Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Saturday - December 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (10/1/6/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/6/7/3)-(10/1/6/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/6/7/3)-(10/1/6/7/3)-(10/1/6/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/6/7/3)-(5/1/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/1/6/7/3)-(5/1/6/9)-(1/2/5/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-2   WIN (5/1/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/9)-(5/1/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/9)-(5/1/6/9)-(5/1/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/9)-(1/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/9)-(1/2/5/3)-(9/10/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/5/3)-(9/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/3)-(9/10/2)-(3/8/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (9/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/10/2)-(9/5/10/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/10/2)-(9/5/10/2)-(9/5/10/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/10/2)-(3/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/10/2)-(3/8/7/4)-(8/3/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/4)-(3/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/4)-(3/8/7/4)-(3/8/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/7/4)-(8/3/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7/4)-(8/3/2/6)-(1/5/8/10/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-6   WIN (8/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/2/6)-(8/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/2/6)-(8/3/2/6)-(8/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/2/6)-(1/5/8/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/2/6)-(1/5/8/10/6)-(3/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/5/8/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/10/6)-(1/5/8/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/10/6)-(1/5/8/10/6)-(1/5/8/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/8/10/6)-(3/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/8/10/6)-(3/5/6)-(1/2/4/8/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-8   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(1/2/4/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MVR-9   WIN (1/2/4/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/8/3)-(1/2/4/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/8/3)-(1/2/4/8/3)-(1/2/4/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKHAMIAN Dec10 Oct13 Sep30 Mar05 Jan15 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 10.00 13% 6.70    
2  THE LAST FACT Dec10 Nov27 Nov02 Oct22 Jan06 (castillo ja)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 15.00    
3  PERFECT WAGER Dec08 Nov12 Oct20 Oct03 Sep01 (norris stephan)HOUGHTON D 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  FIRST CITIZEN Dec12 Nov27 Nov12 Oct19 Sep30 (castillo jabd)ZONETT KEYNER 126 3.00    
5  PINBALLER Nov27 Nov06 Oct13 Oct03 Sep19 (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00    
6  LAND MARK DEAL Dec02 Nov11 Nov04 Oct13 Oct03 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 126 6.00 13% 6.80    
7  UPTOWN GUY Nov20 Nov04 Aug13 Jun05 May23 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  LOCK ON Dec10 Nov20 Nov04 Oct03 Sep13 (haehn terry)NUNEZ Y 126 20.00    
9  UNCLEJACKOMO Dec12 Nov12 Nov04 Oct19 Oct11 (faulkner c)STOKES J 126 20.00    
10  BOURBON AND ICE Dec10 Nov27 Oct25 Sep29 Aug30 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 126 1.20 46% 1.20    
 
MVR-2   12/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLY VALID Dec04 Nov14 Oct30 Oct10 Sep19 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 30% 2.30    
2  MAKING ME CRAZY Dec11 Nov26 Oct19 Sep19 Aug22 (mahan jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00    
3  GOING IN STYLE Dec11 Nov20 Nov11 Oct30 Oct22 (bailey ri)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 2.00    
4  LOGICO Dec11 May21 Apr09 Mar19 Feb26 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 4.00    
5  ZEN MASTER Nov14 Oct22 Oct03 Jul26 Jul01 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
