Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - February 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3/4)-(2/5/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(8/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(8/1/2)-(4/5/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-2   WIN (8/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/2)-(8/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/2)-(8/1/2)-(8/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/2)-(4/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2)-(4/5/8)-(2/7/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-3   WIN (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/8)-(4/5/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/8)-(4/5/8/7)-(4/5/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/8)-(2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8)-(2/7/1)-(4/2/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(4/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(4/2/8/3)-(1/9/10/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/3)-(4/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/3)-(4/2/8/3)-(4/2/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/8/3)-(1/9/10/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8/3)-(1/9/10/4/2)-(8/2/7/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/9/10/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/10/4/2)-(1/9/10/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/10/4/2)-(1/9/10/4/2)-(1/9/10/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/10/4/2)-(8/2/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/9/10/4/2)-(8/2/7/5)-(10/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-7   WIN (8/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/5)-(8/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/5)-(8/2/7/5)-(8/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/7/5)-(10/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-8   WIN (10/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/6/3)-(10/6/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/3)-(10/6/3/2/5)-(10/6/3/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEERFUL TROUT Aug23         (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00    
2  PROBLEMS ABOUND Jan12         (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  DANCING BEAUTY Jan12 Dec20       (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 12% 7.20    
4  LAVINIA SPIRIT         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 ★    
5  WARRIOR BERNICE Jan11 Dec20 Oct16 Sep28   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
6  REZQUIA         (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00    
7  HURRICANE BON Jan11 Nov22 Oct26     (lawrence james)AGUILAR JEAN 112 4.50    
 
PEN-2   02/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVERBULLETTWENTY Jan09 Dec03 Oct28 Oct13 Jun28 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.50 15% 5.80    
2  MON GATEAU Jan13 Dec15 Nov16 Sep27 Sep02 (farrior ant)CARRASCO CARLOS 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
3  PARTY AT SAM'S Dec19 Dec06 Nov27 Nov14   (padilla o)RUIZ ELISEO 113 5.00    
4  BOLD FORCE Dec30 Nov21 Oct30 Oct09 Sep27 (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 118 12.00    
SCR  REBEL INVASION Dec15 Sep15 Aug21 May01   (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00    
SCR  DANCING MISCHIEF Jan28 Dec15 Nov11 Oct28 Sep30 (magee kieron)AGUILAR JEAN 110 8.00    
7  CALI HEAT Dec15 Dec01 Nov03 Sep30 Aug13 (salvaggio)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00    
8  CALLIN MY NAME Aug02 Jun10 Apr07     (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 3.50 48% 1.10    
 
PEN-3   02/01/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUFF AND SHINE Jan10 Oct16 Sep22 Sep07 Aug25 (salina)SMITH DANIEL 115 20.00    
2  DON'T QUESTION ME Dec21 Nov16 Sep13 Jun21 Jun14 (albright r)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
3  KABOD Dec06 Nov20 Oct04 Aug25 Jul21 (soto- martine)RANGEL JOEZER 120 10.00    
4  MOON WARRIOR Dec21 Dec07 Nov15 Jul06 Jun20 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 70% 0.40    
5  DORSODURO Jan18 Dec21 Dec08 Nov24 Nov16 (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 120 3.50 6% 15.90    
6  SOUL STORY Jan18 Dec21 Mar16 Feb22 Feb09 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00    
7  VOTETHEMALLOUT Jan06 Nov23 Oct21 Oct06 Sep16 (trombetta)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 ★    
8  LAWLESSNESS Jan18 Dec21 Dec07 Nov17 Oct27 (cifarelli frank)BAKER J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  LONG TOM Jan10 Dec21 Dec08 Nov17 Nov03 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 50.00    
 
PEN-4   02/01/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO TOUGH Jan11 Dec23 Dec07 Nov17 Oct28 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 19% 4.30    
2  DIVINE GRACE Jan02 Dec06 Nov07 Oct03 Aug11 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
3  RIGHTOFFTHEBENCH Jan11 Dec27 Dec15 Dec01 Nov08 (stites w)CORA D 120 12.00    
SCR  FILTERED LIGHT Jan24 Dec28 Dec06 Nov08 Oct06 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 20.00    
5  REACHING STRIDE Nov21 Oct30 Oct17 Oct01 Sep06 (morzan e)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
SCR  TEXAS TANGIE Jan11 Nov17 Feb07 Dec14 Oct24 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50    
7  GRYPHON'S WINGS Jan09 Jan02 Dec12 Nov08 Oct11 (padilla-)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  BRIEF Dec27 Dec09 Nov24 Nov10 Oct14 (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00    
9  UGHROUDA Dec28 Dec08 Nov08 Jan11 Dec11 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
 
