Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - February 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(7/3)-(10/2/7/6/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
PEN-2   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/3)-(10/2/7/6/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(10/2/7/6/3)-(11/6/2/7/5) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
PEN-3   WIN (10/2/7/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/7/6/3)-(10/2/7/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/7/6/3)-(10/2/7/6/3)-(10/2/7/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/2/7/6/3)-(11/6/2/7/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/2/7/6/3)-(11/6/2/7/5)-(7/4/1/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
PEN-4   WIN (11/6/2/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/6/2/7/5)-(11/6/2/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/6/2/7/5)-(11/6/2/7/5)-(11/6/2/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/6/2/7/5)-(7/4/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/6/2/7/5)-(7/4/1/2)-(8/7/4/9/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
PEN-5   WIN (7/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/2)-(8/7/4/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/2)-(8/7/4/9/6)-(5/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-6   WIN (8/7/4/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/9/6)-(8/7/4/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/9/6)-(8/7/4/9/6)-(8/7/4/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/4/9/6)-(5/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4/9/6)-(5/6/4)-(1/4/9/10/7) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
PEN-7   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(1/4/9/10/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PEN-8   WIN (1/4/9/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/9/10/7)-(1/4/9/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/9/10/7)-(1/4/9/10/7)-(1/4/9/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK'S LILLY Jan26 Dec29 Nov30 Nov15 Nov03 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00    
2  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Dec14 Nov30 Nov03 Sep22 Sep08 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.60 22% 3.50    
3  QUEEN ROSEMARY Oct27 Sep13 Aug17 Jul27 Jun22 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 2.00 48% 1.10    
4  EARLY FROST Dec22 Nov22 Oct27 Sep13 Aug18 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00    
5  LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT Nov22 Nov08 Oct05 Sep13 Aug27 (martinez a)CORA D 120 6.00 7% 12.60    
6  I HAVE COURAGE Jan07 Dec10 Nov16 Oct01 Sep01 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.00    
 
PEN-2   02/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUGAR'S LAST HOPE         (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
SCR  MY BROTHER CHARLIE Nov20 Oct20 Oct01 Jul22   (noble james)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 3.00    
3  TACTICAL HUMOR         (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MALIBU'S BOSS MAN Jan07 Dec16 Nov24     (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
5  SECURED LANDING         (servis tyler)BOWMAN ADAM 122 6.00 ★    
6  BAG OF GOLD         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00    
7  MO MOSCATO Jan18         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 69% 0.40    
 
PEN-3   02/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POCOPSON STATION Jan12 Dec13 Nov24 Nov15 Oct25 (ippolito mark)BAKER J 122 50.00    
2  NOBLE JON Jan12 Dec29 Dec13 Oct27 Oct06 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 15.00 22% 3.50    
3  JETTIN OUT Jan12 Oct08 Sep01 Jul28 Mar16 (martinez jo)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Jan10 Dec22 Nov24 Oct25 Sep22 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 6.00    
SCR  DROSSELMOON Jan12 Dec07 Nov10 Jun09 May12 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
6  COFFEE WITH ALEX Dec21 Nov14 Nov02 Sep20 Aug16 (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 7% 12.60    
7  ANNAMATED MOON Jan11 Dec08 Sep20 Aug30 Aug10 (smith )SMITH DANIEL 117 10.00 14% 6.10    
8  SON OF DARKNESS Dec14 Nov13 Oct17 Sep19 Aug29 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50    
SCR  BIG WARDEN Dec06 Nov14 Aug21 Aug01 Jul21 (martinez alex)OCASIO M 122 2.50    
10  DIALING DIXIE Nov02 Oct01 Aug27 Aug18 Jul06 (haughton donnovan)CORA D 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
11  FEDERAL CASE Jan11 Dec08 Nov22 Oct26 Sep07 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
 
