Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - November 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/25/2022 5940ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANISTON Sep18         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 ★    
2  INDYAN PENNY Oct27         (johnson clev)HARKIE K 119 15.00    
3  JUNIPER'S MOON Nov05         (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
4  MARIA FROM MIAMI Oct16 Oct08 Aug28 Aug07 Jul02 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 ★    
5  KAYLEIGH'S PRIDE Oct23         (hennig mark)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 36% 1.70    
6  WELCOMETOMYWORLD Nov06 Sep15       (atras ro)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00    
7  GIFTED Aug07         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-2   11/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LACEY UNDERALL Oct08         (jerkens j)VARGAS A 121 8.00    
2  MOSTLY HARMLESS Oct21 Sep22 Sep05 Aug06 Jun30 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.00 31% 2.20    
3  RICELLE Oct21 Aug21 Jul28 Jun30 Jun10 (legall ricardo)RICHARDS G 124 12.00 ★    
4  TEKILA Oct15 Sep10 Aug06 Jun23 May13 (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 13% 6.70    
5  CANDLESTICK MAKER Oct28 Sep30 Aug21 Jul22 May20 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  GOODMORNING ANGEL Oct21 May13 Mar27 Feb06   (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 ★    
7  LORDHEARMYPRAYER Oct13 Aug21 Aug06 Jul10 Jul01 (barrera oscar )HUAYAS JASON 114 15.00    
 
AQU-3   11/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Oct28 Jul23 Jun02 May08 Apr23 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00 8% 12.30    
2  WASP Oct28 Oct02 Aug26 Jul10 Jun12 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
3  VIENNA CODE Oct28 Sep30 Sep05 Jul10 Jun12 (williams andrew)CANCEL ERIC 123 15.00    
4  CUPID'S HEART Oct23 Sep05       (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 118 0.60 34% 1.90    
5  SPIKED Oct02 Jul29 Jun09 Mar12   (terranova john)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 ★    
6  SPOOKY ROAD Nov17 Nov11 Sep22 Aug20 Jul27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 ★    
 
AQU-4   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARQUIST Oct30 Oct09       (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 ★    
2  MSHINDI Oct17 Oct04       (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 ★    
3  ACOUSTIC AVE Oct17 Sep26 Aug26 Jul29   (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40 31% 2.20    
4  D'ONT LOSE CRUZ Oct27 Sep29       (schosberg ric)ORTIZ JR 120 1.20 42% 1.40    
SCR  GENERAL BANKER Oct16 Sep29 Sep16 Aug26 Aug10 (ferraro james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
6  FLASHY ALEX Oct22 Oct07 Sep18 Sep05 Aug26 (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00 ★    
 
AQU-5   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KADRI Nov06 Oct26 Oct04 Sep25 Aug26 (cash l)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  JALEN JOURNEY Nov17 Oct29 Oct08 Oct03 Sep23 (cash norman)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  COPPOLA Nov09 Oct14 Aug22 Jul13   (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 ★    
3  STAGE LEFT Nov12 Sep30 Aug18 Jul23 Jun19 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
4  IN DREAMS Feb05         (de horaci)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 30% 2.40    
5  SECRET RULES Sep25 May28 Apr02 Feb27 Jan16 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 110 8.00    
6  BIG ENGINE Oct30 Sep23 Sep04 Jul30 Jul04 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
7  CASH NOW Oct27 Oct08 Sep05 Aug29 Aug13 (skelton dawn)PANAIJO JORGE 122 20.00    
8  OUTLAW KID Oct23 Sep17 Aug28 Jan28   (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
AQU-6   11/25/2022 7260ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TIME LADY Nov04 Oct19 Oct03 Aug23 Aug03 (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 50.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of LIZA LU by MENIFEE)
2  TEMPLE CITY TERROR Oct23 Sep03 Aug06 Jul09 May28 (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 125 1.60 ★    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of IT TAKES TWO by DANCE CENTRE)
3  TIC TIC TIC BOOM Oct20 Oct03 Sep10 Aug29 Aug16 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 20.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of MISS DOLAN'S ROSE by JUDGE T C)
4  ROCKY SKY (IRE) Oct02 Aug25 Aug03 May30 Mar12 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00 16% 5.20    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ROAD TOSKY by ELUSIVE CITY)
5  KALIFORNIA QUEEN (GER) Sep24         (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 ★    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA (IRE) out of KALDERA by SINNDAR (IRE))
6  CAPITAL STRUCTURE (GB) Oct02 Sep10 Jul31 Jun12   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA (IRE) out of MOI MEME by TEOFILO (PER))
 
