Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - March 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(1/7/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(1/7/4/5/2)-(1/7/4/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(4/1/3)-(2/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-3   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/5/6)-(2/1/3/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(2/1/5)-(4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/6)-(2/1/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(4/3)-(2/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/8/7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/8/7/6)-(4/3/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3)-(2/1/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(2/1/4/5)-(7) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5/7)-(2/1/4/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/4/5)-(7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/5)-(7)-(10/8) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/4/3/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/4/3/2/6)-(7/4/3/2/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7)-(10/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
MVR-8   WIN (10/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/8)-(10/8/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/8)-(10/8/2/1)-(10/8/2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUPER PRONTO Feb07 Jan30 Jan02 Dec20 Dec03 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 15% 5.50    
1A  KHOPILOT Feb16 Nov08 Oct27 Oct05 Jul29 (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 126 3.00 ★    
2  PRETTY LOUD Feb16 Feb06 Jan23 Jan11 Dec20 (gomez aleja)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 ★    
3  PASION AZTECA Feb06 Jan23 Dec20 Dec02 Nov10 (morelos mateo)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
4  WELLER ROGUE Feb04 Jan21 Dec18 Nov13 Oct14 (reavis)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
5  SILVER MATT Feb23 Jan23 Jan11 Dec28 Dec19 (romero oscar)RIVERA R 124 6.00 ★    
6  CATCHING MAGIC Feb16 Dec09 Dec01 Nov12 Oct29 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50    
7  INGERSOLL Feb16 Jan12 Dec02 Nov17 Oct19 (vickers rich)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
 
MVR-2   03/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEDAL TO DA KETTLE Feb14 Jan24 Jan12 Dec29 Dec14 (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 117 2.50 16% 5.20    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of HERONETTA by MARCHFIELD)
2  SOMETHING ON TAP Nov14 Oct29 Oct11     (doering mark)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 8.00 ★    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  FLAG RAISER Feb14 Nov14 Oct29 Oct11   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 1.60 12% 7.20    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PRINCESS ADELYN by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  FABULOUS CLOWN Jul05 Jun22       (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 117 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by BIONDETTI out of JACKIEOSOFABULOUS by KAHUNA JACK)
5  MUSIC GEM Feb23 Feb08 Jan04     (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 12.00    
  (by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of AL'S BRIDE by ALCINDOR)
6  WHY KENNY WHY Feb14 Jan12       (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
SCR  DANES DANDY         (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 122 10.00 9% 9.60    
  (by KENTUCKY DANE out of COSI FAN TUTTE by KRIS KIN)
 
MVR-3   03/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT TIME RULER Feb23 Feb07 Jan11 Jul05 Jun22 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 119 2.00 23% 3.30    
2  ICON Feb07 Jan03 Dec20 Dec05 Nov10 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
3  DUDLEY Jan05 Nov17 Nov08 Oct19 Oct04 (douaihy michel)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  SUPER NECESSARY Nov06 Oct24 Oct10 Sep15 Aug24 (bissell chey)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
5  JOE BRRRR Feb16 Feb06 Jan19 Dec31 Oct30 (sullivan ellio)DIAZ I 126 3.00 ★    
6  VALHALLA AIR BASE Feb07 Jan23 Dec20 Dec03 Nov14 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 6.00 ★    
7  THE WILD FLYER Jan28 Jan02 Oct05 Aug29 Aug24 (bracho j)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
 
