Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Oaklawn Park
Saturday - February 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

OP-1   WIN (1/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3/2)-(1/5/4/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/4/3)-(5/10/11/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
OP-2   WIN (5/10/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/11/6)-(5/10/11/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/10/11/6)-(5/10/11/6/8)-(5/10/11/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/10/11/6)-(7/1/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/10/11/6)-(7/1/6/5)-(7/2/6/8/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-3   WIN (7/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/5)-(7/1/6/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/5)-(7/1/6/5/8)-(7/1/6/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/6/5)-(7/2/6/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/5)-(7/2/6/8/5)-(3/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-4   WIN (7/2/6/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/8/5)-(7/2/6/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/8/5)-(7/2/6/8/5)-(7/2/6/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/6/8/5)-(3/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/8/5)-(3/6/5)-(10/1/7/5/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
OP-5   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5/4/10)-(3/6/5/4/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(10/1/7/5/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(10/1/7/5/3)-(2/6) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
OP-6   WIN (10/1/7/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/7/5/3)-(10/1/7/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/7/5/3)-(10/1/7/5/3)-(10/1/7/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/7/5/3)-(2/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (10/1/7/5/3)-(2/6)-(12/5) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
OP-7   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/5/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/5/3/1)-(2/6/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6)-(12/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(12/5)-(6/1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
OP-8   WIN (12/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (12/5)-(12/5/1/6/11) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (12/5)-(12/5/1/6/11)-(12/5/1/6/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (12/5)-(6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (12/5)-(6/1)-(1/9) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
OP-9   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/1)-(1/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
OP-10   WIN (1/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/9)-(1/9/10/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/9)-(1/9/10/2)-(1/9/10/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
OP-1   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEST OF GREELEY May03 Apr13 Apr02 Mar03 Jan01 (anderson )DE CRUZ 121 2.00 30% 2.30    
WHISKEY DOUBLE Jan15 Nov25 Oct25 Oct04 Aug21 (vance th)SANTANA JR 121 6.00    
WHOOPING JAY Jan07 Sep01 Jul30 May13 Mar20 (broberg karl)BAZE C 121 10.00 9% 10.40    
UPSTRIKER Jan07 Nov24 Jul24 Jun10 Apr24 (rosin w)JUAREZ NIK 121 3.00 14% 6.20    
MEAN JAKEY Jan07 Dec17 Oct28 Sep22 Jul08 (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 2.50 21% 3.80    
BURNINHUNKOFLOVE Jan07 Nov26 Oct28 Sep21 Jul03 (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
CHARTER OAK Jun04 Feb11 Jan14     (vance r)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00    
 
OP-2   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSIGN         (lauer michael)ZIMMERMAN R 125 30.00    
DANCIN ROCKET Jan01         (martin timot)JORDAN R 125 3.50    
KRUSIN ROCKET Jan21 Jan06 Feb13     (martin wi)DE CRUZ 125 20.00    
PIKACHU Jan06 Dec11 Sep26 Sep11 Aug30 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 15.00    
FAMILY TRADITION (IRE)         (cox h)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 2.00 43% 1.30    
FALCONITE         (mcbride d)BOWEN ROCCO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
WORK ALL DAY Jan21 Jan01       (hewitt michael)HARR KELSI 125 20.00    
GUARDED (GB)         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 125 10.00    
ORDER OF MERIT Jan07 Dec16 Oct19 Sep23 Aug13 (durham da)TORRES A 125 6.00    
10  SHOTGUN UP Jan22 Jan06 Nov25 Oct22 Sep30 (petalino joe)QUINONEZ S 125 5.00 27% 2.70    
11  JOE BILL Jan06 Dec11 Dec01 Nov05 Sep29 (smith p)CABRERA DAVID 125 12.00 5% 17.90    
12  LOBO IRISH Dec11 Nov09       (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 30.00    
 
OP-3   02/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOUNT CRAIG Nov27 Nov03 Jun26     (mott will)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 1.60 19% 4.30    
  (by ARROGATE out of FLASH FORWARD by SCROLL)
SCR  BABY ITS COLD         (deville c)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of SWAY by SWAIN (IRE))
FUNNY UNCLE Jan15 Nov13 Oct30 Oct02 Aug29 (vance d)COURT K 118 20.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of NIGHT OWL by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
EYE AM SMART Jan28 Dec31       (williams blaine)BOREL H 118 30.00    
  (by EYE OF THE LEOPARD out of SMART DEPUTY by SMART STRIKE)
WHITEROSE JEWEL Nov25 Sep26 Sep10 Aug16 Jul16 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 20.00 12% 7.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of FINN'S JEWEL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
GOIN TO THE SHOW Jan29         (puhich mike)BAZE C 125 3.50 17% 4.90    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of HEATH by PULPIT)
ATLANTIC DANCER Jan07 Dec17 Oct29 Sep15   (zito nich)TORRES A 125 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SLOW SAND by DIXIELAND BAND)
TAHOE RUN Jan14 Nov19 Nov11 Oct22   (robertso)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of TAHOE DREAM by AFLEET ALEX)
PATROLMAN Jan07 Dec17       (ortiz alexa)BEJARANO R 125 5.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SUPER SHARP by SUPER SAVER)
 
