Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - February 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(6/2/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(7/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(7/1/2)-(4/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-2   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2/4/6)-(7/1/2/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-3   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2/6/5)-(4/1/2/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(1/3)-(6/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-4   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(6/3/4)-(6/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-5   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4/2/1)-(6/3/4/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(6/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(6/4/3)-(5/9/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-6   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3/8/2)-(6/4/3/8/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(5/9/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(5/9/6/8)-(8/9/1/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-7   WIN (5/9/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/6/8)-(5/9/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/6/8)-(5/9/6/8)-(5/9/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/6/8)-(8/9/1/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-8   WIN (8/9/1/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/1/4/5)-(8/9/1/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/1/4/5)-(8/9/1/4/5)-(8/9/1/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACEE Dec22 Jun15 May12 Apr14 Mar12 (david b)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.80 52% 0.90    
SCR  FUNKYLITTLESHACK Dec26 Jun24 May20 Mar04 Feb05 (david b)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.80 ★    
2  SWEET VIDALIA Jan14 Dec22 Nov25     (degeyter jr)STOKES J 122 5.00 11% 8.30    
3  ASPIRATIONAL Dec22 Oct21 Sep17 Sep04 Jul04 (duhon joseph )MORALES EDGAR 114 15.00 ★    
4  RUBY BEGONIA Jan14 Mar16       (balderas alfonso)GRAHAM J 122 6.00    
5  MRS. NECAISE Jan14 Dec29 Dec08 Nov26 Jul06 (ladner herma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00    
6  SHESABEAUTYDANCER Dec26 Nov26 Oct06 Mar25 Feb26 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.00 13% 6.80    
7  JUST ANOTHER WIN Jan14 Dec15 Nov25 Oct22 Aug28 (woodley c)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 ★    
 
FG-2   02/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREWSILLA Jan01 Dec08 Sep27 Sep12 Aug27 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by COSTA RISING out of MILITARY MISS by MILITARY)
2  FOR HARPER Jan21 Oct15 Aug26 Aug10   (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 117 3.50 12% 7.50    
  (by ACCELERATE out of HOLDONTOYOURDREAM by HOLD YOUR PEACE)
3  STARSHIP NOLA Jan01 Oct12 Aug17 Jul14 May20 (gelner scott)PARKER L 125 5.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MUTAKAWAY by MUTAKDDIM)
4  SADIE'S PORT Jan14 Dec15 Aug27 Aug06 Jul08 (ladner chad)CULP BRIANNE 120 20.00 ★    
  (by SADIE'S SOLDIER out of FRANCESCA DEL PORT by PORTO FORICOS)
5  BAYOU BEAUTY Jan21 Dec09       (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of FASHIONED GEM by OLD FASHIONED)
6  TAP IRON FIST Jan13 Dec18 Dec02 Nov18 Aug10 (flint steve)GRAHAM J 117 4.00 ★    
  (by IRON FIST out of AYALA STRAND by TIZNOW)
7  MUCHMORETHANREADY Jan21 Dec29 Jun01     (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 117 2.50 43% 1.40    
  (by TOM'S READY out of ASTARTE by STREET SENSE)
 
FG-3   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURTHOUSE COVE Jan15 Dec23 Nov13 Oct23 Oct01 (leonard i)PARKER L 122 3.50 15% 5.80    
2  VALE Jan13 Nov23 Oct16 Sep29 Aug13 (forster t)LANERIE J 125 5.00 11% 8.30    
3  APPEAL DENIED Nov25 Nov04 Sep22 Aug13 Jun19 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00    
4  BUTTON BOY Dec31 Nov16 Oct08 Sep03 Aug15 (correas igna)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  CHARLIE'S CREED Dec29 Nov25 Jan28     (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00 ★    
6  FRENCH COMPOSER Jan15 Dec31 Nov24 Nov10 Nov02 (tomlinson michael )GRAHAM J 122 6.00 ★    
7  PRINCE OF GLORY Feb03 Jan08 Dec09 Sep15 Aug28 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00    
 
FG-4   02/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOFT PANTS Jan19 Dec11 Nov09 Oct03   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  ESCAPOLOGIST Jan28 Jan14 Nov26 Oct20 Oct01 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
3  HONEY'S HOPE         (wiggins lon)RIQUELME J 122 12.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  GHOST BIKE Dec23 Oct02 Sep17     (roussel j)GRAHAM J 122 8.00    
SCR  GREEN BEANS Jan07 Oct14 Sep16     (gabriel terry)CULP BRIANNE 117 4.50 ★    
6  WOLF HUNTER Feb03 Jan19 Jan07 Dec23 Nov27 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 122 8.00    
7  COAL BOSS Jan21 Dec23 Nov26 Oct30 Sep24 (foley greg)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
SCR  JULIA'S WARRIOR Jan20 Nov27       (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 122 3.50 ★    
 
