Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - December 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (7/9/2/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/2/5/1)-(7/9/2/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/2/5/1)-(7/9/2/5/1)-(7/9/2/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/2/5/1)-(1/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/9/2/5/1)-(1/2/6)-(4/1/9/7/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-2   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(4/1/9/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(4/1/9/7/8)-(6/3/8/2/1) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-3   WIN (4/1/9/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/7/8)-(4/1/9/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/7/8)-(4/1/9/7/8)-(4/1/9/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/9/7/8)-(6/3/8/2/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/1/9/7/8)-(6/3/8/2/1)-(1/4/9/10/8) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
MVR-4   WIN (6/3/8/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/2/1)-(6/3/8/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/2/1)-(6/3/8/2/1)-(6/3/8/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/8/2/1)-(1/4/9/10/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/2/1)-(1/4/9/10/8)-(2/4/1/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/4/9/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/9/10/8)-(1/4/9/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/9/10/8)-(1/4/9/10/8)-(1/4/9/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/9/10/8)-(2/4/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/9/10/8)-(2/4/1/8)-(8/9/1/3/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/8)-(2/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/8)-(2/4/1/8)-(2/4/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/1/8)-(8/9/1/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/8)-(8/9/1/3/5)-(5/6/11/1/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-7   WIN (8/9/1/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/1/3/5)-(8/9/1/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/1/3/5)-(8/9/1/3/5)-(8/9/1/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/1/3/5)-(5/6/11/1/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/6/11/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/11/1/7)-(5/6/11/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/11/1/7)-(5/6/11/1/7)-(5/6/11/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/19/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Oct21 Oct08 Oct01 Sep10 Aug27 (gonzalez d)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  TURBO TRIP Dec10 Nov18 Nov02 Sep24 Jun10 (gorham m)PEREZ E 123 5.00 8% 11.20    
3  CHAPS KNIGHT Dec09 Nov18 Oct24 Oct09 Sep30 (pappada a)STOKES J 125 4.50    
4  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Dec10 Nov26 Nov11 Oct10 Sep23 (erdel )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 20.00    
5  IMPOSTER SYNDROME Nov26 Nov07 Oct14 Sep26 Sep02 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 124 12.00 6% 15.60    
6  TORREFACTOR Dec04 Nov12 Oct22 Sep25 Sep11 (musarro joseph)HOUGHTON D 125 4.00    
7  JOHNNNY'S GAME Nov11 Oct10 Sep05 Jul17 Jun27 (tumblin andrew)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
8  LEAVENWORTH Nov04 Oct01 Sep10 Aug28 Aug05 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00    
9  GUARDIANSOF AUTISM Nov20 Nov04 Oct07 Sep24 Sep11 (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 124 6.00 16% 5.10    
 
MVR-2   12/19/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZERO GRAVITY Nov13 Oct20 Oct07 Sep23 Sep11 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
2  BOURBON WISDOM Dec02 Nov13 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  STAR ENTERTAINER Oct23 Oct08 Sep04 Aug06 Jul10 (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
4  GROUP EIGHTEEN Dec04 Nov01 Sep25 Sep11 Aug23 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00    
5  ROYAL DRAGOON Nov05 Oct22 Oct11 Sep20 Sep10 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 124 5.00    
6  THRU THE VINE Dec02 Nov05 Oct23 Oct08 Sep16 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-3   12/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAREBACK FUN Aug14 Jul22 Jul03 Jun11 May27 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 126 1.80 12% 7.30    
2  SIGN AND SEAL Oct14 Sep16 Aug13 Jul29 Feb24 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00    
3  DRUMBEG Dec10 Nov05 Oct26 Oct03 Sep14 (campos paulo)TAPARA BRANDON 126 15.00    
4  HOT CAROL Dec04 Sep04 Dec30 Jul21 Jun04 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 3.00 62% 0.60    
5  YOGURT Nov20 Oct22 Oct05 Sep27 Sep12 (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 5.00    
6  LIGHT HEARTED Nov26 Nov03 Oct21 Oct09 Sep26 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 126 20.00    
7  ORBIT MARS Nov03 Oct27 Oct20 Oct07 Aug11 (inman robert )CEDILLO MAURO 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  ACT LIKE A LADY Sep15 Aug27 Feb19 Jan30 Jan04 (skelton t)STOKES J 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  KINGSTON TIME Nov11 Oct27 Oct09 Sep23 Aug26 (spiess m)DIAZ I 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  GALILEO'S AFFAIR Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 Oct09 Aug12 (ort)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 20.00    
 
