Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - June 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(1/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(1/5/6/3)-(7/6/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/3)-(7/6/4/1)-(5/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-3   WIN (7/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/1)-(5/6/2)-(6/3/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(6/3/1/4)-(5/7/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/4)-(5/7/4/3)-(5/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/3)-(5/4/2)-(3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   06/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KING ANDRES Jun01 May16 May03 Apr10 Mar22 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 4.50    
2  GEH SCHNELL May16 Apr10 Mar22 Mar07 Feb21 (manning richar)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
3  LAST DROP OF WINE May17 May03 Nov08 Sep29 Aug16 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 2.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  VISKI JONES Jun05 May24 May16 Mar07 Jan25 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00    
5  PLATINUM MAC May29 May15 May01 Mar20 Feb02 (schuster rob)ROSARIO L 119 5.00    
6  MASTER OF WAR May24 May06 Apr04 Mar20 Mar01 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  GOOD IDEA May24 Apr15 Mar16 Feb13 Jan24 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   06/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMUDGE THE CAT May20 Apr27 Apr03 Jan02 Dec06 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 61% 0.60    
2  GOTIGER SPECIAL Dec13 Nov21 Oct27 Sep28 Aug15 (trevino steph)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.50    
3  FLEET RUN Mar15 Feb18 Jan25 Jan12   (brown j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  CUGINE Feb07 Jan12 Nov21 Nov08 Oct25 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 10.00    
5  MY TWO AUNT JOANS May17 May06 Apr15 Mar23 Mar07 (dubie kathy)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 10% 8.90    
6  THE EQUINEST Jun06 May17 May08 Mar20 Mar07 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  CHOCO ROCO Sep12 Aug23 Aug15 Jul17 Jun29 (alamo a)JIMENEZ S 119 5.00    
 
TDN-3   06/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J J'S FANCY May30 May17 May03 Nov10 Nov01 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00 11% 8.30    
2  CONGRATS JENSEN May26 May17 Apr13 Apr04 Mar16 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00    
3  PISTOL PACKIN BOS May23 May09 Mar27 Jan26 Dec21 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 123 3.50    
4  MY BELLE MICHELLE May23 May09 Mar16 Feb28 Mar09 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 4.50 14% 6.20    
5  CRISTALINDA May23 May09 Apr04 Oct11 Sep26 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 5.00    
6  CHECK OUT LINE May09 Apr04 Mar16 Jan26 Jan16 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 3.00 14% 6.20    
7  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE May23 May10 Mar08 Jan28 Jan05 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 39% 1.60    
 
TDN-4   06/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACROSS THE AISLE Mar02 Feb07 Jan30 Jan02 Dec11 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50    
2  CUMBER May06 Mar30 Mar13 Feb08 Jan03 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 5.00 6% 14.60    
3  DISCLOSURE May31 May10 Apr15 Mar22 Mar13 (skerrett je)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 6.00    
4  DISTORTED LIMITS Feb07 Jan05 Dec13 Nov30 Nov14 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 8.00    
5  OWN THE TOWN May11 Dec03 Oct31 Oct14 Sep29 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 54% 0.80    
6  LAZARUS PROJECT May31 May16 May08 Dec05 Nov08 (bailey ricardo)TORREALBA JG 118 2.00 11% 8.20    
 
TDN-5   06/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENRY MAC Nov28 Oct29 Aug31 Jul18 Jun29 (west e)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 10% 8.90    
2  JUST TAPIT IN May17 Apr29 Aug16 Aug05 Jun29 (waltermire bru)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00    
3  SPEEDY MOBILE May08 Apr04 Feb28 Jan10 Dec21 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 14% 5.90    
4  DOUGS MORNING PICK May22 May08 Mar22 Mar08 Jan28 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE May23 Apr04 Mar23 Mar09 Feb22 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50    
6  NEBULOSA May16 May09 Apr26 Mar27 Feb13 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 3.50 50% 1.00    
7  VISUAL MISSION Jun02 May16 May08 Mar20 Mar09 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.00    
 
TDN-6   06/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS ELLIE Jun05 May06 Apr27 Apr10 Mar16 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 5.00    
SCR  PENNIESANDDIMES May11 Apr27 Apr03 Mar21 Nov12 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 8.00    
3  CEE CEE'S GOT THIS May25 May11 Apr26 Mar29 Jun27 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  EASTER PRIDE May11 Apr26 Apr15 Mar29 Mar15 (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Feb15 Feb07 Jan16 Jan05 Dec03 (shanyfelt val)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 38% 1.70    
6  SWEET CHELSEA May25 Oct13 Sep13 Aug22 Aug13 (genovese rich)GUERERE ANGEL 119 12.00    
7  HOSANNA Apr27 Dec03 Nov16 Oct31 Sep08 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 4.00 33% 2.10    
8  DANCING GRACE May11 Apr26 Sep06 Jul20 Jun27 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
9  CAN I GO TOO May25 May11 Apr27 Apr15 Mar29 (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50    
 
TDN-7   06/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERTY BELLE May31 Apr13 Feb28 Feb06 Jan28 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
2  KINGSTON TIME May31 Apr27 Dec28 Nov21 Oct18 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  BLAZING ZENNA May22 May09 Apr05 Mar14 Feb06 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 2.50    
4  ANNMARIA May22 Jan09 Dec19 Nov30 Nov14 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
5  SWEET QUEEN BEE May22 May09 Mar15 Feb20 Jun06 (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 1.80 50% 1.00    
6  BLUSHING BETTY May30 May15 Apr24 Feb08 Dec19 (trevino steph)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00    
 
TDN-8   06/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RONNI'S STORM May24 May09 Apr06 Mar23 Feb15 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  REANIMATE May15 Apr13 Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 29% 2.40    
3  FOREIGN Feb02 Jan16 Dec20 Nov17 Nov10 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
4  ACCURATE May24 May03 Apr06 Mar22 Mar06 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
5  THE MAN CAN May24 May08 Apr13 Mar14 Feb21 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 121 15.00    
SCR  HONOR THE D May24 Apr11 Mar23 Dec30 Dec12 (bates l)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00    
7  TIGER TRAIL May09 Apr13 Nov03 Oct10 Aug22 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
SCR  OAKEN Mar23 Mar09 Feb21 Jan26 Dec27 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.