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Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park

Sunday - November 19, 2023

Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans

who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.

★ FOR CASUAL PLAYERS ★

Wgr

Pick

Tot

Bet

Bet

Winning

Pay

Type

Numbers

Tkts

Unit

Amt

Numbers

Amt

Profit

ROI

WIN

(9/8/2/7)

4

$2.00

$8.00

EXA

(9/8/2/7)-(9/8/2/7)

12

$1.00

$12.00

TRI

(9/8/2/7)-(9/8/2/7)-(9/8/2/7)

24

$0.50

$12.00

DD

(9/8/2/7)-(7/3/8/5)

16

$1.00

$16.00

PK3

(9/8/2/7)-(7/3/8/5)-(3/5/2/9/4)

80

$0.50

$40.00

WIN

(7/3/8/5)

4

$2.00

$8.00

EXA

(7/3/8/5)-(7/3/8/5)

12

$1.00

$12.00

TRI

(7/3/8/5)-(7/3/8/5)-(7/3/8/5)

24

$0.50

$12.00

DD

(7/3/8/5)-(3/5/2/9/4)

20

$1.00

$20.00

PK3

(7/3/8/5)-(3/5/2/9/4)-(4/5)

40

$0.50

$20.00

WIN

(3/5/2/9/4)

5

$2.00

$10.00

EXA

(3/5/2/9/4)-(3/5/2/9/4)

20

$1.00

$20.00

TRI

(3/5/2/9/4)-(3/5/2/9/4)-(3/5/2/9/4)

60

$0.50

$30.00

DD

(3/5/2/9/4)-(4/5)

10

$1.00

$10.00

PK3

(3/5/2/9/4)-(4/5)-(3/4/11/7)

40

$0.50

$20.00

WIN

(4/5)

2

$2.00

$4.00

EXA

(4/5)-(4/5)

2

$1.00

$2.00

TRI

NO BET

0

$0.50

$0.00

DD

(4/5)-(3/4/11/7)

8

$1.00

$8.00

PK3

(4/5)-(3/4/11/7)-(11/7/3/8)

32

$0.50

$16.00

WIN

(3/4/11/7)

4

$2.00

$8.00

EXA

(3/4/11/7)-(3/4/11/8/7)

16

$1.00

$16.00

TRI

(3/4/11/7)-(3/4/11/8/7)-(3/4/11/8/7)

48

$0.50

$24.00

DD

(3/4/11/7)-(11/7/3/8)

16

$1.00

$16.00

PK3

(3/4/11/7)-(11/7/3/8)-(3/2/6/7)

64

$0.50

$32.00

WIN

(11/7/3/8)

4

$2.00

$8.00

EXA

(11/7/3/8)-(11/7/3/9/8)

16

$1.00

$16.00

TRI

(11/7/3/8)-(11/7/3/9/8)-(11/7/3/9/8)

48

$0.50

$24.00

DD

(11/7/3/8)-(3/2/6/7)

16

$1.00

$16.00

PK3

(11/7/3/8)-(3/2/6/7)-(3/6/1/15)

64

$0.50

$32.00

WIN

(3/2/6/7)

4

$2.00

$8.00

EXA

(3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7)

12

$1.00

$12.00

TRI

(3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7)

24

$0.50

$12.00

DD

(3/2/6/7)-(3/6/1/15)

16

$1.00

$16.00

PK3

(3/2/6/7)-(3/6/1/15)-(5/7/3/6)

64

$0.50

$32.00

WIN

(3/6/1/15)

4

$2.00

$8.00

EXA

(3/6/1/15)-(3/6/1/13/15)

16

$1.00

$16.00

TRI

(3/6/1/15)-(3/6/1/13/15)-(3/6/1/13/15)

48

$0.50

$24.00

DD

(3/6/1/15)-(5/7/3/6)

16

$1.00

$16.00

WIN

(5/7/3/6)

4

$2.00

$8.00

EXA

(5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6)

12

$1.00

$12.00

TRI

(5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6)

24

$0.50

$12.00

Simulator Race Cards

IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts

who have the required skill set to override our picks.

★ FOR HANDICAPPERS ★

11/19/2023

3630ft

TURF

RC7

FIRM

Claiming ($25K)

Purse ($35K)

3UP

M/F

PT-12:25

Try it:

Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.