MVR-4   12/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET LEMON DROP Nov19 Oct30 Oct19 Oct08 Sep18 (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  PLAY BALL Nov19 Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Sep11 (castillo jabd)ZONETT KEYNER 124 6.00 13% 6.50    
3  POWERFUL PHIL Nov02 Oct11 Oct02 Sep10 Aug21 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 18% 4.40    
4  MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Dec04 Oct29 Oct08 Sep19 Aug12 (juarez-mendoza re)PEREZ A 124 2.50    
5  JACK BE FAST Nov27 Nov12 Jul18 Jul04 Jun25 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
6  WEEKEND BUZZ Nov19 Oct30 Oct11 Sep19 Aug26 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 3.50 31% 2.30    
7  VICTORY DIVISION Nov19 Oct08 Sep10 Aug29 Aug06 (juarez-mendo)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
8  STONE COLD CAT Dec05 Nov13 Oct26 Oct08 Sep18 (calderon ivan)LEON A 124 10.00 15% 5.60    
9  SHOW SLIDING HOME Nov19 Aug29 Aug06 Jun25 Jun04 (johnson gar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 12.00    
 
MVR-5   12/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCHO PRIMO Dec05 Nov19 Oct29 Oct11 Oct02 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 124 5.00 37% 1.70    
2  SERENDIPITOUS Nov26 Oct26 Oct07 Sep17 Aug26 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00    
SCR  HONOR THE D Nov19 Sep21 Aug30 Aug01 Jul04 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
4  OAKEN Nov19 Oct30 Sep25 Aug30 Aug12 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
5  DOUGS MORNING PICK Dec05 Nov19 Aug12 Jun26 Jun11 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 15.00    
6  SHOWTIME BOY Dec03 Nov07 Oct03 Sep11 Aug21 (galloway kha)AYALA J 124 20.00    
7  STRIKE ONE Aug28 Aug17 Jul17 Jun20 Jun06 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
8  EL MARRO Nov26 Apr01 Mar11 Feb21 Jan02 (r)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  MANNFORD Nov19 Sep04 Aug21 Jun11 May23 (castillo ja)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 10.00 10% 9.00    
10  KID RUSSELL Oct19 Oct08 Nov28 Oct10 Sep19 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  BUCKEYE RED Oct30 Sep26 Apr02 Mar06 Jan15 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
12  WEEKENDER Nov19 Oct19 Oct02 Jul26 Jun12 (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 20.00    
 
