Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Friday - January 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/7/5)-(6/3/2/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(9/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(9/5/3/7)-(8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TP-2   WIN (9/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/3/7)-(9/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/3/7)-(9/5/3/7)-(9/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/3/7)-(8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (9/5/3/7)-(8)-(6/11/9/12/10) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
TP-3   WIN (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (8)-(8/1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (8)-(8/1/3)-(8/1/3) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (8)-(6/11/9/12/10) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (8)-(6/11/9/12/10)-(4/6/9) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
TP-4   WIN (6/11/9/12/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/11/9/12/10)-(6/11/9/12/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/11/9/12/10)-(6/11/9/12/10)-(6/11/9/12/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/11/9/12/10)-(4/6/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/11/9/12/10)-(4/6/9)-(1/10/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TP-5   WIN (4/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/9)-(4/6/9/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/9)-(4/6/9/3/7)-(4/6/9/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/6/9)-(1/10/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/9)-(1/10/7)-(12/1/10) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TP-6   WIN (1/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/10/7)-(1/10/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/10/7)-(1/10/7)-(1/10/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/10/7)-(12/1/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/10/7)-(12/1/10)-(1/12/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TP-7   WIN (12/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/1/10)-(12/1/10/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (12/1/10)-(12/1/10/8)-(12/1/10/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (12/1/10)-(1/12/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TP-8   WIN (1/12/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/12/8)-(1/12/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/12/8)-(1/12/8/2)-(1/12/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3 F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPUNK Dec29 Dec17 Nov20 Nov06 Aug14 (garcia genaro)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00    
UNDER THE BED Dec07 Oct16       (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50 9% 9.90    
DOOIT Nov11 Oct22 Sep24     (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
BASILICA D ORO Dec11 Oct21 Sep29 Sep05 Aug14 (orantes r)MILLER CHASE 120 20.00    
MORIARTY Dec07 Nov20 Oct21 Sep27 Aug23 (bogle fergus)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00    
ELLIE DELI Dec29 Dec07 Oct06 Sep14 Jun22 (baez se)DE CRUZ 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
PRANA Dec07 Nov10       (hiles a)MCKEE J 120 6.00    
JEFF'S JOY Dec07 Oct21 Sep27 Aug26 Jul31 (hughes byro)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00    
 
TP-2   01/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY ROSIE Dec11 Oct25 Oct04 Sep01 Aug09 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 15.00    
JAMAICAN TRAFFIC Nov25 Sep09 Aug27 Jul29 Jul09 (wells duane)MOJICA JR 120 20.00    
EXPRESS LADY Nov17 Nov03 Oct17 Sep29 Sep01 (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 9% 10.00    
JOY ENAMORADA Dec15 Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 Sep21 (duvall william)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
RISATA Sep19 Aug08 Jul20 Jun08 May03 (west etha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  DIFFERENTBUTOK Dec15 Sep29 Aug10 Jul19 Jun01 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 3.00    
SCAPITURE Jul01         (wells duane)LEBRON VICTOR 120 20.00 7% 13.60    
AIN'T SHE A PISTOL Nov20 Oct13 Sep22 Aug29 Aug08 (danner d)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00    
MOON PARTY Dec09 Oct28 Oct08 Sep05 Jul24 (d'angelo j)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
TP-3   01/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMARI S. Dec30 Dec02 Nov16 Oct21 Oct01 (hernandez javi)SANJUR SANTO 122 15.00    
ARNEIS Dec30 Dec01 Nov03 Aug26 Jul22 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 122 15.00    
PANTALONES ENFUEGO Dec30 Nov23       (richardville)RAMOS D 122 8.00    
SCR  WINEDOWN Aug06 Jun26 Feb16     (west aaron )FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 15.00    
TIAN'AI ROAD Dec14 Nov11 Oct20 Sep30 Sep08 (williamson bri)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00    
ARISTA BIRD Dec07         (godsey ma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00    
LIL RED CLOUD Jan04 Dec14 Nov20 Nov03 Oct11 (forston roy)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
RICH RELATIONS Feb19         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 115 1.40 40% 1.50    
SCR  MOM'S KINGDOM Dec02         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.80 39% 1.60    
10  ARISTA THE CAT Dec30 Dec01 Nov01 Oct17 Sep30 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 122 20.00    
11  DOGWOODS BECCA Dec22 Nov17 Nov03 Sep16 Sep02 (scott l)OUZTS W 122 30.00    
 