Past Performances

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

1

WAITTILMIDNITEHOUR

(trombetta m)RUSSELL SHELDON 124

4.00

2

LITTLE JOSIE WALES

(milosevic mil)ALVELO C 124

6.00

18%

4.50

SCR

CALL ME VIVIAN

(merryma)BRICENO GREGOR 122

10.00

SCR

FASHIONISTA

(allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 122

30.00

5

LETITGOTOVOICEMAIL

(perkins ben)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124

12.00

6

FLIMSY (GB)

(voss m)CRUZ ANGEL 126

12.00

7

YOOOU KNOW

(cibelli jane)BOYCE FOREST 124

3.50

11%

8.00

8

MOLLIE TAPPER

(sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124

5.00

23%

3.40

9

LADY ENSIGN

(trombetta)CARRASCO R 120

4.50

26%

2.80

SCR

TRITONE GAL

(magana )BRICENO GREGOR 126

6.00

SCR

DOMO ARIGATOU

(gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124

10.00

12

LADY MOSLER

(dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 122

8.00

SCR

SKY BUY

(perri gina)ALVELO C 120

12.00

SCR

ABSTRACT MOMENT

(payne beale)KARAMANOS A 122

30.00

SCR

LATEST EDITION

(morley thomas)BOYCE FOREST 126

3.00

SCR

KILBRITTAIN'S RED

(farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120

50.00

11/19/2023

5610ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($5K)

Purse ($18K)

3UP

ALL

PT-12:55

Try it:

Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.

Past Performances

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

1

NORTHERN THUNDER

(mohan r)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123

20.00

2

MISTER WINSTON

(ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123

3.50

3

MIRACLE SILVER

(nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123

5.00

14%

6.20

4

TINY TIN

(ramirez a)ROSADO JOHAN 123

6.00

5

ZIPPER ZAPPER

(ramirez a)MENA E 126

10.00

5%

19.00

6

ANTIPOISON

(sanche)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123

30.00

7

BRASSTOWN

(serey j)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119

2.00

54%

0.90

8

BAHAMA CHANNEL

(eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 123

4.00

9%

10.40

9

FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY

(allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123

30.00

11/19/2023

5940ft

TURF

RC4

FIRM

Maiden Claimer ($20K)

Purse ($29K)

35

ALL

PT- 1:24

Try it:

Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.

Past Performances

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

1

LAST OF BAD BOYS

(hamlin kathle)ROJAS MARTINA 115

50.00

2

LUNAR DASH

(capuano p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122

6.00

9%

10.40

3

HE DID IT

(delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124

1.60

40%

1.50

4

HEART OF FIRE

(milosevic mil)ALVELO C 120

10.00

5%

19.00

5

SWING SAMMY

(bailes robert)RUIZ JORGE 120

2.00

27%

2.70

6

I WANNA ROCK

(aguirre anthony)GOMEZ KEVIN 124

8.00

7

MENO

(testerman valora)DELGADO A 124

30.00

8

SONIC BLOOM

(merryman )HERNANDEZ A 122

30.00

9

MOSEY

(graham edward)CHAVEZ ANDRES 114

15.00

5%

19.00

10

ELUSIVE IMAGE

(smith jason )BARBOSA JEIRON 120

10.00

SCR

FUN COAST

(albert l)BOYCE FOREST 124

12.00

SCR

PHOTO COPY

(mcdermott s)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122

15.00

SCR

MARYLAND MOON

(gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 124

8.00

SCR

CRIPPLE CREEK

(cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 120

20.00

SCR

HIGH STAKES

(brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 124

12.00

SCR

WORLD FACTOR

(wyatt j)KARAMANOS A 124

3.00

11/19/2023

5610ft

DIRT

RC9

FAST

Starter Allowance ($5K)

Purse ($26K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 1:53

Try it:

Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.