PEN-4   02/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT ACT Jan11 Dec22 Nov08 Oct09 Sep30 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
2  LEGAL DEAL Jan02 Dec15 Nov20 Oct24 Sep26 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 2.50 5% 19.00    
3  ROMANTIC GAMBLE Dec15 Aug04 Jun10 May19 Apr29 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
SCR  NOT NORMAL Jan30 Jan11 Jun13 May22 May03 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 8.00    
5  TUNE IN Dec22 Oct03 Sep09 Aug05 Jun30 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY REDEMPTION Jan11 Dec27 Nov08 Oct27 Oct10 (kreiser c)CORA D 120 3.50 34% 2.00    
7  WILL E SUTTON Nov22 Sep30 Aug18 Jul26 Jun29 (moreno tito)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  WISH FOR PEACE Jan11 Dec22 Dec06 Nov22 Oct26 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00    
9  JAMIE DREAMS Dec13 Nov27 Oct19 Sep06 Jul21 (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 120 12.00    
10  TWO THIRTY FIVE Jan11 Dec10 Nov12 Oct14 Oct05 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
11  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH Jan11 Dec22 Nov22 Oct18 Sep23 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
PEN-5   02/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNION FOLLY Dec20 Oct27 Sep15 Aug31 Aug04 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.50 14% 6.20    
2  OLIVIA DEE Aug25 Aug03       (martin char)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ALWAYS MIA Jan03 Dec18 Nov20 Oct24 Mar16 (krebs steven)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 6.00    
4  CHAPA Dec20 Nov29 Sep22 Aug24 Aug03 (houghton )VARGAS L 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  ARROGANTE Dec20 Nov29 Nov17 Oct27 Sep15 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00    
6  WISHING ONA PRAYER Dec18 Nov20 Nov01 Oct18 Sep27 (diaz jorge)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00    
7  MIDNIGHT IN ALASKA Aug21 Jun26 May22 Apr12 Mar22 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 1.50 32% 2.10    
 
PEN-6   02/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Jan25 Dec28 Dec08 Nov17 Nov03 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
2  GET DOWN BROWN Dec15 Sep13 Aug24 Jul27 Jun16 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00    
3  MOJOVATION Nov26 Nov02 Oct12 Nov06 Oct08 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
4  TOMMY THE TORCH Jan19 Nov22 Nov14 Oct17 Sep19 (albright amy)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 12% 7.10    
5  MARTINKELLY Jan19 Dec22 Nov22 Nov01 Oct12 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00    
6  LIVING WATER Jan11 Dec27 Dec06 Nov27 Nov15 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BRIT'S CANDYMAN Jan19 Dec08 Nov22 Nov02 Aug30 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
8  LORD WINSALOT Jan19 Jan19 Dec27 Nov23 Nov01 (fields kevin)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
9  YES IT'S ROO Dec07 Nov16 Sep21 Sep01 Aug16 (rideout ronald)CORA D 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RUBY BLEU Nov30 Nov08 Sep08 Aug18 Jul26 (synnefias pa)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00    
 
PEN-7   02/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPORTING THE GOLD Jan12 Dec22 Aug31 Feb08   (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 1.60    
2  BEJUCO Jan10 Dec21 Dec06 Nov22 Nov08 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00    
SCR  COMMANDING Oct17 Oct05 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 (rodriguez frankli)AGUILAR M 124 12.00    
4  KNOWWHATIMEAN Dec24 Dec09 Nov25 Nov01 Oct20 (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  BROKENHEARTED Dec22 Dec14 Nov24 Nov03 May03 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.40 41% 1.40    
6  CHECK MY SIX Feb15 Jan24       (noble james)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
 
PEN-8   02/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY TAPPY TIM Dec21 Nov10 Aug02 Jul13 Jun28 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  SULTRY SALLY H Dec22 Nov17 Oct25 Oct05 Aug26 (vick m)CORA D 120 15.00    
3  ANGELIC GAL Jan24 Jan12 Dec21 Nov14 Oct23 (flores-coba f)RIVERA D 124 8.00    
4  TILTED TIARA Jan18 Dec29 Dec13 Sep08 Aug16 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 12% 7.30    
SCR  PROSPECTIVE CANDY Jan10 Dec14 Dec01 Nov17 Oct06 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 12.00    
6  SERENE WARRIOR Dec07 Nov24 Sep14 Aug30 Aug18 (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
7  RAINBOW TROUT Jan10 Dec13 Nov24 Nov10 Oct06 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SMOOTH PEBBLE Dec10 Aug12 Jun15 Mar11 Jan14 (alvarado )HERNANDEZ F 120 15.00    
9  THUNDER BOSS Dec28 Nov29 Nov16 Oct22 Oct01 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 12% 7.40    
10  BLAME CATALAYA Jan10 Dec14 Oct21 Oct01 Sep15 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 6% 16.40    
11  BABY FADE Dec27 Nov28 Oct30 Oct11 Sep20 (o'callahan car)TORRES JOMAR 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.