Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Friday - October 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   10/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITH VERVE Jun12         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
2  SOUNION Sep23 Aug26 Jul15 Jun05 Mar18 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 121 6.00    
3  DIRECT ORDER Aug25 Aug05 Jun24 Jun03 May12 (shirer a)GILLIGAN JACK 121 5.00 9% 10.40    
4  MAKE NOISE May28 Apr16 Mar17 Feb19   (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00    
5  HOOPLA         (falcone )SANTANA JR 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  ALFIE SOLOMONS Aug11 Jun04 Apr14     (ward a)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 34% 1.90    
7  DAVID'S GEM Sep09 Aug28 Jul31 Jul01 Jun22 (martinez a)BAIRD T 121 20.00    
8  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Aug28 Jul18 Jun19 May23 May07 (martin timot)JORDAN R 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
9  HIGHER AUTHORITY Sep23 Aug30 Aug03 Jul11 Jun30 (vance d)LANERIE J 121 8.00    
10  GLORY SONG Aug20 Jul16 Jun11 May08   (gaudet lac)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-2   10/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUNESH Jul15 Jun19 May12     (sancal murat)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 8% 10.80    
2  MISREAD May06 Mar26       (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.50 56% 0.80    
3  MAGICAL ACT         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.50 ★    
4  CRYSTAL SNOW         (cristel m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00    
5  SHE'S ALL CLASS Sep10 Aug14       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
6  THE GANG THAT SANG Sep05         (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00    
7  SCRIPPS         (brisset rodol)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 15% 5.90    
8  SEABROOK         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 ★    
 
KEE-3   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRACKALACKING Sep15 Aug14 Jul04 Apr21   (hamilton s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00    
2  SANTA FE GOLD Sep15 Jul17 Jun25     (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 11% 8.00    
3  LOOKING FOR HOPE Aug26         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
4  TWICE AS SWEET Aug28 Aug05       (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
5  KARMA GHIA Sep15 Jul14 Jun17 May27   (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 118 20.00    
6  RIBBONSINHERHAIR Aug25         (robertson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 ★    
7  KEY OF LIFE (IRE) Aug13 Jun25       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.60 26% 2.80    
8  BAYTOWN LOVELY May05 Apr10       (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 122 30.00    
9  MURSAL Sep17 Aug07 Jul29 Jun17   (jimenez l)BEATO INOEL 118 50.00    
 
KEE-4   10/07/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TORONTOTORO Sep15 Aug16 Jul06 Jun11 May03 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 121 6.00    
2  THERIDEOFALIFETIME Aug27 Jul08 Jun12 May15 Apr16 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 4.50 34% 1.90    
3  JOKER ON JACK Aug08         (ward a)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 12% 7.00    
4  BE HERE Sep01 Aug14 Jun04 May05 Apr27 (scherer marianne)GRAHAM J 123 5.00    
5  STRIKE ME DOWN Sep06 Aug23 Jul27 May30 Mar19 (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 8.00 9% 9.90    
6  CASANOVA KITTEN Sep25 Sep05 Aug06 Jul04 Apr28 (ginter j)BEJARANO R 123 10.00    
7  ROBO MAN Sep17 Jul24 Jul02     (pierce lacy)ROSARIO JOEL 121 15.00    
8  JOHNNY UNLEASHED Sep10 Jun11 May06 Apr09 Mar12 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.50 ★    
9  MARK OF THE Z Aug20 Jul13 Jun22 Jun04   (bahena fernando)BAIRD T 121 15.00    
SCR  ONE FOR RICHIE Sep15 Jul31 Jul06 Jun11 Apr27 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
KEE-5   10/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN SIGHTS Sep10 Aug06 Jul01     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 15% 5.90    
2  MISS MATTIE B Sep10 Aug21 Jul24 May29 Apr08 (hess b)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
3  CODE FOR SUCCESS Sep01 Aug06 Jun23 May28   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
4  FAST AND FLIRTY Apr10 Feb20 Jan01     (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
5  NOSILVERSPOONSHERE Jul09 Jun11 Apr27     (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 8.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  HALAGA Mar18 Feb18       (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 121 30.00    
7  STREET JAM Sep10 Jul01 Jun03 May06   (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
8  TOWSER Aug19         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 6.00 ★    
9  BEGUINE May20 Apr02 Mar05 Jan23 Jan07 (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 5% 17.60    
10  RING ME DARLING Sep23 Aug14 Jul03 Jun18 May22 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
11  JAG WARRIOR Sep17 Aug13 Jul30 Jun19 Jun04 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 10.00    
12  OLGA ISABEL May06 Mar05       (delgado gustav)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 33% 2.00    
 