6  ROAD TO STARDOM Dec01 Nov19 Oct27 Oct08 Sep09 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COLLECTORATE Jun23 Jun02 Nov07 Sep17 Aug21 (urieta johanna)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
8  WHERE IS ESSA Dec04 Nov16 Nov07 Sep10 Sep03 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 15.00    
9  CASANOVA KITTEN Nov19 Oct27 Sep03 Aug21 Jul31 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-3   12/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP AZ CAN BE Nov18 Oct13 Sep16 Jul24 Jun11 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  A KISS FOR KHOZAN Dec10 Nov19 Oct07 Sep10 Aug19 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 124 5.00 31% 2.20    
3  SHEISTHEHERO Dec10 Nov25 Oct01 Sep09 Aug04 (lo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  HARTFUL HOPE Dec10 Sep04 Aug09 Jul07 Jun18 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 15.00    
5  KINGDOM QUEEN Dec06 Nov04 Oct20 Oct05 Aug18 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 18.10    
6  SPARKLING JEWEL Nov02 Oct11 Jul25 Jul04 Jun07 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 3.00    
7  FLOWER MOUND Nov18 Nov02 Oct19 Sep28 Sep14 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00    
 
MVR-4   12/28/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CORONA GRANDE Dec16 Nov12 Oct16 Sep17 Sep05 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
2  BIG POPPER Dec09 Nov02 Oct22 Oct11 Sep05 (romero a)PEREZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LAW OF THE JUNGLE Oct23 Sep27 Aug31 Aug18 Jul12 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
4  ENDLESS SUNSET Nov22 Nov01 Oct04 Sep24 Sep03 (buttigieg ke)AYALA J 124 15.00    
5  WASHINGTON'S UNION Dec11 Nov29 Nov15 Oct31 Oct11 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 ★    
6  MONEY ROOM Dec09 Oct22 Sep27 Sep02 Jul29 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50    
SCR  BLUNDER Dec01 Nov04 Oct22 Oct08 Sep26 (szczepanski emily)STOKES J 124 15.00    
SCR  DELTA RIDGE Dec09 Nov18 Oct21 Oct08 Sep17 (pappada julie)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
9  SOUTH STREET Dec04 Nov17 Aug18 Jul28 Jul14 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 4.00 72% 0.40    
10  TIZ SPEEDY Dec08 Nov16 Oct24 Sep18 Aug29 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   12/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KICHI KITSU Dec11 Sep09 Jun22 Jun05 May18 (ruberto louis)BRACHO A 124 2.50    
2  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Dec11 Nov13 Oct28 Aug26 Jul25 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
3  LADY LOTTIE Dec11 Aug13 Jul24 Jul02 Jun07 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.20 36% 1.80    
4  GO GIRL Dec03 Nov18 Sep19 Jul10 Jun19 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  GOLD HONEY Nov25 Oct29 Jul11 Jun03 May14 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 123 15.00    
6  KERRI'S MIRACLE Nov18 Sep30 Sep11 Aug14 Jul31 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
7  BOOGIE BOOGEE Dec04 Nov21 Oct26 Sep19 Aug01 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 9% 10.40    
8  MOBIL LADY Dec04 Nov14 Sep23 Aug27 Jun19 (meyers shane)STOKES J 126 5.00 24% 3.20    
9  EXACTITUDE Nov18 Oct29 Sep30 Aug28 Aug01 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   12/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMPAGNE MIKE Dec11 Nov25 Nov07 Oct30 Oct10 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 123 20.00    
2  FLAWLESS CAT Dec11 Nov25 Oct28 Sep18 Sep05 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 3.50 9% 10.00    
3  RUN FOR REAGAN Dec10 Nov27 Nov08 Sep27 Aug16 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  ANCIENT MAN Nov18 Nov02 Oct24 Oct10 Sep19 (hughes ea)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 20.00    
SCR  MEXITEXAFORNIA Nov25 Nov07 Oct22 Oct07 Sep09 (crumley jevon)STOKES J 123 10.00    
6  CAPTURE MI Dec11 Nov07 Oct28 Oct01 Sep18 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARIACHI JUSTICE Oct30 Oct10 Sep26 Jul29 Jun20 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
8  SOLAR POWER Sep26 Aug27 Aug08 Jul06 Jun19 (eggleston tim)AVILES YAN 124 4.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Dec04 Nov12 Oct26 Oct15 Oct03 (dizeo din)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