OP-4   02/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($103K) 3 F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOMECOMING QUEEN Dec15 Nov02       (brisset )SANTANA JR 122 10.00    
STELLAR LADY Dec14 Nov11 Oct30 Oct07 Sep08 (mcpeek kennet)CABRERA DAVID 119 2.00 17% 4.90    
NEED SOME MONEY Dec31 Nov18 Oct09 Sep17 Aug19 (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 122 8.00    
BEAUTIFUL AND BOLD Dec31 Nov02 Oct14 Sep10 Aug10 (compton g)DE CRUZ 114 15.00    
JUNIORS JOANIE Jan13 Aug28 Aug07     (smith ken)TORRES A 114 12.00 7% 13.60    
FABULOUS CANDY Dec31 Nov02 Oct14 Sep02 Aug10 (moysey chels)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 6.00 16% 5.10    
STRIKINGLY SPUN Dec09 Nov04       (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
MIDNIGHT HEIRESS Dec31 Oct22 Sep24 Aug28 Aug12 (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 119 5.00 7% 12.40    
 
OP-5   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TEXAS TED Jan06         (barkley jason)HIRALDO JOHN 121 10.00    
KYANDI         (jordan todd )JORDAN R 121 20.00    
CACTUS         (casse no)SANTANA JR 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
SPARKIN Jan06         (cates al)HARR KELSI 121 12.00    
ONCE UPON A DREAM Dec16 Oct23 Sep18     (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 12.00 15% 5.50    
ETERNALLY GRATEFUL Jan20 Oct23 Sep24     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 4.00 19% 4.30    
EL MONGO Jan20 Dec11 Sep25     (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00    
SERGEANT COUNTZLER Nov03 May12 Apr20     (hiles rick)JUAREZ NIK 121 15.00    
SIX WHIPS Jan06 Dec10 Oct29     (moysey chels)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00    
10  MOON CONNECTION Jan06 Oct22       (litfin nevada)BAZE C 121 3.50    
11  MANTA REY         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 15.00    
 
OP-6   02/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. TIP Jan27 Dec30 Nov07 Oct15 Sep08 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50 11% 7.90    
GENERATOR Jan20 Jan01 Dec16 Nov16 Oct10 (vance d)COURT K 120 10.00    
MORNING SNOW Jan08 Sep16 Sep03 Jul31 Jul03 (pish danny)BAZE C 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EGO Jan08 Dec11 Jul17 Jun23 May24 (puhl kim)JORDAN R 120 15.00    
TAKE CHARGE GENT Jan13 Dec09 Sep05 Aug08 Jul11 (mcknight norma)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 5.00 6% 16.30    
PRIMER DIMER Jan13 Dec17 Nov19 Oct23 Sep04 (asmussen )TORRES A 120 10.00    
BOLDISH Nov16 Nov02 Sep25 Aug24 Jan17 (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.00 8% 11.90    
SEE SPOT RUN Jan08 Dec09 Oct26 Oct19 Oct05 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 124 15.00    
OPTIMUS KAT Dec17 Sep28 Aug20 Jul09 May13 (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 15.00    
10  INCORRIGIBLE Dec22 May30 May10 Apr02 Feb26 (gibson jonas)BEJARANO R 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
11  GEORGIA DEPUTY Jan08 Dec17 Oct28 Oct08 Sep17 (petalino )DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
12  MAJOR KONG Sep11 Jul30 Jul16 Jun26 Apr29 (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 30.00    
 
OP-7   02/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($103K) 3 ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNFLASH Jan14 Dec17 Nov22     (broberg k)TORRES A 119 12.00    
GUN PILOT Jan14 Nov26       (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 1.40 43% 1.30    
VIGORISH Nov07         (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00    
C. J'S STORM Jan01 Dec09 Nov08 Oct17 Oct06 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
COFFEE CALIENTE Jan20 Nov26 Oct22 Sep17 Aug21 (rosin w)SAEZ GABRIEL 116 15.00    
PROTEGE Dec17 Nov04 Sep21     (moquett e)BEJARANO R 116 2.00 35% 1.90    
BOURBON BASH Dec31 Nov26 Oct29 Oct08 Sep05 (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 114 4.00    
 