KEE-6   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN BANDIT         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 16% 5.10    
2  MY UNCLE LEON         (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00    
3  MOBSTER         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
4  LIBERTY'S HAULER         (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50    
5  Z Z'S PRINCE         (calhoun willi)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00    
SCR  BRITERDAYZAHEAD Sep03         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 ★    
SCR  BIG HAT WILLIE         (mor)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 15.00    
8  WELAKA Sep16 Aug10       (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
9  DAKOTA RUN Jun23         (simms jr)COHEN DAVID 119 30.00    
10  COLLIER'S TIME         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00    
11  SIR Sep08         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 15.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  MABUHAY Jun02 Apr28       (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FASHION KING         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
14  IRONSIDES Aug30 Jul30 Jul02     (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
SCR  MONBA QUAKE Sep24         (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 109 50.00    
SCR  EASY ACTION Sep17         (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
KEE-7   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR ALFRED JAMES Sep25 Aug26 Aug10 Jul02 Jun17 (cash l)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 ★    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SUPER PHOEBE by MALABAR GOLD)
2  SPECIAL RESERVE Aug06 Jul16       (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LOVE SPUN by HARD SPUN)
3  TOP GUNNER Sep17 Jul08 Jun04 May04 Apr15 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DOWNTON MY LADY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
4  BAYTOWN BEAR Sep17 Sep04 Aug06 Jul08 Jun11 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 120 30.00    
  (by UPSTART out of AND YOU CAN by ISTAN)
5  SIBELIUS Sep10 Aug10 Jul16 May28 Apr30 (o'dwyer jer)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FIERY PULPIT by PULPIT)
6  NECKER ISLAND Sep17 Aug16 Jul24 Jul02 Jun04 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by HARD SPUN out of JENNY'S ROCKET by MR. GREELEY)
7  MANNY WAH Sep17 Aug02 Jul02 May28 May04 (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 120 8.00 ★    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of BATTLEFIELD ANGEL by PROUD CITIZEN)
8  LONG RANGE TODDY Sep23 Sep01 Jul30 Jul02 Jun04 (stewart dall)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 20.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of PLEASANT SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
KEE-8   10/07/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($350K) 2 F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SABALENKA Sep13 Aug03       (beckman whit)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of DARLING DAUGHTER by MARIA'S MON)
2  C C CRUISE CONTROL Sep03 Aug14 Jul15 Jun17   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 20.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of ALPACA FINA by BIG BROWN)
3  DELIGHT Aug27 Aug07 Apr29     (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 11% 8.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of HONEY TRAP by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  PROMISE OF HOPE Sep08 Aug07 Jul01     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HUDSON RIVER GAL by DYNAFORMER)
5  BLIND SPOT Sep17 Aug28 Jul29     (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 15.00 8% 11.90    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of YOUR FLAME IN ME by BOUNDARY)
6  HAPPY GAL (FR) Sep08 Aug04 Jun28     (o'neill doug)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00    
  (by HABITAT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  BLING Aug20 Jul22       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BLONDE BOMBER by FORT LARNED)
8  DULCIA Sep10         (sharp joe)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 10% 9.30    
  (by PALACE out of FIRST IN TIME by BROKEN VOW)
9  RECOGNIZE Sep01 Aug18 Jul27 Jun25   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of AVENDESORA by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
10  STEPHANIE'S CHARM Sep17 Aug07 Jul22 May19 Apr21 (jimenez l)BEATO INOEL 118 15.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of VOYELLE by BROKEN VOW)
11  KNOCKYOURSOCKSOFF Sep03 Aug03       (block chris)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 30.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of FATEER by ESKENDEREYA)
12  TOWHEAD Sep03 Aug14 Jul24 Jun17 May26 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 31% 2.20    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SMARTLY AGREE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  TAX IMPLICATIONS (GB) Sep11         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 19% 4.30    
  (by MEHMAS out of COUNTRY MADAM by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  SOUTHLAWN Sep17 Jul31 Jun03     (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MO D'AMOUR by UNCLE MO)
SCR  PLAY THE MUSIC Sep05         (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of HEY LITTLE SISTER by JUMP START)
SCR  AZTEC NIGHTS Aug21 Aug05       (catalano)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of NITE DELITE by WAR CHANT)
 
