Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont Park
Thursday - June 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BEL-1   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(1/3/4)-(6/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BEL-2   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(6/5/1)-(7/9/8/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-3   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(7/9/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(7/9/8/2)-(5/3/1/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BEL-4   WIN (7/9/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/8/2)-(7/9/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/8/2)-(7/9/8/2)-(7/9/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/8/2)-(5/3/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/9/8/2)-(5/3/1/8)-(4/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BEL-5   WIN (5/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/8)-(5/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/8)-(5/3/1/8)-(5/3/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/1/8)-(4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/8)-(4/1/2)-(4/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-6   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(4/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(4/6/7)-(8/4/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-7   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/7)-(8/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7)-(8/4/6/7)-(3/11/8/10/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BEL-8   WIN (8/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/7)-(8/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/7)-(8/4/6/7)-(8/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/6/7)-(3/11/8/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BEL-9   WIN (3/11/8/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/11/8/10/2)-(3/11/8/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/11/8/10/2)-(3/11/8/10/2)-(3/11/8/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BEL-1   06/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOUNT UP Oct01         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 1.20 43% 1.30    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MADE ME SHIVER by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
2  TREATY OBLIGATION Apr08 Mar04 Jan28     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 34% 2.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of HEAVENLY TAP by TAPIT)
3  BIG NIGHT OUT         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BLIND DATE by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  NIGHT CHANT         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TICKET TO SEATTLE by CAPOTE)
SCR  HONOR KING         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of LANTERN GLOW by MINESHAFT)
6  COALVILLE         (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CATHRYN SOPHIA by STREET BOSS)
 
BEL-2   06/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERBAL Apr13 Feb04 Apr08     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.60 41% 1.40    
2  SEVEN CHANNELS Apr16 Feb10 Jan08 Nov06 Sep06 (lewis l)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00    
3  DUKE OF HAZZARD (FR) Apr07 Oct13 Sep14 Aug06 Jul09 (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
4  CHASING THE CROWN Apr29 Feb25 Jan28 May15 Apr16 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 8% 11.20    
5  EASTER (FR) May20 Apr07 Jun30 May14 Apr15 (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50    
6  SKY AND SAND May05 Apr08 Mar16 Sep14 Aug14 (sisterson j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00    
SCR  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER May21 Apr07 Nov19 Oct22 Sep23 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 0.60    
 
BEL-3   06/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRADE SECRET May18 Apr20 Mar24 Feb19 Jan15 (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CARLY HUSTLE May18 Mar24 Feb20 Jan29 Jan12 (toscano john)TORRES A 118 10.00    
3  GRINGOTTS Jun02 May18 May11 Apr20 Mar31 (young)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 12.00    
4  VALLARAND Jun02 May18 Apr13 Feb17 Feb10 (begg be)OLVER MADISON 116 6.00    
5  RAFFINITY Apr23 Mar30 Mar17 Feb20 Jan13 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.00 8% 11.10    
6  GREATEST LOVE Apr20 Mar17 Feb26 Jan20 Dec08 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.80 59% 0.70    
 
BEL-4   06/22/2023 3960ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOLA FLO May18 Jul02 Jun19 Jun04 May22 (cash norman )TORRES A 118 12.00    
2  WESTERN LANE May28 Feb10 Jan29 Dec18 Nov20 (lynch natalia)DAVIS KATIE 125 12.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  BELLA PRINCIPESSA May18 May12 Apr21 Mar31 Mar11 (klesaris robe)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50    
4  BOSS OF ALL May13 Jun16 May08     (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 10.00    
SCR  SARATOGA GAZE May28 Apr22 Mar26 Oct23 Sep23 (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00    
6  TRY IT AGAIN Jun16 May21 Apr23 Mar26 Mar11 (aren)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 15.00    
7  BRISKY FROLIC May28 May04 Apr21 Mar12 Feb24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 5.00 24% 3.20    
8  BUSTIN BULLET May18 Apr28 Nov19 Oct22 Sep23 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 16% 5.10    
9  ACT OF CONGRESS May27 Jun11 May14 Apr14   (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 125 3.50 18% 4.40    
SCR  TOWERING GAZE Jun01 Apr21 Apr08 Mar10 Mar01 (begg bentle)RIDER TBA 123 8.00    
SCR  BABY SOX Jun03 May12 Mar19 Jan13 Nov27 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
 
