Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont Park
Monday - July 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BEL-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(4/9/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(4/9/6)-(2/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BEL-2   WIN (4/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/6)-(4/9/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/9/6)-(4/9/6)-(4/9/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/9/6)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/9/6)-(2/6/1)-(1/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BEL-3   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(1/3/4)-(5/4/8/1/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
BEL-4   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(5/4/8/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(5/4/8/1/7)-(5/4/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BEL-5   WIN (5/4/8/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/1/7)-(5/4/8/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/1/7)-(5/4/8/1/7)-(5/4/8/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/8/1/7)-(5/4/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8/1/7)-(5/4/1/3)-(8/2/3/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BEL-6   WIN (5/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/3)-(8/2/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/3)-(8/2/3/7)-(4/2/7/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BEL-7   WIN (8/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/7)-(8/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/7)-(8/2/3/7)-(8/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/3/7)-(4/2/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3/7)-(4/2/7/8)-(7/5/9/10/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BEL-8   WIN (4/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/8)-(4/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/8)-(4/2/7/8)-(4/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/7/8)-(7/5/9/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BEL-9   WIN (7/5/9/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/9/10/8)-(7/5/9/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/9/10/8)-(7/5/9/10/8)-(7/5/9/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BEL-1   07/03/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAIL ORDER Nov27 Sep30 Sep02 Aug04 Jul02 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00    
2  SISTER ANNIE Feb10 Dec02 Oct19 Sep14 Aug12 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
3  ROSES FOR DEBRA May19 Oct13 Sep21 Jul18 Jun09 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.80 30% 2.30    
4  ADAAY IN ASIA (GB) Jun03         (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.60 28% 2.60    
5  MAJESTIC D'ORO May05 Sep13 Aug08 Jul09 May14 (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  EDIE MEENY MINY MO May20 Dec31 Oct30 Aug16 Jul02 (hemingway mi)CASTELLANO J 118 1.50    
 
BEL-2   07/03/2023 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHTSABER (GB) Jun02 May14 Apr20 Jan22 Dec18 (de horaci)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00    
2  WONDER GIRL Jun02 May12 Apr16 Mar10 Feb17 (klesaris rob)TORRES A 114 6.00    
3  JUST A SPLASH (IRE) Jun24 Feb11 Oct22 Sep23   (dutrow anth)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 5.00    
4  LEXI'S SPIRIT Jun02 Apr15 Feb18 Jan08 Nov20 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 35% 1.80    
5  BELLESHAZZA Jun02 Dec08 Nov20 Oct14 Aug21 (sciacca gary)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00    
6  SOLEVO SPRITZ Jun02 Apr16       (rodriguez gust)ROSARIO JOEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GRACEFUL Jun02 May26 Apr28 Mar17 Jan13 (friedman mitche)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00    
SCR  KEEP IT SEXY Jun03 May13 Oct22 Sep23   (walder peter)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 16% 5.20    
9  FANCY STAX         (abreu r)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  PARTY AT GRANTS May02 Mar16       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 2.50    
SCR  MOONEY MOONEY May26 Apr28       (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 2.00    
 
BEL-3   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACING COLORS Jun18 Jun04 May11 Apr23 Mar30 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  REIGNING CHICK Jun15 May21 Apr13 Mar18 Feb20 (walder r)ORTIZ L 123 1.80 40% 1.50    
3  HARLAN'S BOND May20 Apr22 Mar17 Feb20   (donk david)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
4  APRIL ANTICS Jun04 Apr23 Apr07 Mar19 Feb19 (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
5  DUCKPHAT May28 Apr13 Mar18 Feb20 Jan22 (henry ne)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 8.00    
6  SWEETIE Jun15 May11 Apr06     (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 123 4.50 29% 2.50    
 
BEL-4   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALENZAN DAY Apr23 Mar19 Mar05 Jan07 Dec04 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 49% 1.00    
2  UNION LIGHTS Jun04 May06 Apr08 Feb26 Jan07 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 6.00    
3  BLU GROTTO May13 Feb17 Jan07 Dec18 Nov19 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 19% 4.40    
4  BERT BERT BERT Jun01 May11 Apr07 Jan26 Dec18 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 125 5.00 6% 14.50    
5  CHEEKY TICO Jun04 May13 Apr07 Mar18 Mar03 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 125 8.00    
SCR  SUPER QUALITY Jun18 Apr28 Apr15 Mar10 Mar05 (summers chad)TORRES A 118 12.00    
7  CUMBERLAND BLUES Jun22 Jun04 May13 Apr29 Mar18 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 125 3.00    
 
BEL-5   07/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM ON CARA Jun18 Jun01 Apr23 Apr06 Mar18 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DREAMING OF CARA by NORTH LIGHT)
SCR  FOXY CARA Jun25 May21 Apr29 Apr06   (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
  (by MASTERY out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
2  THREE CUPS FULL May27         (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of FLIPCUP by MILWAUKEE BREW)
3  PINSTRIPEPIZZO Jun01 Apr15 Feb24 Jan14   (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SPICY TEMPER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  SHELLY         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 13% 6.40    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TESTA ROSSI by DR FONG)
5  STRICTLY TABOO May27 Apr08 Jan08     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 59% 0.70    
  (by ASTERN out of SPUNTASTIC by HARD SPUN)
6  SPLASHY May21 Apr06 Nov19     (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
  (by FLATTER out of SAVVY SASSY by STREET SENSE)
7  SHINE MY TIARA         (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STORM THE TOWER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  SPINNING COLORS May27 Nov27 Oct06 Sep02 Aug10 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 5% 17.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of KALEIDOSCOPE by HONEST PLEASURE)
9  SILENT MELODY Jun01 May05       (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
  (by TONALIST out of ANNA STRONG by UNCLE MO)
10  CERRETTA Jun03 Apr08 Nov17 Oct09 Aug31 (bond harold )TORRES A 119 6.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LIFT by IRISH OPEN)
11  MAYA'S DREAM Oct28 Sep22       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of READY FOR THERAPY by FREUD)
12  SHE'S A NATURAL Jun01 May05 Apr08 Feb10 Dec16 (sciacca gary)CARMOUCHE K 124 20.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
SCR  STONE OF DESTINY Jun17         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
  (by DESTIN out of ALEXANDRITE by ORDWAY (BRZ))
SCR  ICHIBAN Jun25 Apr15 Mar18 Jan21   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of COVER GIRL ELLE by OUT OF PLACE)
 
