Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - November 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(6/3/4)-(8/9/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(8/9/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(8/9/1/6)-(6/7/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (8/9/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/1/6)-(8/9/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/1/6)-(8/9/1/6)-(8/9/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/9/1/6)-(6/7/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/9/1/6)-(6/7/1/8)-(7/10/6/4/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/8)-(6/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/8)-(6/7/1/8)-(6/7/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/8)-(7/10/6/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/8)-(7/10/6/4/1)-(5/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (7/10/6/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/6/4/1)-(7/10/6/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/6/4/1)-(7/10/6/4/1)-(7/10/6/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/10/6/4/1)-(5/2/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/10/6/4/1)-(5/2/4)-(1/2/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(1/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(1/2/4/8)-(2/7/10/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/8)-(2/7/10/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/7/10/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/10/6/8)-(2/7/10/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/10/6/8)-(2/7/10/6/8)-(2/7/10/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TORREY STREET Jul04 Jun13 May30 May08 Apr21 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 122 5.00    
2  ZIPPY ZINNY Oct30 Oct01 Sep12 Aug15 Jul04 (salcedo ramon)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  ELKO Oct30 Sep11 Aug14 Jul24 Jul02 (vecchio caryn)FELICIANO R 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
4  MO RISSA Oct30 Sep03 Aug19 Jul23 Jul04 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 124 12.00    
5  FLATTERING HEART Oct30 Sep03 Aug15 Jul29 Jun19 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
6  LUBU Oct30 Oct05 Sep13 Aug17 Jul20 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 1.20    
 
MVR-2   11/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RONNIS SECOND WIND Sep20 Aug10 Jul19 Jul03 Jun14 (cline rob)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 3.00    
SCR  OL' NELSON Oct01 Aug27 Aug12 Jul24 Jul08 (huffman cand)AYALA J 120 4.00    
3  TROUBLE IN MOTOWN Oct26 Sep05 Jul27     (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
4  GONE WILD Oct10 Aug30 Jul27 Jul08   (cline robert )BRACHO A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  JAC'S EMPIRE Oct10 Sep25 Aug26 Aug10   (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 120 10.00    
6  KOZY K Oct28         (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
 
MVR-3   11/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANZA MAGIC Oct26 Oct11 Sep03 Aug10 Aug01 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 124 8.00 10% 8.80    
2  BISCAYNE BAY Oct29 Jul09 May30 May04 Apr01 (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
3  CATABOUT Oct07 Sep02 Aug07 Jul17 Jun25 (murillo-rodr)HALDAR J 124 6.00    
SCR  CHLOES ANGEL Sep03 Aug07 Jul17 Jun27 Jan23 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 12.00    
5  CAUSE OF LOVE Oct26 Sep30 Sep18 Aug29 Aug05 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 2.50    
6  DOUBLE EDGED Sep18 Sep26 Aug30 Jul05 Jun19 (winters mich)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Oct29 Oct19 Sep30 Aug29 Aug14 (crumley jevon)FELICIANO R 124 15.00    
8  TALE OF THE LYON Oct29 Sep30 Sep18 Sep02 Aug14 (poole m)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
9  PRICELESS PICTURE Oct03 Sep14 Jul25 Jul04 Jun12 (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 124 3.00 21% 3.90    
 