Past Performances

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

SCR

VELVET GHOST

(corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 123

15.00

2

ACE NINE NINE

(howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126

12.00

3

GALATIANS

(eubanks annet)KARAMANOS A 123

20.00

4

PARADISE PRIDE

(ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126

1.20

53%

0.90

5

HANALEI'S HOUDINI

(mcmahon hug)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126

5.00

19%

4.40

6

UP AGAINST IT

(mohan r)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126

10.00

SCR

GOODLUCKCHUCK

(lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 123

10.00

SCR

NEVER CHANGE

(aguirre anthon)ROSADO JOHAN 123

2.50

11/19/2023

5610ft

TURF

RC5

FIRM

Maiden Sp Wt

Purse ($52K)

35

M/F

PT- 2:22

Try it:

Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.

Past Performances

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

1

QUEEN ROCKET

(aro michae)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124

30.00

(by TAPWRIT out of GABEIRA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)

SCR

KAKE'S TAP DANCER

(matz michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 124

3.50

(by TAPIT out of STORMY PURSUER by BERNSTEIN)

3

RECONSIDER ME (IRE)

(motion grah)LYNCH FEARGAL 124

6.00

62%

0.60

(by NO NAY NEVER out of CASUAL by CURLIN)

4

UNFOLDING BEAUTY

(caiazzo cor)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124

12.00

8%

11.90

(by FLINTSHIRE out of EVER SO PRETTY by STORMY ATLANTIC)

5

LA FANTASMA

(matz r)CEDENO CAROL 124

20.00

(by GHOSTZAPPER out of SPECIAL EVENT by ARCH)

SCR

HUMBLING (IRE)

(russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124

2.50

(by QUALITY ROAD out of ABOVE PERFECTION by IN EXCESS (IRE))

7

PRINCESS CAIRO

(de ho)CARRASCO R 124

15.00

5%

19.00

(by CAIRO PRINCE out of SAIDA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)

8

INVEST WISELY

(russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124

4.00

★

(by JUSTIFY out of EMMA'S ENCORE by CONGRATS)

9

LAST GLIMMER

(mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 124

6.00

(by UNCLE MO out of GLOAMING by MAJESTIC LIGHT)

10

RUN AROUND SLEW

(cooney )BRICENO GREGOR 124

10.00

(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ST. LOUIE SLEW by FLOWER ALLEY)

11

WARIDI CANDY

(de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124

12.00

5%

19.00

(by CANDY RIDE out of LA EXTRANA DAMA by CATCHER IN THE RYE)

SCR

CATCH THE KITTEN

(keil d)NO RIDER 126

30.00

(by BLAME out of WALKING THE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)

SCR

COMPASS RISES

(lawrence ja)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124

20.00

(by TALE OF EKATI out of FLAWLESS KID by LEMON DROP KID)

14

SULTRY SKY

(hodsdon da)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126

30.00

(by SKY MESA out of SHAKE DOWN BABY by WANDO)

SCR

INTEL AGENT

(barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 124

30.00

(by GREAT NOTION out of AFTER ALL by OLMODAVOR)

SCR

HEAVENLY APPOINTED

(motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 124

4.00

(by POINT OF ENTRY out of THE RIGHT PEW by PULPIT)

11/19/2023

3960ft

TURF

RC6

FIRM

Optional Claiming ($12.5K)

Purse ($26K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 2:51

Try it:

Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.

Past Performances

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

1

AESTHETICALLY

(dilodov)BRICENO GREGOR 119

5.00

2

ON THE ENGINE

(dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 122

4.00

3

HIS NAME IS SUE

(howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123

15.00

8%

11.80

SCR

CRAZY ODDS

(bentley fennek)BOYCE FOREST 123

20.00

5

ZIP LINE TO HEAVEN

(trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 123

8.00

6

PRESSING CONCERN

(mohan r)ALVELO C 123

30.00

7

CHARMED (GB)

(nuesch patric)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123

6.00

20%

4.00

8

FLASHINTHENIGHT

(salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 119

30.00

5%

19.00

9

VALIANT VINNY

(nuesch patric)KARAMANOS A 123

3.00

★

10

PRINCE PERE

(stettinius su)ROJAS MARTINA 118

3.50

11

BOSS IS A PAL

(stettinius )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123

2.50

44%

1.30

SCR

INDEFATIGABLE

(allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 119

6.00

SCR

OUR HOISTED MAST

(juarez calixt)ROJAS MARTINA 118

20.00

SCR

BOURBON CURRENCY

(wolfe jr)KARAMANOS A 123

15.00

SCR

E. P. MILTON

(cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119

20.00

SCR

OUR STRONG VOWS

(bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 120

4.50

11/19/2023

3960ft

DIRT

RC5

FAST

Maiden Sp Wt

Purse ($52K)

35

ALL

PT- 3:21

Try it:

Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.