FG-5   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Jun03 Apr08 Jan15     (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 ★    
2  COLTONATOR Dec22 Nov26 Sep25 Jul03 Jun12 (foley greg)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 ★    
3  SUTHERLAND Dec31 Dec04 Oct16 Sep13 Aug07 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.00 16% 5.20    
4  ALEBRIJE Jan05 Oct27 Oct06 Sep18 Sep01 (lopez elia)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 10% 9.20    
5  BROKEN RIB Jan16 Dec10 Nov23 Oct17 Sep16 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50    
6  PRO OXIDANT Dec29 Nov04 Sep17 Aug13   (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
 
FG-6   02/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  H. T. XENA Dec15 Nov17 Oct21 Aug11 Jun29 (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00    
2  ZING Jan29 Jan16 Nov03 Sep16 Aug06 (claire alexis)PARKER L 120 8.00 ★    
3  MYTOWN MYRULES Jan12         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 6% 16.80    
4  NOT SO CLOSE Jul29         (casse norm)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  FINE COTTON Jan16 Dec19 Oct15 Sep25 Jul17 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
6  NON VIOLENCE Jan16 Dec22       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 56% 0.80    
7  FANNIE AND FREDDIE Jun11 May06 Jan22     (stall m)LANERIE J 120 3.50    
8  MARINA'S GOLD Dec22 Dec03 Oct24 Sep30 Sep03 (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 115 6.00 ★    
 
FG-7   02/12/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PARROT HEAD Feb18 Jan30       (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
SCR  SEDUCTIVE U S A Jan28 Jan20 Nov24 Oct27 Oct20 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00 6% 14.40    
2  BURNING BRIGHT Nov24 Oct20 Oct01 Aug14   (casse w)PARKER L 120 10.00    
3  NEW YEAR SURPRISE Jan15 Dec17 Nov24 Oct25 Sep13 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 12.00    
4  FORTUITY Oct08 Aug26 Jul23 Jun22 May25 (faucheux r)ALBERT S 115 15.00    
5  BIZZEE CHANNEL Jan15 Dec26 Nov18 Oct01 Sep10 (barkley ja)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
6  MONITION Nov18 Sep03 May20 Apr27 Mar19 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 13% 6.60    
7  RISING EMPIRE Jan15 Nov24 Oct16 Jul23 Jun05 (walsh brend)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50    
8  ARTIE'S RUMOR Jan15 Nov11 Oct19 Sep01 May24 (flint bern)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 11% 7.80    
9  FREEDOM'S WAY Jan08 Jun20 May15 Apr16 Feb19 (kenneally ed)CARROLL DECLAN 120 5.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  HARD LOVE Jan07 Sep24 Jul31     (kenneally ed)CARROLL DECLAN 120 8.00    
 
FG-8   02/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEYS INCLUDED Jan27 Jan06 Nov25 Jun11 May21 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 4.50 6% 14.70    
2  DA GOLD ROOM Jan22 Jan01 Dec11 Dec01 May21 (west g)PARKER L 121 10.00    
3  MAX PANDOWDY Jan22 Jan01 Dec11 Dec01 Oct08 (hirdes john)MURRAY M 121 4.00    
4  MINISTRY OF ART Jan22 Dec18 Nov20 Oct09 Sep19 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00 5% 18.20    
5  MACHO MARK Jan27 Dec30 Dec01 Nov09 Oct08 (melancon d)ALBERT S 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  KIDYOUNOT Jan12 Dec17 Nov03 Oct13 Aug31 (barnett c)RIQUELME J 121 8.00    
7  VALIANT DEFENDER Jan27 Dec28 Dec16 Nov30 Nov19 (zenon charles)VARGAS P 121 6.00    
8  TROPHY DADDY Jan27 Dec30 Dec01 Sep24 Aug29 (antwine michae)CULP BRIANNE 116 5.00 33% 2.10    
9  STOCKPILER Jan06 Dec17 Nov26 Aug27 Aug09 (barkley jason)COHEN DAVID 121 3.00 28% 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.