Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - January 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/6/4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/6/4/1)-(2/5/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5)-(1/3/6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(1/3/6/5)-(6) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5/2)-(1/3/6/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/6/5)-(6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/5)-(6)-(1/5/6/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/7/8/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/7/8/4)-(6/7/8/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6)-(1/5/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6)-(1/5/6/4)-(3/4/2/7) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4/3)-(1/5/6/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/6/4)-(3/4/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/4)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/2/4/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/9/7)-(3/4/2/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/2/7)-(3/2/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/7)-(3/2/4/8)-(8/3/1/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/8)-(3/2/4/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/8)-(3/2/4/5/8)-(3/2/4/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/4/8)-(8/3/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/8)-(8/3/1/6)-(5/3/4/9/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-7   WIN (8/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/6)-(8/3/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/6)-(8/3/1/6/4)-(8/3/1/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/3/1/6)-(5/3/4/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/3/4/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/9/2)-(5/3/4/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/9/2)-(5/3/4/9/2)-(5/3/4/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEA D CAPTURE Jan04 Dec21 Nov29 Nov07 Oct26 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00 ★    
2  BROADWAY SKY Dec19 Oct22 Sep27 Sep01 Jul21 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 126 3.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  ATTILA THE DUN Dec30 Oct23       (waltz brian)BRACHO A 118 5.00    
4  BON DEUX Dec31 Dec04 Nov27 Nov18 Nov04 (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 ★    
5  BLUNDER Dec21 Dec06 Nov02 Oct12 Sep15 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 126 2.00 24% 3.10    
6  WHEN IN ROME Jan02 Dec08 Nov14 Oct03 Sep20 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00 ★    
7  AWESOME BREAK Jan12 Dec28 Dec14 Nov08 May31 (bird danny)PEREZ E 126 15.00    
 
MVR-2   01/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLOMBARD Jan03 Dec21 Nov17 Jul21 Jun30 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
2  GIO SAMMY Jan03 Dec21 Nov19 Nov02 Oct14 (tr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 ★    
3  D'MONEY HONEY Dec28 Dec15 Nov27 Nov08 Oct24 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 19% 4.10    
4  Z U SOON Dec30 Dec09 Nov20 Jul08 Jun25 (winebaugh cheryl)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00    
5  LOOKS GOOD N A TUX Sep13 Aug24 Aug04 Jul27 Jul07 (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 9% 9.80    
6  KREWE CHIEF Dec11 Nov18 Oct30 Oct14 Sep23 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.50 17% 5.10    
7  BALTIC FLEET Sep05 Aug14 Jul31 Jul18 Jul06 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00    
8  ALL STAR JUSTICE Dec29 Dec01 Nov14 Oct27 Oct12 (castillo jabd)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
 
MVR-3   01/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3 F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BE SHARP Dec22 Oct03 Sep15 Sep05   (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 120 15.00    
SCR  LONG BLACK VEIL Jan02 Nov30 Nov07 Oct01   (reed r)HOUGHTON D 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHRISTINA ANN Dec13 Nov04       (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 3.50    
4  UNESCORTED Jan02 Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 Oct16 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 120 6.00 ★    
5  LADY GIULIANA Jan02 Nov01 Oct10 Sep20   (skerrett jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 115 15.00    
6  SEACHROME May11 Apr10       (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 2.50 69% 0.50    
7  GOSHEN Dec31 Dec07 Nov03 Sep15   (evans ii)AVILES YAN 115 5.00 ★    
8  WORLD UNITE Dec31 Nov15 Nov01 Oct24 Oct06 (el)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 3.00 ★    
 
MVR-4   01/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  UNCLE CHARMING Jan09 Dec08 Nov23 Sep23 Sep07 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  VOLBEAT Jan09 Jan02 Dec12 Nov21 Oct24 (wilson j)GONZALEZ A 126 2.50    
2  IT'S YOUR CALL Jan09 Dec12 Nov23 Oct31 Oct14 (calderon ivan)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
3  OHIO MUNNY Dec06 Oct12 Sep15 Aug30 Aug18 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 3.00 ★    
4  OHIO PLAYER Jan11 Nov19 Oct29 Sep27 Sep12 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 8.00 11% 8.10    
5  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Jan09 Nov28 Nov09 Oct22 Oct04 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 1.80 19% 4.40    
6  DYRDEK Dec28 Nov28 Nov10 Oct26 Oct12 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 11% 7.90    
 
