Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - May 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(6/4)-(7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PID-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/4)-(7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PID-3   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7)-(1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7)-(1/3/7)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PID-4   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(4/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(4/3/5)-(4/6/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-5   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(4/6/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(4/6/8)-(3/9) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-6   WIN (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/8)-(4/6/8/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/6/8)-(4/6/8/2)-(4/6/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/8)-(3/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8)-(3/9)-(8/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-7   WIN (3/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/9)-(3/6/9/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9)-(3/6/9/5)-(3/6/9/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/9)-(8/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
PID-8   WIN (8/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/1)-(8/2/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (8/2/1)-(8/2/1/5)-(8/2/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   05/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOVERNOR ATWOOD Oct26 Oct10 Aug29 Aug22 Aug01 (russell ra)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 6.00 13% 6.50    
2  CHAMPAGNE FOR ALL Oct18 Aug29 Aug08 Jul13 Jun22 (russell randa)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 10.00    
3  TWELVETWO Jul23 Jun25       (rojas e)FLORES E 118 4.00 34% 1.90    
4  EXPECT LUCKY Apr29 Apr01 Mar10 Mar04 Jul15 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 14% 6.00    
5  VOORHEES Mar22 Feb14 Oct11     (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50    
SCR  LITTLE BIG Apr12 Mar17 Feb11 Jan01 Sep16 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 124 1.80    
 
PID-2   05/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ODD GAL Sep29 Sep14 Aug30 Aug16 Aug01 (depasquale ki)DELGADO DAVID 122 3.50    
2  LADY MARVEL Nov02 Oct17 Oct03 Aug30 Aug16 (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00    
SCR  THISAINTJUMPSTREET Oct26 Oct12 Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 (radosevich sh)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00    
4  DON'T MAKE ME BEG May02 Apr08 Sep22 Aug24 Aug08 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 14% 6.00    
5  DOWN TO EARTH Sep29 Aug31 Aug08 Jul06 Jun21 (ruberto )GALLARDO A 122 3.00 ★    
6  ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE Oct13 Oct04 Sep22 May23   (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
 
PID-3   05/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASPLUNDER Mar19 Feb26 Dec21 Oct24 Oct11 (hayes leland)SPIETH S 116 3.50    
2  DONTINVADEMYSPACE Sep20 Sep10 Aug26 Aug09 Jul19 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 116 6.00 ★    
3  RAPA NUI Aug16 Jul04 Jun11     (buhrow d)STANLEY O 122 8.00    
4  MAGIC BOMB Apr29 Apr22 Mar15 Feb26 Nov05 (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 122 5.00    
5  CAN I GET AN AMEN Feb16 Jan28 Dec09 Oct20 Jul28 (hayes kirsten)ROJAS MARTINA 107 10.00 ★    
6  SLIPPERY WHEN WET May07 Apr08 Mar19 Feb26 Jan14 (hayes leland)ALLEN D 116 2.50 ★    
7  VASSAR'S BOY Apr26 Jan27 Dec16 Sep29 Aug17 (lyster stephe)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 66% 0.50    
 
PID-4   05/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTY COURT Aug17 Aug01 Jul21 Jul07 Jun29 (rojas e)FLORES E 124 2.50 43% 1.40    
2  MARSAC Sep05 Jul25 Jul07 Jun23 Jun14 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 10.00    
3  C THE KING Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 (depasquale kim)ALLEN D 124 4.00 18% 4.50    
4  RED CAT (CHI) Oct20 Oct13 Sep28 Sep14 Aug30 (barron ror)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00 ★    
5  SNAKERATTLEANDROLL Oct03 Sep21 Sep12 Sep06 Aug24 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 114 3.50    
6  LAUDERDALE Mar18 Feb24 Jan25 Dec21 Dec02 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 12.00    
7  FARAT Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 Aug22 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 124 3.00 10% 8.60    
8  REUX (GB) May07 Feb03 Jan27 Jan11 Dec16 (smith la)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
 