KEE-9   10/07/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 2 F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WONDER WHEEL Sep04 Jul04 Jun03     (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WONDER GAL by TIZ WONDERFUL)
2  CHOP CHOP Sep03 Aug14       (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of GRAND SOFIA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  STELLAR LADY Sep08 Aug05 Jul20     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 30.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of STELLAR BABY by BRAHMS)
4  RAGING SEA Aug07         (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of STORMY WELCOME by STORM CAT)
5  XIGERA Aug28 Aug07       (bauer philip )TALAMO JOSEPH 122 5.00 18% 4.40    
  (by NYQUIST out of ARGENT AFFAIR by BLACK TIE AFFAIR (IRE))
6  MUSTANG LADY Sep03 Jul31       (newton troy)BEJARANO R 122 50.00    
  (by TONALIST out of HUNDRED YEAR STORM by WAR FRONT)
7  ESSAOUIRA Sep14 Aug25       (motion grah)ORTIZ JR 122 15.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of EDEN'S MOON by MALIBU MOON)
8  INFINITE DIAMOND Sep16 Aug14 Jun17     (biancone pat)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 6% 16.50    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of READY FOR GOLD by MORE THAN READY)
9  FUN AND FEISTY Sep17 Aug13 Jul23 Jul04   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of GROUSE GRIND by FIRST SAMURAI)
10  KALING Sep04 Jul24       (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of PROUD INDIAN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
11  JUST CINDY Sep04 Jul14 Jun17     (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of JENDA'S AGENDA by PROUD CITIZEN)
12  TAKE CHARGE BRIANA Sep04 Aug14 Jul24     (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00    
  (by CURLIN out of TAKE CHARGE TRESSA by WAR FRONT)
13  SABRA TUFF Sep04 Aug07 Jul04 Jun08   (stewart dall)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 50.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CACTUS CADILLAC by CACTUS RIDGE)
14  BOSS LADY BAILEY Sep17 Jul23       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 50.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SPECIAL DREAM by OFFICER)
 
KEE-10   10/07/2022 7920ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIA MARTINA Aug25 Jul03 Jun05 Mar27   (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00 ★    
2  DANCE WARRIOR Sep01 Jun12 May08 Mar20   (o'dwyer jer)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 30.00    
3  LOVED REIKO Jul29 Jul07       (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00    
4  FEDERALIST PAPERS Sep01 Jun05 Apr27 Feb10   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50    
5  QUEEN BOURBON Aug25 Jul31 Jul10 May26 May07 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 ★    
6  LIGHT STARS (FR) Aug25 Jul03       (clement c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  ROUGHLY A DIAMOND Sep01 Jul23 Apr29 Mar12 Feb05 (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00    
8  FAIRCHILD Sep01 Jul16 May29     (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
9  THEREARENORULES Sep06 Jul23 Jul08 Jun11 May08 (schultz lind)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
10  LONGPANTS REQUIRED Aug30 Jul12 Jun04 May19 Apr09 (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00    
11  SOFT TOUCH Sep06 Aug16 Jul12     (stidham micha)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00    
12  MAOTAI Sep19 Jan01       (peach chadwick )MOJICA JR 118 50.00    
SCR  GO BIG BLUE NATION Sep22 Aug30 Jul12 May28 Apr21 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 28% 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.