Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - June 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/1/5)-(3/1/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/5)-(3/1/4/5)-(6/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/5)-(3/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/5)-(3/1/4/5)-(3/1/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4/5)-(6/2/4)-(2/6/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(2/6/5/7)-(5/7/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/7)-(5/7/4/2)-(4/3/7/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/2)-(5/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/2)-(5/7/4/2)-(5/7/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/2)-(4/3/7/5)-(6/3/2/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/5)-(4/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/5)-(4/3/7/5)-(4/3/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/5)-(6/3/2/9)-(1/8/7/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/3/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/9)-(6/3/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/9)-(6/3/2/9)-(6/3/2/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/2/9)-(1/8/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/4)-(1/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/4)-(1/8/7/4)-(1/8/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   06/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K P SILVER BULLET May30 May15 Apr27 Sep26 Sep13 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  HAD RIGHT May30 May16 Apr22 Mar31 Mar18 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 119 20.00    
3  GRAND DEAL May30 May17 Apr27 Apr11 Mar28 (schuster ro)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00    
4  WHISKEY ROAN May27 Apr29 Apr15 Feb25 Jan19 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 41% 1.40    
5  ON SPOT May24 Apr05 Feb07 Dec09 Nov12 (tumblin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MR CLINE May30 May08 Mar30 Mar17 Feb18 (cline c)FELICIANO R 121 1.80    
7  FISHING FOR FUN May24 May08 Apr15 Apr05 Mar15 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 2.00 31% 2.20    
 
TDN-2   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEOMBRUNO May29 May03 Sep12 Aug08 Jul19 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 16% 5.30    
2  RULING FRONT May03 Oct14 Sep25 Sep11 Aug24 (rivera xavi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 119 6.00    
3  ICONIC May17 Oct22 Sep12 Aug04 Jul07 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 3.50 52% 0.90    
4  ROCK ON KITTEN May15 May03 Jan31 Jan18 Dec27 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.00 7% 13.40    
5  WILLY'S CASTLE Nov12 Oct27 Oct04 Sep22 Sep12 (sweazey scott)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  DERBYS MONEYMAKER May17 Apr24 Dec12 Nov29 Nov16 (shanyfelt va)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 15.00    
7  THE DRAKE May24 May03 Apr12 Jan24 Jan05 (flores christi)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
 
TDN-3   06/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER MOBIL May22 May08 Mar20 Oct04 Sep06 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 116 3.00    
2  GALACTIC May22 Apr06 Mar09 Jan26 Dec08 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 11% 8.50    
3  ROYAL'D May24 Dec03 Oct04 Aug18 Jul19 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50    
4  GOLDEN MONEY May20 May08 Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 8.00 6% 15.90    
5  OHIO PLAYER Mar22 Mar09 Feb13 Jan23 Jan11 (brown glen)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
6  BRIG May20 Sep01 Aug16 Jul25 Jun03 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 1.80 57% 0.70    
 
TDN-4   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST HOMESTEAD May23 May03 May04 Apr25 Mar24 (meyers shan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.50    
2  EMPIRE'S FIRE Jun02 May11 Jan02 Nov29 Nov07 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 2.50 52% 0.90    
3  BOURBON WISDOM May16 Mar21 Feb21 Jan30 Jan10 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00    
4  DOCTOR WU May14 Apr11 Mar27 Feb21 Jan30 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00    
5  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN May06 Dec03 Oct27 Sep22 Jun25 (mcdonald james)TORREALBA JG 119 4.00 7% 13.20    
6  AUGER Jun01 May01 Apr12 Mar22 Mar01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 14% 6.00    
7  DUKE OF DARKNESS May15 Apr15 Feb20 Dec12 Nov21 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   06/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINE DANCER May12 Oct10 Sep22 Sep08 Aug12 (bourke john)STANLEY O 119 6.00    
2  ABIGAIL LEE May22 Apr12 Jun29 May26 May04 (waltermire bru)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MOBIL CHIC May30 May17 Apr15 Mar30 Mar15 (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
4  ANGEL WINGS May17 Feb15 Jan17 Dec15 Nov16 (flores israel)DIAZ I 119 4.00 18% 4.70    
5  MISSION GIRL May17 Dec20 Nov21 Oct31 Oct05 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 38% 1.70    
6  NICEASAKITTENSEYES May30 May17 Apr27 Apr12 Mar23 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
7  DIAMONDS N DEW May25 May10 Apr27 Apr15 Mar30 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 6.00 23% 3.40    
 
TDN-6   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATIN SPICE May29 May17 May02 Mar13 Feb23 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 5.00    
2  HOLY SAINT May08 Apr15 Apr03 Mar14 Feb27 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 116 4.00    
3  NAUGHTY PRINCE May02 Mar30 Feb23 Dec22 Dec08 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 20% 4.10    
4  ATOMIC TONE May29 May02 Apr11 Feb23 Jan24 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.00 38% 1.60    
5  FIRST CITIZEN May31 May10 May02 Apr11 Mar30 (vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  DYRDEK May16 May02 Mar22 Feb23 Jan23 (walker charles)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
7  JOHN'S ROCK May31 May16 May02 Apr11 Mar13 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.50 14% 5.90    
 
TDN-7   06/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOOGIE BOOGEE May20 Apr26 Mar27 Mar08 Feb16 (calderon ivan)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
2  CAT'S RHYTHM Jun01 May10 Apr26 Mar06 Feb08 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 2.50 16% 5.10    
3  A SMILE A DAY Jun02 May20 May10 Apr11 Dec30 (ho)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 18% 4.40    
4  COWCHI May22 May10 Dec20 Nov08 Sep26 (johnson l)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00    
5  PROPHETESS May24 May03 Apr13 Apr04 Mar27 (patton l)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00    
6  FRONT CIRCLE May10 Oct05 Sep13 Aug29 Aug01 (bookman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 30% 2.30    
7  DIVA POWER May20 Apr27 Mar08 Feb16 Jan16 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 8.00    
8  LEXY ANNA Jun01 May03 Apr13 Feb23 Oct05 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 6.00    
9  RAINBOW SHIP May20 Apr26 Apr10 Mar08 Feb16 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00 12% 7.00    
 
TDN-8   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID RUSSELL May16 May09 Apr25 Apr13 Feb21 (juarez lorenzo)TORREALBA JG 114 2.50 27% 2.60    
2  RED COMET Jun05 May29 May16 Apr26 Oct29 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 15.00    
3  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Jun07 May24 May15 Apr26 Mar20 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 10.00    
4  CAVALETTO Jun02 May08 Apr06 Feb09 Jan04 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.50 10% 9.20    
5  IN THE MIDST May23 Apr15 Mar15 Feb27 Feb18 (buckner)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00    
6  A PRAYER FOR KIDS May29 May16 Dec01 Nov01 Oct06 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00    
7  TURNING PAGES May16 Apr04 Mar20 Mar06 Feb15 (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.00 16% 5.10    
8  YIPPEE KI YAY Feb16 Jan31 Jan04     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 6.00 19% 4.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.