PID-5   05/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRANGE ARRANGE Mar02 Feb17 Dec30 Oct20 Sep15 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.50 ★    
2  SUMMERFEST Oct26 Oct12 Oct05 Sep19 Sep08 (antus lawrence)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
3  BEAR CREEK Jan28 Jan06 Dec16 Oct18 Oct03 (hoffman mark)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 11% 7.80    
4  HARD COUNT Mar12 Feb02 Sep13 Aug02 Jul14 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 1.80 53% 0.90    
5  SMOKY BLUES Apr08 Feb01 Dec08 Aug29 Jul05 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00 10% 9.20    
6  DANEFIELD Aug31 May24       (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 10.00    
7  TOMMY THE TORCH Apr24 Feb17 Jan27 Jan11 Dec17 (tebbutt john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00    
 
PID-6   05/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CRAZY KATER Nov07 Oct13 Sep16 Aug09 Jul18 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00    
2  ZERO GRAVITY Mar14 Feb21 Jan10 Dec05 Nov02 (ruberto v)RAMGEET R 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  TURNS Apr26 Mar31 Mar16 Feb22 Feb06 (boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 122 20.00    
4  DECLARED Oct04 Sep19 Aug22 Aug03 Jul18 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 1.80 54% 0.90    
5  REGAL SPEAKER Mar05 Feb19 Jan13 Nov11 Oct23 (rogers m)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00    
6  TEMPLET Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Aug28 Jul25 (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 18% 4.50    
7  VISKI JONES Mar07 Jan25 Jan01 Dec15 Nov15 (winters michelle)WALES GARY 122 10.00    
8  ENGLISH CHALLENGE Apr26 Mar31 Feb23 Feb01 Jan18 (estvanko richard)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00 7% 12.50    
SCR  BUGLE BARRY Mar31 Mar10 Jan14 Dec31 Sep29 (walsh d)BECKMAN ALICE 115 6.00    
10  STRAIGHT UP GUY Jan13 Dec27 Nov23 Nov10 Oct28 (valdez m)MARTINEZ A 122 15.00    
 
PID-7   05/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH DOLLAR DATE Oct24 Oct17 Oct05 Sep22 Sep02 (kintz matt)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
SCR  MADE TO HUSTLE Aug11 Jul18 Jul11 Jun17 Jun05 (rogers ronald )CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 49% 1.00    
3  PROTECTTHEWITNESS Apr20 Mar01 Feb08 May17 Apr29 (schoenth)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 14% 6.20    
4  ALATION Sep29 Sep07 Aug30 Aug10 Jul20 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 122 15.00    
5  VACCINA Dec16 Oct10 Sep15 Aug23 Aug10 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 ★    
6  TURBIE Apr24 Mar18 Mar02 Feb01 Jan15 (hayes w)SPIETH S 122 8.00 ★    
7  QUEEN WIGGY Dec28 Dec14 Oct24 Sep15 Jul27 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 116 10.00    
8  JUSTICE OR APPEAL Mar31 Mar08 Jan27 Dec21   (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 116 3.00    
9  STRAIGHT MADNESS Oct10 Sep28 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 (barron rory)FOX CHRIS 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-8   05/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YANKEE TEA PARTY Apr18 Mar18 Feb26     (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 118 6.00 9% 10.80    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of MARILYN LONHRO by LONHRO (AUS))
2  ELSINORE Apr07 Feb25 Dec03     (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 113 4.50 13% 6.80    
  (by ASTERN out of QUEEN OF DENMARK by KINGMAMBO)
3  IM A MODEST MAN Apr14 Mar25 Mar10 Feb16 Jan13 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 111 8.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of PISH POSH by MUTAKDDIM)
4  DR. HYDE Nov16 Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Aug22 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 118 15.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of TEXIT by TAPIT)
5  MCGOLDEN Apr26 Mar01 May13 Mar26 Mar03 (dickey keith)MARTINEZ W 124 3.00 ★    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MCTAPIT by TAPIT)
SCR  BLAME B B May04 Nov05 Sep07 Aug23 Aug01 (aguirre anth)AYALA J 124 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of EXCEPTIONALLY by EL PRADO (IRE))
7  KENJI'S EMPIRE Apr19         (connelly tere)ROJAS MARTINA 114 10.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of COOL RUNNER by DECLARATION OF WAR)
8  WHISKEYMAC Mar31 Mar04 Feb03 Dec22 Oct18 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by COLLECTED out of WINTER CHEER by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9  PACE Apr14 Mar17 Feb17 Jan21 Dec16 (winters michell)RAMGEET R 118 15.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of MAKE IT SNAPPY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.