MVR-4   11/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAHM TEQUILA Sep24 Sep09 Aug27 Jul23 Jul02 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 8.00 16% 5.30    
2  DESERT HIGHWAY Oct30 Oct07 Sep05 Aug16 Aug01 (aguirre r)TAPARA LUIS 124 20.00    
3  AUGER Oct23 Oct08 Sep19 Sep03 Aug21 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 3.00    
4  CLASS ACTOR Oct30 Oct09 Sep16 Aug27 Aug05 (castillo jabd)ZONETT KEYNER 124 6.00    
5  GILLIGAN Oct28 Oct09 Sep24 Sep12 Aug29 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00    
6  MEROKEE Oct23 Oct09 Sep25 Sep02 Aug19 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 35% 1.80    
7  HOUSEBUILDER Oct22 Oct07 Sep26 Aug25 Aug12 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
8  ROYAL AIR FORCE Oct30 Oct08 Sep16 Sep02 Jul30 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   11/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRACK THE MOON Nov03 Oct06 Sep22 Sep11 Sep01 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  JACK BE FAST Jul18 Jul04 Jun25 Jun11 Jan02 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 126 20.00    
3  FISHING FOR FUN Oct29 Sep24 Sep05 Aug13 Jul30 (castillo jabd)BARBARAN ERIK 126 10.00    
4  BAD LITTLE BEAST Oct09 Sep24 Aug28 Aug15 Jul23 (winters mich)HALDAR J 126 6.00 6% 16.00    
5  FIRST CITIZEN Oct19 Sep30 Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00    
6  SUMMERFEST Oct23 Oct08 Sep20 Aug31 Jan03 (urieta johann)ZONETT KEYNER 126 2.50 8% 11.80    
7  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Oct22 Sep24 Aug25 Jul08 May27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.50 57% 0.70    
8  UNCLEJACKOMO Nov04 Oct19 Oct11 Sep24 Feb05 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 126 20.00    
9  TWICE AS SMART Nov04 Sep24 Mar18 Feb27 Feb14 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 126 15.00    
10  NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) Oct03 Sep04 Aug21 Jul31 Jul12 (cannon st)GONZALEZ A 126 4.00 9% 10.30    
 
MVR-6   11/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND ZHOUL Oct21 Oct02 Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 (tumblin andr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
2  RAY'S EMPIRE Oct29 Aug21 Jul31 Jul15 Jun27 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 2.50 17% 4.80    
3  GOLDSTRIKER Oct29 Sep26 Aug22 Aug03 Jun27 (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 4.00    
4  WHY KENNY WHY Oct21 Sep26 Sep04 Aug19 Aug07 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SAMURAI WAY Oct21 Sep26 Aug31 Aug15 Jul20 (barton amanda)SOSA LAUREANO 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
6  ROLLIN MY WAY Oct21 Sep11 Aug16 Jul31 Jul06 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 122 1.80    
 
MVR-7   11/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFERDITA Oct20 Sep20 Aug27 Jun03 May09 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 126 1.60 50% 1.00    
2  EPICUREAN Oct28 Jul03 Jun03 May22 May04 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
3  FULL TIME STRUTIN Oct28 Oct19 Sep19 Sep04 Aug27 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 126 15.00    
4  RIGHT TRAPPE Aug27 Jun08 May15 Mar17 Mar08 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 6% 16.10    
5  SHEWEARSMYRING Sep30 Sep04 Jul24 Jul16 Jul02 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
6  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Oct21 May24 Apr29 Mar27 Feb28 (suarez ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00    
7  FIRST KITTEN Oct29 Oct17 Sep22 Aug25 Jul28 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 124 6.00    
8  MO CO GOLD Oct28 Oct01 Aug04 Jul24 Jul01 (cady khalil)WHITACRE B 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   11/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONLY GET'N BETTER Oct30 Oct10 Aug31 Aug16 Jul19 (vecchio caryn)FELICIANO R 124 12.00    
2  BILL OF RIGHTS Oct24 Sep29 Aug03 Jul27 Jan05 (farrior antho)BRACHO A 126 2.50 34% 1.90    
3  HITE Oct28 Oct10 Sep26 Sep03 Aug20 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
4  HIDDEN ACCESS May27 Apr30 Apr09 Mar14 Feb14 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 4.50    
5  WHO DA BOSS Oct07 Sep03 Jul29 Jun22 Jun07 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50    
6  WETZEL Oct08 Sep17 Aug20 Jul30 Jul16 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 124 5.00 6% 16.80    
7  UBIQUITOUS Oct24 Oct17 Oct08 Sep26 Jul28 (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 25% 3.00    
8  VAIL OF HONOR Oct22 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 Aug15 (higham nico)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MALIBU BRAD Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 (dorochenko )SEVERINO VICTOR 122 20.00    
10  TIER ONE Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 Aug06 Jul18 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 7% 13.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.