MVR-6   12/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MITOLE'S WISH Dec04 Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 Sep13 (morales m)REYES FRANK 125 6.00 10% 9.10    
2  SLAVA UKRAINI Dec04 Nov18 Nov02 Oct22 Oct03 (urieta jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
3  FOOD FOODIE Dec04 Nov18 Nov02 Oct22 Oct11 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
4  DR JACK FLYER Nov08 Sep27 Aug17 Jul25 Jul08 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 21% 3.80    
5  JIMMY JUNGA Dec04 Nov18 Oct22 Oct11 Sep05 (faulkner c)STOKES J 123 15.00    
6  CAVENDISH Nov29 Nov22 Nov10 Oct19 Sep29 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50    
7  GRAND DEAL Nov07 Oct22 Oct01 Aug27 Aug13 (juarez-mendoza)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
8  ROYALLY FLUSHED Dec04 Nov18 Oct22 Oct11 Sep12 (short travis)AYALA J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   12/19/2024 5490ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Bobbie Bricker Memorial Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTESS COLETTE Nov21 Oct23 Sep23 Aug07 Jul04 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 6.00 18% 4.70    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of MOBIL BONNET by MOBIL)
2  IMA MOM Oct28 Sep18 Jul31 Jul10 Jun22 (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 117 12.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of PICTURE OF MOM by CAT POWER)
3  MOBIL CHIC Nov14 Sep20 Aug27 Apr30 Apr10 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of CHIC CAT by TIGER RIDGE)
4  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Nov14 Nov02 Sep11 Jul31 Jun27 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 4.00    
  (by KENTUCKY DANE out of COPPER ROSE by UNBRIDLED)
5  KETTLE KISS Nov14 Nov04 Sep20 Jul31 Jul10 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of ABIDING LOVE by OLMODAVOR)
6  GOODNESS SAKES Dec04 Nov14 Sep20 Jul19 Jun22 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 118 15.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of SWEETNESSNGOODNESS by CUVEE)
7  BOSSY LADY Jul03 Jun19 May18 May04 Dec21 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 118 15.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of BECKER COUNTY MISS by LANGFUHR)
8  NEAR PERFECT Nov14 Jun22 Apr09 Mar25 Feb29 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.50 35% 1.80    
  (by MOBIL out of ECHT by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
9  MIZ KEETA Nov14 Sep20 Aug30 Jun28 Jun19 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
10  DANZANITEAWAY Nov13 Oct28 Sep20 Aug17 Aug03 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 121 20.00    
  (by DANZA out of HERONETTA by MARCHFIELD)
 
MVR-8   12/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Joshua Radosevich Memorial Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVE A LITTLE Nov27 Oct10 Sep20 Sep05 Jul19 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of BOURGEOIS by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  GRETCHENS MANE MAN Sep20 Aug26 Jul22 Jul03   (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 118 30.00    
  (by CORFU out of IVORY TREASURE by SIR IVOR)
3  JAC'S EMPIRE Nov12 Oct10 Sep25 Aug26 Aug10 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 30.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of EMPIRE OF DOE by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  DRILL'S BOY Nov13 Oct28 Oct09 Sep25 Sep16 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 30.00    
  (by DRILL out of CANDYS GIRL by BERTOLINI)
5  PARLAY Nov25 Oct26 Oct10 Sep20 Aug06 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 1.80 43% 1.30    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MISS EMMA MARIA by TIZNOW)
6  JUST LIKE RAMBO Sep20 Aug31       (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 1.20 32% 2.10    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of UKNOWI'MBUSY by CONCORD POINT)
7  PROFESSOR NICK Nov27 Oct28 Oct09 Sep16 Aug26 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AIR STRIKE out of STARSHIP MADE IT by CONCERTO)
8  MERGER Nov27 Sep19 Aug31 Aug14 Jul27 (hamm timothy)HOUGHTON D 118 30.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of LILLARD HALL by TIZNOW)
9  COLONEL COOPER Oct09 Sep16 Aug26 Jul22 Jul03 (hamm timothy)HALDAR J 118 20.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
SCR  RIGHT ON THE MUNNY Nov27 Oct10 Sep16     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 20.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of THELOVEOFMUNNINGS by MUNNINGS)
11  PERFECT DATE Nov25 Oct26 Oct10 Aug22 Aug06 (poole m)AVILES YAN 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
12  RONNIS SECOND WIND Nov27 Nov12 Sep20 Aug10 Jul19 (cline rob)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 20.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of RONNI'S SECRET by SUN KING)
SCR  SO THAT'S THAT Nov27 Oct28       (poole m)BRACHO A 118 15.00    
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of FAIRWAY SALLY by STRONG MANDATE)
14  KOZY K Nov27 Nov12 Oct28     (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 30.00    
  (by TENKOZ out of MERRIE'S PRIDE by GRINDSTONE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.