MVR-4   03/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURNING PAGES Feb15 Jan17 Dec14 Nov22 Oct26 (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.50 15% 5.70    
2  RUMBLE STRIP RON Feb01 Dec29 Nov20 Nov05 Sep15 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 1.80 48% 1.10    
SCR  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Feb15 Jan31 Jan16 Sep20 Aug30 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 ★    
4  WHISKEY HELPS Feb15 Jan26 Jan04 Dec28 Nov10 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
5  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Feb13 Nov17 Oct06 Sep15 Aug24 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 13% 6.70    
6  DYNAMITE CLOUD Feb21 Feb02 Jan16 Dec29 Oct29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  PLATE IT UP Feb21 Feb09 Feb02 Jan28 Jan11 (gonzalez )BRICENO M 119 15.00    
8  BUCKEYE RED Jan26 Jan18 Dec12 Nov10 Aug01 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   03/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE FOR THE MONEY Feb16 Aug15 Jun16 May25 May04 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 10.00    
  (by STRONG CONTENDER out of MAUX MONEY by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
2  KNIGHTLY MISCHIEF Feb22 Jan18 Jun18 Apr30   (meyers shane)RIVERA R 126 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LEONA'S KNIGHT by SUAVE PROSPECT)
3  BON DEUX Feb16 Feb01 Jan23 Dec31 Dec04 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 12% 7.10    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of LA BELLE EPOQUE by TAPIT)
4  GREEN MILLENNIUM Feb01         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 113 2.50 61% 0.60    
  (by CURLIN out of TIZZA TEMPER by TIZNOW)
5  CODE VIOLATION Dec31 Dec11       (pitts helen)AVILES YAN 126 2.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of AMERICAN DIVA by QUIET AMERICAN)
6  WAITES KINGDOM Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 Aug10 Jul27 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00 ★    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of CONQUEST SUMMERFUN by SUMMER BIRD)
7  SUCCEED Feb05 Dec21 May28 May14 May04 (cash norman )AYALA J 126 5.00 ★    
  (by VIOLENCE out of CULOTTE by SKY MESA)
8  BLUNDER Feb16 Jan23 Dec21 Dec06 Nov02 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 10.00 ★    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of HALLIE GAY by SUMMER BIRD)
 
MVR-6   03/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRIZABELLA Feb16 Jan28 Dec30 Dec13 Nov12 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.50 20% 4.10    
2  GAIL'S DANCER Feb16 Jan28 Jan05 Dec21 Dec13 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 28% 2.60    
3  APPEALING SENORITA Feb23 Feb07 Jan18 Jan04 Dec21 (gonzalez do)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00    
4  CAT'S RHYTHM Feb08 Jan26 Jan16 Jan05 Dec21 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 15% 5.50    
5  CUT RATES Jan26 Jan16 Apr28 Apr06 Mar05 (tr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 14% 6.10    
6  CATABOUT Feb23 Jan28 Dec30 Nov30 Nov12 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00    
7  CHLOES ANGEL Feb23 Jan05 Dec21 Dec01 Nov12 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   03/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACCURATE Feb01 Aug30 Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
2  MARVIN'S EXPRESS Jan12 Nov30 Oct31 Sep28 Sep12 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 ★    
3  COWTOWN BOSS Jan05 Dec06 Nov22 Nov07 Oct03 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 ★    
4  THAT'S THE WAY Sep28 Aug12 Jul28 Jun03 Apr15 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 ★    
5  COUNTRY RUCKUS Feb15 Jan17 Dec29 Dec14 Dec06 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00    
6  DERBY INCLUDED Jan31 Dec19 Dec01 Jul27 Jul01 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 3.00 ★    
7  GOLD N SILVER Jan16 Dec08 Nov03 Oct22 Sep30 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 1.80 72% 0.40    
 
MVR-8   03/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIVATE CONNIE Feb23 Feb02 Jan16 Dec16 Nov09 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 ★    
2  BROADWAY SKY Feb09 Jan23 Dec19 Oct22 Sep27 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 ★    
3  TONKAWA SPRINGS Feb09 Feb02 Jan17 Aug03 Jul05 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
SCR  MO HEAT Feb09 Jan17 May30 Apr10 Mar25 (londono j)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00    
5  DAWN WEST Feb23 Feb09 Jan23 Dec22 Dec13 (wilson david)AYALA J 124 10.00    
6  ROSE'S PEPINO Feb23 Dec22 Nov27 Oct04   (johnson jenn)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 12.00    
7  TARAASHOQ Feb09 Jan28 Jan07 Oct27 Oct14 (ramos a)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
8  ALFIO Feb16 Feb01 Jan19 Dec09 Nov23 (thornbury jef)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 3.50 10% 9.00    
SCR  R CARDINAL PRINCE Feb02 Dec22 Oct27     (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  FLOCKED Feb01 Dec06 Apr14 Mar21   (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 63% 0.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.