PEN-5   02/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANTO Jan11 Dec13 Nov29 Nov09 Oct26 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00    
2  SIR SAHIB Dec15 Nov26 Nov05 Oct15 Sep23 (sullivan el)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 6.00 28% 2.50    
3  BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL Dec13 Jan16 Dec20 Nov08 Sep26 (dunham be)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  COLONEL MOORHEAD Dec28 Nov01 Oct07 Aug31 Jul26 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
5  BOURBON CURRENCY Dec22 Dec08 Oct28 Oct07 Sep22 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
6  CAERUS Jan10 Dec13 Nov29 Nov17 Nov01 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50    
7  COPPERHEAD CREEK Jan19 Dec28 Dec13 Dec01 May31 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
8  HE'S A SHOOTER Dec27 Dec12 Nov29 Oct26 Jul14 (sullivan elli)ROJAS MARTINA 115 5.00 11% 8.20    
 
PEN-6   02/01/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOPE FOR GOLD Jan12 Dec13 Nov15 Oct11 Sep27 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 124 2.00 27% 2.60    
2  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Dec15 Dec07 Sep20 Sep06 Aug08 (borges israel)FLORES E 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  JIMMY THE KID Dec15 Nov10 Oct26 Oct11 Sep15 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 124 20.00    
4  MY BLUE EYES Dec29 Dec14 Nov15 Oct26 Sep15 (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 11% 7.70    
5  SCREEN STAR Dec29 Dec14 Apr28 Mar03 Feb02 (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 12.00    
6  REFUND RIGLER Jan08 Dec26 Dec06 Nov22 Nov10 (guerrero me)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 30.00    
7  NAUTICAL NATURE Dec14 Nov10 Oct26 Sep15 Aug30 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 124 20.00    
SCR  ACT OF VALOR Dec28 Nov30 Nov15 Nov02 Oct11 (murtough st)INIRIO J 124 15.00    
9  BAZOO Dec14 Nov22 Nov04 Oct04 Aug31 (patterson k)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  BUFFALO SHUFFLE Jan05 Nov09 Oct28 Aug23 Jul20 (dunham be)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  SPEEDY MOONLITE Dec05 Oct16 Aug30 Jul26 Jun27 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.50    
SCR  NIMBLE BEAST Dec27 Dec06 Nov08 Oct17 Sep26 (kirby t)ROJAS MARTINA 119 6.00    
 
PEN-7   02/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPRESS DEONA Jan10 Jun26 May28 Apr18 Mar24 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 120 6.00    
2  SHERO Jan03 Nov21 Oct24 Sep23 Aug29 (moore )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 115 3.50 16% 5.40    
3  WINKIWINKI Dec23 Dec09 Aug09 May08 Mar18 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 122 15.00    
4  KNOWING GLANCE Jan10 Nov22 Oct30 Sep27 Aug30 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.00    
5  MOONSAFE Dec31 Nov22 Nov03 Jul14 Jun21 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MELODIOUS SINGER Nov02 Oct06 Sep06 Jul28 Mar09 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
7  DATE NIGHT KISSES Dec20 Jul14 Jun21 May29 Apr11 (allen ferris)MENA E 122 5.00 13% 6.90    
8  FEE Jan05 Nov14 Oct06 Aug26 Jul03 (cruz jesus)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
PEN-8   02/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CACTUS JACK Dec28 Jul14 Jun24 Jun11 Jun03 (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00    
2  COAST TO COAST Dec14 Nov29 Nov01 Sep15 Sep01 (sinnefia pauli)TORRES JOMAR 124 8.00 ★    
3  AGAINST THE ODDS Dec07 Nov15 Oct26 Sep20 Sep07 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  A T M AWESOME Sep22 Sep01 Aug08 Jul05 Jun21 (zalalas michael)CORA D 124 12.00    
5  INDIRECTLY Dec27 Dec12 Dec04 Nov15 Nov01 (crane clo)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50 ★    
6  SOUPER CATCH Jan11 Dec02 Nov02 Oct10 Aug30 (moreno-barban lea)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
7  SUNNY SAINT Jan11 Dec27 Nov16 Oct10 Sep30 (padilla o)RUIZ ELISEO 117 20.00    
8  GANDY DANCING Dec17 Nov25 Nov11 Oct14 Sep28 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00    
9  RAPID RESPONSE May10 Mar03 Feb08 Jan18 Oct22 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00    
10  SILENT TIGER Dec28 Nov22 Oct30 Oct17 Sep24 (patterson k)INIRIO J 124 5.00 43% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.