Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - June 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(2/1/6)-(6/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(6/1/4)-(4/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(4/3/5)-(3/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(3/5/6)-(7/6/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(7/6/2/1)-(5/4/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-6   WIN (7/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/1)-(5/4/2/6)-(7/3/4/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/2/6)-(7/3/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (7/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/2)-(7/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/2)-(7/3/4/2)-(7/3/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   06/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERVE REVENGE COLD Mar27 Mar09 Jan11 Dec12 Nov22 (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 15% 5.50    
2  JUDGE HEAD May31 May15 Apr27 Apr13 Mar14 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
3  NAMBITI Jun10 May31 May09 Apr27 Apr13 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 3.50    
4  SAMMY DA BULL Jun06 May16 Apr27 Mar27 Feb20 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  RIDING IN THE WIND Jun06 May16 Apr25 Sep30 Sep16 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 4.00    
6  SPIN DOCTOR Jun10 May24 May15 Apr26 Nov19 (londono j)TORREALBA JG 114 2.50 57% 0.80    
 
TDN-2   06/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALTAIR Jun02 Feb26 Feb05 Jan18 Dec30 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.00 17% 4.80    
2  MINDSHIP Q Jun02 May21 Apr30 Apr09 Feb12 (londono j)TORREALBA JG 118 1.80 49% 1.10    
3  LOCKDOWN LOVER Mar29 Aug03 Jul13 May26 Feb23 (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 15.00    
4  STREET TRAFFIC Jun20 May23 May06 Apr25 Jul14 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 6.00    
5  MISTERCHILLIWILLI Jun06         (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 3.00    
6  EL BANDIDO         (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 8.00 12% 7.20    
 
TDN-3   06/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDLELIGHT HOURS May30 May11 Apr25 Sep27 Aug13 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 2.00 31% 2.20    
2  SECRET FIX May22 Mar24 Mar10 Jan29 Dec30 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50    
3  LIONISTIC Jun02 May15 Dec07 Nov21 Oct12 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
4  SALLY STRONG Jun02 May11 Apr05 Aug13 Jul15 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 5.00 10% 9.00    
5  WINE ME UP BABY Jun02 Apr27 Apr11 Mar02 Jan18 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
6  SQUID Jun02 May13 Apr10 Mar16 Feb15 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
TDN-4   06/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TO WIN Jun02 May10 Apr12 Apr04 Mar02 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
2  OAKS HONEY May31 Nov15 Oct27 Oct14 Sep29 (brown glenro)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 6.00    
3  MORESTRIDE Jun02 May15 May02 Nov21 Oct29 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
4  I WANNA WIN Jun06 May10 Oct29 Sep27 Sep07 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 121 1.80 29% 2.40    
5  TANTRUM Jun02 May10 Apr15 Oct29 Sep19 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  INDIAN FEVER Jan25 Dec30 Sep07 Aug23 Jul18 (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 114 8.00    
 
TDN-5   06/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID RUSSELL Jun15 May16 May09 Apr25 Apr13 (juarez lorenzo)TORREALBA JG 114 6.00    
SCR  HENRY MAC Jun13 Nov28 Oct29 Aug31 Jul18 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
3  IT'S OFFICIAL May03         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 36% 1.70    
SCR  TRAITOR AMONGST US May20 Sep29 Aug30 Aug17 Jul13 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
5  GOLDEN MONEY Jun15 May20 May08 Mar23 Feb22 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 5.00 28% 2.60    
6  TEAM HUCKY May23 Nov06 Oct27 Oct13 Sep21 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 4.00 13% 6.60    
7  OAKEN Mar23 Mar09 Feb21 Jan26 Dec27 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00    
 
TDN-6   06/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNLIKEJACKIEO Jun02 May10 Apr27 Mar30 Mar15 (faulkner rod)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 10.00 10% 9.10    
2  HELLO SWEETS Jun12 May24 May06 Apr10 Mar21 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 117 3.00 13% 6.50    
3  KERRI'S MIRACLE May25 Apr27 Mar30 Mar20 Feb16 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 15.00    
4  SURE FIRE READY May23 May06 Sep26 Sep07 Aug22 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 6.00    
5  IN TROUBLED WATERS Jun02 Dec30 Dec03 Nov15 Oct29 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 115 5.00    
6  SALUTE THE KID Jun14 May11 Nov30 Nov12   (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.50 14% 6.00    
7  ANCHORWOMAN Jun02 May06 Apr10 Mar21 Sep21 (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 112 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
TDN-7   06/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPILEA Jun07 Mar23 Feb28 Feb08 Jan10 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 123 3.50    
2  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Jun07 May17 Feb20 Feb08 Dec19 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  LUCKY ANDY May03 Nov29 Oct24 Oct03 Sep12 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00    
4  DAVID'S GEM May29 May02 Jan28 Dec22 Dec01 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 118 3.00 21% 3.90    
5  MORE THAN GOOD Jun07 May17 Nov08 Oct18 Sep15 (poole m)BRACHO A 123 2.50 49% 1.00    
6  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Apr03 Mar09 Feb20 Jan26 Dec31 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  VALHALLA AIR BASE Jun01 May15 Apr27 Mar30 Mar06 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00    
 
TDN-8   06/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Jun06 Feb15 Jan31 Jan16 Sep20 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
2  INTO GOLD May23 May08 Mar20 Feb15 Jan31 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 121 4.50 9% 10.70    
3  WETZEL Jun02 May05 Apr06 Nov30 Nov01 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 115 5.00 18% 4.70    
4  AWESOMELY INSPIRED Jun02 Apr27 Aug02     (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 6.00 16% 5.10    
5  LONE BOY Jun10 May09 Feb01 Jan05 Nov07 (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
6  ANIMO ROBERTO May31 May23 Mar29 Mar14 Jan24 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00    
7  OKLAHOMA JOE May26 Dec30 Nov30 Nov14 Oct29 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 115 3.00 33% 2.00    
8  STAGE NAME Jun02 May08 Apr13 Feb21   (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.