Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - June 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(5/1/6)-(4/7/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(4/7/6)-(4/1/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(4/1/7/2)-(3/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/2)-(4/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/2)-(4/1/7/2)-(4/1/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/2)-(3/4/6)-(2/5/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(2/5/1/4)-(3/2/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/4)-(3/2/7/1)-(1/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/7/1)-(1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   06/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRISTALINDA Jun13 May23 May09 Apr04 Oct11 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 118 2.50    
SWEET CHELSEA Jun13 May25 Oct13 Sep13 Aug22 (genovese rich)BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
DOUBLE D'S REVENGE Sep22 Aug23 Jul21 Jul06 Jun01 (brown t)VELEZ J 123 4.00    
SISTER'S CREED Sep06         (brown t)RIVERA R 123 8.00 7% 13.60    
CHECK OUT LINE Jun13 May09 Apr04 Mar16 Jan26 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 2.00 68% 0.50    
RONNI'S DAY May17 May24 May03 Mar18   (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.00    
 
TDN-2   06/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICY RAIN Jun14 May29 May03 Mar29 Mar21 (ratliff gobel)YARANGA Y 123 2.50 12% 7.60    
INSIDE GIRL Jun14 May11 Mar18 Feb23 Jan05 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
BANK BUSTER Jun07 May25 Apr22 Apr12 Mar10 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 1.60    
DANCING FOR MONEY Jun14 May03 Mar01 Feb22 Feb06 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 123 8.00    
IMA SURE BET Jun19 Jun07 May25 Mar01 Feb20 (morales m)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 46% 1.20    
DUDE'S MIST DATE Jan09 Dec22       (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 12.00 10% 9.10    
 
TDN-3   06/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOX STEP Jun01 May20 Feb14 Jan28 Dec30 (yoder d)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
SCR  SOLE FACTOR Dec30 Nov17 Oct26 Oct03 Sep01 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
LARSA Jun06 May24 May11 Apr26 Mar29 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00    
PENNY SHOTS Jun01 May13 Apr26 Mar08 Feb16 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
LADY FORTUNE Mar15 Feb13 Jan24 Dec19 Dec12 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00    
JETTIN PEGASUS Jun12 May20 May10 Dec01 Nov16 (suarez javier)GUERERE ANGEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
OUT MY DEAR Dec30 Dec13 Nov19 Oct25 Sep28 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 24% 3.10    
CATABOUT Jun06 May13 May03 Mar06 Feb23 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
 
TDN-4   06/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HITCH CITY Apr27 Sep28 Sep12 Aug25 Aug08 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
ARTIES CRYPTONITE Feb07 Jan18 Dec22 Dec07 Nov09 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
MISS ELLIE Jun13 Jun05 May06 Apr27 Apr10 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00    
DANZA MAGIC May24 Apr10 Apr03 Mar15 Feb23 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.00 28% 2.60    
EASTER PRIDE Jun13 May11 Apr26 Apr15 Mar29 (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
SASSY POWER May25 May11 Apr26 Apr13 Feb07 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 12.00    
HOSANNA Jun13 Apr27 Dec03 Nov16 Oct31 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
TDN-5   06/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SO DIALED IN May30 May08 Apr15 Mar22 Mar13 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 123 4.00    
MO DONT NO Jun06 May10 Apr04 Jan10 Dec12 (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 4.50    
AYE AYE SIR May30 Nov19 Oct22 Oct10 Sep15 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 123 2.00 47% 1.10    
BAYTOWN BEAR May29 May16 Apr08 Mar18 Dec10 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 123 2.50 15% 5.90    
FRANCO (MEX) Jun05 Dec13 Dec06 Nov23 Oct04 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00    
WICKED WARRIOR May10 Apr16 Mar29 Dec17 Nov19 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 8.00 8% 12.20    
 
TDN-6   06/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLDAT TEMPTATION Jun10 May25 May03 Mar29 Nov28 (meyers shan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOLDAT out of ADELIA by FOREST DANGER)
STRATOGALE         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 54% 0.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of CONQUESTA by EMPIRE MAKER)
FLASH OF CHEROKEE Jun07 May11 Apr14 Mar16 Feb19 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of LACA by CHEROKEE RUN)
VIMISOFA May12 Apr28 Mar08 Jan20 Nov04 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MAYMONT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
WORTHINESS Jun14 Apr30 Jan08 Dec30 Dec09 (shanyfelt va)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 3.50 19% 4.40    
  (by CAPITAL ACCOUNT out of TRULY AWESOME by YOUNG DEVIL)
TRAMA QUEEN May25         (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TRICIA'S TRAMA by ARTICLE OF FAITH)
SCR  SISTER CODE Jun14 May25 May11 Apr25 Mar16 (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
FULL TIME STRUTIN Jun07 May25 May11 Apr25 Apr13 (gonz)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 6.00    
  (by TATHQEEF out of PART TIME MODEL by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
TDN-7   06/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET EMPIRE Jun12 May24 Apr12 Apr04 Mar16 (radcliff donald )RIVERA R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
LILAC LACE May24 Apr30 Mar22 Feb22 Feb07 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
BLACK BUTTE Jun05 May24 May02 Mar07 Feb16 (patton luke)DIAZ I 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
SABELLE May22 May02 Apr15 Feb27 Feb14 (cast)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 3.00    
SCR  CASCABRIA Jun12 May29 Apr26 Apr15 Feb21 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
LA MUNECA Jun14 May29 Mar29 Feb22 Feb06 (zielinski rich)TORREALBA JG 118 4.50    
ACT LIKE A LADY Jun14 Mar07 Feb16 Jan19 Dec05 (cline robe)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00 14% 6.10    
 
TDN-8   06/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OHIO EAGLE Jun07 May22 May08 Sep15 Sep05 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
ATTACK ANGLE Jan12         (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 10.00    
BUCKEYE RUCKUS Jun07 May08 Apr06 Mar14 Feb21 (calderon ivan)TOLEDO S 123 4.00 13% 7.00    
SCR  OFTEN ENOUGH Jun07 May31 May08 Apr27 Apr13 (shanyfelt va)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 3.50    
SCR  HENRY THE CAT May08 Mar23 Feb22 Jan16 Dec27 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 5.00    
CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED Jun07 May20 Apr26 Sep15 Sep01 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  JUST CHESTER Jun07 May20 May08 Mar14 Feb21 (patton luke)DIAZ I 123 12.00    
PLATE IT UP Jun01 May24 May15 May08 Apr11 (tumblin a)GONZALES J 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.