AQU-7   11/25/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN Oct25 Sep20 Aug29 Jul12 Jun11 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00 ★    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of VISION OF LIZ by POLLARD'S VISION)
2  SIXTYTHREECALIBER Sep24 Aug09 Jul09 Jun11 Apr27 (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLASSOFSIXTYTHREE by INCLUDE)
3  SKRATCH KAT Oct21 Sep24 Aug20 Jul01 May06 (bauer philip )FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of WAVE THEORY by SMART STRIKE)
4  KATHLEEN O. May06 Apr02 Mar05 Jan01   (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 124 2.50 59% 0.70    
  (by UPSTART out of QUAVER by BLAME)
5  NOSTALGIC Nov04 Sep17 Aug20 Jul23 May06 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BEEN HERE BEFORE by TAPIT)
6  MORNING MATCHA Sep24 Aug23 Aug02 Jul02 Jun19 (reid robert )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00 ★    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HOME ICE by IAM THE ICEMAN)
7  FALCONET Sep24 Jul09 Jun03 Apr21 Mar05 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 10% 9.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BIRDATTHEWIRE by SUMMER BIRD)
8  TIZZY IN THE SKY Oct28 Sep23 Aug25 Jul01   (camejo m)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 ★    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of TIZ THE TIDE by TIZNOW)
 
AQU-8   11/25/2022 3960ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOODOO ZIP Oct01 Sep02 Jul02 May29 Apr22 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BAD BEAT BRIAN Oct08 Sep13 Aug07 Jul23 May30 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 8.00    
SCR  NATHAN DETROIT Nov06 Oct23 Oct02 Sep25 Aug22 (cash l)CANCEL ERIC 122 50.00    
4  ANACONDA Nov07 Sep29 Sep08 Jul29 May30 (sharp joe)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 15.00    
5  NOTHING BETTER Oct20 Sep05 Aug14 Jun17 May22 (duarte jorge )KARAMANOS A 124 12.00    
6  THIN WHITE DUKE Oct27 Oct01 Sep02 Aug05 Jul28 (donk david)ORTIZ L 124 8.00    
7  CHEWING GUM Oct01 Sep10 Jul23 Jan01   (mott william)CASTELLANO J 126 12.00    
8  SCUTTLEBUZZ Oct01 Aug23 Jul15 Jun11 Apr30 (rodriguez r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 15.00    
9  GEAR JOCKEY Oct08 Jun11 May06 Apr09 Feb12 (arnold george )LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
10  YES AND YES Oct01 Sep06 Aug05 Jul15 Jun23 (donk davi)VARGAS A 122 10.00    
11  RUN CURTIS RUN Oct23 Sep10 Jul17 Jun05 May04 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
12  DANCING BUCK Oct01 Sep02 Jul29 Jun16 May05 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.50 ★    
SCR  PRIME FACTOR Oct27 Aug10 May15 Mar05 Jan23 (devaux cher)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00    
SCR  JAXON TRAVELER Oct29 Sep10 Jul30 May21 Apr21 (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 126 3.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  HAPPY FARM Sep30 Sep04 Jul20 Jun17 Jun03 (miceli michae)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  GREELEY AND BEN Nov10 Oct29 Oct08 Sep04 Jul02 (englehart jeffrey)RIDER TBA 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
AQU-9   11/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCLE BRUCE Aug18 Jul31 Jul09 May20 May06 (brown)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 30.00    
2  PHOEBE'S FROSTY Aug18 Jul29 Jan16     (baker cha)VARGAS A 121 12.00    
3  NORTH POLE Oct06 Sep30 Aug19 Jul16 Jul01 (begg b)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00 33% 2.10    
4  SHARPOON Sep30 Aug10 Jul04 May29 May05 (fis)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 30.00    
5  WHISKY WARRIOR Nov05 Aug26 Aug11 Jul09 Jun19 (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.50    
6  GRAND AGAIN Nov10 Sep30       (shivmangal l)HARKIE K 121 30.00 ★    
7  STRONG LIGHT Oct03 Aug19 Jun26 Jun09 Apr30 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
8  PAPI ON ICE Nov10 Aug10 Jul15 Jul01 Jun19 (persaud randi)HUAYAS JASON 114 15.00    
SCR  TIGER TOWN BOY Nov11 Oct09       (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 5% 19.00    
10  LOOKIN GRAND Nov06 Aug18 Jul09 May30   (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.