BEL-6   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLOQUY May13 Apr13 Mar24 Feb19 Jan07 (morley thoma)TORRES A 120 2.50 14% 6.30    
2  DRAKE'S PASSAGE Dec08 Nov13 Oct16     (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
3  SON OF AN EX Jun02 May06 Mar18 Mar10 Feb18 (henry neville)BROWN DALTON 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  PINEAPPLE MAN May29 May06 Jun25 May30 Mar31 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 125 4.50 31% 2.30    
5  SAFALOW'S MISSION Jun03 May05 Mar10 Feb12 Jan08 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  CICCIOBELLO Jun09 May14 Dec15 Nov11   (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 125 10.00    
7  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE Jun18 May06 Mar26 Feb26 Feb04 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
8  ACHILLES HEEL May11 Apr20 Mar17 Feb19 Jan28 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00    
 
BEL-7   07/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFE AND LIGHT Jun22 May27 May07 Apr15 Mar25 (prin)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 15.00    
2  ICE ROAD Jun09 Feb25 Dec02 Nov13 Oct02 (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  LEONIDS Jun10 May06 Apr20 Mar11 Feb19 (beattie tod)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 9% 10.00    
4  RED D G P Jun04 May11 Apr23 Jan19 Jan12 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 10.00    
5  IMPROPER May05 Mar10 Jan08 Dec09 Apr09 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 5.00    
6  MAGICAL WAYS May13 Apr21 Mar03 Jan08 Dec15 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 124 6.00    
7  SKYLANDER Jun09 May11 Apr13 Jan28 Jan07 (trites lan)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  BALTASAR Aug27 Jul29 Jun05 May05 Apr10 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 41% 1.40    
 
BEL-8   07/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Hudson Valley Purse ($125K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUSH OF A STORM May28 May11 Mar18 Feb19 Apr16 (morey william )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HUSH NOW by FLATTER)
2  DAKOTA GOLD May29 Mar04 Dec26 Nov19 Aug17 (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
  (by FREUD out of DAKOTA KID by CONFIDE)
3  SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN May29 Dec17 Dec04 Oct08 Sep10 (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of MARILYN MONROAN by TAPIT)
4  JERRY THE NIPPER May29 Nov19 Sep24 Aug26 Jul02 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of AQUA REGIA by GOLD MERIDIAN)
5  COLD HARD CASH Nov26 Nov10 Oct30 Sep24 Aug27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of PERFECT LEGACY by TAMAYAZ)
SCR  SENBEI May29 Nov12 Sep30 Aug06 May15 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SWEET ALOHA by WESTERN CAT)
7  CALL ME HARRY Apr30 Mar10 Feb10 Nov19 Oct27 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CALL ME SWIFT by BERNARDINI)
8  RUSE Jun17 Sep15 Aug11 Jul15 Jun19 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of PINK TIGHTS by LET GOODTIMES ROLL)
SCR  BANKIT May29 Apr15 Feb20 Jan08 Dec04 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SISTER IN ARMS by COLONEL JOHN)
SCR  DR ARDITO May29 May05 Feb20 Jan19 May15 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DELIGHTFULLY SO by RARE BRICK)
SCR  WHO HOO THATS ME May19 Jan21 Dec10 Oct30 Sep23 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of CALCULATION by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
BEL-9   07/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZAPRUDER Jun01 Dec17 Dec08 Oct16   (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
2  SOCIAL SIDEKICK Feb24 Oct16 Jul29     (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
3  BIG BOULDER Jun04 May19       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
4  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE Nov05 Oct06 Sep15 Aug11   (albright ge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00    
5  CONQUIST May29 Dec21 Nov20 Oct21 Sep23 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 32% 2.10    
6  IN MY SHADOW May19 Apr22 Feb26 Feb09 Jan06 (fisher lin)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 20.00    
7  MAYTHISBETHEONE May19 Apr22 Dec01 Nov13 Apr22 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
8  KID EMERALD May29 Oct21 Sep23     (miceli micha)TORRES A 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  BARRY THE BUILDER Jun03 May13 Nov11 Oct27 Sep16 (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 8% 12.00    
10  OVER THE CAP Jun01 Apr22       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BAD LARRY Jun03 May14 Mar25     (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
SCR  HARI Jun03         (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  ATLANTA'S ACUNA Jun03 May06 Nov11 Oct27 Oct07 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
SCR  WAYWARD GHOST Jun11         (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
SCR  WAFLR Jun18 May13       (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
SCR  A LISTER Jun18 Nov06 Oct07 Sep24 May06 (prin)HUAYAS (JASON) 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.