10  MOON OVER DUBAI Dec10 Nov20 Nov07 Oct23 Oct16 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00    
11  AURA OF GOLD Nov25 Nov07 Oct19 Sep05 Jul11 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
12  EL BANDIDO Dec05 Nov25 Nov07 Oct28 Oct01 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   12/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAIN LINE CIPHER Dec11 Feb21 Jan25 Jan11 Nov22 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 30% 2.30    
2  CALL IT A NIGHT Dec11 Nov14 Oct01 Sep09 Aug19 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 125 4.00    
3  MORE THAN DESTINY Feb16 Jan20 Dec31 Dec13 Oct20 (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 123 10.00    
SCR  SECRET RENDEZVOUS Jul29 Jul18 May27 May14 Aug30 (lauer micha)NUNEZ Y 124 15.00    
5  PLAIN AND SIMPLE Dec09 Nov21 Oct22 Sep30 Sep09 (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
6  CLASSIC RICHIE Nov20 Jul09 Jun14     (tumbli)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00 6% 16.40    
7  PRINTS MONEY Nov22 Nov01 Sep18 Jul15 Jun05 (martinez kel)HALDAR J 123 5.00    
8  ASYMMETRIC (IRE) Apr12 Mar16 Mar02 Feb09 Jan05 (jansen kenny)VEGA L 124 15.00 11% 7.70    
9  LIBERTANGO Nov21 Oct22 Oct07 Sep16 Jul05 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 124 15.00    
10  TAP VALLEY Dec09 Oct22 Oct07 Sep16 Aug12 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 123 15.00 7% 13.70    
 
MVR-8   12/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Dec11 Mar30 Jan24 Dec27 Dec09 (smith law)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 20.00    
SCR  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Nov19 Oct30 Oct03 Sep09 Aug19 (skerrett je)NUNEZ Y 124 20.00    
3  NOTSO MISCHIEVOUS Oct30 Oct03 Sep19 Aug12 Jul16 (ramgee)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.00 43% 1.30    
4  ATLANTIC FIRESTORM Mar29 Mar08 Jan17 Dec13 Nov23 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 12.00    
SCR  HITSVILLE Dec03 Nov19 Oct30 Oct03 Sep09 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 124 2.50 32% 2.20    
6  ERNIE'S MARTINI Nov07 Oct22 Sep24 Sep03 Aug12 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  GOLDEN ARM Dec13 Nov16 Nov05 Oct28 Oct02 (smith lawren)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00    
8  POKER PARTNER Nov25 Nov07 Oct15 Sep05 Aug19 (smith larry)DIAZ I 123 8.00    
 
MVR-9   12/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BE AN EDDIE Nov27         (rone mike)AVILES YAN 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by BIONDETTI out of FLUFFY ONTHEINSIDE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
2  DUSTY BILLY Dec16 Nov13 Oct28     (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
  (by BIRDRUN out of DUSTY LILY by DESERT WARRIOR)
3  BLUE BLOOD COWBOY Dec12 Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 Sep25 (dacosta jas)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
4  SILVER IS A GIFT Dec12 Nov27 Nov13 Sep19 Aug31 (andrade hugo)PAUCAR E 122 3.50 7% 13.80    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of SILVER COIN LADY by OLD FASHIONED)
5  DUO Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 Sep25   (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
6  WHY KITTEN WHY Oct28         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 122 10.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
SCR  FLARING SONG Dec16 Nov13       (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 122 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
8  R C IRONSIDE Dec02 Oct28 Oct04     (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MERRIE GOGO by MUSIC CITY)
9  REMIX FROM PHOENIX Dec12 Nov27 Oct09     (langley j)POTTINGER MICHAEL 117 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of HEATHERFROMPHOENIX by SAN PABLO)
10  DRILL EM Dec12 Nov27 Nov13 Sep25 Sep16 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 15.00    
  (by DRILL out of EM N EMMY by SKY MESA)
11  NATIONAL PUNCHLINE Dec12 Nov27 Nov06 Oct28   (jensen p)STOKES J 122 20.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PUNCHLINE STORY by TWO PUNCH)
SCR  WILD DOMAIN Dec12 Nov27 Nov13     (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50    
  (by ONE SIDED out of ENDEARED by BIRDSTONE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.