BEL-5   06/22/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAYOR JACK         (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of AMBLESIDE PARK by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
2  NOBLE WAVE         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of ELIZABETH EARLEY by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
3  NOTED         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SEA VIEW MILLIE by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  DARK VINTAGE (IRE)         (ward wesley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50    
  (by DARK ANGEL out of THE MUMS by HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR (IRE))
5  CULPRIT         (ward a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by JUSTIFY out of HENNY JENNEY by HENNY HUGHES)
SCR  WEEKEND CONCERTO         (maker michael )ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of WEEKEND FANTASY by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
7  PLEASE ADVISE         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of AMANSARA by WAR CHANT)
8  DANGEROUS DRIVER         (jimenez l)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of GIGAHERTZ by SOCIETY ROAD)
SCR  ROCK STAR BOY Jun04         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of GORGEOUS IN RAGS by UNION RAGS)
 
BEL-6   06/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEES GET DEGREES May19 Apr28 Mar18 Mar05 Feb10 (jacobson david)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50    
1A  GUN IT Jun01 May18 Apr22 Mar11 Jan18 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 17% 4.80    
2  SECRET RULES May20 Apr23 Mar24 Jan18 Nov25 (falcone robe)TORRES A 115 6.00 12% 7.20    
3  MR PHIL May13 Apr20 Aug10 Jun10 May22 (begg be)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
4  NOVA RAGS Apr28 Feb10 Dec30 Nov12 Jul16 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 1.60 44% 1.30    
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN May27 May13 Apr28 Apr07 Mar23 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 123 1.40    
 
BEL-7   06/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG ENGINE May21 Apr28 Apr20 Feb18 Feb10 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.00    
SCR  FIRST DEPUTY Jun03 Apr30 Apr07 Mar12 Feb11 (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
3  THRILL OF IT Apr30 Mar24 Jul28 May30 Mar27 (terranova jo)TORRES A 118 6.00    
4  UNIQUE UNIONS Apr30 Nov17 Sep23 Jul31 Jul08 (duggan david )FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 44% 1.30    
5  FOOLISH GHOST May21 Apr30 Apr01 Mar12 Feb11 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 114 6.00    
6  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND May29 May05 Feb05 Jan08 Oct07 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 14% 6.10    
7  SCILLY CAY Jun04 May13 Apr30 Mar25 Mar05 (reynolds patric)CANCEL ERIC 123 15.00 5% 18.20    
 
BEL-8   06/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3 F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEPHANIE'S CHARM May13 Mar11 Feb04 Jan07 Dec10 (jimenez jos)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00    
2  TRYINMYHEARTOUT Jun03 May13 Apr08 Mar04 Feb05 (came)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 15.00    
3  FAST KIMMIE Apr20 Aug20 Jul24 Jun24 May26 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
4  ROOT CAUSE May12 Mar19 Aug14     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
5  LIFELOVENLAUGHTER May20 Nov27 Oct28 Sep09 Aug16 (trombetta mich)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
6  QUARREL May27 Nov19 Oct27 Sep22   (ribaudo robert )DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 18% 4.50    
7  TAP IT UP Jun02 May14 Apr16 Mar20 Mar01 (ryerson james )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BIG BRASS BED May13 Apr09       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 33% 2.00    
 
BEL-9   06/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K P ALL SYSTEMS GO May28 Nov11 Oct09 Sep11 Aug20 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
2  VOLIERO Jun02 May21 May05 Apr13 Mar05 (persaud ran)MARTINEZ R 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  HILLIARD Mar30 Feb22 Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
4  SPLENDID SUMMER May14 Apr22 Aug07 Jul10 Jun12 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.50    
SCR  FINGAL Jan22 Jan13       (kingsley ar)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00    
6  PRAYER BOOK May21 Oct27 Oct07 Jul22 Jun18 (chichakly amir)RICHARDS G 124 30.00    
7  LIFE AND LIGHT May27 May07 Apr15 Mar25 Feb24 (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
8  STEELERSFANFORLIFE Jun02 Aug18 Jul23 Jul01 Jun05 (gyarmati leah)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  SONIC SPEED May28 Dec16 Oct29 Oct09 Sep24 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00    
10  CUMBERLAND BLUES Jun04 May13 Apr29 Mar18 Feb19 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  ARRIO May29 Nov12 Oct09 Sep24   (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  BLU GROTTO May13 Feb17 Jan07 Dec18 Nov19 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 124 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.