Past Performances

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

1

INFINITE SERIES

(mcmulle)BRICENO GREGOR 124

15.00

(by TIZNOW out of WAVES OF BLUE by QUALITY ROAD)

2

WON AN AWARD

(duarte jorge )KARAMANOS A 124

4.50

34%

1.90

(by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of SOUNDS OF THE CITY by STREET CRY (IRE))

3

NASTY HABIT

(farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126

1.20

36%

1.70

(by VIOLENCE out of LEMON BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)

SCR

TAP YOUR HEART

(chapman jame)BARBOSA JEIRON 124

20.00

(by TAPIT out of STEIDLE by PETIONVILLE)

5

TWIRLING EXPRESS

(martin f)ROSADO JOHAN 124

6.00

(by TWIRLING CANDY out of RUTHVILLE by AFLEET ALEX)

6

TIME THE AVENGER

(farrior antho)ROJAS MARTINA 119

5.00

5%

18.80

(by BOLT D'ORO out of ANGRY OCEAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)

7

RESPIRATOR

(jones c)HADDOCK DEXTER 124

8.00

5%

19.00

(by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of LA PADRINA by EL PADRINO)

8

CATCHING STARS

(corrales )HERNANDEZ F 124

12.00

(by KANTHAROS out of LEMONDROPONTHEROX by LEMON DROP KID)

9

HERE'S LIAM

(sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 124

30.00

(by LIAM'S MAP out of STAY HERE by DEHERE)

11/19/2023

5610ft

TURF

RC10

FIRM

Allowance

Purse ($54K)

3UP

M/F

PT- 3:51

Try it:

Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.

Past Performances

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

1

LULLABY LAND

(abrams jack)CASTILLO A 123

4.50

5%

19.00

2

HAINT BLUE (FR)

(brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 121

12.00

3

TRACY FLICK

(mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 123

0.80

62%

0.60

SCR

PATTY CAKES

(ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123

2.50

SCR

KOBE'S SMILE

(boniface kevin)ROSADO JOHAN 121

30.00

6

DOWNTOWN KATIE

(gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123

8.00

13%

6.70

7

VANILLA BEAN

(merryman eliz)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123

20.00

8

GOLD DIGGING BROAD

(vera m)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121

10.00

9

FINE WHINING

(coletti )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121

30.00

SCR

NORTHERN GLOW

(russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 121

2.00

SCR

WINGS OF A SONG

(schoenthal phil)BEATO INOEL 121

12.00

SCR

APPLE SHAKE SHAKE

(alvarado dia)BARBOSA JEIRON 121

15.00

13

CIRCLE HOME

(vera miguel)RUSSELL SHELDON 126

8.00

★

14

CUT FROM CLASS

(keil d)NO RIDER 123

12.00

15

AWESOME JAZZ

(merryma)BRICENO GREGOR 123

12.00

5%

19.00

SCR

CHA CHA TAP

(milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121

5.00

11/19/2023

5610ft

DIRT

RC4

FAST

Maiden Claimer ($12.5K)

Purse ($25K)

35

M/F

PT- 4:20

Try it:

Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.

Past Performances

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

1

SUPER MONEY

(haughton do)CHATRIE E 110

30.00

2

OPINIONATED

(woolley ti)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126

6.00

3

DIVINE SPIRIT

(smith v)BRICENO GREGOR 124

30.00

7%

12.80

4

POWER AND GLORY

(martin f)ROSADO JOHAN 126

3.50

5

ABBY'S LUCKY GIRL

(ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124

1.60

48%

1.10

6

TIME GOES FAST

(juarez calixt)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119

30.00

5%

19.00

7

MARLEY'S GHOST

(trombetta mic)ROJAS MARTINA 119

15.00

19%

4.20

8

VOODOO PRIESTESS

(smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 120

4.00

9

AMERICAN ODALISQUE

(russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124

4.50

Labels:

M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

Two Groups of Contenders:

Win Contenders

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

Place/Show Contenders

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

Legal:

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.