TP-4   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORNING LINE NEWS Dec30 Dec18 Dec09 Nov25 Nov18 (hernandez javi)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00    
GRANADICA Dec21 Nov30 Oct31 Oct07 Sep06 (sandy s)MCKEE J 120 15.00    
EASY IS GOOD Dec28 Oct11 Sep22 Sep06 Aug17 (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
MY DIOR Dec22 Oct10 Aug17 Jul12 Mar24 (reed r)FELIX E 120 8.00    
LA MAMA CHULA Nov30 Sep28 Sep18     (chapman)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
FIST FULL OF DICE Dec03 Nov06 Sep25 Sep05 Aug12 (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 113 1.40 33% 2.00    
TIZ ABBY Dec21 Nov21 Nov14 Oct31 Oct12 (mcbride bar)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 15.00    
ON STRIKE Sep27 Aug18 Jul19     (monday kevin)CALLEJA ANDRES 110 20.00    
LA CUMPARSITA Dec28 Oct06 Sep22 Sep01 Jul27 (hester haley)BECKMAN ALICE 113 10.00 16% 5.20    
10  LADY SIERRA Jan06 Dec09 Sep26 Sep13 Jul24 (adams l)MUSARRO JOE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  LUCKY SHORE Dec22 Dec09 Oct11 Sep09 Aug22 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 120 5.00 20% 4.10    
12  CROSSED THE LINE Nov22 Nov01       (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 6.00 6% 16.40    
SCR  JERSEY GOLD Nov22 Nov01 Oct04 Sep15 Jul22 (pittman bonn)MORALES JOSHUA 120 20.00    
SCR  FRIEND Dec30 Dec09 Nov25 Nov18 Nov08 (hernandez jav)LEBRON VICTOR 120 10.00    
 
TP-5   01/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TANGO ZULU Nov23         (devaux cherie)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of WAR RELIC by PULPIT)
JU JU VIP Dec03 Nov16       (courville ric)GILLIGAN JACK 120 15.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ELLE SUENO by STREET CRY (IRE))
WEEHAWKEN Dec14 Oct22 Sep03 Jul29   (casse mark)RAMOS D 120 4.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of WILDCAT GOLD by FOREST WILDCAT)
VALIANT PRAISE Dec11 Nov16 Oct22 Sep30 Sep03 (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 120 4.50 37% 1.70    
  (by CONGRATS out of AUNTIE SOPH by VALIANT NATURE)
ROBIN SAGE         (med)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 12.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of GAME FAIR by QUIET AMERICAN)
THESTRAL Nov17 Oct16 Sep07     (caramori)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of HARBOUR ISLAND by MY PAL CHARLIE)
SILENT STORY Oct27 Sep28 Aug27     (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of PATOU by GHOSTZAPPER)
MALLY'S MONSOON Nov23 Jul22       (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of COWGIRL MALLY by GONE WEST)
HAZANNE Dec29 Nov24       (engler jeff)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00 5% 18.60    
  (by TAPIT out of YSTERIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  KING'S MISTRESS Dec03 Nov10       (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of CHICK CHASER by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
11  IGUAZU FALLS Dec15 Nov30 Nov02     (huffman pat)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 20.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SECRET GARDEN (IRE) by DANEHILL)
 
