t)PARKER L 119 4.50    
2  SAVED BY GRACE Jan19 Dec27 Dec03 Nov17 Aug05 (scherer gary)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
3  PLATINUM MINIT Dec31 Dec10 Nov18 Sep21 Aug20 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 2.00    
4  SHE SMILED AT ME Dec27 Nov10       (brinkman b)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  FRONT AND SILVER Dec22 Sep04       (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 24% 3.20    
6  CLEARLY A TEST Dec31 Dec09 Nov17 Aug30 Aug13 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 1.80 50% 1.00    
SCR  LULU'S MAGIC Dec08         (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
 
FG-5   02/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($58K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST LANI Oct08 Aug12 Jun25 May27 Oct28 (catalano )PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 12.00 7% 12.50    
SCR  NUMERO SEIS Sep21 Aug19 Jun15 May20 Oct09 (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 8.00    
SCR  THE GREAT MAYBE Dec31 Nov10 Sep21 Nov26 Oct02 (devaux che)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
4  ROCKETS SISTER Dec03 Nov01 Sep29 Sep02 Aug06 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00    
SCR  OCEAN SPIRIT (GB) Jan07 Oct23 Aug18 Nov04   (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 4.50    
6  CATSKILL HUMOR Jan07 Dec10 Oct28 Sep21 Jul28 (handal raymo)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 15% 5.50    
7  DULCIA Dec13 Sep10 Nov05 Oct07 Sep10 (sharp joe)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00    
8  WILD ACCLAIM Jan10 Dec07 Nov17 Oct12 Sep22 (hamilton sarah)PARKER L 122 20.00    
9  FIRING BULLETS Jan07 Nov19 Oct22 Aug05 Jul22 (casse mark)COHEN DAVID 120 6.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  PORT TOWNSEND Dec14 Nov10 Aug01     (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
11  DE' ANS EIGHTY Jan13 Dec16 May20 Mar23 Feb25 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 49% 1.10    
 
FG-6   02/04/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENOIT Dec29 Mar25 Feb25 Dec19 Nov11 (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  HIGHLAND CREEK Jan13 Dec09 Nov18 Oct20 Jun03 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 121 1.80    
3  WICKED ROSE Dec29 Nov17 Jul17 Jun03 Mar04 (johnson he)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
4  JACK HAMMER Jan01 Nov18 Feb25 Feb04 Dec31 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 2.00 39% 1.50    
5  BLUE CHEESE Jan13 Dec29 Dec08 Nov15 Jun03 (breaux samue)TORRES A 121 12.00    
6  BUDRO TALKING Jan13 Dec09 Nov18 Aug05 Jul01 (ducoing sturges)LANERIE J 121 3.50 33% 2.10    
 
FG-7   02/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROOKLYNN DREW Dec29         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 14% 6.20    
  (by ARMY MULE out of LULU BAINS by CONSTITUTION)
SCR  BEAUTIFUL MISCHIEF Jan06 Nov18 Oct19 Sep27   (kenneally )HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of NEFERTITI by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  RENFREW Jan06 Nov11 Sep27     (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 12.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of AMAZING PEYTON by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  HELEN'S LITTLE SIS         (casse mark)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of INGENUE by NOACTOR)
SCR  PROMDATEBONNIE         (handal raym)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MY LIFE by QUALITY ROAD)
6  LUCY GOT GAME         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 ★    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of PEGGY RING by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  ISEULT         (devaux ch)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
  (by UPSTART out of GLINDA by STREET SENSE)
8  CANDY LOVER Nov25 Nov02 Oct05 Aug20 Jul23 (devaux che)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 59% 0.70    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TAURASI by MINESHAFT)
9  SYBARITE Jan06 Dec16 Nov19     (vaccar)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of NO ACRONYMS by MILWAUKEE BREW)
10  PROBLEMATICA Jan13 Dec08 Oct22     (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 120 30.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of SCORE FOUR by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  SARANAC LAKE         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
  (by ENTICED out of SUNSHINEANDSILENCE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
12  HATTIE BLOOM         (stall albert)MURRAY M 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of NAOMI RIDGE ESQ. by LAWYER RON)
 
FG-8   02/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENGLISH BOBBY Jan12 Dec22 Sep23     (claire alexis)PARKER L 122 20.00    
2  GARNET JUBILEE         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 8% 11.40    
3  GREY'S RUMOR         (duke steven)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  THREE POINT STRUT Dec20 Dec08 Oct24 Oct13   (camejo m)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
5  COOKN WIT CATMAN Jan12 Dec14 Nov24 Oct29   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
6  ELLIE'S BOYFRIEND Jan12         (silva miguel)TORRES A 122 3.50 13% 6.40    
7  DROMAS Jan12 Dec22       (savoie sherman)RIQUELME J 122 8.00    
8  HANGMAN CREEK         (troiani)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
9  NONCHALANT         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 122 3.00 31% 2.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.