OP-8   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOAT SONG Dec31 Jul13 May13 Apr03 Mar17 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 125 30.00    
SCR  CARBONITE Jan14 Dec16 Nov24 Nov09 Oct09 (garcia genaro)GARCIA MARTIN 123 30.00    
ST ANDREWS Jan08 Dec17 Nov02 Oct08 Sep14 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 123 8.00    
DEUS EX MACHINA Jan20 Dec16 Nov10     (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 123 20.00    
BRESLAU Dec18 Oct17 Sep22 Aug30   (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
MR CREED Jan15 Nov25 Oct16 Sep18   (villafranco ma)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 12.00    
CROW'S NEST Dec09 Nov02 Oct08     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 20.00    
COMMANDER CARL Dec11 Nov05 Sep04     (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 3.00    
LUCKY DUDE Jan14 Oct26 Oct14 Sep12 Aug19 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 125 15.00    
SCR  SUMMER IN MALIBU Jan08 Dec18 May14 Apr03 Mar19 (vance d)COURT K 123 20.00    
11  TOUCH CODE Jan14 Dec17 Nov27 Nov06 Oct02 (vance r)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 3.50    
12  CONCEPT Dec29 Apr01 Jan30     (asmussen)SANTANA JR 123 2.50 73% 0.40    
 
OP-9   02/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A MO REAY Dec31 Sep18 Aug25 Jul14 Jun10 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MARGARET REAY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  GUANA CAY Jan19 Dec09 Oct31 Oct09 Sep15 (foster er)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of WINDING BAY by MALIBU MOON)
ICE ORCHID Jan07 Nov19 Oct23 Sep18 Feb26 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 121 4.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of SINGLET by REAL QUIET)
POWDER RIVER Dec26 Nov24 Oct28 Sep15 Jun30 (casse w)CABRERA DAVID 121 5.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SHARP INSTINCT by AWESOME AGAIN)
GRAYSONSMACHO GAL Jan07 Nov25 Oct10 Aug14 Jul08 (ortiz ale)SAEZ GABRIEL 117 15.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of KITTY'S GIANT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
LE DA VIDA (CHI) Jan07 Dec10 Oct29 Sep15   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of VIENE CANTANDO by GSTAAD (GB))
LOVELY RIDE Jan07 Dec10 Aug13 Jul09 Mar26 (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 3.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LOVELY LIL by TIZNOW)
 
OP-10   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLOW CREEK ROAD         (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 125 4.00 38% 1.70    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of DUES ARE PAID by STORM AND A HALF)
STUCK N SNOW Dec31 Dec10 Nov24     (von donn)QUINONEZ S 119 3.50    
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of ALL ABOUT ALLIE by STORM AND A HALF)
BOLIVER         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of MARVELOUS MADDIE by WOKE UP DREAMIN)
SCR  GREAT BARRIER Oct23         (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of REEF POINT by BON POINT (GB))
HACKER Jan13 Dec09 Jan22     (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 20.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of MAMA'S MAD MONEY by SAVE BIG MONEY)
SHAKE UP Jan13 Dec10 Nov19 Sep24   (calhoun william )JUAREZ NIK 119 10.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of I KNOW YOU KNOW by OFFICER)
COLONEL BARTON Jan27 Dec18       (puhich mike)BAZE C 125 12.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of HOPE LANDING by THE FACTOR)
KISSOFTHENILE Dec16 Nov25 Nov12 Oct22 Apr30 (villafranco )JORDAN R 125 8.00    
  (by SHUPANGA out of SHE'LLKISSTHEBOYS by PLENTYOFIT)
PEARCY ROAD Dec31         (prather j)TORRES A 119 5.00 32% 2.20    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of KEY APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
10  SKYPED Jan13 Dec16 Apr30 Apr03 Mar11 (borel renay)BOREL H 125 6.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of SKYANNE by JOHANNESBURG)
11  CLASSY SOCKS Jan13 Dec16 Oct13     (vance d)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 6.00    
  (by NORTHERN AFLEET out of CLASSY CORINTHIAN by CORINTHIAN)
12  SINGING GROOM         (hornsby tammy)WALES T 125 50.00    
  (by BIRD SONG out of CORNER THE STORM by STORM AND A HALF)
SCR  FOUR DICE Jan15         (soto fermin)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 30.00 5% 18.10    
  (by TEXAS CHROME out of HALO'S MAJESTY by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SCR  PERIPATETIC Jan21 Dec18 Nov19 Oct28 Oct02 (litfin nevada)CABRERA DAVID 125 30.00    
  (by CINNAMON CREEK out of MELISSA SONG by POLITICAL FORCE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.