TP-6   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BEAUTY'S TALE Dec17 Dec02 Nov23 Nov01 Oct10 (hammond)DE CRUZ 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
YES I'S A MILLER Dec29 Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 May31 (jarvis kathy)BECKMAN ALICE 116 15.00    
LIVE IT UP Aug25 Jul13 Jun28 May11 Apr01 (shifflett che)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 10.00    
SCR  REDHOT KATIE Dec30 Sep21 Sep06 Aug10 Jun29 (cannon ste)MOJICA JR 123 6.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  AH LEAH Dec17 Dec03 Oct15 Sep25 Aug13 (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
HIGH MEADOWS Dec07 Nov17 Nov01 Oct06 Sep16 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
ADDISON Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jun17 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00 12% 7.70    
HOMEROOM ANGEL Dec08 Sep20 Aug30 May27 May13 (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
HONEY BOURBON Dec30 Oct20 Oct10 Sep21 Sep13 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 120 6.00    
10  NATIVE CHARM Dec30 Mar12 Feb12 Jan09   (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
TP-7   01/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE Dec16 Nov19 Jan15     (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 123 6.00 22% 3.50    
GUEST SPEAKER Jul12 May22 Apr24 Mar16   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00    
BERN N ASH Dec14 Nov22 Sep22 Sep01 Jun23 (dunn stephen)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00    
RUN RUN RAPIDASH May14 Apr10 Mar04 Jan29   (kordenbrock m)LEBRON VICTOR 120 12.00    
ROUGHIN THE CITY Dec15 Nov02 Oct26 Sep08 Aug06 (cano ju)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
TEMPO MADNESS Dec11 Oct30 Oct16 Sep01 May28 (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 10.00    
FORT LOWELL Dec02 Oct26 Oct05 Jun11 May11 (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 120 15.00    
FLAGS UP Dec17 Nov24 Oct28 Sep24 Aug20 (baker jam)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 4.50    
MALIBU MIKE Dec16 Oct08 Aug10 Jul19   (correas igna)RAMOS D 120 15.00    
10  DRIVE FOR FUN Dec16 Nov24 Nov09 Oct14 Sep17 (mejia joe)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00 20% 4.10    
11  HEADLINE REPORT Feb26         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00    
12  BOURBON HEIST Dec11 Aug21 Jul31 Jun05 May07 (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  BEARS WATCHING         (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00    
SCR  FORREST CITY Dec21 Dec08       (klopp ran)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 15.00 10% 9.30    
 
TP-8   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANCHOR MANNE Nov22 Oct31 Oct10     (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 120 5.00 42% 1.40    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of MYRNA ANNE by MOMENT OF HOPE)
LE COOP         (humphries thomas)MCKEE J 120 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of KATY LIED by KELA)
IM A MODEST MAN Dec29         (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 113 20.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of PISH POSH by MUTAKDDIM)
PERFECT UPSTART Nov16 Sep21       (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
  (by UPSTART out of PERFECT SISTER by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
ROYAL VICKY Dec09         (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 5.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of POLYANTHA ROSE by TIZNOW)
LIBERTANGO Nov19         (catalano way)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 4.50    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of MY LIBERTINE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
FAST FORWARD Dec31 May12       (bright derric)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
WASHINGTON'S UNION Dec16 Oct28       (sims matt)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FIRST EMBRACE by FIRST DEFENCE)
DREAMFACTOR Jul30 Jul16       (stinson)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of BELLA PAELLA by BELLAMY ROAD)
10  AUGUSTUS BLUE Oct18 Sep11 Aug13 Jul30   (kerrick lacy)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of BLUE DAHLIA by BUCKHAR)
11  BALLESTEROS Oct18 Sep14       (delgado gusta)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of SUNNY by DIXIELAND BAND)
12  ACT A FOOL         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 17% 4.90    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of POST SCRIPT by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  FIRST CLASS HARLOW Jan01 Dec02 Nov17 Oct23   (courville ric)GILLIGAN JACK 120 3.00 16% 5.30    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of QUEENIE'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  RIVER IN EGYPT         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLIDE ON BY by PURE PRIZE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.