MVR-5   01/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. COMMISH Jan11 Dec19 Oct21 Oct11 Sep19 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
2  PRETTY LOUD Jan11 Dec20 Dec11 Nov28 Nov15 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  TOP HAT BLITZ Dec22 Feb18       (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 124 1.60 57% 0.80    
4  EL SICARIO Jan12 Aug29       (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 13% 7.00    
5  STOP MAKING SENSE Jan02 Dec20 Dec03 Nov10 Oct26 (overholt g)PAUCAR E 124 6.00    
6  PUBLIC RECORD Jan02 Jul24 Jun11 May23 May15 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00    
7  GOLDEN OAK Jan12 Dec14 Dec06 Nov28 Nov13 (fiesman ro)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  PASION AZTECA Dec20 Dec02 Nov10 Oct22 Oct04 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
9  VALHALLA AIR BASE Dec20 Dec03 Nov14 Oct22 Sep26 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 2.50 ★    
10  STAYIN OR STRAYIN Jan02 Dec03 Nov03 Oct22 Oct11 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 119 20.00    
 
MVR-6   01/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER MATT Jan11 Dec28 Dec19 Oct22 Sep24 (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
2  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Dec22 Dec13 Dec06 Nov13 Nov02 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 9% 10.20    
3  STAR ENTERTAINER Dec22 Dec13 Nov14 Nov02 Oct27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 54% 0.90    
4  LAST COOKIE Dec30 Oct19 Aug12     (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 6.00 8% 12.20    
5  GULLANE Dec21 May13 Apr24     (cowans willia)BRACHO A 124 2.50 ★    
6  PLAIN OR PEANUT Jan01 Nov14 Sep29 Sep07 Aug18 (el)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 10.00    
7  GRAY MAMBA Dec14 Nov07 Sep29 Sep13 Aug31 (calvo kelsie)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00    
8  DAWN WEST Dec22 Dec13 Nov03 Oct07 Sep29 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   01/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALKTOEACHOTHER Dec31 Dec10 Nov18 Oct30 Oct08 (candelas blan)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
2  NOT A GAME Jan03 Dec19 Nov21 Sep20 Aug29 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 6.00    
3  TEMPLE TITAN Dec19 Nov17 Oct03 Sep15 Aug31 (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
4  POUR ME A DOUBLE Jan07 Dec14 Nov30 Nov07 Oct25 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  WAR NOVEL Jul07 Jun10 May21 May08 Apr20 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
6  WHISKEY SUNRISE Dec12 Dec04 Nov21 Oct30 Mar20 (vickers richar)DIAZ I 124 20.00 11% 8.10    
7  MASTER Jan03 Dec19 Dec05 Nov16 Oct27 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 10.00    
8  CHROMED IMPULSE Dec21 Jun13 May17 Apr28 Apr04 (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
 
MVR-8   01/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEENIE ROSE Dec29 Dec08       (cline c)PAUCAR E 126 10.00    
2  PATTI LOU Jan04 Dec19       (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 15.00 8% 11.60    
3  MARGARITA CINCO Dec27 Nov28 Nov08 May26 May12 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 14% 6.00    
4  CAN I GO TOO May25 Apr25 Feb26 Jan25   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 14% 6.20    
5  SORORITY SISTER Dec12 Nov28 Oct05 Sep08 Aug26 (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
6  DANZA MAGIC Jan10 Dec29 Dec08 Nov23 Jul26 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
7  EXACTITUDE Dec27 Jun03 Apr28 Mar26   (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 5.00    
SCR  SHADY BABY Jan04 Dec19 Nov16 Oct24 Sep27 (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
9  STORM OF NINETEEN Dec27 Dec08 Nov23     (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 6.00 8% 10.90    
10  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Dec12 Nov28 Nov12 Oct24 Aug12 (yoder d)AVILES YAN 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.